印度尼西亚政坛两大权力中心以令人意外的联盟形式走到了一起，前将军普拉博沃·苏比安托在2024年总统大选中选择前任佐科·维多多之子作为竞选搭档。
Two major centres of power in Indonesian politics came together in a surprise alliance when former general Prabowo Subianto picked predecessor Joko Widodo's son as his running mate in the 2024 presidential election.
但本周吉布兰·拉卡布明·拉卡辞职，以避免因学历资格不足而在议会面临弹劾，这被广泛视为该伙伴关系出现裂痕的迹象，或许预示着政治格局将发生重大变化。
But this week's resignation of Gibran Rakabuming Raka, to avoid impeachment in parliament for a lack of educational qualifications, is widely seen as a sign that partnership is fraying, perhaps presaging a significant shift in politics.
“老实说，坐在这个位置上从来不是我设计、思考或追求的，”39岁的吉布兰周四在告别视频讲话中说，前一天他刚辞去副总统职务。
"Honestly, sitting in this seat was never something I designed, thought about, or pursued," Gibran, 39, said in a farewell video message on Thursday, a day after resigning from the job of vice president.
他补充说，在成为普拉博沃竞选搭档之前，他经历了“沉重的内心挣扎”，而这段始于并终于有争议的法院裁决的两年任期就此落幕。
Gibran went through a "heavy inner struggle" before becoming Prabowo's running mate, he added, as the curtain fell on a two-year tenure that began and ended with contentious court rulings.
普拉博沃选择从未表达过个人政治野心的佐科长子——这位性格温和的长子——构成了一项政治交易的一部分，让这位领导人得以借用佐科维（前总统的广为人知的昵称）的部分声望。
Prabowo's choice of the soft-spoken eldest son of Widodo who never expressed political ambitions of his own formed part of a political bargain that let the leader access some of the popularity of Jokowi, as the former president is widely known.
分析人士认为，这是曾经的死敌之间的一场权宜之婚：佐科维曾两次在总统大选中击败普拉博沃，随后却给予他支持，达成了一项既保全了自身政治影响力、又为政治家族铺平道路的交易。
Analysts viewed it as a marriage of convenience between once bitter rivals: Jokowi twice defeated Prabowo for the presidency before giving him his support in a deal that preserved his own political influence and opened the way for a political dynasty.
吉布兰本周离任之际，正值有关两位领导人分歧日益加大的报道不断，尽管双方在辞职后都公开表态相互支持。
Gibran's exit this week comes amid reports of growing differences between the leaders, though both sides moved to publicly declare support for each other in the wake of the resignation.
新加坡尤索夫·伊萨研究所的布尔哈努丁·穆塔迪表示：“吉布兰最终在没有任何明显强有力的政治后盾支撑下辞职，这可以被解读为普拉博沃与佐科维之间的政治关系发生了根本性转变的迹象。”
"That Gibran has finally stepped down without any apparent strong political backing to keep him can be interpreted as a sign that the political relationship between Prabowo and Jokowi has undergone a fundamental shift," said Burhanuddin Muhtadi of Singapore's Yusof Ishak Institute.
分析人士表示，公开分裂可能会给一个因标志性项目（如免费学校餐食政策）陷入丑闻、且经济管理能力受到质疑的政府带来进一步的动荡。
Analysts say an open split could spark further instability for a government besieged by scandals over signature programmes, such as a free school meals policy, and doubts over its prowess in managing the economy.
在对政府财政计划的审视，以及全球指数提供商 MSCI 可能降级股市的风险挥之不去的背景下，投资者对东南亚最大经济体的情绪今年已降温。
Investor sentiment towards Southeast Asia's biggest economy has cooled this year amid scrutiny of the government's fiscal plans, as well as lingering risks of a stock market downgrade by global index provider MSCI.
吉布兰的政治前途依然不明朗。他的弟弟凯桑·潘加雷普已开始动员印度尼西亚团结党（PSI），消息人士称，佐科维预计很快将在该党担任高层领导职务。
Gibran's political future is still unclear. His younger brother, Kaesang Pangarep, has begun mobilising the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI), in which sources say Jokowi is expected to take a senior leadership position soon.
