
首席经济学家菲利普·莱恩(Philip Lane)表示,由于对经济其余部分的外溢效应仍然有限,欧洲中央银行可以对中东冲突引发的能源价格冲击采取“温和”的应对措施。
The European Central Bank can take a “measured” response to the energy-price shock caused by conflict in the Middle East as spillovers to the rest of the economy remain limited, Chief Economist Philip Lane said.
亚历山大·韦伯(Alexander Weber)报道称,他周四在伦敦表示,虽然预计核心通货膨胀率明年将上升,但官员们目前并未看到任何“非线性”反应。他补充说,目前签署的工资协议“相当温和”。
By Alexander Weber While underlying inflation is expected to rise next year, officials aren’t witnessing any “non-linear” reaction at the moment, he said Thursday in London. Wage deals being signed at the moment are “quite moderate,” he added.
莱恩说:“有时你可以忽略,有时你必须以温和的方式应对,有时你必须采取非线性方式。”“我们目前所说的是,我们认为这是一个中等规模的冲击,我们需要采取温和的应对措施。”欧洲央行正在讨论是否要在为应对伊朗战争而已实施的两次加息基础上继续加息。经济学家预计,官员们将在12月发布新一轮经济预测时才会采取最终行动。
“Sometimes you can look through, sometimes you have to respond in a moderate way, and sometimes you have to be non-linear about it,” Lane said. “What we’re saying right now is we think this is a mid-sized shock, and a measured response is what we need to do.”The ECB is debating whether to add to the two interest-rate increases it enacted this year in response to the Iran war. Economists expect officials to deliver a final move only in December, when a new round of economic forecasts is available.

这将使存款利率达到2.75%,略高于被认为对经济具有中性影响的区间。
That would take the deposit rate to 2.75%, just above the range in which it’s thought to have a neutral impact on the economy.
一些管委会成员警告称,为了将通胀率拉回2%的目标,可能需要采取略微紧缩的立场。
Some Governing Council members have warned that a mildly restrictive stance may be necessary to return inflation to the 2% goal.
克罗地亚央行行长安特·齐格曼(Ante Zigman)在当天早些时候发言时预测,在10月下旬即将召开的会议上将发生“非常激烈的辩论”。
Speaking earlier in the day, Croat central-bank Governor Ante Zigman predictged a “very intense debate” at the forthcoming meeting later in October.