气候变化：2026年可能成为有记录以来第二热的年份 Sertac Comak 2026年11月6日 气候科学家表示，世界将突破关键的1.5摄氏度门槛。今年也有望成为有记录以来第二热的年份。
Climate change: 2026 likely to be second-warmest year Sertac Comak November 6, 2026 Climate scientists say the world is set to breach the critical 1.5-degree Celsius threshold in 2026. This year is also on track to become the second-warmest on record.
在谷歌上优先选择DW 联合国正式假定1.5摄氏度目标将被超越 欧盟哥白尼气候变化服务局周五表示，到2026年，全球平均气温将几乎肯定会比工业化前水平高出1.5摄氏度（2.7华氏度）以上。
Prefer DW on Google United Nations officially assumes that the 1.5 degree target will be overshot Global temperatures will almost certainly average more than 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels in 2026, the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service said Friday.
这将使2026年成为继2024年之后，第二个突破《巴黎协定》设定的门槛的日历年。1.5摄氏度目标意味着什么？
That would make 2026 the second calendar year after 2024 above the threshold set as part of the Paris Agreement What does the 1.5-degree target mean? The Paris treaty was aimed at preventing global temperatures from rising above 1.5 degrees Celsius in the long term.
《巴黎协定》旨在防止全球气温长期上升超过1.5摄氏度。2015年的这项协议被视为应对气候变化的一个重大进展。
The 2015 deal was seen as a major step forward in tackling climate change.
世界上大多数国家同意将全球气温上升幅度控制在远低于2摄氏度（与工业化前水平相比），并“努力”将其控制在1.5摄氏度以下。该目标关系到长期升温，因此，单一年度超过1.5摄氏度本身并不意味着该目标已被突破。2026年可能成为有记录以来最热的一年吗？
Most of the world's nations agreed to hold global temperature rise to well below 2 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels and "pursue efforts" to keep it below 1.5 degrees The target concerns long-term warming, so a single year above 1.5 degrees does not in itself mean it has been breached. Could 2026 become the warmest year on record?
哥白尼估计，自记录开始以来，2026年最有可能成为继2024年之后有记录以来第二热的一年。然而，有20%的可能性它可能超过2024年的水平。十年后：《巴黎气候协定》是否奏效？
Copernicus estimates that 2026 will most likely be the second-warmest year after 2024 since records began. However, there is a 20% chance that it could surpass 2024 levels. Ten years on: Has the Paris climate deal delivered?
观看此视频，请访问 [链接] 气候服务局还预计，2023年至2026年的四年平均气温将高于1.5摄氏度的门槛。
To view this video , and The climate service also expects the four-year average for 2023 to 2026 to be above the 1.5 degree threshold.
2026年10月是有记录以来全球最热的10月，该月全球平均地表温度比工业化前水平高出1.75摄氏度。这是连续第三个月超过1.5摄氏度的门槛。
October 2026 was the warmest October on record globally, with an average global surface temperature of 1.75 degrees above pre-industrial levels for the month. It marked the third consecutive month above the 1.5 degrees threshold.
“一个异常强烈的厄尔尼诺现象正在给因人类活动而变暖的气候进一步增加热量，而2026年有望成为第二个超过1.5摄氏度的历年，”欧洲中期天气预报中心的萨曼莎·伯吉斯说。
"An exceptionally strong El Nino is adding further heat to a climate already warmed by human activities, while 2026 is on track to become the second calendar year above 1.5 degrees," said Samantha Burgess of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
这一目标已不再触手可及 联合国环境规划署现在预计，变暖将超出《巴黎协定》设定的1.5摄氏度目标。
That goal is no longer within reach The UN Environment Programme now expects warming to overshoot the Paris Agreement's 1.5-degree target.
该机构表示，因为这威胁到会引发剧烈的气候极端事件和危险的临界点，所以超出幅度应尽可能保持微小且时间尽可能短暂。
Because this threatens drastic climate extremes and dangerous tipping points, the overshoot should be kept as small and short as possible, it said.
燃烧化石燃料是气候变化的主要驱动因素之一 根据联合国环境规划署（UNEP）9月发布的一份报告，每增加零几分之一度，风险和影响就会加剧。
Burning fossil fuels is one of the main drivers of climate change According to a September report by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), every additional fraction of a degree makes the risks and impacts worse.
波茨坦气候影响研究所所长、气候科学家约翰·罗克斯特伦呼吁，通过从大气中移除二氧化碳，迅速让气温再次下降。
Climate scientist Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, c alled for temperatures to be lowered quickly again by removing CO2 from the atmosphere.
联合国环境规划署勾勒了一个情景：全球变暖将在本世纪中叶左右达到1.7至1.8摄氏度的峰值，随后到2100年回落至1.5摄氏度。要实现这一点，需要到2040年将排放量相对于2025年水平大幅削减69%。
UNEP lays out a scenario in which the world sees warming peak at 1.7 to 1.8 degrees Celsius around mid-century, before falling back to 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2100. Getting there would require steep emissions cuts of 69% by 2040, relative to 2025 levels.
罗克斯特伦在一次简报会上表示，全球变暖在未来五年内超过工业化前水平1.5摄氏度现在已是不可避免的。他说，人类目前正处于“通往不可控未来的道路上。”气候极端事件成为新的健康威胁 —— 以下是原因
It was now unavoidable that global warming would exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels within the next five years, Rockström said at a briefing. He said that humanity was currently on "a path to an unmanageable future." Climate extremes are the new health threats — here is why