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彭博社

智利年通胀率加速升至一年多来最高水平Chile Annual Inflation Speeds Up to Highest Level in Over a Year

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智利年度通胀率上个月进一步加速并高于目标,这是在央行官员表示曾考虑加息几天之后发布的报告中显示的。

Chile’s annual inflation accelerated further above target last month, according to a report published days after central bankers said they had considered raising the interest rate.

消费者价格10月同比上涨4.5%,略低于彭博社调查中经济学家4.6%的中位数预期。该读数与2025年4月以来的最高水平持平。国家统计局周五报告称,月度通胀率为0.5%。

Consumer prices rose 4.5% in October from a year prior, just under the 4.6% median forecast from economists in a Bloomberg survey. That print matched the highest level since April 2025. Monthly inflation stood at 0.5%, the national statistics agency reported on Friday.

由罗萨娜·科斯塔(Rosanna Costa)领导的智利央行正在加强对物价压力的警告,同时致力于将通胀降至3%的目标。周三公布的10月货币政策会议纪要强调,今年生活成本冲击可能变得更加持久的风险,并显示决策者曾考虑提高借贷成本。这一信号令一些经济学家预期,最快下个月将开启一轮短暂的紧缩周期。

Chile’s central bank, led by Rosanna Costa, is sharpening its warnings about price pressures as it works to slow inflation to the 3% target. Minutes of the October policy meeting published Wednesday highlighted the risk that this year’s cost-of-living shock could become more persistent and showed policymakers considered raising borrowing costs. That message now has some economists anticipating a short tightening cycle starting as soon as next month.

据统计局数据,10月交通成本环比上涨2%,能源上涨2.7%,食品和非酒精饮料上涨1%。另一方面,服装价格在该期间下跌4.1%。

Transportation costs rose 2% on the month in October while energy increased 2.7% and food and non-alcoholic beverages gained 1%, according to the statistics agency. On the other hand, clothing fell 4.1% during the period.

决策者今年迄今将借贷成本维持在4.5%不变。随着央行官员面对由中东冲突和恶劣天气等因素引发的物价威胁,这一立场可能即将改变。

Policymakers have held borrowing costs steady at 4.5% so far this year. That stance could be set to change as central bankers stare down price threats spurred by factors including the conflict in the Middle East and severe weather.

许多分析师预计,到今年12月年度通胀率将加速升至接近5%。央行上月调查的交易员预见,未来两年消费者物价涨幅将高于目标。

Many analysts see annual inflation speeding up closer to 5% by this December. Traders surveyed by the monetary authority last month see consumer price increases above target over the next two years.

国内生产总值(GDP)普遍预期在第三季度收缩,分析师预计今年经济增长将接近零。然而展望未来,政府支持的措施包括企业减税和大型投资项目担保,预计将在2027年刺激经济活动。

Gross domestic product is widely expected to have contracted in the third quarter and analysts see economic growth near zero this year. Going forward, however, government-backed measures including corporate tax cuts and guarantees for large investment projects are expected to spur activity in 2027.

“几位理事表示,没有足够的证据表明预期的需求复苏不会实现,”决策者在10月会议纪要中写道。

“Several Board Members indicated that there was insufficient evidence to suggest that the expected recovery in demand would not materialize,” policymakers wrote in the October meeting minutes.

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