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大胜之后民主党人陷入舒默之争Democrats mire themselves in Schumer debate after landslide win

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伊丽莎白·弗兰茨/路透社Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

一些民主党人表示,他们不会投票支持查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)担任民主党领袖。其他人则拒绝公开为他背书,而马里兰州民主党参议员克里斯·范·荷连(Chris Van Hollen)正在权衡是否发起挑战并给同僚打电话。

Some Democrats say they won’t vote for Chuck Schumer to be Democrat leader. Others are declining to endorse him publicly as Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., weighs a challenge and dials up colleagues.

但自信的舒默表现得就像他会留任一样。他的许多同僚也急于完全跳过民主党的内讧,直接迎接12月1日舒默再次当选民主党领袖的时刻。

But a confident Schumer is acting like he’s staying put. And many of his colleagues are itching to skip the Democratic infighting altogether and reach the moment when Schumer is reelected Democratic leader on Dec. 1.

罗德岛州民主党参议员谢尔顿·怀特豪斯(Sheldon Whitehouse)对《semafor》网站表示:“舒默在那些不理解参议院党领袖角色的人当中一直是个不受欢迎的人物。我认为这可能对他们在竞选之路上有帮助。”他说:“这并不是参议院领袖第一次帮助那些反对他领导地位的当选议员。”他表示,有信心在尘埃落定后,舒默将成为胜者。舒默也同样充满信心。

“Schumer has been an unpopular figure among people who don’t understand the role of the Senate party leader. And I think it probably helped them on the trail,” Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, D-R.I., told Semafor. “It’s not the first time that a Senate leader has helped elected members who have opposed his leadership.”He said he was confident when all is said and done, Schumer will emerge as the victor. Schumer is, too.

这位纽约州参议员多次坚称,他明年将再次担任多数党领袖。作为这种自信的体现,他已经在与众议院民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(Hakeem Jeffries)共同规划统一的民主党议程。他周三做的事情只有即将回归的领袖才会做:与新当选的参议员会面,例如新罕布什尔州民主党众议员克里斯·帕帕斯(Chris Pappas)和堪萨斯州准参议员亚当·汉密尔顿(Adam Hamilton),讨论他们的优先事项以及他们希望加入哪些委员会。

The New York senator has asserted repeatedly he’ll be the majority leader again next year. And in a sign of that confidence, he’s already plotting out a unified Democratic agenda with House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries. He spent his Wednesday doing things that only a returning leader would: meeting with incoming newly-elected senators like Rep. Chris Pappas, D-N.H., and Sen.-elect Adam Hamilton, D-Kan., to discuss their priorities and what committees they’d like to serve on.

舒默的表现并不像一个票数不够的人。汉密尔顿曾呼吁更换党内领导层,他在周三的会谈后对《semafor》网站表示,舒默并没有要求他重新考虑这一诉求:“没有,事实上一点也没有。”汉密尔顿说:“我们谈到了初入政坛时的不知所措,谈到了故事、重要的事情以及委员会。”

Schumer is not acting like a guy who is short of the votes. Hamilton has called for new party leadership and told Semafor that Schumer didn’t ask him to reconsider that demand during their sitdown on Wednesday: “No, he didn’t at all, actually.”“We talked about being overwhelmed when you’re first getting into this and talked about stories, things that matter, committees,” Hamilton said.

通往胜利之路。舒默招募了多名实力强劲的民主党候选人,其中包括俄亥俄州前参议员谢罗德·布朗、北卡罗来纳州前州长罗伊·库珀,以及阿拉斯加州前众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉(她在尚未决出胜负的选战中领先于阿拉斯加州共和党参议员丹·沙利文)。尽管如此,毫无疑问,民主党党团的核心正在发生变化,舒默必须适应这种变化。

Path to victory Schumer recruited a number of strong Democratic candidates, including former Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, former Gov. Roy Cooper of North Carolina, and former Rep. Mary Peltola of Alaska (who is ahead of Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, in a race that has yet to be called). Still, there’s no question that the core of the Democratic Caucus is changing and Schumer has to adapt to it.