作为家乡梭罗市市长，吉布兰在高层公职上几乎没有经验，梭罗是爪哇岛上的一座中等城市，因此他竞选副总统从一开始就备受争议。
With little experience in high office as the mayor of his hometown of Surakarta, a mid-sized city on the island of Java, Gibran's run for vice president was controversial from the start.
他曾以非正式服装出席官方会议和公开露面，例如在 2024 年的副总统辩论中身穿动漫夹克。
He was known to show up at official meetings and public appearances in informal clothes, such as an anime jacket sported in a vice presidential debate in 2024.
当时，《雅加达邮报》在一篇社论中批评吉布兰在舞台上的“滑稽举动”引来哄笑，并引发对他“是否适合成为国家领导人”的质疑。
In an editorial at the time The Jakarta Post newspaper faulted Gibran for on-stage "antics" that drew laughs and raised doubts about his "fitness to be a national leader".
大选大获全胜后，他在任期间显得孤立无援，即便以印尼副总统的惯常标准来看也是如此，尽管他的着装变得更正式，嬉皮笑脸的作风也被对关键事态发展保持沉默所取代。
After a landslide election victory, he cut an isolated figure in office, even by the usual standards of Indonesian vice presidents, though his clothes became more formal and his jocular manner was replaced by silence on key developments.
然而，一位熟悉吉布兰角色的政府消息人士表示，他在关键政府项目的决策中并未发挥作用，普拉博沃更多依赖自己的圈子。
However, he was not involved in decision-making on key government programmes, for which Prabowo relied more on his own circles, said a government source familiar with Gibran's role.
他最引人注目的公开时刻发生在 8 月一次校园视察中，他在数百名学生因政府提供的免费餐食生病后道歉，此举与政府试图淡化此事的努力背道而驰。
His most prominent moment in the limelight came with an apology on a school visit in August after hundreds of students were sickened by government-provided free meals, a move that went contrary to government efforts to play down the matter.
2023年，当时由吉布兰的叔叔领导的宪法法院废除了年龄限制，为其竞选资格铺平道路，引发了道德投诉。该裁决在普拉博沃宣布吉布兰为竞选搭档前几天作出。另一项法院裁决实际上终结了他的任期。选举法要求副总统候选人必须完成高中或同等学历教育。
In 2023, the Constitutional Court, headed at the time by Gibran's uncle, scrapped an age limit to free the way for his election candidacy, provoking ethics complaints. The ruling came just days before Prabowo declared Gibran as his running mate. Another court ruling effectively ended his tenure. Election law requires vice-presidential candidates to have completed senior high school or an equivalent level of education.
但上个月的法院裁决称，吉布兰提交的毕业证书证据不足以证明其毕业，吉布兰曾在国外留学，这一举动引发了弹劾提案。
But court rulings last month said the evidence for the certificate submitted by Gibran, who had studied abroad, fell short of proving his graduation, a move that prompted the impeachment proposal.
周三，跨政治光谱的议员都支持该提案，包括来自普拉博沃的大印尼运动党（Gerindra）的近十名议员。
Lawmakers across the political spectrum backed it on Wednesday, including nearly a dozen from Prabowo's Gerindra party.
两位了解佐科维想法的人士表示，当吉布兰的学历资质受到质疑时，普拉博沃及其联盟成员均未提供任何支持，这让佐科维感到失望。
Two people with knowledge of Jokowi's thinking said he was disappointed that neither Prabowo nor members of his coalition offered any support when questions were raised about Gibran's educational credentials.
“吉布兰的辞职并不一定意味着佐科维和普拉博沃已经完全决裂，”分析师布尔哈努丁·穆塔迪（Burhanuddin Muhtadi）表示。“然而，他们联盟中最重要的纽带之一已被切断。”
"Gibran’s resignation does not necessarily mean that Jokowi and Prabowo have completely parted ways," said analyst Burhanuddin Muhtadi. "However, one of the most important bonds of their alliance has been severed."