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欲颠覆法国政坛并取消其债务的极左翼激进分子The Far-Left Firebrand Who Wants to Upend France’s Politics—and Cancel Its Debt

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让-吕克·梅朗雄在巴黎举行的新闻发布会上。(Lafargue Raphael/Abaca/ZUMA Press)Jean-Luc Mélenchon at a press conference in Paris. (Lafargue Raphael/Abaca/ZUMA Press)

巴黎 — 让-吕克·梅朗雄誓言取消法国数千亿欧元的国家债务,起诉该国央行行长,国有化经济的大部分领域,并退出北约。

PARIS—Jean-Luc Mélenchon has vowed to cancel hundreds of billions of euros in France’s national debt, prosecute its central-bank governor, nationalize swaths of the economy and pull out of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

随着学生抗议浪潮席卷全国 — — 封锁学校,在某些情况下甚至纵火焚毁学校 — — 75 岁的梅朗雄加入了游行队伍,或在一旁为他们欢呼,将学生与法国大革命初期攻占巴士底狱的人们划上等号。

And as student protests have washed across the country—blockading schools and, in some cases, setting them on fire—the 75-year-old Mélenchon has joined the marches or cheered them from the sidelines, drawing parallels between the students and those who stormed the Bastille prison at the start of the French Revolution.

“巴士底狱已被夺回,”他在 X 上的一篇帖子中表示,并补充说学生们正“以最美好的方式表达他们的诉求。”如今,梅朗雄正成为海洋·勒庞的主要对手 — — 这位极右翼领袖是明年总统选举的领跑者。民意调查显示,这位极左派激进分子正在众多 establishment 候选人中脱颖而出,挤进与勒庞的第二轮决选。梅朗雄正在提出一种总统竞选的可能性 — — 由政治光谱两端定义的竞选。

“The Bastille has been retaken,” he said in a post on X, adding that students were “voicing their demands in the most beautiful way possible.”Now Mélenchon is emerging as the main rival of Marine Le Pen, the far-right leader and front-runner in next year’s presidential elections. Polls show the far-left firebrand elbowing past a crowded field of establishment candidates to make it into the second-round runoff with Le Pen. Mélenchon is raising the possibility of a presidential contest defined by the far ends of the political spectrum.

虽然他的言论正在激发部分法国选民的热情,但梅朗雄的对抗性作风和激进的经济提议却让全国大部分人感到不安。根据本周托卢纳哈里斯互动民调公司的一项调查,勒庞若与梅朗雄进入第二轮决选,将轻松获胜,支持率达 67%,而梅朗雄仅为 33%。

While his rhetoric is energizing part of the French electorate, Mélenchon’s confrontational style and radical economic proposals have spooked much of the country. Le Pen would easily win in a runoff against Mélenchon, leading 67% to 33%, according to a survey this week by pollster Toluna Harris Interactive.

“梅朗雄与勒庞的第二轮对决是终极噩梦场景,”特鲁弗尔资本的首席执行官菲利普·普莱蒂说,该公司是总部位于巴黎的风险投资公司。

“A second-round face-off between Mélenchon and Le Pen is the ultimate nightmare scenario,” said Philippe Pouletty, who heads Truffle Capital, a Paris-based venture-capital firm.

梅朗雄出生于摩洛哥,父母是法国人,童年时随家人移居法国,后来在法国东部的贝桑松大学学习法国文学和哲学。他曾参加了 1968 年震动法国高校的学生抗议活动。

Mélenchon was born in Morocco to French parents, moved to France as a child and later studied French literature and philosophy at the university of Besançon, in Eastern France. He took part in the student protests that rocked French universities in 1968.

梅朗雄敦促法国年轻抗议者,尽管批评人士称他是在煽动他们的愤怒。(Lafargue Raphael/Abaca/ZUMA Press)Mélenchon has urged on young French protesters, though critics say he is fanning the flames of their anger. (Lafargue Raphael/Abaca/ZUMA Press)

毕业后进入政坛,他加入了社会党,在那里待了三十多年,担任过各种职务。1986年,当时他35岁,成为当选参议员的最年轻的法国立法者。

After graduating and entering politics, he joined the Socialist Party, where he stayed for more than three decades serving in various posts. In 1986, when he was 35, he became the youngest French lawmaker to be elected to the Senate.

