
在共和党在中期选举中遭受重创,失去对众议院和参议院的控制权后,欧洲极右翼领导人已表现出与特朗普总统保持距离的迹象。
Europe’s far-right leaders have shown signs of distancing themselves from President Donald Trump after his Republican Party suffered significant blows in the midterm elections, losing control of both the House and Senate.
尽管这些后退的步伐很小,但考虑到欧洲右翼人士此前曾如何庆祝与特朗普的意识形态联系,这些举动仍值得注意。当如今陷入困境的总统于2025年1月重返白宫时,意大利总理乔治亚·梅洛尼和西班牙极右翼声音党领导人圣地亚哥·阿巴斯卡尔是受邀参加其就职典礼的欧洲议员之一。
The steps back, although slight, are notable considering how Europe’s right-leaning figures have previously celebrated sharing ideological ties with Trump. When the now-embattled President returned to the White House in January 2025, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Santiago Abascal, the leader of Spain's far-right Vox party, were among the European lawmakers invited to his Inauguration Day.
但现在风向可能正在转变。虽然欧洲左翼领导人庆祝了民主党在美国中期选举中的进展,但欧洲的一些极右翼人士似乎热衷于明确地将自己与特朗普及其政策区分开来。特朗普在2024年竞选时承诺避免将美国卷入外国战争,而是专注于国内繁荣。他与伊朗的战争现已进入第九个月,这违背了其竞选承诺——德国选择党(AfD)联合领导人爱丽丝·魏德尔在评估共和党中期选举失利时提到了这一点。
But the tide may now be turning. While left-leaning European leaders have celebrated the Democrats’ gains in the U.S. midterms, some far-right figures in Europe appear keen to succinctly separate themselves from Trump and his policies. Trump ran in 2024 on a campaign that promised to avoid dragging the U.S. into foreign wars, instead focusing on home prosperity. His war with Iran, which is now in its ninth month, has gone against that campaign pledge—a point Alice Weidel, co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, brought up in her assessment of the GOP’s midterm losses.
“特朗普曾向他的选民承诺,他不会奉行干涉主义外交政策,”维德尔周三告诉德国的T-online新闻网。“这一被打破的竞选承诺现在反噬了共和党。”
"Trump had promised his voters he would not pursue an interventionist foreign policy," Weidel told Germany’s T-online outlet on Wednesday. "This broken campaign promise has now come back to haunt the Republicans."
维德尔承认,通常情况下,控制白宫的执政党会在中期选举中失去国会席位,但她表示,共和党失败的规模“非常显著”,并且主要可以归因于“伊朗战争的毁灭性后果”。
While Weidel acknowledged that the political party in control of the White House typically loses seats in Congress during the midterms, she said that the scale of the Republican defeat “is remarkable” and can be explained primarily by the “devastating consequences of the Iran war."
这一评论标志着该党基调的转变,此前该党曾公开或秘密地欢迎特朗普政府的支持。维德尔于2025年2月,即德国大选前几天,会见了副总统J.D. Vance。在那次访问期间,Vance在慕尼黑安全会议上发表讲话,并利用演讲时间批评了德国所谓的“防火墙”做法——即其他政党之间达成的协议,他们不会与德国选择党合作。
The commentary marked a shift in tone for a party that has often welcomed the support of the Trump Administration, both overtly and covertly. Weidel met with Vice President J.D. Vance in February 2025, just days before the German election. During that trip, Vance spoke at the Munich Security Conference and took time out of his speech to criticize what is known as the “firewall” approach in Germany—the agreement among other political parties that they will not work with the AfD.
在另一项支持行动中,亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克在领导特朗普政府现已解散的政府效率部(DOGE)期间,曾以视频形式出席了德国选择党的竞选活动。在德国选择党于9月赢得一次州选举后,长期指责欧洲国家实行宽松移民政策的特朗普评论道:“德国的民粹主义政党刚刚度过了非常辉煌的一晚。他们终于厌倦了那些绝对糟糕的移民规则和条例,这些规则和条例损害了德国。”
In another show of support, billionaire Elon Musk, while heading the Trump Administration’s now-defunct Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), made a virtual appearance at an AfD campaign event. After the AfD won a state election in September, Trump, who has long accused European countries of holding weak immigration policies, remarked: “The populist party in Germany just had a really big night. They finally got tired of the absolutely horrible immigration rules and regulations, which have hurt Germany.”
