
胜利的规模甚至让华盛顿的民主党领袖感到震惊——包括查克·舒默和哈基姆·杰弗里斯这两位老将,他们都以精通民调、交叉分析、筹款和投票模式(几乎精确到选区层面)而自诩。
The scale of the victory came as a shock even to Democratic leaders in Washington—including veterans like Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries, both of whom pride themselves on their mastery of polls, cross-tabs, fundraising, and voting patterns down almost to the precinct level.
当民主党人在选举之夜发表胜利演说时,显而易见,他们创造了历史,以自水门事件时代以来最大的优势大获全胜。面对这种对唐纳德·特朗普无可辩驳的否决,世界各地充满希望的自由派沉浸在迟来正义的幻想中——一种问责程度和对总统无法无天的制约,最终可能导致美国历史上最腐败的总统永远蒙羞。
As Democrats delivered their victory speeches late on election night, it was clear that they had made history, winning the midterms by a landslide larger than any since the Watergate era. Amid such an unmistakable repudiation of Donald Trump, hopeful liberals around the world indulged fantasies of belated justice—a level of accountability and a check on presidential lawlessness that could ultimately result in the permanent disgrace of the most corrupt president in American history.
但几小时后,彩带落定,另一种态度占了上风。“美国人民不希望我们报复,”即将出任众议院议长的杰弗里斯11月4日对《早安乔》节目主持人说。“我们是靠‘负担得起’议题赢的。现在我们的工作是围绕‘负担得起’议题施政。”杰弗里斯当然也曾表示需要“问责”,誓言要对“给我们国家带来前所未有腐败的人”实施问责。
But several hours later, after the confetti settled, a different attitude prevailed. “The American people don’t want us to get even,” Jeffries, the incoming House speaker, told the hosts Morning Joe on November 4. “We won on affordability. And now it’s our job to govern on affordability.”Jeffries has, of course, nodded to the need for “accountability,” vowing to impose it on “those who have visited unprecedented corruption on our country.”
但杰弗里斯的表述——要么民主党兑现承诺,要么他们将寻求报复——立即引发了关于民主党将多深程度内化本次选举关键教训之一的疑问。全国绝大多数美国人将腐败视为关键考量因素。民主党将动用国会所有可用权力来揭露并制约腐败吗?
But Jeffries’s frame—either Democrats will deliver they’ll seek retribution—raised immediate questions about how deeply Democrats will internalize one of the key lessons of this election. A huge majority of Americans nationwide identified corruption as a key consideration. Will Democrats deploy all the powers available to Congress to expose and put a check on it?
这次选举的结果令人振奋。民主党有望控制超过250个众议院席位,并在参议院至少掌握54个席位。但我们需要冷静面对现实。一旦庆祝活动结束、新年伊始,我们都知道究竟会发生什么:即使民主党在追究责任方面采取强硬行动,特朗普也会下令其政府无视传票,将措辞严厉的信函扔进垃圾桶。如果国会将特朗普的盟友移交司法部门刑事起诉,掌管司法部的他的同谋们将会大笑。
The outcome of this election was thrilling. Democrats are set to control over 250 House seats and at least 54 seats in the Senate. But we need to face something soberly. Once the celebrations stop and the new year begins, we all know exactly what will happen: Even if the Democrats move aggressively on the accountability front, Trump will order his administration to ignore subpoenas and toss sternly worded letters into the garbage. If Congress refers Trump’s allies for criminal prosecution, his coconspirators who run the Justice Department will erupt in laughter.
特朗普甚至可能无视国会试图切断其一切腐败根源的举措:资金。然而,民主党内部关于以何种力度追究特朗普、以及如何应对其阻挠战术的辩论,已经公开化。
Trump might even ignore Congress when it tries to cut off the thing that makes all of his corruption possible: money. Yet already, a debate among Democrats over how aggressively to pursue Trump, and fight his obstructive tactics, has spilled into the open.
在选举前几周,我们采访了多位众议院和参议院民主党议员以及国会高级助手。我们寻求一个答案,这个问题现在显得更加迫切:一旦清楚特朗普及其白宫同伙将阻挠民主党发起的每一项调查、阻挠他们对其滥用职权的每一项制衡,国会民主党将以何种力度行使其制度赋予的权力?
In the weeks leading up to the election, we spoke to a number of House and Senate Democrats and senior congressional aides. We sought an answer to a question that now appears even more pressing: How aggressively will congressional Democrats wield their institutional powers once it becomes clear that Trump and his accomplices in the White House will stand in the way of every investigation the Democrats undertake—and every check they place on his abuses of power?
换个角度问:民主党将以何种更深层的心态投入这些斗争?他们会像我们仍处于深度危机之中那样应对未来一年——宪法秩序仍悬于一线,需要最大限度地行使权力?还是说他们会以一种更为松懈的姿态进入,仿佛中期选举的胜利已使局势大体受控,危机已基本化解?
To put the question another way: What deeper mindset will Democrats take into these battles? Will they approach the next year as if we’re still locked in a deep crisis—as if the constitutional order still hangs in the balance, requiring maximal exercises of power? Or will they enter with a more lax posture, as though their midterm victory has brought things more or less under control, and the crisis has largely been averted?
“我们仍将面对一位无视法律的总统,”马里兰州参议员克里斯·范霍伦告诉我们。范霍伦强调这只是民主党议程的一部分,但他补充道:“这将需要彻底的反制。”
“We’ll still be facing a lawless president,” Senator Chris Van Hollen of Maryland told us. While Van Hollen stressed that this would only be one piece of the Democratic agenda, he added: “And that will require complete pushback.”
“我们仍将面对一位无视法律的总统……这将需要彻底的反制。”——马里兰州参议员克里斯·范霍伦 遗憾的是,并非所有民主党人都以这种危机般的眼光看待问题。目前尚不清楚那些持此观点的人是否愿意采取相应行动,或者能否说服他们犹豫不决的同僚挺身而出,采取足够强硬的对抗姿态。
“We’ll still be facing a lawless president.... And that will require complete pushback.” –Senator Chris Van Hollen of Maryland But, unfortunately, not all Democrats see things in these crisis-like terms. And it’s unclear whether the ones who do will be willing to act accordingly, or will be able to persuade their reluctant colleagues to rise to the moment and be sufficiently confrontational.
我们交谈的每一位民主党人都同意特朗普政府极其腐败,堪称世界历史级别,大多数人预计他的违法行为将持续甚至升级。一些人似乎愿意考虑暂停常规秩序,如果这能遏制或制止无法无天的行径。但另一些人似乎更倾向于安于现状,沿用适用于正常时期的剧本,而这显然不适合即将到来的时刻。制衡机制?在特朗普治下?
