民主党赢得国会两院多数席位，将阻挠特朗普1.5万亿美元国防预算，称其规模过大且与国内项目削减挂钩。
Democrats won both chambers and are set to block Trump’s US$1.5 trillion defence budget, saying it is too large and tied to cuts in domestic programmes.
该计划可能冲击特朗普的关键项目，包括“金穹顶”导弹盾和特朗普级战列舰，而国防承包商股价已下跌。
The plan could hit Trump’s key projects, including the Golden Dome missile shield and Trump-class battleships, while defence contractor shares have already fallen.
立法者面临12月11日的资金截止日期，但预算和国防法案陷入僵局，因民主党推动短期协议并削减战争资金。
Lawmakers face a December 11 funding deadline, but the budget and defence Bill are in limbo as Democrats push for a shorter-term deal and war funding cuts.
AI生成 华盛顿——共和党在中期选举中惨败，粉碎了国会批准唐纳德·特朗普总统前所未有的1.5万亿美元（1.92万亿新元）国防预算请求的任何残存希望，当时正值一场在中东进行的不得人心的战争。
AI generated WASHINGTON – Republicans’ midterm defeat is crushing any remaining hopes that Congress would approve President Donald Trump’s unprecedented US$1.5 trillion (S$1.92 trillion) defence budget request amid an unpopular war in the Middle East.
民主党于11月3日赢得国会两院稳固多数席位，此前已在很大程度上反对比上一财年增加44%的预算，现在发出信号称将阻挠任何推动该预算的努力。
Democrats, who won solid majorities of both chambers of Congress on Nov 3, were already largely opposed to the 44% increase from the previous fiscal year and are now signalling they will block any efforts to push it forward.
与此同时，在新国会于1月就职前的跛脚鸭会议期间返岗的共和党议员，可能无法凑齐支持或政治意愿，强行通过这项庞大的国防开支方案，尤其是在五角大楼对伊朗发动的不得人心的战争导致许多议员丢掉乌纱帽的情况下。
At the same time, Republican lawmakers returning to the lame-duck session before the new Congress is seated in January may not be able to muster the support or political will to ram through the massive defence spending package, especially amid the Pentagon’s unpopular war against Iran that cost many of them their jobs.
“我们必须推动制定一种更现实、更可持续的国家安全方针——一种不需要超过1万亿美元的国防预算、也不以严苛削减关键国内项目为代价的方针，”华盛顿州众议员亚当·史密斯在选后发表的声明中表示，他将出任众议院军事委员会主席。
“We must push for the development of a more realistic and sustainable approach to our national security – one that does not require a defence budget in excess of US$1 trillion or one paid for with draconian cuts to critical domestic programmes,” representative Adam Smith of Washington, the incoming chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, said in a statement after the election.
民主党的抵制可能危及特朗普一些最引人注目的国防雄心，包括“金穹顶”导弹防御盾和其“特朗普级”战列舰计划，并给国防承包商带来不利前景——其中一些企业还面临国会就其涉嫌与特朗普政府存在利益冲突进行审查的前景。
The Democratic resistance risks imperilling some of Trump’s splashiest defence ambitions, including the Golden Dome missile shield and his Trump-class battleship plan, and bodes poorly for defence contractors – some of which also face the prospect of congressional scrutiny over alleged conflicts of interest with the Trump administration.
本周，包括洛克希德·马丁公司和诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司在内的主要承包商股价下跌，因为中期选举结果削弱了美国军费将大幅增加的预期。
Shares of major contractors, including Lockheed Martin Corp and Northrop Grumman Corp, fell this week as the midterm results eroded expectations of a ramp-up in US military spending.
11月9日返回华盛顿的议员们将不得不应对年度国防授权法案和2027财年支出计划——2027财年于10月1日开始，目前依靠一项于12月11日到期的临时拨款维持运转。这两项措施目前均陷入僵局。
Lawmakers returning to Washington on Nov 9 are going to have to grapple with the annual defence policy Bill and a spending plan for fiscal year 2027 – which began on Oct 1 under stopgap funding that runs out on Dec 11. Both those measures are now in limbo.
国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯为特朗普提出的2027财年大幅增加的预算请求辩护称，这些资金将启动急需的国防现代化工作，因为自主系统正在改变现代战争。
Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth justified Trump’s steep fiscal 2027 budget request by arguing the funds would kickstart badly needed defence modernisation efforts as autonomous systems change modern warfare.
但涨幅之大——加上国内开支削减、伊朗战争成本不断上升以及“特朗普级”战列舰等昂贵项目——令包括共和党人在内的议员们感到不满。
But the sheer size of the increase – combined with domestic spending cuts, the growing costs of the Iran war and expensive projects like the Trump-class battleships – grated on lawmakers, including Republicans.
而在跛脚鸭会议期间，新近壮大声势的民主党人极有可能比共和党人捍卫这些大规模国防开支计划更有动力去扼杀它们。
And newly emboldened Democrats are likely to be far more motivated to kill off these massive defence spending plans than Republicans are to defend them in the lame-duck session.