欧洲的政治转变法国极右翼国民联盟党主席乔丹·巴尔德拉也进一步努力与MAGA品牌拉开距离。当被法国一家广播节目问及共和党在中期选举中的失利时,巴尔德拉表示,“美国干预伊朗”给世界经济带来了“非常沉重的后果”。
A political shift from Europe Further efforts to create distance from the MAGA brand came from Jordan Bardella, president of France’s far-right National Rally. When asked about the Republicans’ midterm losses by a French radio show, Bardella said the “American intervention in Iran" had carried “very heavy consequences” for world economies.
他表示:“可以肯定的是,唐纳德·特朗普的第二个任期在其哲学和外交政策上与他的第一个任期有很大不同,在他第一个任期内,他的政治野心是让美国退出主要的全球冲突。”
“What is certain is that Donald Trump's second term differs quite significantly, in its philosophy and foreign policy, from his first, during which his political ambition was to withdraw the United States from major global conflicts,” he said.
伦敦国王学院公共政策助理教授乔治奥斯·萨马拉斯告诉《时代》杂志,共和党失利的规模“让整个欧洲大陆都感到震惊”。
Georgios Samaras, assistant professor of public policy at King’s College London, tells TIME that the scale of the Republican defeat sent “shock waves across the continent.”
他表示:“在经历了两年灾难性的经济管理后,[特朗普]的国际地位已经消失。这几乎就像极右翼正在失去他们的全球领袖一样,”他补充说,特朗普的失败很可能被视为“送给所有自由派的一份礼物”。在西班牙,将参加11月底提前举行的选举的阿瓦斯卡尔也回避了任何关于中期选举的讨论。
“After two years of catastrophic economic management, [Trump’s] international standing is gone. It's practically like the far-right [is] losing their global leader,” he says, adding that Trump’s loss is likely to be seen as “a gift to all liberals.”In Spain, Abascal, who will take part in a snap election at the end of November, also backed away from any midterms discussion.
他告诉记者:“我来这里不是为了分析一场选举,我是在比利亚雷亚尔。考虑到11月29日的选举,我根本不在乎其他国家发生的事情。”
“I'm not in Michigan to analyze an election, I'm in Ciudad Real. And considering the November 29th elections, I couldn't care less about what happens in other countries,” he told reporters.
他的立场与他去年培养的美国盟友关系形成了鲜明对比,当时特朗普在2025年保守派政治行动会议上称赞阿瓦斯卡尔在西班牙“做得很好”。2022年,特朗普曾以视频形式出现在阿瓦斯卡尔在马德里的一次集会上。
His positioning stood in stark contrast to the U.S. alliance he nurtured last year, when Trump during the 2025 Conservative Political Action Conference praised Abascal for doing a “great job” in Spain. In 2022, Trump made a virtual appearance at one of Abascal's rallies in Madrid.
当被问及欧洲极右翼领导人如何看待共和党在中期选举中的失利时,白宫副新闻秘书安娜·凯利告诉《时代》杂志:“特朗普总统有效地恢复了美国在全球舞台上的实力,并加强了与世界各国领导人的关系。”巴斯大学政治学教授、专攻反动政治的奥雷利安·蒙东指出,欧洲的极右翼政党受益于与MAGA运动的“跨国合作”。
When approached about how Europe's far-right leaders have reacted to the GOP's midterm losses, White House deputy press secretary Anna Kelly told TIME: “President Trump has effectively restored American strength on the global stage and strengthened relationships with world leaders.”Aurélien Mondon, a professor of politics at the University of Bath who specializes in reactionary politics, points to how far-right parties in Europe have benefited from “transnational cooperation” with the MAGA movement.
这种合作已持续多年,从特朗普的盟友史蒂夫·班农努力支持欧洲右翼政党,到特朗普政府对欧洲主流政党和领导人采取敌对姿态。特朗普的影响力也延伸到了政治竞选活动,他在英国的盟友、改革党领袖奈杰尔·法拉奇在去年的英格兰地方选举中举行了类似“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)风格的集会。
That cooperation has spanned years, ranging from Trump ally Steve Bannon’s efforts to bolster right-wing parties in Europe to the Trump Administration’s antagonistic posture toward Europe’s mainstream political parties and leaders. Trump’s influence has also extended to political campaigns, with his ally in Britain, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, staging MAGA-style rallies during last year’s local elections in England.