Every Democrat we spoke with agreed that the Trump administration is world-historically corrupt, and most expected his lawbreaking to persist or even escalate. Some do seem willing to contemplate suspension of the regular order of things, if that’s what it takes to slow or stop the lawlessness. Others, though, seem more resigned to running a playbook for normal times, one that’s plainly unsuited to the coming moment. Checks and Balances? Under Trump?
要进行阻挠,特朗普只需说不。不,我们不配合你们的调查。不,我们不起诉无视你们传票的人。不,我们不遵守法律。
To obstruct, all Trump has to do is say no. No, we will not cooperate with your investigations. No, we will not prosecute people who defy your subpoenas. No, we will not follow the law.
理解民主党目前面临的困境的关键在于:我们的制衡体系建立在共同坚守法治这一基线承诺之上。特朗普是现代史上首位公开摒弃“司法应当公正”这一理念、并宣称宪法不约束其如护民官般权力的总统。特朗普完全不觉得自己有责任担当宪政秩序的管家,或为子孙后代保留这一秩序。因此,即将到来的分裂政府时期可能演变为意志和赤裸裸权力的较量。
The key to understanding the dilemma Democrats now face is that our system of checks and balances rests on a shared baseline commitment to upholding the rule of law. Trump is the first president of the modern era to openly dispense with the notion that justice should be blind, and to declare the Constitution as nonbinding on his tribune-like powers. Trump feels exactly zero responsibility to act as steward of the constitutional order or preserve it for future generations. So the coming period of divided government could devolve into tests of will and raw power.
而这反过来又有使我们迅速陷入危机的风险。更深层的问题是:当好人退缩、或对越轨者姑息迁就时,他们不仅无法化解当下的尖锐危机,反而会让我们所有人承受新的先例、新的双重标准、以及对能否恢复公平正义的民主产生更深的怀疑。
Those, in turn, risk toppling us quickly into crisis. And the deeper problem is that when good guys blink, or appease transgressors, they don’t just end the acute crisis of the moment. They consign us all to new precedents.
我们采访的每一位民主党人都预料特朗普会做出最坏的举动。他们预期会遭遇激烈的阻挠、不配合监督要求和要求、拒绝受制于宪法赋予国会拨付和控制的资金附带条件。并且会不惜一切拖延诉讼,其不加掩饰的目标是通过将争议拖延数月甚至数年——或许直至本届政府任期结束、争议失去现实意义——来使争议归于无效。常规的制衡机制对此并无良策。
New double standards. New depths of doubt that a fair and just democracy can be restored. Every Democrat we spoke to anticipates the very worst from Trump. They expect intense obstruction. Noncompliance with oversight requests and demands. Refusal to be bound by the strings attached to money, which the Constitution entrusts Congress to shell out and control. And a bottomless willingness to drag things out in court, with the undisguised goal of nullifying controversies by tying them up for months or years—perhaps even until this administration is over and the controversies are moot. Normal checks and balances don’t have great answers to this.
在现代实践中,国会严重依赖一套标准工具来开展监督和追究问责。
In modern practice, Congress has leaned heavily on a standard set of tools for conducting oversight and seeking accountability.
委员会要求提交文件和作证。助手和议员在幕后工作,以了解政府往往不透明的内部运作。当他们遭遇阻碍时,他们要求进行取证并进一步提交证据。如果政府抵制,他们发出传票。如果官员无视传票,他们可能被判定为藐视国会,面临民事和刑事处罚,包括巨额罚款,甚至逮捕和监禁。
Committees request documents and testimony. Aides and members work behind the scenes to understand the often-opaque inner workings of the government. When they hit roadblocks, they demand depositions and further production of evidence. If the administration resists, they issue subpoenas. If officials flout their subpoenas, they can be held in contempt of Congress, at the risk of civil and criminal penalties, including big fines and even arrest and hard prison time.
这些工具可能相当有效,即使在与由对立党派控制的行政部门的对抗性冲突中。维持这一切运转的润滑剂是一种基本意愿,无论多么勉强,即维护我们的政府体制。这通常意味着官员不会不看内容就无视传票,他们同意出席国会听证会,并且不把公共资金视为自己的钱,随意花用或分给朋友和盟友。
These tools can be quite effective, even in adversarial conflict with an executive branch controlled by the other party. The oil that keeps it all functioning is a basic willingness, however reluctant, to preserve our system of government. This generally means officials don’t ignore their subpoenas sight unseen, they agree to appear at congressional hearings, and they don’t treat public money as theirs to spend or dole out to friends and allies.
当这些假设不再适用时——而在特朗普身上,它们肯定不再适用——国会很快就会耗尽强制合规的常规工具,多数党必须做出选择:甘愿受辱,或采取显著更激进的手段。
When those assumptions no longer apply—and they certainly do not apply with Trump—Congress quickly runs out of normal tools to enforce compliance, and the majority has to choose: resign itself to being spat upon, or embrace significantly more aggressive tactics.
乔治城大学法学学者乔什·查费茨撰写了关于国会隐性工具的权威著作。他指出,众议院民主党多数派在2019年和2020年难以应对特朗普对监督的阻挠。第一届特朗普政府在历史上极其藐视国会特权,但仍遵守了一些规范——例如,官员确实出席了听证会,机构也偶尔配合监督请求。现在情况可能变得更具对抗性——更具对抗性得多。
Josh Chafetz, a legal scholar at Georgetown who wrote the definitive book about Congress’s hidden tools, notes that the Democratic majority in the House struggled to respond to Trump’s obstruction of oversight in 2019 and 2020. The first Trump administration was historically contemptuous of congressional prerogatives, but it still honored some norms—for example, officials did attend hearings, and agencies did occasionally cooperate with oversight requests. Now things are likely to get more confrontational—much more so“The Democrats in the last two years of the first Trump administration sort of ran up against some of the limits,” Chafetz said.
“民主党在第一届特朗普政府最后两年撞上了一些界限,”查费茨说。“现在他们将更猛烈地撞上这些界限。”民主党如何动用重锤——如果他们选择这么做那么,如果民主党明年对政府动用最大权力,会是什么样子?要升级对抗,民主党很可能不得不尝试以下一种或多种手段:固有蔑视权,一种极少援引的机制,允许国会监禁或以其他方式惩罚无视合法命令的人。
“Now they’re going to run up against those limits even harder.”How Democrats Can Bring Down the Hammer—If They So Choose So what would it look like if Democrats were to deploy maximal power against the administration next year? To escalate, Democrats would likely have to test one or all of the following approaches: Inherent contempt, a rarely invoked mechanism that allows Congress to imprison or otherwise penalize people who defy lawful commands.
