总统唐纳德·特朗普在白宫会见作为交战双方主要调解人的卡塔尔首相后表示，他热切希望与伊朗展开外交并结束战争。
President Donald Trump indicated he’s keen to pursue diplomacy with Iran and wind down the war following a White House meeting with the prime minister of Qatar, the main mediator between the warring sides.
特朗普周一在与谢赫·穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼会谈后表示，对伊朗的进一步打击将不是必要的，尽管美国依然“箭在弦上”。特朗普说：“从军事上讲，伊朗实际上已经结束了。我们只是在维持现状，而且我们这样做确实是在其邻国的请求下进行的。”这些言论反映了自11月3日中期选举以来华盛顿的变化。特朗普所在的共和党内的许多成员将这场战争以及由此引发的能源价格飙升，归咎于他们在国会两院的失利，从而使民主党夺取了控制权。
Further strikes on Iran won’t be necessary, though the US remains “locked and loaded,” Trump said on Monday after talks with Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani. “Iran, militarily, is effectively over. We’re just keeping it at the status quo, and we’re doing that really at the behest of countries that are their neighbors.”The comments reflect the change in Washington since the Nov. 3 midterm elections. Many members of Trump’s Republican party blamed the war and resulting surge in energy prices for their loss of both houses of Congress to the Democrats.
谢赫·穆罕默德感谢了特朗普和副总统万德斯——后者曾表示这场冲突是共和党惨败的主要原因，并表示他“感谢就达成协议和为该地区带来和平进行的积极讨论”。据一位熟悉内情的人士透露，伊朗和美国之间的谈判将继续进行，在此期间不太可能发生任何军事升级。这位因讨论敏感事务而拒绝透露姓名的知情人士说，在与卡塔尔首相的会晤中，美国表示，维持外交现状并对伊朗施加经济压力是解决冲突的最佳途径。
Sheikh Mohammed thanked Trump and Vice President JD Vance — who said the conflict was the primary reason for the Republicans’ rout — and said he was “grateful for the positive discussions on reaching a deal and bringing peace to the region.”Negotiations between Iran and the US will carry on and there likely won’t be any military escalation while they do, according to an official familiar with the matter. In the meeting with the Qatari prime minister, the US signaled that maintaining the status quo of diplomacy and applying economic pressure on Iran was the best way to resolve the conflict, said the person, who declined to be named discussing sensitive matters.
特朗普和谢赫·穆罕默德的这些言论建立在过去几天美国和伊朗更接近达成外交突破的迹象之上。
The comments from Trump and Sheikh Mohammed built on signs over recent days that the US and Iran are closer to a diplomatic breakthrough.
油价今年虽然仍上涨了50%，但在中期选举后大幅下跌，布伦特原油目前远低于每桶100美元。周二早盘交易中，油价又下跌了1.6%，至91.10美元，创下自8月以来的收盘新低。
Oil prices, while still up 50% this year, are down heavily since the midterms, with Brent crude now well below $100 a barrel. It fell another 1.6% in early trading on Tuesday to $91.10, its lowest on a closing basis since August.
欧亚集团分析师格雷戈里·布鲁和克莱顿·艾伦等人在周一晚间的一份致客户备忘录中写道：“局势升级的政治窗口已经关闭。”他们将此类结果发生的几率从60%下调至30%。这一调整是“基于上周的中期选举后特朗普面临的政治制约不断增加，以及政府内部和共和党人对又一轮全面敌对行动的反对声音日益高涨”的证据。
“The political window for escalation has closed,” Eurasia Group analysts including Gregory Brew and Clayton Allen said in a note to clients late Monday, lowering their odds of such an outcome to 30% from 60%. That’s “based on evidence of increasing political constraints on Trump following last week’s midterm elections and the mounting opposition from inside the administration and the Republicans” to another round of all-out hostilities.
伊朗与美国达成协议仍面临诸多障碍，双方在关键问题上都几乎没有表现出妥协的意愿。
There are still plenty of obstacles to an accord between Iran and the US, with both showing little willingness to concede on key points.
德黑兰要求美国解除对波斯湾港口的海上封锁并取消制裁，作为和平谈判的前提条件。华盛顿则施压伊朗立即停止攻击霍尔木兹海峡的船只，并就其核计划作出让步。
Tehran wants the US to lift a naval blockade of its Persian Gulf ports and drop sanctions as preconditions for peace talks. Washington is pressing Iran to immediately cease attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz and make concessions regarding its nuclear program.
谈判可能会持续数周甚至更久，并且双方都有可能选择重新诉诸大规模打击。
Talks may drag on for weeks, if not longer, with the risk of either side opting to revert to mass strikes.
自上周初以来，美国已两次对伊朗的格什姆岛发动有限打击，并称这些打击具有防御性质，旨在帮助能源油轮和其他船只安全通过霍尔木兹海峡。
The US has twice launched limited strikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island since early last week, saying they were defensive in nature and designed to help energy tankers and other vessels get through the Hormuz strait safely.
伊朗继续用无人机和导弹袭击通过该海峡的船只，平均每周击中数艘。伊朗伊斯兰共和国广播电视台周二报道称，该水道南部的“敌方助航系统”已被摧毁，但未说明事件发生的时间。
Iran continues to assault ships going through the strait with drones and missiles, hitting several each week on average. Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting reported on Tuesday that “enemy navigation aid systems” in the southern part of the waterway had been destroyed, without saying when the incident happened.
