
美国消费者10月在三个时间范围内的通胀预期均保持不变,而对就业市场的展望则参差不齐,纽约联邦储备银行周一报告称。
US consumers’ inflation expectations remained unchanged across all three time horizons in October, while their labor market outlook was mixed, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported Monday.
根据该银行最新的《消费者预期调查》,未来一年的中位数通胀预期维持在3.9%,三年和五年的预期分别维持在3.3%和3.0%。
Median inflation expectations for one year ahead held at 3.9%, while the three-year and five-year outlooks remained at 3.3% and 3.0%, respectively, according to the bank’s latest Survey of Consumer Expectations.
该调查涵盖约1300户家庭户主,显示房价增长预期也保持不变,为3.0%。
The survey, which covers approximately 1,300 household heads, showed expectations for home price growth were also unchanged at 3.0%.
未来12个月汽油价格增长预期下降0.6个百分点,至4.2%,而食品价格上涨预期保持稳定,为5.5%。
Expected gasoline price growth over the next 12 months declined by 0.6 percentage points to 4.2%, while expectations for food price increases held steady at 5.5%.
然而,消费者预计其他主要开支将出现更大幅度上涨。预期医疗费用增长上升0.1个百分点,至9.3%,大学教育费用预期上升同样幅度,至7.6%。预期租金上涨上升0.9个百分点,至7.7%。
However, consumers anticipated steeper increases in other major expenses. Expected medical care cost growth edged up 0.1 percentage points to 9.3%, while expectations for college education costs rose by the same margin to 7.6%. Expected rent increases climbed 0.9 percentage points to 7.7%.
与此同时,就业市场情绪参差不齐:消费者对失业和失业的担忧增加,即使他们对找到新工作的机会的看法有所改善。
Meanwhile, labor market sentiment was mixed: consumers became more concerned about unemployment and job loss,even as their perceived chances of finding a new job improved.
美国人认为一年后美国失业率会上升的平均概率上升1.4个百分点,至45.3%,达到自2020年4月以来的最高水平。
The average perceived probability that the US unemployment rate would be higher one year from now rose 1.4 percentage points to 45.3%, reaching its highest reading since April 2020.
认为未来一年内可能失去工作的可能性上升0.4个百分点,至13.9%。然而,如果失去当前工作,找到另一份工作的概率也上升0.4个百分点,至46.5%,达到自2025年11月以来的最高水平。
The perceived likelihood of losing one's job over the next year increased 0.4 percentage points to 13.9%. However, the probability of finding another job if a current position were lost also rose 0.4 percentage points to 46.5%, the highest level since November 2025.
预期家庭收入增长放缓0.1个百分点,至3.0%,而预期支出增长下降0.2个百分点,至5.3%。
Expected household income growth eased 0.1 percentage points to 3.0%, while anticipated spending growth declined 0.2 percentage points to 5.3%.
美国消费者价格9月环比上涨0.6%,同比上涨3.7%。10月通胀数据将于周二公布。
US consumer prices rose 0.6% month-on-month and 3.7% year-on-year in September. October inflation figures are scheduled for release on Tuesday.