悉尼，11月11日电 - 受美国通胀数据火热及央行官员鹰派言论影响，市场预期美联储下月可能大幅加息50个基点，全球债券价格下跌，美元保持坚挺，但股市表现韧性十足。
SYDNEY, Nov 11 - Global bonds tumbled and the dollar stayed firm after a hot US inflation print and hawkish central bank rhetoric raised the risk of an outsized half-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month, though stocks remained resilient.
隔夜公布的数据显示，美国10月核心通胀环比上涨0.3%，高于预期的0.2%。数据公布前，美联储理事沃勒表示，如果核心通胀读数为0.3%，将促使他考虑在12月下次会议上加息50个基点。
Data showed overnight core US inflation ran at a monthly rate of 0.3% in October, higher than the forecast 0.2%. Before the data landed, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said a core reading of 0.3% would prompt him to consider a 50-basis-point hike at the next meeting in December.
达拉斯联储主席洛根称还需要再加息两次，可能会较快进行；芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比警告目前面临“真正的通胀问题”；费城联储主席保罗森则主张逐步加息。
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said two more rate rises were needed, possibly rapidly, and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warned of a "real inflation issue" on hand, while Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson called for gradual rate hikes.
联邦基金利率期货目前暗示，加息25个基点基本已成定局，加息50个基点的概率为10%。到明年年中，市场已完全定价累计加息三次、每次25个基点。
Fed funds futures now imply a quarter-point move is essentially locked in, with a 10% probability of a 50 bp rise. A total of three quarter-point moves are fully priced in by the middle of next year.
隔夜两年期美国国债收益率飙升18个基点。亚洲债券遭抛售，日本10年期国债收益率上升7个基点至2.755%，澳大利亚同期限收益率上升6个基点至5.05%。
Two-year Treasury yields surged 18 basis points overnight. Bonds in Asia were sold off, with Japan’s 10-year government bond yield up 7 bps to 2.755%, and Australia’s up 6 bp to 5.05%.
高盛首席美国经济学家梅里克尔表示：“尽管沃勒发表了上述言论，我们仍预计美联储将在12月再次加息25个基点，因为我们怀疑大多数联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）票委会犹豫是否直接跳跃式加息50个基点。”
"Despite Waller’s comment, we continue to expect a second 25bp rate hike in December because we suspect that most FOMC voters would hesitate to jump to a 50bp hike," said David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman.
“但我们在预测中增加了2027年3月第三次加息25个基点，这将使联邦基金利率峰值达到4.25%-4.5%区间。” 在亚洲，MSCI亚太股指上涨0.2%，逆势走强，无视华尔街疲软；日本日经225指数上涨0.6%。
"But we are adding a third 25bp hike to our forecast in March 2027, which would take the funds rate to a peak of 4.25-4.5%." In Asia, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares rose 0.2%, defying the weakness on Wall Street, and Japan’s Nikkei climbed 0.6%.
软银集团股价下跌3.3%，此前该公司第二季度录得70亿美元净亏损，主要受美国数据中心巨额建设成本拖累。
Shares of SoftBank Group slid 3.3% after it took a net loss of $7 billion in the second quarter, hit hard by hefty buildout costs for US data centres.
韩国综合股价指数（KOSPI）上涨0.4%，中国蓝筹股下跌0.2%。
South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.4%, while China’s blue chips lost 0.2%.
纳斯达克期货反弹0.5%，标普500指数期货上涨0.2%。欧洲股指期货上涨0.6%。
Nasdaq futures bounced 0.5%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%. European stock futures gained 0.6%.
英伟达仍处于一场政治风暴的中心，该公司正在调查首席执行官黄仁勋是否成为外国情报行动的目标。其股价隔夜下跌5.5%，自近期高点以来的跌幅达到30%。
Nvidia remained at the centre of a political storm as the company probes whether CEO Jensen Huang was targeted by a foreign intelligence operation. Its shares slid 5.5% overnight, taking losses from their recent peak to 30%.
在这一令人不安的背景下，Anthropic 正推进其上市计划，估值达1.4万亿美元，这将对华尔街对其助燃的人工智能热潮的信心构成关键考验。发售期将持续至周二，预计下周四开始交易。
Against that uneasy backdrop, Anthropic is pressing ahead with its listing at a $1.4 trillion valuation, setting up a key test of Wall Street’s faith in the AI boom it helped ignite. The offer period runs until Tuesday with trading expected to start next Thursday.
美元上涨，黄金下跌 利率预期的重新定价提振了美元，美元隔夜兑主要货币上涨0.5%。周三美元再度小幅上涨0.1%，至102.29。
DOLLAR GAINS, GOLD SLIDES The repricing in interest rate expectations lifted the dollar, which gained 0.5% overnight against its major peers. It edged up another 0.1% on Wednesday to 102.29.
风险敏感型货币澳元在外汇市场成为最大受害者，暴跌近0.9%，交易员押注其央行在今年加息五次后已结束紧缩周期，预计明年将降息。
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was the biggest casualty in the currency markets, having dived nearly 0.9% as traders wagered its central bank is done tightening after five rate rises this year with rate cuts expected next year.
亚洲时段美债收益率小幅上行。2年期美债收益率上涨2个基点至4.7482%，隔夜曾飙升18个基点；10年期美债收益率上涨1个基点至4.9958%，隔夜上涨12个基点。
Treasury yields climbed a little in Asia. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 2 bps to 4.7482% after surging 18 bps overnight, while the 10-year yield rose 1 bp to 4.9958% after a 12-bp rise overnight.
美元走强重创黄金，贵金属隔夜下跌2.6%，周三小幅反弹0.2%，至每盎司4030.56美元。
A stronger US dollar hit gold hard, with the precious metal down 2.6% overnight before edging up 0.2% on Wednesday to $4,030.56 an ounce.
“随着全期限收益率走高、持仓成本居高不下、美元走坚以及可能出现的流动性挑战，黄金价格可能会回落至每盎司3900美元附近的技术支撑位，”道明证券分析师称。
"With yields higher across the curve, elevated carry costs, a firmer greenback, and possible liquidity challenges, it is likely that the yellow metal will trade back down to technical support near $3,900/oz," said analysts at TD Securities.
油价周三反弹，此前已连跌两日，市场寄希望于美国中期选举民主党获胜后，伊朗战争将很快得到解决。布伦特原油期货上涨0.7%，至每桶92.16美元，隔夜曾跌至89.16美元低位。
Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday after two days of losses on hopes that the Iran war would be resolved soon after the Democrats’ victory at the US midterm elections. Brent crude futures rose 0.7% to $92.16 a barrel, having dropped as low as $89.16 overnight.