弹劾,这以罢职为威胁针对行政部门官员,并将国会置于其宪法权力的顶峰。财政大权,这允许国会对其授权政府支出的资金附加条件。
Impeachment, which threatens executive branch officials with the prospect of removal and places Congress at the height of its constitutional authority. The power of the purse, which allows Congress to place conditions on the money it authorizes the government to spend.
遗憾的是,正如我们在与议员和助手的交谈中了解到的,许多民主党人倾向于放弃其中一些方法。
Unfortunately, as we learned in our conversations with lawmakers and aides, many Democrats are inclined to disclaim some of these methods.
这并不完全是软弱的表现。国会近100年未曾援引其固有蔑视权,部分原因是极少必要,部分原因是这很麻烦。
That isn’t entirely a sign of weakness. Congress has not invoked its inherent contempt authority in almost 100 years, in part because it’s rarely been necessary, and in part because it’s messy.
最高法院曾多次确认,宪法赋予国会强制执行自身意愿的权力;如果不情愿的证人拒绝作证,国会可直接惩罚他。近年来,当议员们涉足固有蔑视权时,他们曾考虑对蔑视国会的证人处以罚款。
The Supreme Court has repeatedly affirmed that the Constitution empowers Congress to enforce its own will; if a reluctant witness refuses to testify, Congress can punish him directly. In recent years, when members have flirted with inherent contempt, they’ve toyed with the idea of imposing fines on contemptuous witnesses.
但历史上,国会会派遣其议事长及其可能授权的其他执法人员去逮捕并拘留那些证人。显而易见,这很棘手:如果证人是行政部门成员,并有行政部门安保人员随行,一旦发生武装对峙会怎样?
But historically, Congress would dispatch its sergeant at arms and other law enforcement officers that he or she might deputize to arrest and detain those witnesses. For obvious reasons, this is thorny: If the witness is a member of the executive branch, with an executive branch security detail, what happens in an armed standoff?
“我已与领导层以及部分监督委员会主席讨论了固有蔑视国会权力。”——众议员泰德·刘,新一届众议院民主党领导层成员据新一届众议院民主党领导层成员、众议员泰德·刘透露,这一策略正在民主党高层进行讨论。“我已与领导层以及部分监督委员会主席讨论了固有蔑视国会权力,”刘告诉我们。不过他警告说,任何此类举动都将面临诉讼,就像更标准的程序一样。
“I have discussed inherent contempt with leadership and some of the oversight committee chairs.”–Representative Ted Lieu, a member of the incoming House Democratic leadership team This tactic is being debated at high levels among Democrats, according to Representative Ted Lieu, a member of the incoming House Democratic leadership team. “I have discussed inherent contempt with leadership and some of the oversight committee chairs,” Lieu told us. Still, he cautioned, any such move would be litigated, just like more standard processes.
我们怀疑这一想法在其他民主党人中并没有太大吸引力。一位资深参议院助手告诉我们,固有蔑视国会权力“谈起来很痛快”,但因为在政治上似乎负担沉重、过于激进且难以实施,所以是“渺茫的希望”。相比之下,弹劾争议应小得多,且能非常有效地加快调查并迫使信息公开。部分原因在于,法院对弹劾调查的尊重程度将高于对国会委员会进行常规监督的尊重程度。
And we are skeptical that the idea has much traction among other Democrats. As one senior Senate aide told us, inherent contempt is “really fun to talk about,” but because it seems politically onerous, radical, and difficult to implement, it’s a “long shot.”Impeachment, by contrast, should be much less controversial and can be very effective at speeding up investigations and prying information loose. That’s in part because courts will be more deferential to an impeachment inquiry than to congressional committees conducting normal oversight.
证人也会感到有特别的义务配合,且如果配合会获得独特的保护。2019年,民主党控制的众议院调查人员大多陷入僵局——直到特朗普首次被弹劾,政府官员才纷纷出来作证,惊人地详细揭露了他施压乌克兰颠覆2020年大选的腐败阴谋。
Witnesses also feel especially compelled to cooperate and are uniquely protected if they do. In 2019, investigators in the Democratic-controlled House were mostly stymied—until Trump’s first impeachment, at which point administration officials came out of the woodwork to testify in astounding detail about his corrupt scheme to pressure Ukraine to subvert the 2020 election.
这就是我们认为民主党人应当准备好大规模动用弹劾权力的原因——包括针对特朗普最具争议的内阁官员。仅举一例,他们应当认真考虑弹劾司法部长托德·布兰奇,理由是他对特朗普批评者进行腐败起诉,并隐瞒了埃普斯坦档案的重要部分。这在实质上是合理的,但也将最大限度地发挥国会对司法部的调查权力,因为各种渎职行为肯定仍隐藏在公众视线之外。
This is why we think Democrats should be prepared to deploy the impeachment power promiscuously—including against Trump’s most controversial Cabinet officials. To give just one example, they should seriously contemplate impeaching Attorney General Todd Blanche for his corrupt prosecutions of Trump critics and for concealing important chunks of the Epstein files. This would be justified on the merits, but it would also maximize Congress’s investigative power over the Justice Department, where all sorts of malfeasance surely remains hidden from view.
但要做到这一切,民主党人必须高度团结。而截至撰写本文时,他们显然并非如此。伊利诺伊州参议员塔米·达克沃斯最近恳请道:“别搞弹劾任何人了。咱们还是回去干活吧,说不定还能达成妥协。”
But to do all this, Democrats would have to be overwhelmingly united. And as of this writing, they plainly are not. As Senator Tammy Duckworth of Illinois recently pleaded“Don’t be impeaching anybody. Let’s just get back to work, and maybe we can come to compromises.”
“我知道[弹劾程序]对我的许多同事来说将非常艰难。但特朗普已经变得如此危险,以至于必须这么做。”
“I know [impeachment proceedings] will be very difficult for a lot of my colleagues. But Trump has simply become so dangerous that it needs to be done.”
