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中期选举失利后,特朗普的混杂信号转为加倍强硬Trump’s mixed signals give way to a doubling down after midterms defeat

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特朗普总统在应对共和党在中期选举中遭遇的惨败时,发出了相互矛盾的信号。但一两天的模糊态度似乎正让位于他一贯的、极具攻击性的做法的加倍强化。特朗普在周日播出的CBS《60分钟》节目采访中承认,他的一些移民执法行动被视为“过于强硬”。但他提拔这些政策的主要设计师斯蒂芬·米勒为新任白幕僚长。而在周一下午白宫匆忙安排的媒体简报会上,特朗普似乎收回了他看似承认执法过度的表态。

President Trump has been sending conflicting signals as he grapples with the comprehensive defeat suffered by his Republican Party in the midterm elections. But a day or two of ambiguity seems to be giving way to a doubling down of his usual, hypercombative approach. Trump acknowledged in a CBS “60 Minutes” interview broadcast on Sunday that some of his immigration enforcement actions had been seen as “too tough.”But he has promoted the chief architect of those policies, Stephen Miller, to be his new White House chief of staff. And at a hastily arranged media briefing at the White House late on Monday afternoon, Trump seemed to walk back his apparent admission of excessive enforcement.

“我们有一项非常强有力的驱逐政策,”特朗普坚称,“我的政策没有改变。”在《60分钟》采访中,特朗普声称他能够克制自己侮辱民主党人的倾向,以便与他们合作。但片刻之后,他说永远不会原谅前联邦调查局局长詹姆斯·科米和众议员南希·佩洛西(民主党-加利福尼亚州)等敌人。“我确实恨我的一些敌人,而且永远都会恨,”他说。

“We have a very strong deportation policy,” Trump insisted. “My policy hasn’t changed.”In the “60 Minutes” interview, Trump claimed he could curb his penchant for insulting Democrats to work with them. But moments later, he said he would never forgive foes like former FBI Director James Comey and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.).

在国际舞台上,特朗普在对伊朗斗争中的下一步计划完全不清楚。他在周一下午简报会上关于此事的言论再次含糊不清。与此同时,在最初表示接受选举结果后,总统周一开始在社交媒体上散布未经证实的渎职指控,他写道:“真的有人相信这次‘选举’是诚实的吗?民调怎么会这么离谱???”在总统批评者看来,正在发生的事情非常清楚。

“I do hate some of my enemies, and I always will,” he said. On the global stage, it’s not at all clear what Trump is planning as his next steps in the war on Iran. His remarks on this at the Monday afternoon briefing were, once again, inexact. Meanwhile, after initially saying that he accepted the results of the elections, the president began ventilating unsupported allegations of malfeasance on Monday, writing on social media, “Does anybody really believe that this ‘Election’ was honest. How could the Polls be so wrong???”

他们视他为仅仅对可能采取和解姿态这一想法稍作口头服务,而他的意图是坚定地推行强硬路线政策。

To critics of the president, it’s quite plain what is going on.

曾在特朗普第一届政府时期担任时任副总统迈克·彭斯助手的奥利维娅·特罗耶,如今已成为特朗普的激烈批评者。她说:“这再次非常说明问题:特朗普其实从来都不在乎共和党。他的应对之策是加倍推进一项显然不受美国人民欢迎的议程,尤其是让斯蒂芬·米勒掌舵,这一点非常引人注目。”特朗普的忠诚支持者则完全持不同看法。

They see him as merely paying brief lip service to the idea that he might be conciliatory, when his intention is to pursue rigidly hard-line policies. “It’s just so telling once again that Trump has never actually cared about the Republican Party,” said Olivia Troye, an aide to then-Vice President Mike Pence during the first Trump administration who has become a vigorous critic of the president. “It’s very striking that his takeaway is to double down on an agenda that is clearly unpopular with the American people, especially as is signaled by putting Stephen Miller at the helm.”

他们主张,特朗普正在为与民主党控制的国会交锋做准备,而民主党人已经明确表示打算追究总统及其盟友。乔·迪杰诺瓦曾任哥伦比亚特区联邦检察官,最近辞去了调查所谓针对特朗普的“大阴谋”的职务。他说自己仍然“全心全意”支持总统。迪杰诺瓦说:“我认为斯蒂芬·米勒是个非常聪明的人,非常有头脑,任何总统都应该有他想要的幕僚长。这显然就是总统想要的幕僚长。”

Trump loyalists see things entirely differently. They contend that Trump is preparing for battle with a Democratic Congress that has already telegraphed its intention to go after the president and his allies. Joe DiGenova, the former U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia who recently resigned from his role investigating a supposed “grand conspiracy” against Trump, said he continues to support the president “wholeheartedly.”“I think Stephen Miller is a very bright guy, very smart, and any president should have the chief of staff that he wants. This is clearly the chief of staff that the president wants,” DiGenova said.

