
瓦莱丽·冈萨雷斯、迈克·卡塔利尼、乔纳森·J·库珀 得克萨斯州圣胡安——拉丁裔选民在中期选举中大幅转向左翼,推动民主党在得克萨斯州以及从东海岸到西海岸的众议院选情胶着的选区取得了出人意料的选举大胜。
VALERIE GONZALEZ, MIKE CATALINI, JONATHAN J. COOPER SAN JUAN, Texas — Latino voters moved sharply to the left in the midterm elections , propelling Democrats to an improbable electoral sweep in Texas and in battleground House races from coast to coast.
对于一个仅仅两年前还向总统唐纳德·特朗普靠拢的群体而言,这是一次引人注目的转向。
It’s a remarkable pivot for a demographic that had shifted toward President Donald Trump just two years ago.
“我们在这次选举中展现了我们的力量,亮出了我们的肌肉,”民主党众议员加布·巴斯克斯说。他在新墨西哥州的选情胶着选区以约17个百分点的优势获胜,而2022年他的胜选优势不到1个百分点。
“We showed our power and flexed our muscle during this election,” said Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez, who won his battleground district in New Mexico by around 17 percentage points after winning by less than 1 percentage point in 2022.
民主党人利用了选民对物价上涨和政府腐败的焦虑,乘着不满情绪的浪潮重新夺回了众议院和参议院的控制权。
Democrats capitalized on voters’ angst over rising prices and government corruption , riding a wave of frustration to retake control of the House and the Senate .
拉美裔选民也加入了对特朗普及其共和党的这一决定性否定。在得克萨斯州,每个县投给民主党的票数都比两年前更多,而两年前特朗普在总统大选中击败了民主党副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯。但总体而言,拉美裔人口比例越高的县,转向幅度越大。
Hispanics joined in that decisive repudiation of Trump and his Republican Party. In Texas, every county voted more Democratic than it did two years ago, when Trump beat Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential race . But the more heavily Hispanic the county, generally the heavier the shift.
“这是我们的天赐良机,我们能够取得如此历史性的进展,这大概是我们从未想象过的,尤其是在得克萨斯州,”约翰尼·加西亚说。他是一名治安官副手,赢得了圣安东尼奥地区一个新设立的众议院选区,而特朗普2024年在该选区以10个百分点的优势获胜。“我们做到这一点的唯一方式,就是紧抓对人们最重要的议题。”约三分之一的拉美裔选民表示,他们在当地的美国众议院选举中支持了共和党人,而两年前约有四成拉美裔选民投票给了特朗普。
“This is our lightning-in-the-bottle moment, that we were able to make such historic gains that we probably never conjured, especially here in Texas,” said Johnny Garcia, a sheriff’s deputy who won a newly created House district in the San Antonio area where Trump won by 10 percentage points in 2024. “The only way we did that is by going after the issues that were meaning the most to people.”About one-third of Hispanic voters said they backed the Republican in their local U.S. House race, while roughly 4 in 10 voted for Trump two years ago.
这一转向在得克萨斯州尤为明显,当地选民将一个参议院席位和州长职位翻转为民主党所有,同时还将选票上的所有全州性职位一并翻转为民主党所有。
The shift was especially pronounced in Texas, where voters flipped a Senate seat and the governor’s office to Democrats along with every statewide office on the ballot.
大约十分之七的西班牙裔选民在联邦参议员竞选中支持民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科,而仅约十分之三投票给共和党人肯·帕克斯顿。据AP VoteCast称,该群体在2024年总统大选中基本势均力敌,AP VoteCast是一项针对选民和非选民的大规模调查,旨在讲述选举结果背后的故事。
Roughly 7 in 10 Hispanic voters supported Democrat James Talarico in the U.S. Senate contest, while only about 3 in 10 voted for Republican Ken Paxton. The group was essentially split in the 2024 presidential election, according to AP VoteCast, an extensive survey of voters and nonvoters that aims to tell the story behind election results.