——来自华盛顿州的温和派众议员亚当·史密斯,即将出任武装部队委员会主席 来自华盛顿州的温和派众议员亚当·史密斯、即将出任武装部队委员会主席,支持弹劾特朗普。史密斯告诉我们,他预计来自摇摆或红色选区和州份的民主党人将不愿支持弹劾程序。“我知道这对我的许多同事来说将非常艰难,”史密斯说。“但特朗普已经变得如此危险,以至于必须这么做。”
–Representative Adam Smith, a moderate from Washington state who’s the incoming Armed Services Committee chair Representative Adam Smith, a moderate from Washington state who’s the incoming Armed Services Committee chair, backs impeaching Trump. Smith told us he anticipated that Democrats from swingy or red districts and states will be reluctant to support impeachment proceedings. “I know this will be very difficult for a lot of my colleagues,” Smith said. “But Trump has simply become so dangerous that it needs to be done.”
即将到来:民主党人的首次考验这就只剩下支出权力了。如果固有蔑视权和弹劾都不在考虑范围内,国会预算权将成为民主党唯一真正的权力工具,他们必须大胆运用:不给阻挠调查的机构拨款。只要关键司法部办公室扣押爱泼斯坦档案或腐败起诉特朗普批评者,就不给它们拨款。不给针对伊朗的非法战争拨款,不给在公海非法处决所谓毒品走私者拨款。如此等等。
Coming Soon: The Democrats’ First Test Which leaves the spending power. If inherent contempt and impeachment remain off the table, congressional budget authority will be Democrats’ only real power tool, and they’ll have to wield it aggressively: no money for agencies that obstruct investigations. No money for key Justice Department offices so long as they’re withholding the Epstein files or corruptly prosecuting Trump critics. No money for the illegal war against Iran or illegal executions of supposed drug smugglers on the high seas. And so on.
然而,自国会切断越战资金以来的几十年里,在分裂政府局面下,共和党比民主党更倾向于动用这项权力——只有一个显著例外。
In the decades since Congress cut off funding for the Vietnam War, however, Republicans have been much more inclined than Democrats to wield this power in divided government—with one notable exception.
去年,当《平价医疗法案》补贴即将到期时,民主党扣留了为政府提供资金的投票,条件是国会必须延长这些税收抵免。共和党拒绝了,拨款随即失效。政府让各机构的联邦雇员停薪留职,影响范围涵盖航空出行、国税局协助服务以及环境清理项目。关键在于:尽管从直接意义上说可以说是民主党导致了停摆,但共和党承担了更多指责。民主党当时正在行使权力,且行使得很有效。随后,一群参议院民主党人突然决定他们已经表明了立场。他们弃掉了一手好牌,停摆随之结束。
Last year, when Obamacare subsidies were on the verge of expiring, Democrats withheld their votes to fund the government, contingent on the demand that Congress extend those tax credits. Republicans refused, and appropriations lapsed. The government furloughed federal workers across agencies, impacting everything from air travel to IRS assistance to environmental cleanup projects. And here’s the kicker: Even though the Democrats could fairly be said to have caused the shutdown in the immediate sense, shouldered more of the blame. Democrats were wielding power and doing so effectively. Then, abruptly, a bloc of Senate Democrats decided they’d made their point. They folded a winning hand, and the shutdown ended.
为了维护其掌握的财政大权,民主党在即将到来的新一届国会中将不得不展现出更强的耐力和决心。康涅狄格州参议员克里斯·墨菲认为,当民主党不愿动用这项权力来对抗那些事情时,实际上削弱了民主党关于特朗普的核心指控——即他的威权主义对共和国构成威胁。“我认为,过去一年半里,我们大体上不愿拒绝为那些明显在法律框架之外运作的部门提供资金,这并没有帮助我们的信息传递,”墨菲对我们说。
To vindicate their power of the purse, Democrats in this coming Congress will have to show greater stamina and resolve. Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut argues that it actually undermines the Democratic Party’s core complaints about Trump—that his authoritarianism is a threat to the republic—when Democrats are unwilling to deploy this power against those things. “I do not think it helped our messaging over the last year and a half that we broadly weren’t willing to deny them funding for departments that were operating clearly outside of the bounds of the law,” Murphy told us.
民主党人面临的首次意志考验将比你想象的来得更快。12月,在民主党重掌大权前近一个整月,联邦政府现行运营预算将到期。民主党人可以立即坚持要求停止为伊朗战争提供资金。但至少,他们应该同意仅将资金延期极短的时间。这将防止政府在假日期间关门,那肯定会招致民众反感。但更关键的是,短期延期将让民主党人保留对特朗普的筹码,因为预算将不得不在2027年初重新谈判。特朗普和共和党人正是出于这个原因想要更长期的延期。这可能升级为一场对峰。
The first test of Democratic mettle will arrive much more quickly than you might think. In December, almost a full month before Democrats reclaim power, the current operating budget for the federal government will expire Democrats could insist on defunding the Iran war straight away. But at the very least, they should agree to only a very brief extension of funding. This would prevent the government from shutting down over the holidays, which would surely be unpopular. But more to the point, a short extension would allow Democrats to preserve their leverage over Trump, because the budget would have to be renegotiated in early 2027. Trump and Republicans will want a longer-term extension for precisely this reason. And that could escalate into a standoff.
我们交谈的大多数民主党人预计该党会坚守立场。“我们将很快面临一个决定,即我们是否要利用拨款作为筹码,”墨菲说,并补充道,如果民主党人拒绝守住底线,有效的监督将不可能实现。
Most Democrats we talked to expect the party to dig in. “We’re going to be confronted very quickly with a decision as to whether we’re going to use appropriations as leverage,” Murphy said, adding that effective oversight will be impossible if Democrats refuse to hold the line.
“我希望我们将利用我们的拨款权力,作为一把锤子,打击对美国公民的任何进一步政治迫害。”——即将出任司法委员会主席的杰米·拉斯金“我的看法是,”范霍伦补充道,“要么共和党人与我们合作,开始做出我们认为必要的改变,要么,是的,我们采取短期[预算],将其推至明年初。”更广泛地说,要让这种方法奏效——以结束伊朗战争、约束移民与海关执法局(ICE)、终止特朗普的报复性起诉,并确保公布爱泼斯坦档案——民主党人必须下定决心,可能让政府的大部分部门处于无资金状态,而这在政治上对他们而言极具挑战性。
“I hope we will use our appropriations power as a hammer against any further political persecutions of American citizens.”–Jamie Raskin, incoming chair of the Judiciary Committee“My view,” Van Hollen added, “is either Republicans work with us to begin to make changes that we think are necessary, or, yes, we have a short-term [budget] punting it into the beginning of next year.”More broadly, for this method to work—for it to end the Iran war, rein in ICE, end Trump’s vindictive prosecutions, and secure the release of the Epstein files—Democrats would have to resolve themselves to potentially leaving large parts of the government unfunded, in ways that they find politically challenging.