蒙顿说:“这些跨国网络在许多方面都对[极右翼]很有利,并使他们能够将自己的政治观点主流化。”他警告说,这种联盟也可能受到限制和机会主义的影响。“归根结底,这些政党关注的是国家,因此它们可以很容易地摆脱其他地方同行的失败。”特朗普与欧洲盟友关系紧张的迹象 特朗普与一些欧洲极右翼盟友之间日益增长的距离并非全新。
“These kinds of transnational networks have served [the far-right] well in many ways, and it allowed them to mainstream their politics,” says Mondon, who warns that such alliances can also be limited and opportunistic. “At the end of the day, these parties are about the nation, and so they can very easily detach themselves from the failures of their counterparts elsewhere.”Signs of strained relations between Trump and European allies The growing distance between Trump and some of his far-right European allies is not entirely new.
欧亚集团(Eurasia Group)欧洲区董事总经理穆吉塔巴·拉赫曼(Mujtaba Rahman)表示,“欧洲大陆的极右翼领导人已经与MAGA(让美国再次伟大)保持距离相当长一段时间了。”
Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe at Eurasia Group, a political-risk consultancy, says that “far-right leaders across the European continent have been distancing themselves from MAGA for quite some time.”
他表示,“欧盟的各种极右翼派别都清楚,与特朗普品牌、MAGA品牌相关联会成为选举中的负资产。”“这发生在特朗普就格陵兰岛发表言论之后,以及伊朗战争之后,以及这场战争对生活成本问题的影响,而生活成本是一个关键的政治议题。”
“It's been clear to different persuasions of the far-right in the E.U. that association with the Trump brand, the MAGA brand, is an electoral liability,” he says. “That happened in the aftermath of Trump's Greenland pronouncements, and the aftermath of the war in Iran, and the impact that's having on cost-of-living issues, which is a key political issue.”
2024年,巴尔德拉曾表示他的“内心倾向于特朗普”,但他此后批评了总统的一些政策。1月份,当特朗普加剧其吞并格陵兰岛的威胁时,巴尔德拉敦促欧盟团结起来,反对他所称的“对一个欧洲国家主权的直接挑战”。德国选择党(AfD)领导层也与吞并言论保持了距离。梅洛尼表示,特朗普威胁要对格陵兰岛问题上的欧洲盟友征收关税将是“一个错误”。
In 2024, Bardella said his “heart leans toward Trump,” but he has since criticized some of the President’s policies. In January, when Trump ramped up his threats to annex Greenland, Bardella urged the European Union to unite against what he referred to as “a direct challenge to the sovereignty of a European country.”AfD leadership also distanced itself from the annexation rhetoric. Meloni said Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on European allies over Greenland would be a “mistake.”
除了在外交政策上的分歧外,曾被誉为欧洲“特朗普传话人”的梅洛尼在6月份也与总统发生冲突,此前他声称她在G7峰会上“乞求”与他合影——梅洛尼称这一说法“完全是捏造的”。特朗普与伊朗的战争引发的分歧。特别是伊朗战争,加剧了特朗普政府与一些欧洲极右翼领导人之间的紧张关系,因为这场冲突冲击了欧洲市场,导致能源成本飙升,加剧了整个欧洲大陆的生活成本压力。
Beyond differences over foreign policy, Meloni, once dubbed Europe’s “Trump Whisperer,” also clashed with the President in June after he said she had “begged” for a photo with him at the G7 Summit—a claim Meloni said was “completely fabricated.”The divide over Trump’s war with Iran The Iran war, in particular, has deepened tensions between the Trump Administration and some of Europe’s far-right leaders, as the conflict has hit European markets with soaring energy costs, adding to cost-of-living pressures across the continent.
