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美元走强,美联储官员警告通胀风险Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation

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2022年6月16日拍摄的示意图中可见日元和美元纸币。路透社/Florence Lo/插图Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration

美元周三早盘亚洲时段交易中守住涩幅,徘徊在两周高点附近,因通胀报告热于预期,且美联储官员发表鹰派言论,助长了市场押注央行将于下月加息。

The dollar held gains near a two-week high in early Asian trade on Wednesday as a hotter-than-expected inflation report and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials fuelled bets the central bank will raise rates next month.

衡量美元兑六种主要货币汇率的美元指数持稳于102.22,逼近10月28日以来的最高水平。

The US dollar index , which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was steady at 102.22, closing in on its highest level since October 28.

周二该指数上涨0.5%,此前数据显示,受食品和住宿成本上涨推动,美国10月消费者物价涨幅超出预期。

The gauge traded up 0.5% on Tuesday after data showed US consumer prices increased by more than expected in October amid higher costs for food and accommodation.

“利率市场定价的不仅仅是再加息一次,”Pepperstone Group Ltd驻墨尔本研究主管Chris Weston表示,“它在质疑美国货币政策最终可能需要变得多么紧缩,这对风险资产而言是一场影响深远得多的辩论。”美元在早盘亚洲时段交易中兑主要货币守住涨幅。欧元和英镑分别持平于1.1168美元和1.3345美元。兑日元,美元维持不变,报158.715日元。澳元上涨0.1%至0.6870美元,从七个月低点回升;新西兰元持平于0.5605美元。

"The rates market isn't simply pricing another hike," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group Ltd in Melbourne. "It's questioning how restrictive US monetary policy may ultimately need to become, and that's a far more consequential debate for risk assets." The dollar held onto its gains against its major peers in early Asian trade. The euro and the British pound were flat at $1.1168 and $1.3345, respectively. Against the yen , the US dollar was unchanged at 158.715 yen. The Australian dollar was up 0.1% at $0.6870, edging back from a seven-month low, while the New Zealand dollar was flat at $0.5605.

美联储利率决策委员会投票成员发表言论,流露对高通胀的不安,这巩固了市场对进一步加息的预期,导致交易员几乎完全放弃了美联储将在下次政策会议上维持利率不变的押注,该会议将于12月9日结束。

Comments from voting members of the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee signalling unease over high inflation have firmed expectations for further rate hikes, prompting traders to all but abandon bets that the US central bank will stand pat at its next policy meeting, which concludes on December 9.

根据CME Group的“美联储观察”工具,联邦基金期货隐含未来一个月加息25个基点的概率为91.9%,高于前一天的84%。市场已完全排除暂停加息的可能性,并看到有9.1%的概率加息50个基点,同时认为1月再次加息的几率超过五成。美国10年期国债收益率上涨13.8个基点,报4.996%。

Fed funds futures now imply a 91.9% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike next month, up from 84% a day earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Markets have fully priced out the possibility of a pause and see a 9.1% chance of a larger 50-basis-point move, while assigning better-than-even odds to a second hike in January. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond was up 13.8 basis points at 4.996%.

在加密货币市场,比特币下跌0.3%,报73,566.45美元;以太坊下跌0.5%,报2,044.61美元,两者均接近三个月低点。

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 0.3% at $73,566.45 while ether was 0.5% lower at $2,044.61, both trading near three-month lows.

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