一些民主党人似乎确实准备拒绝提供资金,即使这会导致长期僵持,以实现诸如挫败特朗普腐败起诉之类的目标。“我希望我们将利用我们的拨款权力,像一把锤子一样,打击任何针对美国公民政治言论的进一步非法政治迫害,”即将出任司法委员会主席的杰米·拉斯金告诉我们,并强调他将向拨款委员会成员提出这一主张。
Some Democrats do appear prepared to refuse funding, even if it results in protracted standoffs, to accomplish things like thwarting Trump’s corrupt prosecutions. “I hope we will use our appropriations power as a hammer against any further illegitimate political persecutions of American citizens for their political speech,” Jamie Raskin, incoming chair of the Judiciary Committee, told us, stressing he will make this case to appropriators.
监督委员会成员、众议员亚斯明·安萨里表示赞同。“特朗普政府正在利用纳税人资源攻击总统眼中的敌人,”安萨里说。“我们必须停止将纳税人的钱输送给滥用职权、侵犯美国人权利的特朗普政府机构。”
Representative Yassamin Ansari, a member of the Oversight Committee, agreed. “The Trump administration is using taxpayer resources to attack the president’s perceived enemies,” Ansari said. “We must stop funneling taxpayer dollars into Trump’s agencies that abuse their power and violate Americans’ rights.”
“我们必须停止将纳税人的钱输送给滥用职权、侵犯美国人权利的特朗普政府机构。”——监督委员会成员、众议员亚斯明·安萨里作为参议院中一个同样强硬派系的非正式领袖,墨菲也已为长期斗争做好准备。他说,民主党人应全面扣留国防部开支,以迫使结束对伊朗的战争。“我认为,如果我们划定一条红线,说‘我们愿意为军队提供资金,但前提是这场战争必须结束’,这对我们来说将是一个相当受欢迎的举措,”墨菲告诉我们。“这将迫使共和党人和政府花费更多时间和精力为这场战争辩护。”
“We must stop funneling taxpayer dollars into Trump’s agencies that abuse their power and violate Americans’ rights.”–Representative Yassamin Ansari, a member of the Oversight Committee Murphy, who is an informal leader of a similarly stalwart faction in the Senate, is ready for long struggles, too. He says Democrats should hold up Defense Department spending entirely to force an end to the Iran war. “I think it would be a pretty popular move for us to draw a hard line and say, ‘We are willing to fund the military, but only if this war ends,’” Murphy told us. “It would force Republicans and the administration into spending more time and oxygen defending the war.”
但墨菲毫不讳言,除非参议院民主党党团团结一致,否则他无法将这一困境强加给共和党人。“我认为会有一个问题,”他谨慎地承认,“即民主党人是否愿意……为了结束战争的承诺,而扣留全部国防预算。”负担能力与问责制:一个伪命题我们看到民主党思维中潜伏着另一个问题。一些民主党人开始主张,该党议程——无论是立法还是监督——的门槛测试应该很简单:它是否改善了普通人的生活?是,还是否?
But Murphy readily allows that he can’t force that dilemma on Republicans unless the Senate Democratic caucus is with him. “I think there will be a question,” he acknowledged carefully, “as to whether Democrats are willing … to hold up the entirety of the defense budget over a commitment to end the war.”Affordability vs. Accountability: A False Choice We see another problem lurking in the Democratic mindset. Some Democrats have taken to arguing that the threshold test for the party’s agenda—legislative or oversight—should be a simple one: Does it improve the lives of ordinary people? Yes, or no?
我们并不否认国会议员是为给选民谋取利益、改善民众生活而当选的。显然,他们必须通过此类措施,即使特朗普行使否决权。但将这一标准制定为一条铁律存在问题:它为一些民主党人留下了一条后门,让他们可以逃避在维护法治、维护移民或其他边缘群体权益、乃至维护其作为平等分支领导人的自身权力等方面做出艰难抉择。
We’re not disputing that members of Congress are elected to deliver benefits to their constituents—to make people’s lives better. Obviously, they must pass such measures, even if Trump vetoes them. But there’s a problem with formulating this standard as a hard-and-fast rule: It creates a back door for some Democrats to avoid doing difficult things in defense of the rule of law, in defense of immigrants or other marginalized groups, even in defense of their own powers as leaders of a coequal branch.
众议院民主党人将很快面临一个关口,必须决定是否在与选民眼前物质利益并无明显关联的问题上采取政治上困难的立场。例如,如果特朗普下令司法部起诉更多批评者,民主党人面临是否扣减该部门经费以制止又一波无法无天行为的抉择,这会切实改善普通民众的生活吗?关于如何遏制特朗普的大规模驱逐机制及其无法无天的移民与海关执法局(ICE)特工的辩论又如何?
There will quickly come a point when House Democrats must decide whether to take politically difficult stances on things that aren’t obviously connected to the immediate material circumstances of their constituents. If, for instance, Trump orders the DOJ to prosecute more of his critics, and Democrats confront whether to withhold funding from that office to end another outbreak of lawlessness, would that tangibly make ordinary people’s lives better? What about the debate over how to rein in Trump’s mass-deportation regime and his lawless ICE agents?
民主党人至少希望在ICE无证搜查、ICE佩戴面罩、以及负有大量暴行责任的海关与边境保卫局(CBP)在内陆地区执法等问题上划定红线。至少部分民主党人希望利用政府拨款作为杠杆,迫使这些做法终止。这会改善普通民众的生活,还是不会?
Democrats will want, at a minimum, to draw hard lines against things like ICE’s warrantless searches, ICE’s mask-wearing, and Customs and Border Patrol—which has been responsible for a great deal of brutality—operating in the country’s interior. Some Democrats, at least, hope to use government funding as a lever to force an end to those things. Would that improve ordinary people’s lives, or not?
我们担心,这种思维模式将为那些本已倾向于因其他原因避免对抗的民主党人提供额外掩护。当出现极其棘手的政治抉择时——例如是否削减司法部相关办公室经费以阻止腐败起诉——那些民主党人将辩称,他们的选举胜利关乎“负担得起”,而削减司法部经费无法缓解选民的“餐桌议题”焦虑。
This mindset, we fear, will create additional cover for Democrats who are already inclined to avoid confrontation for other reasons. When very difficult political choices arise—over, say, whether to defund offices within DOJ to derail a corrupt prosecution—those Democrats will argue that their election victory was about “affordability,” and that defunding DOJ will do nothing to ease voters’ kitchen-table concerns.