意大利副总理、极右翼联盟党领导人马泰奥·萨尔维尼表示,他希望共和党在中期选举中的失利能被解读为“全球干涉主义”的停止。他补充说:“美国的结果主要受到战争、国际紧张局势以及生活成本上涨的影响,这些后果直接落在家庭身上。” 极右翼“恢复英国”党领导人鲁珀特·洛维也持类似观点,他认为特朗普与伊朗的战争导致了共和党的选举失利,并称这场冲突是一个“灾难性”的错误。“这场战争取得了什么成就?毫无价值,”他说,但他在评论中没有直接点名特朗普。
Matteo Salvini, Italy’s deputy Prime Minister and leader of the far-right League party, said he hoped the Republicans’ midterm losses would be interpreted as a halt “to interventionism around the world.”He added: “The American result was influenced above all by the wars, international tensions and the increase in the cost of living, the consequences of which fall directly on families.”Rupert Lowe, leader of the far-right Restore Britain party, similarly argued that Trump’s war with Iran led to the Republicans’ election defeats, referring to the conflict as a “catastrophic” mistake. “What has this war achieved? Absolutely nothing of worth,” he said, without directly naming Trump in his reflections.
尽管这些紧张局势已经持续了好几个月,拉赫曼认为中期选举结果进一步“玷污了MAGA品牌”。他说:“我认为[欧洲的极右翼]曾希望特朗普政府能使他们自己的政治身份合法化。这将产生一股顺风,在明年的选举中帮助他们,”他指的是法国即将于2027年举行的总统大选。
While these tensions had been building for months, Rahman argues that the midterm results have further “tarnished the MAGA brand.”“I think [Europe’s far-right] were hoping the Trump Administration would legitimize their own political identity. It would produce a tailwind that would help them, in the context of elections next year,” he says, pointing to France’s upcoming presidential election in 2027.
特朗普上个月在法国抗议活动期间称极右翼人士玛丽娜·勒庞为“保守派声音”。勒庞去年因滥用欧盟资金被判有罪。上诉法院于7月维持了定罪,但缩短了她的刑期,为她参加2027年4月的总统大选铺平了道路。她目前在民意调查中领先于这场高风险的竞选。当被问及是否计划支持勒庞时,特朗普在椭圆形办公室告诉记者:“嗯,我不认识她,我没见过她。但我认为她受到了不公平对待。在我看来,这看起来像是武器化。”
Trump hailed far-right figure Marine Le Pen as a “conservative voice” amid the protests in France last month. Le Pen was convicted for misusing E.U. funds last year. An appeals court upheld the conviction in July, but shortened her sentence, clearing the path for her to run in the April 2027 presidential election. She is currently leading in polls ahead of the high-stakes race. When asked if he plans to endorse Le Pen, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office: "Well, I don't know her, I haven't met her. But I thought she was badly treated. It would look like a weaponization to me.”
特朗普政府此前曾介入欧洲的一些关键选举。在匈牙利,维克托·欧尔班在竞选期间得到了副总统J.D. Vance的支持,特朗普也曾大力支持欧尔班。然而,美国的介入并未能改变局面,欧尔班在4月份被Péter Magyar击败,结束了他长达16年的统治,这也标志着特朗普失去了一位重要的欧洲盟友。
The Trump Administration has previously engaged in some of Europe’s pivotal elections. In Hungary, Viktor Orbán, who had received a strong endorsement from Trump, was joined on the campaign trail by Vice President J.D. Vance. The display of U.S. strength did little to sway the tide, as Orbán was defeated by Péter Magyar in April, bringing an end to his consequential 16-year rule—and marking the loss of a key European ally for Trump.
但未来美国在欧洲的出现还会如此受欢迎吗?拉赫曼认为:“我认为,鉴于政府的混乱、动荡和无能,结论是MAGA和特朗普实际上是一种负担,如果存在任何联系,最好是秘密的,而不是公开的。”
But will the U.S. presence be so sought after in Europe moving forward? “I think the conclusion, given the chaos, the turbulence, and incompetence of the Administration, is actually that MAGA and Trump are a liability, and if there is any association, it is better to be covert, not overt,” argues Rahman.
与此同时,蒙顿表示,虽然特朗普政府与欧洲极右翼政党之间的公开合作可能会减少,但不太可能完全消失。
Meanwhile, Mondon says that while outward cooperation between the Trump Administration and far-right parties in Europe may diminish, it is unlikely to disappear entirely.
他说:“我认为他们不会与特朗普彻底划清界限之类的。但我认为他们会缓和美国与他们自己政党和国家之间的联系,至少目前是这样。”
"I don't think they will radically distance themselves from Trump or anything like this,” he says. “But I think they will cool down the kind of links between the U.S. and their own parties and countries, at least [for] the moment.”