迪杰诺瓦将共和党中期选举失利归咎于两个因素:一是共和党控制的国会不愿通过MAGA基本盘想要的立法,包括《拯救美国法案》;二是错误地相信与伊朗的谈判能够达成令人满意的结果。但他也主张,特朗普如今面临的选择,即坚持自己的议程还是适应与民主党国会共处的生活,并非互斥。他说:“我认为你应该全速前进,同时调整航向。他不会面对一个共和党国会,所以他没有别的选择。未来两年他将是一位靠否决行事的总统。”

DiGenova placed the blame for the GOP’s midterm defeat on two factors — a GOP Congress that he said had been unwilling to pass legislation that the MAGA base wanted, including the SAVE America Act, and a misplaced confidence that negotiations with Iran could reach a satisfactory conclusion. But he also contended the choices now facing Trump — between sticking with his agenda and accommodating himself to life with a Democratic Congress — were not mutually exclusive. “I think you go full-bore ahead while trimming your sails,” he said.

民主党人刚刚获胜,希望扩大战果,包括在问责方面。众议员众议院监督与政府改革委员会即将上任的主席、众议员罗伯特·加西亚(民主党-加利福尼亚州)在选举之夜仅在社交媒体上写道“找律师吧”。

“He is not going to be dealing with a Republican Congress, so he doesn’t have any choice. He will be a veto president for the next two years.”Democrats, fresh off their victory, want to press their gains — including in the area of accountability.

关于米勒的任命,众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)——他极有可能很快成为议长——周一对记者表示:“斯蒂芬·米勒是个十足的种族主义者。他的过往记录不言自明,我对与这种人合作毫无兴趣。”

Rep. Robert Garcia (D-Calif.), the incoming chair of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, wrote simply “lawyer up” on social media on election night.

极少有共和党人公开批评米勒的任命,但众议员马林·斯图兹曼(共和党-印第安纳州)是个例外。他在周日接受CNN节目《Inside Politics》采访时说:“我认为选定斯蒂芬·米勒是个错误。他在中西部不受欢迎,人们不喜欢他的语气。”

On the topic of the Miller appointment, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) — who is likely soon to become Speaker — told reporters Monday, “Stephen Miller is a stone-cold racist. His track record speaks for itself, and I’ve got zero interest in working with that kind of individual.”Few Republicans have publicly criticized the appointment of Miller, but one exception came from Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R-Ind.).

更广泛的共和党阵营中,其他人目前至少在表面上持一种哲学态度,基本接受了特朗普就是特朗普、永远都会是特朗普这一事实。“他80岁了,这通常不是人们重塑自我的年龄,”共和党策略师亚历克斯·康纳特冷淡地指出。康纳特认为,中期选举的失利不能归咎于单一因素,因此补救措施未必容易找到。“当你以那种幅度失利时,有很多因素促成了这一结果,”康纳特说,“这是一场关于唐纳德·特朗普的公投,而他目前并不受欢迎。这反映出通胀仍然过高,有一场不受欢迎的战争,腐败问题在出口民调中成为选民关切。我认为有议程的人试图让选举围绕他们的单一议题展开,但事实是,这是多方面因素共同作用的结果。”

“I think that the decision to elect Stephen Miller is a mistake. He’s not liked out here in the Midwest by people, they don’t like his tone,” Stutzman told CNN’s “Inside Politics” on Sunday. Others in the broader Republican world are, at least for the moment, taking a philosophical view, basically accepting that Trump is Trump, and always will be. “He’s 80 years old, and that isn’t when people generally reinvent themselves,” GOP strategist Alex Conant drily noted. Conant contended that the midterm loss couldn’t be pinned on one factor, so a remedy was not necessarily easy to come by.

对一些共和党人来说,目前最好的做法似乎是严阵以待,希望民主党言行过火。共和党策略师布拉德·布莱克曼的兄弟布鲁斯在纽约州州长选举中败给了现任州长。

“When you lose by that magnitude, there are lots of things that contribute to it,” Conant said, “This was a referendum on Donald Trump, and he is not very popular right now. It’s a reflection that inflation is still too high, there is an unpopular war [and] corruption showed up as a concern in the exit polls. I think people with agendas tried to make the election about their one thing, but the truth is, it was many things.”For some Republicans, the best approach right now seems to be to batten down the hatches and hope that Democrats overreach.

纽约州长霍楚尔(民主党)指出,共和党面临一系列不利因素,这些因素“造成了影响”。但布莱克曼坚称,“民主党还没有吸取美国选民传达的教训。这不是分裂,也不是报复——而是治理。我至今还没听到任何人谈论治理。” 《备忘录》是由奈尔·斯坦纳奇撰写的报道专栏。

Republican strategist Brad Blakeman, whose brother Bruce lost his gubernatorial bid in New York to incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), noted there was a whole range of adverse factors for the GOP that “took its toll.”But, Blakeman insisted, “the Democrats have not got the lesson the American people delivered. It’s not division, it’s not getting even — it’s governing. And I haven’t heard, yet, anybody speaking to governing.”The Memo is a reported column by Niall Stanage.

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