据一位知情人士透露，双方在国防预算上分歧巨大，民主党人可能只会批准约1万亿美元的数字。
Both sides are far apart on the defence budget and Democrats are likely to only approve a figure around US$1 trillion, according to a person familiar with the planning.
该人士表示，民主党人急于避免被视为批准继续为对伊朗战争提供资金，但仍希望给予五角大楼真正用于现代化工作所需的资金；该人士因未获授权公开发言而拒绝透露姓名。而本应推动立法通过的政府官员已在国会山失去人望。
Democrats are anxious not to be seen approving continued funding for the war against Iran but still want to give the Pentagon what it genuinely needs for modernisation efforts, the person said, declining to be named because they weren’t authorised to speak publicly. And the administration official who is supposed to shepherd the legislation to passage is already on the outs on Capitol Hill.
预计最早本周将就弹劾赫格塞斯进行投票，因为要求解职他的呼声日益高涨。大多数分析人士根本不指望五角大楼能获得其全部预算请求。
A vote to impeach Hegseth is expected as early as this week as calls for his dismissal grow. Most analysts simply do not expect the Pentagon to secure its full request.
战略与预算评估中心的特拉维斯·夏普在11月4日发布的一份报告中写道：“国会最终通过的预算很可能无法达到特朗普政府的雄心。”
“The budget ultimately passed by Congress will likely fall short of the Trump administration’s ambitions,” Travis Sharp with the Centre for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments wrote in a paper published Nov 4.
美国企业研究院的国防预算分析师托德·哈里森表示：“国防授权法案的通过‘五五开’，而民主党人试图限制总统战权并针对赫格塞斯采取行动‘可能会让整个进程脱轨’。”
The defence policy Bill’s passage “is a coin toss” and Democrats moving to restrict the president’s war powers and target Hegseth “could derail the whole process,” Todd Harrison, a defence budget analyst with the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said.
一些民主党人因享有新的筹码，表示他们应在2026年底前通过另一项权宜拨款法案，将长期法案推给下一届国会——届时他们可利用对两院的控制权，依据自身优先事项塑造下一组拨款法案。
Some Democrats, enjoying their new leverage, say they should pass another stopgap measure before the end of 2026r and punt long-term Bills to the next Congress – where they can use their control of the chambers to shape the next set of funding Bills with their priorities in mind.
马里兰州民主党籍众议员、拨款委员会成员格伦·艾维在彭博电视台表示：“既然我们拥有这种多数优势，我不认为我们需要长期法案。我更倾向于短期修补。”
“Now that we have these kinds of majorities, I don’t know that we need a long-term Bill,” representative Glenn Ivey, a Maryland Democrat on the appropriations panel, said on Bloomberg TV. “I’d be leaning more towards a short-term fix.”
民主党的筹码 参议院军事委员会资深成员、弗吉尼亚州民主党参议员蒂姆·凯恩表示，中期选举结果让民主党在年度国防授权法案的谈判中处于更有利地位。
Democratic leverage The midterm results give Democrats a stronger position in the negotiations over that annual defence authorisation Bill, said Senator Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat and senior member of the Senate Armed Services Committee.
特朗普发动的对伊朗不得人心的战争——副总统J.D.万斯将选举失利归咎于此——不仅使五角大楼拨款复杂化，也使国防授权法案复杂化。
Trump’s unpopular war against Iran – which Vice-President J.D. Vance blamed for the election loss – complicates not just Pentagon funding but also the defence authorisation Bill.
史密斯告诉《新共和》杂志，削减战争经费将是“我们要做的首批事情之一”。包括赫格塞斯及其副手史蒂夫·费因伯格在内的五角大楼官员在大选前加强了与国会的接触，为1.5万亿美元的请求辩护。
Smith told the New Republic cutting war funding will be “one of the first things we do.”Pentagon officials, including Hegseth and his deputy Steve Feinberg, intensified outreach to Congress before the election to make the case for the US$1.5 trillion request.
棘手的是，这笔款项中3500亿美元原本设想作为党籍投票通过的法案一部分，置于常规预算流程之外。
The wrinkle is that US$350 billion of that sum was envisioned as part of a party-line package outside the regular budgeting process.
国防部“必须获得资金以应对当前时刻”，赫格塞思在11月5日发布于X平台的一段视频中表示，他在视频中主要为自己针对弹劾推动进行辩护。“我们需要每一位爱国国会议员的投票。”但这现在看来注定无望。参议院民主党人已经反对年度国防授权法案。
The Defence Department “must be funded to meet the moment right now,” Hegseth said in a video posted on X Nov 5, in which he largely defended himself against the impeachment push. “We need every vote from every patriotic member of Congress.”But that now looks doomed. Senate Democrats already opposed the annual defence authorisation Bill.
而几位被认为处于安全选区的众议院共和党议员落选，将使得在民主党接管众议院之前，难以获得通过党派路线法案所需的近乎完美的出席率。彭博社
And the loss of several House Republicans presumed to be in safe seats will make it difficult to get the near-perfect attendance needed to pass a party-line Bill before Democrats take over. BLOOMBERG