党派策略师和部分评论员无疑会同意。但民主党人现在应当深思熟虑,如果数以百万计的选民赋予他们一系列权力和职权来制衡一位无视法律的威权总统,而他们却选择投降,那将是什么样子。
Party strategists and a subset of commentators will no doubt agree. But Democrats should think hard right now about what such a surrender would look like after millions and millions of voters handed them an array of powers and authorities to check a lawless authoritarian president.
我们主张这样做,不仅因为我们认为我们的方法在抽象层面更有价值。还因为所谓的“民生议题与追责之间的张力”在很大程度上是虚构的。
We’re arguing for this not just because we think our approach has more merit in the abstract. It’s also that the supposed tension between cost-of-living issues and accountability is mostly fictitious.
首先,特朗普签署民主党通过的缓解民生压力立法的可能性微乎其微。他对那些有利于民主党政治前景的措施毫无兴趣。因此,实际上如果民生议题挤占了追责措施,民主党将是在选择专注于象征性的进展——特朗普会否决的民生立法——而不是利用他们的权力真正减缓或阻止特朗普。
Consider, first, that there’s very little chance Trump will sign legislation that Democrats pass to ease cost-of-living concerns. He has shown no appetite forg measures that redound to the political benefit of Democrats. And so, practically speaking, if kitchen-table issues crowd out accountability measures, Democrats will be choosing to focus on symbolic advances—cost-of-living legislation that Trump vetoes—over doing things where their power actually slow or stop Trump.
其次,国会优先事项没有固定的预算。民主党可以同时做很多事。乔·拜登于2022年8月签署了《通胀削减法案》,就在众议院1月6日调查委员会最后一次实质性听证会于7月下旬结束后几天。为什么即将上任的国会不能一天弹劾皮特·赫格塞斯,第二天就给特朗普送去一份恢复医疗补助覆盖范围的法案?当然可以。
Second, there is no fixed budget for congressional priorities. Democrats can do many things at once. Joe Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act in August 2022, just days after the last substantive hearing of the House January 6 Committee in late July. Why can’t this incoming Congress impeach Pete Hegseth one day and send Trump a bill restoring Medicaid coverage the next? Of course it can.
“如果我们希望这个政府为人民服务,那么我们必须终结腐败,恢复法治。”——弗吉尼亚州众议员詹姆斯·沃金肖,温和派新民主党核心小组的知名成员我们还认为,在选民心中,当经济停滞、总统为私利掠夺国家时,反腐败政治与民生政治之间没有清晰的界限。揭露、终结和惩治腐败,从定义上就会让美国的经济生活更公平。这将使民主党站在遵守规则的人民一边。
“If we want this government to work for the people, then we have to put an end to corruption and restore the rule of law.” –Virginia Representative James Walkinshaw, a prominent member of the moderate New Democrat caucus We also think that, in the minds of voters, when the economy is stagnant and the president is looting the country for personal gain, there is no clear distinction between anti-corruption politics and pocketbook politics. Exposing, ending, and punishing corruption will make economic life in America fairer by definition. And that will place Democrats on the side of the people who play by the rules.
这样构建反腐败政治框架,可以团结党团会议,避免因在民生关切与制衡机制之间制造虚假二选一而导致分裂。
Framed in this way, anti-corruption politics can unite the caucus and avoid the divisions that flow from establishing a false choice between kitchen-table concerns and checks and balances.
一些民主党人似乎同意我们的观点。“如果我们希望政府为人民服务,就必须终结腐败、恢复法治,”弗吉尼亚州众议员詹姆斯·沃金肖告诉我们。他是温和派“新民主党党团”的知名成员。“我不认为实质上的中间路线或务实态度,与承认国会有责任维护其宪法角色之间存在任何冲突。我不认为这两者有张力。”
Some Democrats appear to agree with us. “If we want this government to work for the people, then we have to put an end to corruption and restore the rule of law,” Virginia Representative James Walkinshaw, a prominent member of the moderate New Democrat caucus, told us. “I don’t think there’s any conflict between being substantively centrist or pragmatic [and] recognizing that Congress has a responsibility to assert its constitutional role. I don’t think those two things are in tension.”
追究帮凶责任 这并非说传统监督工具本身就显示软弱。这些工具各有其位,即便面对特朗普这样无视法律的总统,也能发挥预期作用。他在第一任期内如此,必将再次如此。
Going After the Abettors None of this is to say conventional oversight tools indicate weakness in and of themselves. These tools have their place, and they can function as intended, even against a lawless president like Trump. They did in his first term, and they surely will again.
毕竟,正是迈克尔·科恩2019年在一次标准国会听证会上向亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯作证,确立了纽约州检察长莱蒂蒂亚·詹姆斯对特朗普集团提起大规模诉讼的基础。
After all, it was Michael Cohen’s 2019 testimony to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, obtained during a standard congressional hearing, that established the basis for New York Attorney General Letitia James’s sprawling lawsuit against the Trump organization.
特朗普可能暴怒、喷薄。他可能考验我们对“重罪和轻罪”外延的想象力。但他也正以落败者身份步入跛脚鸭岁月。他将成为一个更加衰微的人物,其恐吓精英和下属就范的能力将逐渐消退。国会助手告诉我们,他们预计随着特朗普势弱,一些政府官员将更愿意出席国会听证——即便不愿移交文件。如果他们的判断正确,这将制造更多定罪时刻,就像近八年前科恩作证那样。
Trump may rage and sputter. He may test our ability to imagine the outer limits of “high crimes and misdemeanors.”But he is also entering his lame-duck years a loser. He will become a more diminished figure, whose power to bully elites and underlings into line will ebb. Congressional aides tell us they expect some administration officials to grow more willing to appear before Congress—if not to turn over documents—as Trump weakens. If they’re right, this will create more incriminating moments, as when Cohen testified nearly eight years ago.
助手们还预计,举报的步伐将会加快。一名助手告诉我们,国会多数党能提供的保护将使人们“更愿意站出来”,并补充说,她最近与潜在举报人的交谈让她确信,“有很多人有故事要讲”。在国家以压倒性优势拒绝特朗普之后,他们站出来说话的意愿很可能会增长。
Aides also expect the pace of whistleblowing to pick up. The protections that a congressional majority can offer will render people “more willing to come forward,” one aide told us, adding that recent conversations she’s had with would-be whistleblowers left her persuaded that “there are a lot of people who have stories to share.”After the country rejected Trump so overwhelmingly, their willingness to speak out is likely to grow.
