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美国股市展望:AI股抛售、Anthropic上市和英伟达财报令投资者保持警惕US stock market outlook: AI sell-off, Anthropic IPO and Nvidia earnings keep investors on alert

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美国股市仍然严重依赖科技股。尽管近期人工智能(AI)股票下跌,但美国股市预计仍将在很大程度上取决于科技股的表现。投资者正在关注未来几周可能影响该板块乃至更广泛市场的潜在动向。科技股和AI相关股票已持续下跌近一个月。据路透社报道,本周跌势达到一个重要节点,标普500科技板块创下六年多来最大单日跌幅。

US stock market remains heavily dependent on technology shares. Despite the recent fall in artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, the US stock market is still expected to depend heavily on how technology shares perform. Investors are watching for possible developments that could affect the sector and the wider market in the coming weeks. Technology and AI-related stocks have been falling for nearly a month. The decline reached a major point this week when the S&P 500 technology sector recorded its biggest single-day fall in more than six years, according to Reuters.

投资者担心,民主党在美国中期选举中获胜可能会放缓数据中心的支出。这些设施对运行AI系统至关重要,并在推动股市近期上涨方面发挥了重要作用。即便经历了近期下跌,科技板块仍然是标普500指数中最大的板块。该指数追踪美国主要上市公司表现。截至周四收盘,科技板块占该指数比重超过35%,尽管其份额已略有下降。

Investors are worried that Democratic victories in the US midterm elections could slow down spending on data centres. These facilities are important for running AI systems and have played a major role in driving the stock market's recent rally. Even after the recent fall, technology continues to be the largest sector in the S&P 500, which tracks the performance of major US-listed companies. The sector accounted for more than 35% of the index as of Thursday's market close, although its share has declined slightly.

由于科技板块很大一部分与AI相关,AI相关股票的下跌可能影响整个板块。这也可能给标普500指数带来压力,因为科技股在该指数中权重如此之大。达科塔财富管理公司高级投资组合经理罗伯特·帕夫利克表示,AI股票的疲软可能拖累科技股,进而拖累标普500指数。科技板块占标普500总市值的比重仍高于2000年互联网股票泡沫顶峰时录得的水平。

Since a large part of the technology sector is linked to AI, a fall in AI-related shares can affect the entire sector. This can also put pressure on the S&P 500 because technology stocks have such a large weight in the index. Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management, said weakness in AI stocks could drag down technology shares and, in turn, the S&P 500. The technology sector's share of the S&P 500's total market value is still higher than the level recorded during the peak of the internet stock bubble in 2000.

这表明科技公司在美国股市中已获得多大的影响力。AI的影响并不局限于被正式归类为科技板块的公司。大型云和互联网公司也在大举支出建设数据中心。

This shows how much influence technology companies have gained in the US stock market. The impact of AI is not limited to companies officially classified under the technology sector. Major cloud and internet companies are also spending heavily on building data centres.

字母表、亚马逊和Meta平台就是三家这样的公司,但它们被归入标普500指数的其他板块。科技板块在股市中占据较大份额,主要是2022年10月美国牛市开启以来强劲上涨的结果。尽管近期出现抛售,科技股在此期间仍上涨超过200%,几乎是标普500指数整体涨幅的两倍。一些受益于人工智能热潮的公司尽管近期有所下跌,仍录得大幅上涨。

Alphabet, Amazon and Meta Platforms are three such companies, but they are classified under other sectors of the S&P 500. The sector's large share of the stock market is mainly the result of strong gains during the US bull market that began in October 2022. Despite the recent sell-off, technology stocks have gained more than 200% during this period, almost twice the S&P 500's overall gain. Some companies that benefited from the AI boom have continued to record large gains despite their recent losses.

闪迪:其股价在2026年仍上涨约250%。戴尔科技:其股价最新上涨约160%。美光科技:其股价上涨约140%。美国股市周五收复了部分失地。经过这轮反弹,标普500指数今年以来上涨近8%,而科技板块上涨约11%。Horizon Investment Services首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示,希望锁定利润的投资者仍有获利空间可以兑现。

Sandisk: Its shares remained up around 250% in 2026. Dell Technologies: Its shares were last up around 160%.Micron Technology: Its shares had gained around 140%.US stocks recovered some of their losses on Friday. After this recovery, the S&P 500 was up nearly 8% for the year, while the technology sector had gained around 11%. Chuck Carlson, CEO of Horizon Investment Services, said investors looking to book profits still had gains available to take from their investments.

抛售之后科技股估值变得更便宜近期的下跌也使科技股基于预期未来盈利的估值显得不那么昂贵。根据LSEG Datastream的数据,截至周四,科技板块的预期市盈率降至17.1。该比率在2025年10月曾攀升至32以上。更广泛的标普500指数的预期市盈率为17.9。本周是2017年以来科技板块市盈率首次跌破大盘市盈率。估值下降可能意味着投资者已经消化了科技股面临的几项风险。

Technology stock valuations become cheaper after the sell-offThe recent fall has also made technology stocks appear less expensive based on their expected future earnings. The technology sector's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio fell to 17.1 as of Thursday, according to LSEG Datastream. The ratio had climbed above 32 in October 2025. The forward P/E ratio of the wider S&P 500 stood at 17.9. This week marked the first time since 2017 that the technology sector's P/E ratio had fallen below that of the broader market. Lower valuations could mean that investors have already factored in several risks facing technology stocks.

