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威廉姆斯称美联储应收集信息以判断价格风险Williams Says Fed Should Gather Information to Judge Price Risks

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约翰·威廉姆斯 摄影:贝蒂·劳拉·萨帕塔/彭博社John Williams Photographer: Betty Laura Zapata/Bloomberg

纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰·威廉姆斯赞同美国中央银行的声明,即目前是收集通胀风险相关信息的时机。

Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams endorsed the US central bank’s statement saying that this is the time to collect information on the risks to inflation.

周五在法兰克福欧洲中央银行的一场活动上发言时,他表示目前的迹象并未发出令人担忧的信号,但决策者需要保持这一状态。

Speaking at an event at the European Central Bank in Frankfurt on Friday, he said that indications so far aren’t signaling concern, but that policymakers need to keep it that way.

威廉姆斯表示,货币政策“在确保这些相对价格冲击不会转化为更广泛或更持久的通胀方面确实发挥着关键作用”。“通胀预期依然得到了很好地锚定。我们看到工资增长与我们2%的目标保持一致。”美联储官员上个月将利率维持不变,并表示“积累更多信息”将使他们能够确定政策的最佳水平。在以10票对2票通过维持利率不变的决定之前,他们曾在9月份一致决定将基准利率上调四分之一个百分点,达到3.75%至4%的目标区间。

Monetary policy “does have a critical role in making sure that these relative price shocks don’t translate into broader or more persistent inflation,” Williams said. “Inflation expectations remain well anchored. We’re seeing wage growth be consistent with our 2% goal.”Fed officials held interest rates steady last month, saying the “accumulation of more information” would allow them to determine the best level for policy. The 10-2 decision to stay put followed a unanimous move to lift their benchmark rate in September by a quarter point to a target range of 3.75%-4%.

自此次会议以来发表讲话的多位决策者都宣称有必要进一步加息,但主张采取渐进的方式。这些公开表态是在主席凯文·沃尔什发表评论之后做出的,沃尔什指出了强劲的经济并对持续的通胀发出警告,但继续避免分享他对利率的前景展望。

Several policymakers speaking since the meeting have touted the need for additional rate hikes but advocated for a gradual approach. The public statements followed comments from Chairman Kevin Warsh, who pointed to a strong economy and warned about persistent inflation, but continued to abstain from sharing his outlook for rates.

威廉姆斯说:“我认为我们上次会议的联邦公开市场委员会声明准确地表明,这是一个积累更多信息的适当时机,以帮助我们确定适当的政策立场,从而确保我们及时回到2%的目标。”

“Our FOMC statement last meeting, I think, captures correctly that this is an appropriate time to accumulate more information to help us determine what the appropriate stance of policy is to make make sure we achieve a timely return to our 2% target,” Williams said.

美联储首选的通胀指标——个人消费支出价格指数在9月份同比上涨3.6%,剔除食品和能源项目的核心通胀指标也有所上升。数据还显示,截至9月底的季度中,美国经济以一年来最快速度扩张。

The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures price index, rose by 3.6% in September from a year earlier, and gauges of underlying inflation excluding food and energy items also rose. Data also showed the US economy expanded at the fastest pace in a year in the quarter ending September.

威廉姆斯说:“有几个主题对我们和世界各地来说都非常有趣:一组非常罕见的相对价格冲击影响着我们的经济,与此同时,至少我们的经济在经历这些冲击时表现出了非常强的韧性。”

“A couple of themes are really interesting, both for us and around the world: a very unusual set of relative price shocks affecting the our economies, at the same time very strong resilience at least our economy through through these shocks,” Williams said.

就在他发表讲话几天前,美国民主党人在周二的中期选举中取得了决定性胜利,在权力交替中控制了国会。美联储观察人士称,此举可以保护中央银行,并为官员们提供更多不受政治干预而抗击通胀的空间。

He spoke just days after US Democrats saw decisive victories in Tuesday’s midterm elections, taking control of Congress in a shift that Fed watchers said could protect the central bank and give officials more room to fight inflation without political interference.

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