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强劲就业数据助推12月加息押注 金价延续跌势Gold Holds Decline as US Jobs Data Fan December Rate Hike Bets

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在澳大利亚珀斯,珀斯铸币厂的炼金厂内摆放着金条。摄影师:Matt Jelonek/彭博社Gold bars arranged at the Perth Mint Refinery in Perth, Australia. Photographer: Matt Jelonek/Bloomberg

受强劲的美国就业数据强化美联储为抗击通胀将寻求加息的预期影响,金价延续了周末的跌势。

Gold held a late-week retreat after strong US jobs data reinforced expectations the Federal Reserve will seek to raise interest rates to combat inflation.

现货黄金交投于每盎司4070美元左右,周五下跌0.4%。美国10月就业岗位激增,失业率略有下降,显示出劳动力市场在经济扩张中的强劲势头。另一组数据显示,美国11月初消费者信心升至三个月高位。

Bullion was trading around $4,070 an ounce, after falling 0.4% on Friday. US job growth surged in October and the unemployment rate edged lower, signs of labor-market strength in an expanding economy. Separate data showed US consumer sentiment rose in early November to a three-month high.

在12月下次议息会议之前,美联储官员还将看到一份就业报告和一整套通胀数据,届时他们预计将加息,因为顽固的高能源价格正拖累物价。更紧缩的货币政策对不生息的黄金构成利空。

Fed officials will see one more jobs report and a full slate of inflation data before their next meeting in December, where they are expected to hike rates as stubbornly high energy prices weigh on prices. Tighter monetary policy is a headwind for gold, which doesn’t pay interest.

在美国中期选举后,黄金一度反弹至每盎司4000美元支撑位上方,因押注新当选的民主党人将推动结束伊朗战争、分裂政府将限制进一步支出和借贷,导致美债收益率和油价下跌。自2月下旬美伊冲突爆发以来,黄金仍下跌约五分之一。

The precious metal rebounded above the $4,000-an-ounce support threshold after the US midterm elections, as Treasury yields and oil fell on bets that incoming Democrats would push to end the Iran war and a divided government would limit further spending and borrowing. It’s still down about a fifth since the US-Iran conflict erupted in late February.

“黄金在中期选举后的过山车行情,让其两大相互竞争的力量变得清晰可见:避险吸引力依然完好,但美元继续紧紧压制其上行空间,”Vantage Global Prime市场分析师Hebe Chen表示。

“Gold’s post-midterm rollercoaster has brought its two competing forces into sharp focus: its safe-haven appeal remains intact, but the dollar continues to keep a tight lid on its upside,” said Hebe Chen, market analyst at Vantage Global Prime.

交易员将关注周二公布的月度消费者价格指数(CPI)数据,以寻找利率路径的下一步线索。“CPI报告将成为下一个战场,考验避险需求能否聚集足够火力突破美元主导的天花板,”Chen说。

Traders will look to monthly consumer price index data due Tuesday for the next clues on the path for interest rates. “The CPI report will be the next battleground, testing whether safe-haven demand can muster enough firepower to break through the dollar-driven ceiling,” Chen said.

新加坡时间上午7:35,现货黄金下滑0.1%至每盎司4065.58美元,白银下跌0.2%至每盎司51.81美元,铂金和钯金小幅上涨。彭博美元现货指数(衡量美元的指标)在前一交易日上涨0.4%。

Spot gold slipped 0.1% to $4,065.58 an ounce at 7:35 a.m. in Singapore, while silver fell 0.2% to $51.81. Platinum and palladium edged higher. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the US currency, rose 0.4% in the previous session.

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