民事蔑视法庭是另一种选择。这一机制将传票执行外包给法官,法官可对不配合的官员处以罚款。它避免了固有蔑视法庭的明显问题,但运作速度慢得多。而且官员们很有可能越来越不愿意为一个日薄西山的特朗普冒巨额财务损失的风险,尤其是他的党内许多人已在展望后特朗普时代。
Civil contempt is another option. This mechanism outsources subpoena enforcement to judges, who can levy fines on noncompliant officials. It avoids the obvious problems associated with inherent contempt, though it operates at a much slower pace. And it’s very plausible that officials will grow less willing to risk a big financial hit on behalf of a sunsetting Trump, particularly with many in his party looking beyond him.
沃金肖告诉我们:“理论上,你可以对个人按日、按周或按月处以罚款,直到他们遵守传票为止。我们绝对必须愿意这么做。”这类手段还包括:协助特朗普腐败的私营部门行为体。多名民主党人私下告诉我们,他们将寻找创造性方式,对那些屈服于压力达成“交易”、实际上将资金或资源输送给特朗普宠爱项目的实体——律师事务所、媒体公司、大学——实施监督。
“In theory, you could have an individual fined on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis for the time that they’re not complying with a subpoena,” Walkinshaw tells us. “We absolutely have to be willing to do that.”Also in this bucket: private-sector actors who abetted Trump’s corruption. Multiple Democrats privately told us that they will be looking for creative ways to bring oversight to bear on entities—law firms, media companies, universities—that capitulated to pressure to make “deals” that in effect handed money or resources to Trump’s pet causes.
其他民主党人已在讨论对那些以向特朗普的“帝国项目”和竞选委员会“捐款”形式行贿、并因此获得政府优待待遇的企业实施监督,例如那些在向特舞会捐款后获得政府合同的公司。
Other Democrats are already discussing oversight of corporations that handed thinly veiled bribes to Trump in the form of “donations” to his imperial projects and campaign committees and were rewarded with favorable treatment from the government, such as the companies that received government contracts after donating to Trump’s ballroom.
这里的关键细微差别在于,这为直接监督特朗普的腐败行为开辟了一条他无法阻挠的途径。这些实体若无视监督要求,将面临严重的法律和财务风险。随着民主党掌权、特朗普声望下滑、公众明确反对他,高管们将有动机披露他们决定随波逐流、配合特朗普腐败行为的内部通信。
The key nuance here is that this creates a route to direct oversight of Trump’s corruption that he can’t obstruct. These entities can’t simply defy oversight demands without creating serious legal and financial risk for themselves. With Democrats taking power, Trump in decline, and the public clearly arrayed against him, incentives will align for executives to divulge internal communications about their decision to bandwagon with Trump’s corruption.
“通过关注外部行为体,你更有机会获取信息,”一位资深参议院助手告诉我们。然而,一些民主党人已经对这种做法退缩:其中一位令人费解地告诉《政治报》(Politico),这种监督将构成“香蕉共和国”行径,而事实上这将是为了撤销特朗普把美国变成“香蕉共和国”的努力。
“By focusing on outside actors, you have a better chance of getting information,” a senior Senate aide told us. Yet some Democrats are already balking at this approach: One bafflingly told Politico that such oversight would constitute “banana republic” conduct, when in fact it would be about undoing Trump’s efforts to turn us into a banana republic.
这些实体将辩称他们只是在胁迫下向特朗普屈服。但屈服是可选择的。每一家坚守原则的公司、律所和大学都幸存下来——甚至蓬勃发展。至于那些没有坚守原则的实体,如果他们想辩称自己配合特朗普的腐败计划只是因为别无选择,民主党应该向他们提出新的要求:要求他们公开大力支持新的反腐败立法,以纠正错误。
These entities will plead that they only surrendered to Trump under duress. But caving was optional. Every company and firm and university that held to principle survived—even flourished. As for those that didn’t, to the extent that they want to contend they played ball with Trump’s corrupt schemes only because they felt they had no choice, Democrats should confront them with a new demand: that they show meaningful public support for new anti-corruption legislation to set things right.
最后,还有一种简单的策略:收集信息,以备日后民主党若在2028年赢得总统大选、由一位真正的司法部长接管司法部时,可用于未来的起诉。如果国会能够发现联邦法律遭到明确违反——即真实、合法的违法行为,而非特朗普司法部炮制的虚假指控——涉及特朗普政府官员或与其腐败勾结的外部行为体,这一策略便变得切题。
Finally, there’s the simple tactic of gathering information that might be usable for future prosecutions if Democrats win the presidency in 2028 and a real attorney general takes over. That becomes germane if Congress is able to discover clear violations of federal law—actual, legitimate violations, as opposed to the fake ones drummed up by Trump’s DOJ—on the part of Trump officials or outside actors who corruptly collaborated with them.
事实上,刘云平告诉我们,他打算以此为目的对证人进行提问。“我们要做的主要事情之一,是为下一届司法部收集证据,”刘云平说,并补充称,此类证据也可成为州检察长提起诉讼的素材。
Indeed, Lieu told us he intends to question witnesses with this in mind. “One of the main things we should do is get evidence for the next Department of Justice,” Lieu said, adding that such evidence could also be grist for prosecutions by state attorneys general.
正如奥卡西奥-科尔特斯所证明的,在对配合的证人进行审慎提问的情况下,这一方法行之有效。但它是通过委托和推迟问责来发挥作用的。在此期间,特朗普可能造成的损害——对移民、对同盟关系、对我们的宪法体制——将是不可估量的。
As Ocasio-Cortez proved, this can work under careful questioning of cooperative witnesses. But it works by delegating and deferring accountability. The damage Trump can do in the meantime—to immigrants, to alliances, to our constitutional system—will be incalculable.
战斗核心小组 当前民主党内部缺乏共识,令人沮丧的一点在于,过去的国会在危险程度较低的时期表现出了更大的勇气。
A Fight Caucus One of the frustrating things about this lack of consensus among Democrats right now is that past congresses have shown more mettle in less perilous times.
众议院曾因安德鲁·约翰逊不当解雇一名内阁官员而对其弹劾,虽有争议,但这提醒我们:当严重情况需要时,弹劾应继续保留为一种工具。1879年,众议院曾逮捕一名美国驻华公使——一位行政部门官员——罪名仅是隐瞒公务账本,国会认为这些账本可能显示浪费或盗窃的证据。当国会面临如此多更紧迫的对其权威的冒犯需要遏制时,为何这种做法反而成了禁忌?