年轻西班牙裔选民的转向更为显著,在65岁以下的德克萨斯州西班牙裔选民中,支持塔拉里科的比例出现了约20个百分点的摆动。
Younger Hispanics’ shift was even more pronounced, with swings of around 20 percentage points toward Talarico among Hispanic voters in Texas under 65 years old.
56岁的辛迪·坎迪亚是一位终身民主党人,看到她的政党在她在德克萨斯州生活的20年里首次取得成功,她感到非常兴奋。她对即将上任的州长吉娜·伊诺霍萨尤为激动,后者在里奥格兰德河谷长大,坎迪亚现在就住在那里。
Cindy Candia, a 56-year-old lifelong Democrat, was thrilled to see her party find success for the first time in her 20 years living in Texas. She was especially excited about the incoming governor, Gina Hinojosa , who grew up in the Rio Grande Valley, where Candia lives now.
“她是女性,是西班牙裔,来自布朗斯维尔,我认为没人想到德克萨斯州会投票给那样的人,给那种类型的人,”坎迪亚说。
“She’s a woman, she’s Hispanic, she is from Brownsville, and I don’t think anybody thought that Texas would vote for that, for that type of person,” Candia said.
民主党人赢得了所有接壤美墨边境的众议院选区——包括德克萨斯州、新墨西哥州、亚利桑那州和加利福尼亚州的席位——这是自2008年以来的首次。
Democrats won every House district that touches the U.S.-Mexico border — which includes seats in Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California — for the first time since 2008.
即使在佛罗里达州的参议院竞选中,共和党参议员阿什利·穆迪勉强赢得连任,但不到一半的西班牙裔选民支持穆迪,而两年前特朗普以55%的西班牙裔选民支持率明确赢得了这一群体。
Even in the Senate race in Florida, where Republican Sen. Ashley Moody managed to narrowly win reelection, less than half of Hispanic voters supported Moody, while Trump definitively won this group two years earlier with 55% of Hispanics’ support.
在堪萨斯州西南部,三个以西班牙裔为主的县此前压倒性支持特朗普,这次却转而支持亚当·汉密尔顿,他成为近一个世纪以来首位在该州赢得联邦参议员竞选的民主党人。这三个县——芬尼县、福特县和苏厄德县——的投票率也比2022年激增了27%。
In southwestern Kansas, three Hispanic-majority counties that voted overwhelmingly for Trump flipped to backing Adam Hamilton , who became the first Democrat in nearly a century to win a U.S. Senate contest in the state. Turnout also surged 27% over 2022 in the three counties, Finney, Ford and Seward.
周二共有14位西班牙裔民主党人新当选,其中10人来自目前由共和党人把持或经重新划分选区以利共和党的选区。加利福尼亚州众议员琳达·桑切斯表示,国会西班牙裔核心小组的成员将达到历史新高,她是该核心小组竞选机构CHC BOLD PAC的主席。
Fourteen Hispanic Democrats were newly elected on Tuesday, 10 of them in districts that are currently represented by Republicans or were redrawn to favor the GOP. The Congressional Hispanic Caucus will have more members than ever before, said Rep. Linda Sanchez of California, chair of the caucus’ campaign arm, CHC BOLD PAC.
拉丁裔选民希望在国会山由“了解他们关切的人”来代表他们,民主党人莱蒂西亚·古铁雷斯说。她在休斯顿地区的一个众议院选区获胜,该选区是得克萨斯州共和党重新划分的,原本企图在该州再赢得五个席位,但最终失败。
Latino voters want someone who is “understanding of their issues” to represent them on Capitol Hill, said Leticia Gutierrez, a Democrat who won a Houston-area House district that Texas Republicans redrew in a failed attempt to pick up five more seats in the state.
“我要把所有这些带到华盛顿,以便能拥有那样的视角,”古铁雷斯说。
“I’m gonna carry all of those things with me to Washington to be able to have that lens,” Gutierrez said.
