。莫斯科声称其占领该地区是不可避免的。但基辅迄今已阻碍了俄罗斯围困乌克兰“堡垒带”城市的企图。
Ukraine Claws Back Land in the Donbas, Thwarting a Russian Push Moscow says its capture of the region is inevitable. But Kyiv has so far stymied Russian efforts to encircle Ukrainian “fortress belt” cities.
俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·弗拉基米罗维奇·普京多次表示，乌克兰东部顿巴斯地区的陷落是不可避免的，而且会比基辅预想的更快发生。战场上的近期趋势却描绘了不同的图景。
The Russian president, Vladimir V. Putin, has repeatedly said that the fall of the Donbas region in eastern Ukraine is inevitable and will happen faster than Kyiv thinks. Recent trends on the battlefield paint a different picture.
乌克兰在顿巴斯北部持续数月的反攻挫败了俄罗斯围困该地区剩余乌克兰控制城市的企图。西方分析人士称，在基辅称之为“维瓦尔第行动”的乌克兰战役中，俄罗斯失去了数十平方英里的领土。
A monthslong Ukrainian counteroffensive in the northern part of the Donbas has thwarted Russian efforts to encircle the remaining Ukrainian-controlled cities in the region. Russia, Western analysts say, has lost dozens of square miles of territory during the Ukrainian campaign, which Kyiv is calling Operation Vivaldi.
在顿巴斯南部，俄罗斯继续发动猛烈攻势以突破乌克兰防线。但基辅已重新组织其防御，并迄今阻止了俄罗斯军队在试图包围顿巴斯主要城市时进一步深入。
In the southern Donbas, Russia continues to mount furious assaults to break through Ukrainian lines. But Kyiv has reorganized its defense there and has so far kept the Russian military from pressing farther in its efforts to surround the major Donbas cities.
更广泛地说，根据总部位于芬兰的研究机构黑鸟集团的数据，2026年俄罗斯在乌克兰全境的领土扩张速度较去年的缓慢步伐明显放缓。9月是自2023年6月以来俄罗斯在乌克兰境内净领土增益最差的月份。
More broadly, Russian gains across Ukraine have slowed markedly in 2026 from their already glacial pace of last year. September was the worst month in net territorial gains for Russia inside Ukraine since June 2023, according to the Finland-based research firm Black Bird Group.
尽管追踪战场的西方研究人员报告的数字各不相同，但他们普遍认为，俄罗斯今年获得的领土仅略多于其失去的领土。
While Western researchers who track the battlefield report varying numbers, they generally agree that Russia has gained only slightly more land than it has lost this year.