The House impeached Andrew Johnson for improperly firing a Cabinet official, and while that was controversial, it’s a reminder that impeachment should remain a tool when serious circumstances warrant it. In 1879, the House of Representatives arrested a U.S. envoy to China—an executive branch official—for the comparably small sin of concealing official ledgers, which Congress believed might show evidence of waste or theft. Why should this approach be verboten when Congress has so many more pressing affronts to its authority to beat back?
一些外界声音开始主张采取固有蔑视权等强硬手段。“我不认为那是死胡同,”乔治城大学的查费茨说。他让我们设想这样一个场景:国会拘留埃隆·马斯克——他享有极其丰厚的政府合同——因为他拒绝就其与特朗普关于权钱交易腐败的对话作证。特朗普无疑会主张行政特权适用,而他的主张将在法庭上诉讼——可能长达数月或数年。
Some outside voices are starting to make the case for hardball tactics like inherent contempt. “I do not think that’s a dead end,” Georgetown’s Chafetz said. He asked us to envision a scenario in which Congress detains Elon Musk, who enjoys extraordinarily lucrative government contracts, for refusing to testify about his conversations with Trump about their quid pro quo corruption. Trump would undoubtedly claim executive privilege applies, and his claim would be litigated in court—possibly for months or years.
与此同时,马斯克可能会恳请法院下令释放他——但在这些案件审理期间,他将被关押在某种拘留设施中。“一名无视国会传票的私人公民,在其抗命行为被诉讼期间被羁押,这似乎并不特别荒唐,”查费茨告诉我们。
Meanwhile, Musk could plead with the courts to order his release—but while those cases are pending, he’d be stuck in some kind of holding facility. “It doesn’t seem particularly outlandish for a private citizen who is defying a congressional subpoena to be held in custody while that defiance is litigated,” Chafetz told us.
最终,我们认为,抵制这种做法的民主党人将容易受到多种因素的共同影响:公众压力、特朗普不断升级的无法无天,以及更有进取心的同僚的劝说。那些认为我们仍处于危机之中、看到民主党人退缩挑战时感到痛心的领袖,应该敦促不情愿的同僚加入他们。
In the end, we think that Democrats who resist this sort of approach will be susceptible to a combination of factors: public pressure, Trump’s escalating lawlessness, and cajoling from more energetic peers. Leaders who believe we’re still in the midst of crisis, and who feel pained when Democrats shrink from challenges, should prod reluctant colleagues to join them.
事实上,我们认为,这些有进取心的民主党人应该通过组建“战斗核心小组”——众议院一个、参议院一个——来正式为即将到来的斗争做组织准备。自由核心小组、进步核心小组、蓝狗联盟及其他核心小组中的大批成员,经常施加影响,从而改变整个政党的战略方向。
Indeed, we think these energetic Democrats should formally organize for what’s coming by creating Fight Caucuses—one in the House, one in the Senate. Large blocs of members in the Freedom Caucus, Progressive Caucus, Blue Dog Coalition, and other caucuses routinely bring influence to bear that changes the strategic direction of whole parties.
众议院的“战斗党团”也可以这样做。它可以要求杰弗里斯做出可强制执行的让步,而杰弗里斯希望顺利当选议长。我们同样希望,外部倡导团体——无论是现有的还是新成立的——都将宪政强硬手段视为民主党必须满足的试金石,其重要性不亚于支持堕胎权、全民医疗或环境保护。他们可以给每位议员打“战斗分”,并为民主党初选选民提供方向:这位候选人是民主、宪政治理和法治的坚定斗士;那位候选人不是。
A Fight Caucus in the House could do the same. It can demand enforceable concessions from Jeffries, who will want a free and easy path to the speakership. We similarly hope that outside advocacy groups—existing ones, or new ones—will treat constitutional hardball as a litmus test that Democrats must meet, no less than support for abortion rights, universal health care, or environmental protection. They can give each member a Fight Score, and provide direction to Democratic Party primary voters: This candidate was a stalwart fighter for democracy, constitutional governance, and the rule of law.
安萨里本人表示,她对“战斗党团”的想法持开放态度。她还提出了一个关键观点:在党团内部组织起来捍卫法治,可能会增强党内凝聚力。“这是团结人们的好方法,”安萨里表示,并指出,“反腐败和反威权主义”在党团的“每个部分”都有支持者。也许对犹豫不决的民主党人来说,最好的提醒是让他们想起特朗普是怎样的人。他无可救药。尽管有些人可能希望假装一切正常,但他不会给他们选择。他们通过抵制对抗所做的一切,只是让特朗普来决定不可避免的权力斗争将在什么条件下展开。
That candidate was not. Ansari, for her part, says she’s open to the idea of Fight Caucuses. And she makes a critical point: Organizing within the caucuses in defense of the rule of law could improve party cohesion. “It’s a great way to unify people,” Ansari said, noting that “fighting corruption and authoritarianism” has adherents in “every part of the caucus.”Perhaps the best message for hesitant Democrats is to remind them of who Trump is. He is incorrigible. Much as some may want to proceed as if everything’s normal, he will leave them no choice. All they do by resisting confrontation is let him set the terms on which inevitable power struggles unfold.
我们正进入一个将由悖论定义的时期。一方面,特朗普将把其滥用权力和对宪政秩序的攻击推向危险的新低点。另一方面,在公众眼中——甚至在他自己党派的许多人眼中——他将被视为一个赤裸裸、暴露无遗的暴君,一个越来越可笑、正在退出政治舞台的人物。解决这一悖论的最佳方式,是民主党发动全面进攻,拯救国家。紧急状态依然存在;但这个专制者试图巩固威权统治的企图,已遭遇可能致命的挫折。现在是时候,通过动用国会权力的最后一点余力,彻底终结这场国家噩梦。
We are entering a period that will be defined by a paradox. On one hand Trump will take his abuses of power and assaults on the constitutional order to dangerous new lows. On the other hand, in the eyes of the public—and even in the eyes of many in his own party—he will be seen as a naked and exposed tyrant, an increasingly ludicrous figure who’s passing from the political scene. The best way to resolve this paradox is for Democrats to mount a full-on offensive to save the country. The emergency remains; but the despot’s attempt to cement authoritarian rule has been dealt a potentially fatal setback. Now is the time to bury this national nightmare once and for all, by deploying every last shred of congressional power to that end.