他于2008年离开社会党,成立了自己的政党——左翼党,后来该党演变为法国不屈党。过去十年里,他把该党从一个边缘运动转变为法国政坛的一股力量。

He left the Socialist Party in 2008 to establish his own political party, the Left Party, which later became France Unbowed. Over the past decade, he has transformed the party from a fringe movement into a force in French politics.

这是他第四次参加总统竞选。他通过关注少数群体受到的歧视和警察暴力等问题,把自己定位为法国工人阶级郊区—— banlieue 的捍卫者。

This is his fourth run for the presidency. He has positioned himself as a champion of the banlieues, France’s working-class suburbs, by focusing on issues such as discrimination against minorities and police violence.

“高中生运动对梅朗雄来说是天赐良机,”巴黎政治学院和法国国家科学研究中心的研究教授奥利维埃·科斯塔说。梅朗雄正试图借此建立势头,并把自己呈现为青年的候选人,他补充道。

“The high-school student movement is a godsend for Mélenchon,” says Olivier Costa, a research professor at the Paris-based Sciences Po university and the National Center for Scientific Research. Mélenchon is trying to build momentum behind it and present himself as the candidate of the youth, he added.

针对校园抗议,梅朗雄承诺大幅增加法国教育预算,招聘更多教师并提高他们的工资。他表示,随着抗议活动演变为暴力,导致一些抗议者受重伤,他将追究警察的责任。一名青少年的手被驱散手榴弹炸掉,另一人失去了一只眼睛,而一名14岁男孩遭遇了下颌骨折。

In response to the school protests, Mélenchon has promised to make big increases in the French education budget, hire more teachers and raise their salaries. He has said he would hold police accountable as the protests have turned violent, leading to severe injuries among some protesters. One teenager’s hand was blown off by a dispersal grenade, another lost an eye, while a 14-year-old boy suffered a jaw fracture.

近年来,他还受到其他政治领导人的批评,这些人指责他出于政治利益而煽动抗议。中间派总统候选人、前总理加布里埃尔·阿塔尔上周表示,他理解高中生的挫败感,但他指责梅朗雄在煽风点火。阿塔尔说:“他正在合法化暴力,呼吁暴乱,并把年轻人变成政治炮灰。”

He has drawn criticism in recent weeks from other political leaders, who have accused him of fueling the protests for political gain. Gabriel Attal, a centrist presidential candidate and former prime minister, said last week he understood the frustration of high-school students but he blamed Mélenchon for fanning the flames. He is “legitimizing violence, calling for riots, and turning young people into political cannon fodder,” Attal said.

梅朗雄呼吁对法国进行经济大改革。他希望提高最低工资,对燃料和必需品实行价格上限,将退休年龄降至60岁,并对净资产至少为1亿欧元(相当于1.12亿美元)的人征收财富税。他提出在绿色技术上进行深度投资,以实现他所描述的“生态分岔”。法国不屈党议员、梅朗雄的副手埃里克·科克雷尔表示:“这是要逆转当前的逻辑。”他说,梅朗雄希望推动经济刺激,而不是他所说的法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙灾难性的供给面经济学。

Mélenchon has called for an economic overhaul of France. He wants to increase the minimum wage, cap prices on fuel and essential goods, lower the age of retirement to 60, and adopt a wealth tax on the assets of people with net wealth of at least 100 million euros, equivalent to $112 million. He proposes deep investments in green technologies to implement what he describes as an “ecological bifurcation.”“It’s about reversing the current logic,” said Éric Coquerel, a France Unbowed lawmaker and a lieutenant of Mélenchon. He said Mélenchon wants to pursue economic stimulus rather than what he described as the disastrous supply-side economics of President Emmanuel Macron.

梅朗雄最具争议的想法之一是他提出冻结或抹去法国银行持有的法国国债,这一笔款项价值4880亿欧元。科克雷尔表示,这一举措将大幅降低法国的债务与GDP比率,并缓解其财政压力。

One of his Mélenchon’s most controversial ideas has been his proposal to freeze or wipe away the French bondholdings of the Bank of France, a sum worth €488 billion. Coquerel said the measure would considerably reduce France’s debt-to-GDP ratio and ease some of the pressure on its finances.

