民主党人将带着广泛的授权气势汹汹地进入1月——但正如总统特朗普多次指出的那样，他的否决权可以为对手的议程制造强大的障碍。
Democrats will charge into January with a sweeping mandate — but as President Trump has repeatedly noted, his veto power can deliver a robust roadblock to his opponents' agenda.
为什么重要：民主党人可能被迫妥协，以使立法优先事项得以通过。特朗普将不得不决定他将多频繁地使用这项权力——以及他是否会否决那些在美国人中很受欢迎的法案。
Why it matters: Democrats may be forced to compromise to get legislative priorities through. Trump will have to decide how frequently he'll use the power — and whether he'll strike down bills popular among Americans.
现状：根据美联社的预测，民主党人在即将到来的参议院中已经确保了54个席位，并且在密西西比州和阿拉斯加州两场尚未得出结果的胶着竞选处于领先地位。
State of play: Democrats have secured 54 seats in the upcoming Senate, per the AP's projections and are leading in two tight races in Mississippi and Alaska that have yet to be called.
- 根据美联社的数据，在众议院，他们已经赢得了254席，还有几个选举结果尚未揭晓。
• In the House, they've won 254, per AP, with several race calls still to come.
- 无论是哪个多数派，其规模都不足以达到民主党人单方面推翻总统否决权所需的三分之二门槛。
• Neither majority will be large enough to cross the two-thirds threshold Democrats would need to override a presidential veto on their own.
摩擦点：特朗普深知这一点——并已暗示他计划大量使用这项权力来阻挠民主党人的进展。
Friction point: Trump knows that — and has teased his plans to impede Democrats' progress by using the power liberally.
- 周二晚间，随着选举结果出炉，特朗普发布了一张红色MAGA风格帽子的图片，上面用全大写字母写着“VETO”（否决）。周四的一次仪式上，坚毅桌上摆放了一顶类似的帽子。
• On Tuesday night, as election results rolled in, Trump posted an image of a red MAGA-esque hat that read "VETO" in all caps. A similar hat was displayed on the Resolute Desk during a Thursdayg ceremony.
- 当在福克斯新闻上被问及他将如何与民主党国会合作时，特朗普指向了否决权：“他们掌控着，但他们其实并没有掌控，因为他们可以送来，你知道的，50个他们都兴奋不已的不同优秀法案，而我用一个漂亮的印章把它们退回去，写着‘否决’。”
• Asked on Fox News how he'd work with a Democratic Congress, Trump pointed to the veto: "They're in control, but they're really not in control because they can send over, you know, 50 different great bills that they're all excited about and I send them back with a nice stamp, veto."
- 白宫女发言人劳伦·比斯在提供给《Axios》的一份声明中表示，特朗普“愿意与任何人合作，继续为辛勤工作的美国人赢得胜利”。
• White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis said in a statement provided to Axios that Trump is "willing to work with anyone to continue delivering victories for hardworking Americans."
- 她补充说：“如果民主党人选择奉行激进的左翼政策，他们就是在选择与美国人民作对。”
• She added, "If Democrats choose to pursue radical left policies, they are choosing to work against the American people."
值得注意的是：在特朗普的第一任期内，跨党派议员在2021年的《国防授权法案》上获得了足够的支持，从而推翻了特朗普的否决。
Worth noting: Lawmakers secured enough support to override a Trump veto across party lines during his first term on the National Defense Authorization Act in 2021.
然而：虽然特朗普可以使用否决威胁迫使议员进行谈判或完全阻止立法，但否决广受欢迎的举措可能会有利于民主党人2028年的宣传。届时，他们可能会在政府三个分支中同时占据多数，从而能够以极少的干预实施他们的议程。
Yes, but: While Trump could use veto threats to force lawmakers to negotiate or to halt legislation altogether, vetoing popular measures could benefit Democrats' messaging for 2028, when a potential trifecta in all three branches of government would let them enact their agenda with little interference.
- 针对特朗普“VETO”帽子的照片，参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦（民主党-马萨诸塞州）周四写道：“如果唐纳德·特朗普想当否决先生，我们来试试看。国会中的新民主党多数派应该通过法案，让生活更加入民负担得起、让我们的政府更少腐败。”
• Responding to an image of Trump's "VETO" hat Thursday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) wrote, "If Donald Trump wants to be Mr. Veto, let's test that out. The new Democratic majority in Congress should pass bills to make life more affordable and our government less corrupt."
- 但坦帕大学副教授乔纳森·卢瓦伦表示，这样做仍然需要在国会山建立联盟。他一直研究政策议程设置和否决威胁。
• But doing so will still require coalition-building on the Hill, says Jonathan Lewallen, an associate professor at the University of Tampa who has studied policy agenda-setting and veto threats.
- 他强调了特朗普在其政府前半期已经威胁过否决、而民主党人已誓言要解决的两个关键议题领域：国防政策和消费者保护。
• He highlights two key issue areas where Trump has already threatened vetoes in the first half of his administration that Democrats have pledged to tackle: defense policy and consumer protection.
卢瓦伦说：“在未来两年里的某个时刻，特朗普可能仍在发布大量的否决威胁，甚至可能偶尔否决法案，这作为一种策略就会变得没那么有效。”
"There may come a point in the next two years where Trump is still issuing lots of veto threats and potentially even vetoing the occasional bill, and it just becomes less effective as a strategy," Lewallen says.
- 这意味着，对于他们不同意的立法，政府可能会转而使用另一种策略：在特朗普不签字的情况下，悄悄让其在10天后自动成为法律。
• That means the administration might instead use another tactic with legislation they disagree with: quietly letting them become law automatically after 10 days without Trump's signature. The bottom line:
底线：从国会山扭转特朗普的议程预计不会一帆风顺。
Reversing Trump's agenda from Capitol Hill isn't expected to be smooth sailing.
- 但重新夺回两院控制权不仅仅是为了通过法案，预计民主党主导的调查、听证会和传票即将到来。
• But winning back control of both chambers isn't just about passing bills, with Dem-led investigations, hearings and subpoenas expected on the horizon.