华盛顿与德黑兰在6月中旬达成了一项所谓的谅解备忘录，其中包括停火以及谈判达成最终和平协议的承诺。该备忘录在大约两周后破裂，随后伊朗恢复了对霍尔木兹海峡周边船只的袭击，并指责美国拒绝按原定计划迅速放松制裁和解冻伊朗资产。
Washington and Tehran agreed on a so-called memorandum of understanding in mid-June that included a ceasefire and a pledge to negotiate a final peace deal. It broke down after about two weeks, with Iran restarting attacks on vessels around Hormuz and accusing the US of refusing to ease sanctions and unfreeze Iranian assets as quickly as it was meant to.
特朗普周一的语气与国务卿马可·鲁比奥就在一天前的表态形成了对比。这位美国最高外交官对记者表示，没有什么进展可报告，双方也并未接近取得突破。
Trump’s tone on Monday contrasted with that of Secretary of State Marco Rubio just a day earlier. The US’s chief diplomat told reporters there was no progress to report and the two sides weren’t on the verge of a breakthrough.
鲁比奥周日表示：“目前这并不是很有成效，因为伊朗的要求不仅完全不可接受，在某些情况下甚至是无理且荒谬的，而且确实不切实际。”
“Right now it hasn’t been very productive, because the Iranian demands are simply not just unacceptable but, in some cases, outrageous and ridiculous and really not realistic,” Rubio said on Sunday.
此外，特朗普尚未决定将美军撤出该地区。《华尔街日报》周六报道称，五角大楼在10月初下令向中东增派第三艘航空母舰“西奥多·罗斯福”号，尽管它大概还需要至少两周时间才能抵达。
Trump, moreover, hasn’t decided to pull US forces back from the region. The Pentagon ordered a third aircraft carrier, the USS Theodore Roosevelt, to the Middle East in early October, though it probably won’t arrive for at least another two weeks, the Wall Street Journal reported on Saturday.
总统将他最新的方法很大程度上描述为对包括阿拉伯联合酋长国、巴林和沙特阿拉伯在内的美国阿拉伯盟友的妥协。在2月28日至4月初达成停火期间的第一阶段战争中，他们以及卡塔尔、科威特、约旦、阿曼和伊拉克受到了数千架伊朗无人机和导弹的袭击。
The president framed his latest approach largely as a concession to US Arab allies including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. They, as well as Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Oman and Iraq, were attacked by thousands of Iranian drones and missiles during the first phase of the war between Feb. 28 and a truce in early April.
自那以后，许多国家多次遭到伊朗或德黑兰支持的也门和伊拉克民兵的打击。
Many of them have been struck several times since then by Iran or Tehran-backed militias in Yemen and Iraq.
胡塞武装总部设在也门，是伊朗反美和反以色列“抵抗之弧”的一部分，该组织正每天向沙特阿拉伯开火。
The Houthis, based in Yemen and part of Iran’s anti-US and anti-Israel “axis of resistance,” are firing upon Saudi Arabia daily.
据沙特官方的沙特通讯社援引一名未具名的能源部官员报道，该国的东西向输油管道周一体马地那地区成为袭击目标，这条管道将巨型油田的原油输送至红海港口延布，袭击引发了一场小型火灾并已被扑灭。沙特通讯社称，袭击未造成人员伤亡。
The kingdom’s East-West pipeline, which takes oil from its massive fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, was targeted Monday in the Medina region, causing a limited fire that was extinguished, the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported, citing an unidentified energy ministry official. There were no casualties, SPA said.
这条管道为沙特提供了一种在大多数石油出口时绕过霍尔木兹海峡的途径，它在9月份曾因一次袭击而部分关闭，沙特将该袭击归咎于伊拉克境内的民兵。
The pipeline — which provides the Saudis a way to bypass Hormuz for most oil exports — was shut for part of September after an attack the kingdom blamed on Iraq-based militias.
美国和以色列通过轰炸伊朗并杀死其最高领袖拉开了战争的序幕，称此举对于阻止伊斯兰共和国获得核武器是必要的。德黑兰的领导人一直否认他们有此意图，尽管他们将铀浓缩到了远超核电站所需水平的程度。
The US and Israel began the war by bombing Iran and killing its supreme leader, saying it was necessary to stop the Islamic Republic getting a nuclear weapon. Tehran’s leaders have always denied they want to do that, though they enriched uranium far beyond the levels needed for nuclear power plants.
特朗普与以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡还大肆谈论了伊朗发生政权更迭的可能性。特朗普曾承诺在四周到六周内结束敌对行动，并对伊斯兰共和国的韧性及其通过反击在整个地区制造混淆的能力感到沮丧。
Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also talked up the possibility of regime change in Iran. Trump pledged to wrap up hostilities withing four to six weeks and has been frustrated by the Islamic Republic’s resilience, as well as its ability to create havoc across the region with counterattacks.
这位总统承认，这场战争在上一周的选举中对他和他的政党造成了损害，但他坚称自己别无选择，因为伊朗当时已接近获得原子弹。
The president acknowledged the war hurt him and his party in last week’s elections, but insisted he had little choice as Iran was close to getting an atomic bomb.
华盛顿与德黑兰之间全面冲突的任何恢复都可能推高石油和能源价格，并导致伊朗对其邻国发起新一轮袭击，从而进一步损害这些国家的经济。
Any resumption of all-out conflict between Washington and Tehran would likely push up oil and energy prices, and lead to fresh assaults by Iran on its neighbors, further damaging their economies.