怀特豪斯属于2006届参议员,那是舒默作为党内竞选委员会主席首次取得参议院重大胜利的年份,当时他通过翻转该院实现了党派更替。两年后,他取得了令人瞩目的60席多数优势。随着他在2017年成为领袖,这些民主党人构成了他政治权力的基石,尽管他在国会大厦之外的名誉有所受损,但他在党团内部的支持率依然强劲。

Whitehouse is from the class of 2006, the year of Schumer’s first big Senate triumph, when he flipped the chamber as party campaign chair. He then achieved a stunning 60-seat majority two years later. Those Democrats were the bulwark of Schumer’s political power as he became leader in 2017, and his support remains strong within the caucus even as his reputation has eroded outside the Capitol.

尽管舒默不遗余力地为候选人筹款并招募候选人,但2026届参议员有他们自己的想法。与舒默结盟的参议院多数党超级政治行动委员会及其关联机构分别在密歇根州花费了6700万美元、在缅因州花费了6500万美元、在堪萨斯州花费了1400万美元,结果却看到这些参议员表示不支持他。

And despite Schumer’s relentless fundraising on candidates’ behalf and candidate recruitment, the class of 2026 has its own ideas. The Schumer-aligned Senate Majority PAC and its affiliates spent $67 million in Michigan, $65 million in Maine, and $14 million in Kansas, only to see those senators say they do not support him.

“我们将有很多新声音进入参议院,这些人一直在基层直接听取选民对现状的沮丧情绪。因此,我们必须确保领导层认识到这一时刻的紧迫性,”明尼苏达州民主党籍当选参议员佩吉·弗拉纳根说。“我们将看看谁决定介入,”她补充道,并称赞范霍伦“非常棒”。舒默也需要采取行动来重塑他的党团。随着明尼苏达州参议员埃米·克洛布查尔准备宣誓就任该州州长,他可能会把马萨诸塞州进步派参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦提拔到更显赫的领导职位上。

“We have a lot of new voices coming into the Senate and folks who have been on the ground hearing directly from their constituents about how frustrated they are. So we just have to make sure that leadership recognizes the urgency of this moment,” said Sen.-elect Peggy Flanagan, D-Minn. “We’ll see who decides to step in,” she added, calling Van Hollen “fantastic.”Schumer also has moves to make to reshape his caucus. He may elevate progressive Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., to a more prominent leadership position as Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., prepares to be sworn in as governor of her state.

2024年当选参议员、身为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普直言不讳的批评者的加利福尼亚州参议员亚当·希夫也在为争取一个领导职务四处致电。

Sen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., a vocal critic of President Donald Trump who was elected to the Senate in 2024, is also making calls about a position in leadership.

到目前为止,除了纽约州民主党参议员基尔斯滕·吉利布兰德外,没有人举手竞选民主党参议员竞选委员会主席一职——该职位由党领袖任命。吉利布兰德刚刚度过了一个极其成功的2026年选举周期。

So far, no one besides Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., is raising their hand to be chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee — a position appointed by the party leader. Gillibrand just enjoyed a wildly successful 2026 cycle.

最重要的是,舒默将不得不决定是否在2028年竞选参议员连任,以开启另一个六年任期。

And most importantly, Schumer will have to decide whether he will run for another six-year term as senator in 2028.

胜券在握 尽管佐治亚州民主党参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克和弗吉尼亚州民主党参议员马克·沃纳等许多民主党人拒绝公开支持舒默,但民主党人相信,舒默在私下的承诺远远超出了他的公开承诺。定于12月1日举行的领导层选举采用无记名投票方式,漫长的筹备期对于有全国抱负的议员来说,很难通过过早背书舒默来获得什么实质好处。

Votes in hand Even as a number of Democrats like Sens. Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., and Mark Warner, D-Va., decline to publicly back Schumer, Democrats believe Schumer’s private commitments range far beyond his public ones. The long windup to the Dec. 1 leadership election, which is conducted by secret ballot, offers little upside for members with national ambitions to endorse Schumer early.