在科罗拉多州击败共和党众议员盖布·埃文斯的民主党人曼尼·鲁蒂内尔表示,选民对他的人生故事产生了共鸣,信任他了解他们的经济担忧,因为他在一个有时难以维持生计的家庭中长大。
Manny Rutinel, a Democrat who defeated Republican Rep. Gabe Evans in Colorado, said voters responded to his life story, trusting that he understands their economic concerns after growing up in a family that sometimes struggled to make ends meet.
“我认为他们选我是因为他们知道对我来说这非常私人化,”鲁蒂内尔说。
“I think that they elected me because they know that for me it’s deeply personal,” Rutinel said.
在公民投票年龄人口中拉裔占比至少四分之一的众议院选区,民主党在周二中期选举中的得票率平均比哈里斯2024年的表现高出约11个百分点。相比之下,其他众议院选区平均仅增长了7个百分点。
In House districts where at least a quarter of the citizen voting-age population is Hispanic, the Democratic share in Tuesday’s midterms averaged about 11 percentage points higher than Harris’ 2024 performance. By contrast, other House districts saw a 7-percentage-point gain on average.
在拉裔占多数的县,民主党参议院候选人的得票率比其党派2024年的成绩高出15个百分点以上。
In majority-Hispanic counties, Democratic Senate candidates exceeded their party’s 2024 results by more than 15 percentage points.
拉丁裔尤其受到特朗普打击移民政策的影响,在一些拉裔人口最密集的选区,这与经济担忧一起成为突出议题。
Latinos have been especially affected by Trump’s immigration crackdown , which was a prominent issue alongside economic concerns in some of the most heavily Latino districts.
尽管特朗普承诺逮捕并驱逐非法居留在美国的移民在竞选期间很受欢迎,但美国人现在不赞成他在移民执法方面的做法。
Though Trump’s promise to arrest and deport immigrants living in the country illegally was popular during his campaign, Americans now disapprove of his approach to immigration enforcement .
“每个人都投了他的票,但投他票的人,他却把他们关起来了,”44岁的拉丁裔选民、在宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦全职照顾父亲的埃尔顿·里德说。“就像他许诺给他们全世界,却没兑现,现在却把他们关起来了。”里德在其激战区投了民主党的票,民主党人鲍勃·布鲁克斯在那里击败了共和党众议员瑞安·麦肯齐。
“Everybody voted for him, but the people that voted for him, he’s locking them up,” said Elton Reid, a 44-year-old Latino voter and full-time caregiver for his father in Allentown, Pennsylvania. “Like he promised them the world, and he didn’t come through with it, and now he’s locking them up.”Reid voted for Democrats in his battleground district, where Democrat Bob Brooks defeated Republican Rep. Ryan McKenzie.
阿伦敦市长马特·图尔克是一位拉美裔民主党人,他警告称,选民向民主党倾斜取决于该党是否兑现竞选承诺。
Allentown Mayor Matt Tuerk, a Latino Democrat, warned that the shift toward Democrats hinges on the party keeping campaign pledges.
“他们在2024年给了特朗普一个机会后,看到了背叛,”图尔克说。“于是他们选择了民主党,现在正给民主党一个机会。”
“They saw betrayal from Trump after they gave him a chance in 2024,” Tuerk said. “And they went with the Democrats, and they’re giving them a chance now.”
“但,”他补充道,“他们正处于考察期。” 卡塔利尼和库珀在华盛顿报道。美联社记者林利·桑德斯、亚伦·凯斯勒和胡梅里·洛迪在华盛顿;约翰·汉纳在堪萨斯州托皮卡;埃里克·韦尔杜兹科在南卡罗来纳州约克;法比安娜·林孔在纽约;塔萨尼·维蓬萨在宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦参与了报道。
“But,” he added, “they’re on probation.”Catalini and Cooper reported from Washington. Associated Press journalists Linley Sanders, Aaron Kessler and Humeri Lodhi in Washington; John Hanna in Topeka, Kan.; Erik Verduzco in York, S.C.; Fabianna Rincon in New York; and Tassanee Vejpongsa in Allentown, Pa., contributed.