Truist Advisory Services首席投资官基思·勒纳表示,市场可能已经消化了大量坏消息。勒纳表示,市场可能正走向这样一种局面:哪怕只有一点好消息,也可能对股票产生强烈的正面影响。

Keith Lerner, chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services, said the market may already be pricing in a lot of bad news. Lerner said that the market could be moving towards a situation where even a little good news could have a strong positive impact on stocks.

因此,投资者正在关注几项即将出现的事态发展,这些发展可能决定人工智能交易是复苏还是面临进一步亏损。投资者正在关注的三项重大事态发展人工智能公司Anthropic计划进行的首次公开募股(IPO)是投资者正在关注的重大事态发展之一。该公司如何推进其股票上市,可能影响外界对整个AI行业的信心。路透社周四报道,一些潜在投资者质疑Anthropic能否在下周推进其IPO路演,并仍按计划在11月上市。

Investors are therefore watching several upcoming developments that could decide whether the AI trade recovers or faces further losses. Three major developments investors are watchingThe planned initial public offering (IPO) of AI company Anthropic is one of the major developments investors are watching. How the company moves ahead with its stock market listing could affect confidence in the wider AI industry. Reuters reported on Thursday that some potential investors were questioning whether Anthropic could go ahead with its IPO roadshow next week and remain on track for a November listing.

这些担忧部分与科技股大幅下跌有关。投资者将关注该公司能否在近期市场下跌的情况下吸引足够兴趣。其IPO计划的任何延迟或变化,都可能影响投资者如何看待AI公司的需求及其未来增长。云计算公司CoreWeave定于周二公布业绩。该公司正处于外界担忧的中心,即建设AI基础设施所需的大规模支出将如何融资。其业绩可能让投资者进一步了解AI相关投资的财务实力和可持续性。

These concerns are partly linked to the sharp fall in technology stocks. Investors will be watching whether the company can attract enough interest despite the recent market decline. Any delay or change in its IPO plans could affect how investors view the demand for AI companies and their future growth. Cloud computing company CoreWeave is scheduled to report its results on Tuesday. The company is at the centre of concerns about how the massive spending needed to build AI infrastructure will be financed. Its results could give investors more information about the financial strength and sustainability of AI-related investments.

英伟达是受益于AI热潮的最大公司之一,定于11月17日公布业绩。投资者将仔细审视其盈利和业务前景,以寻找AI芯片需求是否依然强劲的迹象。其业绩可能影响整个AI和科技行业的信心。戴尔科技定于11月24日公布业绩。由于该公司受益于与AI基础设施相关的需求,投资者将关注其表现,以寻找有关AI相关技术支出的更多迹象。

Nvidia, one of the biggest companies benefiting from the AI boom, is scheduled to announce its results on November 17. Investors will closely examine its earnings and business outlook for signs of whether demand for AI chips remains strong. Its results could influence confidence across the wider AI and technology sectors. Dell Technologies is scheduled to report its results on November 24. Since the company has benefited from demand linked to AI infrastructure, investors will watch its performance for further signs about spending on AI-related technology.

伊朗冲突、通胀和利率可能影响市场除了科技公司财报和IPO进展,投资者还在关注涉及美国、以色列和伊朗的冲突。

Iran conflict, inflation and interest rates could affect the marketApart from technology earnings and IPO developments, investors are also watching the conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran.

任何重大进展都可能影响更广泛的股市,尤其是通过油价变化和投资者信心产生影响。本周油价下跌,原因是投资者预期中期选举后国会控制权的变化可能有助于结束这场冲突。油价下跌也支撑了股市。尽管近期油价下跌,但投资者担心,中期选举结束后紧张局势可能加剧。任何升级都可能给金融市场带来新的不确定性。

Any major development could affect the wider stock market, particularly through changes in oil prices and investor confidence. Oil prices fell this week as investors expected that the change in control of Congress following the midterm elections could help bring the conflict to an end. The decline in oil prices also supported the stock market. Despite the recent fall in oil prices, investors are concerned that tensions could increase now that the midterm elections are over. Any escalation could create fresh uncertainty for financial markets.

美联储可能在未来几个月加息以控制通胀。利率上升会使借贷成本更高,并给公司增长和股票估值带来压力。即将公布的消费者价格指数(CPI)报告将为投资者提供有关美国通胀的新信息。这些数据可能影响人们对美联储下一步利率决定的预期,并决定未来几周市场的反应。尽管近期人工智能板块遭遇抛售,科技公司仍占标普500指数的很大份额。

The Federal Reserve may raise rates in the coming months to control inflation. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive and put pressure on company growth and stock valuations. The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will provide investors with fresh information about inflation in the US. The figures could influence expectations about the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decisions and determine how markets respond in the coming weeks. Despite the recent AI sell-off, technology companies continue to account for a major share of the S&P 500.

投资者现在将关注Anthropic的IPO计划、CoreWeave和英伟达的财报、戴尔的业绩、通胀数据以及涉及伊朗的事态发展。这些因素可能决定科技股是反弹还是面临进一步压力,而更广泛的美国股市很可能受到影响。

Investors will now watch Anthropic's IPO plans, CoreWeave's and Nvidia's earnings, Dell's results, inflation data and developments involving Iran. These factors could determine whether technology stocks recover or face further pressure, with the wider US stock market likely to feel the impact.

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