即便如此,许多民主党人仍公开支持他。于2006年首次进入参议院的布朗表示,在舒默阵营的组织在俄亥俄州砸下令人咋舌的1.5亿美元后,他将支持舒默。与民主党党团结盟的缅因州无党派参议员安格斯·金在CNN上表示,他预计党团将团结在舒默周围。

But even so, a number of Democrats are still publicly backing him. Brown, who was first ushered into the Senate in 2006, says he’ll support Schumer after Schumer-aligned groups spent an eye-watering $150 million in Ohio. Sen. Angus King of Maine, an independent who caucuses with Democrats, said on CNN that expects the caucus to unite around Schumer.

威斯康星州民主党参议员塔米·鲍德温表示她将支持舒默,康涅狄格州民主党参议员理查德·布卢门塔尔也表达了同样的支持。亚利桑那州民主党参议员鲁本·加莱戈补充道:“当经理带你打进世界大赛时,你会跟他续约。”

Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., said she’ll back Schumer, as did Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn. “When the manager takes you to the World Series, you give him another contract,” added Sen. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz.

舒默已经在规划明年的日程。参众两院的民主党人正计划对潜在的两党法案迅速采取立法行动,争取凑齐通过立法所需的4票或以上的共和党参议员支持。如果共和党人阻挠这些法案,杰弗里斯和舒默将更快地推进党派色彩鲜明的预算协调立法,使其得以送交特朗普签署。

And Schumer is already plotting out next year’s schedule. Senate and House Democrats are planning fast legislative action on potentially bipartisan bills by picking up the four or more Republican Senate votes they need to pass legislation. If Republicans block those bills, Jeffries and Schumer would move more quickly to party-line budget reconciliation legislation that can reach Trump’s desk.

如果舒默在某种程度上被赶下领袖的位置,新的民主党多数派将陷入极为被动的劣势。

If Schumer were somehow dislodged as leader, the new Democratic majority would be way behind the eight-ball.

加列戈和吉利布兰德本周对舒默大加赞赏之际,佛蒙特州无党派参议员伯尼·桑德斯宣布他无法支持舒默,而密歇根州民主党参议员埃丽萨·斯洛特金则表示,在从民主党领导层候选人那里得到“具体计划”之前,她会投反对票。桑德斯呼吁对“民主党的发展方向展开激烈的辩论”,向选民表明该党正在发生变化。

As Gallego and Gillibrand lauded Schumer this week, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., announced he can’t support him, while Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., said she’s a no until she gets a “concrete plan” from a Democratic leadership candidate. Sanders called for a “vigorous debate about the direction of the Democratic Party” to show voters the party is changing.

与此同时,范霍伦批评了舒默和吉利布兰德的选举策略,指责他们在候选人背书上“站在加密货币行业和美国以色列公共事务委员会一边”。

And Van Hollen criticized Schumer and Gillibrand’s electoral approach, accusing them of siding “with the crypto industry and AIPAC” in their candidate endorsements.

在经历了“水门事件”之后的最大胜利后,民主党人花了好几个星期对舒默评头论足,对杰弗里斯的评头论足则相对较少。这与赢得2010年以来最大参议院多数席位后人们所期望的感谢大相径庭。

After their biggest victory since post-Watergate, Democrats are spending weeks picking apart Schumer and, to a lesser extent, Jeffries. That’s not exactly the thank-you one might expect after winning the largest Senate majority since 2010.

更不用说,舒默此前在佛罗里达州和路易斯安那州的参议院竞选中没有投入更多资金,而这两场竞选最终的结果比预期得更为胶着,至今仍受到事后诸葛亮般的指责。真是一份吃力不讨好的工作。

Not to mention that Schumer is still being second-guessed for not spending more in Florida and Louisiana, on Senate races that ended up closer than expected. Talk about a thankless job.

如果范霍伦参与竞争,这场内讧可能会持续数周。舒默将是压倒性的热门人选,但这对于民主党人来说,将是2027年到来之前不希望看到的干扰。

The infighting could extend for weeks if Van Hollen runs against him. Schumer would be the heavy favorite, but it would be an unwanted distraction for Democrats ahead of 2027.

但就目前而言,舒默是唯一一个想要这个职位的人。正如参议院共和党领袖约翰·图恩本周所发现的那样,如果批评者推举不出反对派候选人,他们的气势很快就会消退。

But for now, Schumer is the only one who wants the job. As Senate GOP Leader John Thune found out this week, your critics lose steam pretty quick if they can’t put up an opposition candidate.

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