旧金山联邦储备银行行长玛丽·戴利周五表示，她预计央行将需要进一步加息，但与同僚一样称加息的步伐和时机仍不确定。
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said Friday she expects the central bank will need to raise interest rates further, but joined her fellow policymakers in saying the pace and timing remain uncertain.
“我的预期是我们将不得不进一步收紧政策。确切何时以及幅度多大仍有待决定，因为我们必须考虑所有传来的变量，”戴利在接受CNBC主持人史蒂夫·利斯曼的现场采访时说。“很可能还需要更多行动，当然……如果经济需要，我已准备好这么做。”这番言论发表之日，劳工统计局报告称美国经济10月新增就业16.5万个，失业率——美联储官员最关注的劳动力市场变量——略微下降至4.1%。
"My expectation is we're going to have to tighten policy further. Exactly when and how much is still to be decided because we just have to take all the variables that are coming in," Daly told CNBC's Steve Liesman during a live interview. "More is likely to be needed, and certainly ... I'm prepared to do that if that's what the economy calls for." The remarks came the same day the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. economy added 165,000 jobs in October while the unemployment rate — the labor-market variable Fed officials focus on most — edged lower to 4.1%.
这些数字大幅好于华尔街预期。事实上，就业岗位创造数量几乎是道琼斯共识预估值的三倍。
Those numbers were substantially better than Wall Street expectations. Job creation, in fact, was nearly triple the Dow Jones consensus estimate.
戴利称该报告“是美国工人的好消息”，但指出通胀正给家庭财务带来压力。10月平均时薪同比上涨3.1%，但以消费者价格指数衡量的9月通胀率为3.7%。
Daly called the report "good news for American workers," but noted the pressure inflation is exerting on household finances. Average hourly earnings rose 3.1% annually in October, but the September inflation rate as measured by the consumer price index was 3.7%.
“他们看到能找到工作，继续消费。他们没有退出游戏，但正处于高通胀的跑步机上，”她说。“这已经持续太久了，将近六年，我们真切感受到这种负担已蔓延到各处。”这位决策者表示，她总体上不担心经济增长，但担忧通胀的持续性。
"They see that they can get jobs, they continue to spend. They're not out of the game, but they are on a treadmill of high inflation," she said. "This has been high for too long, almost six years, and we're really starting to feel the burden of that spread everywhere." The policymaker said she's not concerned generally about economic growth but worried about the persistence of inflation.
戴利表示：“就业市场保持稳定和坚实，但并未繁荣，而且你看到实际工资在下降，因为这些工资实际上并没有跟上通胀。我认为这就是关键所在。就业方面是个好消息，但美国人是否会在劳动力市场上获得优势还不太清楚。” 制定利率的联邦公开市场委员会在9月将央行的基准隔夜拆借利率上调了四分之一个百分点，目标区间为3.75%-4%。
"The job market remains stable and solid, but not booming, and you see real wages falling because those wages are not really keeping up with inflation," Daly said. "I think that's the crux of this. Good news on the jobs front, not so clear that Americans are going to gain ground in the labor market." The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee in September increased the central bank's benchmark overnight borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point to a target range of 3.75%-4%.
然而，该委员会上周拒绝跟进再次加息，表示倾向于等待“更多信息的积累”再决定下一步行动。
However, the committee last week declined to follow up that hike with another move, saying it preferred to wait for "the accumulation of more information" before deciding its next move.
戴利明年将在委员会拥有投票权，她表示仍倾向于渐进式做法。里奇蒙德联储主席巴尔金周四表示，他也预期未来利率会更高，但不确定时间表。
Daly will vote on the committee next year and said she still favors a gradual approach. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Thursday he also sees higher rates ahead but is unsure of the timeline.
戴利说：“我当时非常支持，完全认为9月加息是正确的举措。我也认为上次会议维持利率不变是好的，因为世界充满了不确定性。”
"I was really supportive and completely thought that that was the right move to move in September," Daly said. "I also think that it was good to be on hold at the last meeting because the world is filled with uncertainty."