经济学家警告称,此举可能质疑欧洲中央银行的独立性,并且对政府的公共赤字没有实际影响。

Economists warn such a move risks calling into question the independence of the European Central Bank and that it would have no real impact on the government’s public deficit.

法国极右翼领导人玛丽娜·勒庞(右)是明年总统大选的领跑者。(Sarah Meyssonnier/Reuters)Marine Le Pen, the French far-right leader, right, is the front-runner in next year’s presidential elections. (Sarah Meyssonnier/Reuters)

“这是毫无意义的,”巴黎OFCE(一个巴黎的、国家资助的经济观测站)经济学家泽维尔·蒂姆博说。法国政府拥有该央行。这意味着政府为央行持有的债务支付的利息最终会以股息形式回到国库,他说。

“It’s pointless,” said Xavier Timbeau, an economist at OFCE, a Paris-based, state-funded economic observatory. The French government owns the central bank. That means the interest the government pays on the debt the bank holds ultimately goes back to state coffers as dividends, he said.

梅朗雄将对法国赤字紧急削减的呼吁描述为政府制造恐慌以推行紧缩措施。近年来,他一直与法国银行行长埃马纽埃尔·穆兰展开言语战争,因为该官员警告称,如果法国不清理其公共财政,就可能因利率而被“掐死”。

Mélenchon has described calls for the urgent reduction of France’s deficit as scaremongering by the government to push through austerity measures. In recent days, he has engaged in a war of words with Bank of France Governor Emmanuel Moulin, after the official warned the country risked being strangled by interest rates if it didn’t clean up its public finances.

在X平台的一篇帖子中,梅朗雄称穆兰的警告是叛国行为,并威胁要对他提起诉讼。

In a post on X, Mélenchon called Moulin’s warnings an act of treason and threatened to prosecute him.

“我不会让自己被吓倒,”穆兰在随后的一次广播采访中表示,并补充说他将继续直言不讳,捍卫他所领导的机构。

“I won’t let myself be intimidated,” Moulin said in a subsequent radio interview, adding he would continue to speak his mind and defend the institution he leads.

“我们拭目以待,”梅朗雄周日在一次集会上说,警告中央银行行长:“闭上你的嘴。”梅朗雄对加沙战争的立场也在左翼内部造成了分裂。在哈马斯领导的致命的10月7日袭击之后,他拒绝将该组织描述为恐怖组织。他成为以色列政府的批评者,称其在加沙的战争是种族灭绝,并将这一问题置于其政党在2024年欧洲议会选举竞选活动的中心。

“We’ll see about that,” Mélenchon said at a rally Sunday, warning the central bank governor: “Keep your mouth shut.”Mélenchon’s position on the war in Gaza has also sowed division within the left. Following the deadly Oct. 7 attack led by Hamas, he refused to describe the group as a terrorist organization. He became a critic of the Israeli government, calling its war in Gaza a genocide, and placing the issue at the center of his party’s campaign for the 2024 European elections.

其他左翼领导人指责梅朗雄受选举计算驱动,并对反犹太主义视而不见。他拒绝参加巴黎全国范围内的反反犹太主义游行,只会加强此类指控。梅朗雄否认自己具有反犹太主义。

Other left-wing leaders accused Mélenchon of being driven by electoral calculations and turning a blind eye toward antisemitism. His refusal to attend a nationwide march against antisemitism in Paris only bolstered such accusations. Mélenchon denies that he is antisemitic.

拉斐尔·格吕克斯曼赢得法国中左翼总统初选后,排除了与梅朗雄领导的“不屈法国”的任何联盟。

Raphaël Glucksmann, who won France’s center-left presidential primary on Sunday, ruled out any alliance with Mélenchon’s France Unbowed.

梅朗雄也在其党内遭到批评。过去两年,关键人物离开“不屈法国”,称其缺乏内部党内民主,指控梅朗雄行使绝对控制权,并边缘化任何质疑他决定的人。

Mélenchon has also faced criticism within his party. Over the last two years, key figures have left France Unbowed describing an absence of internal party democracy, alleging that Mélenchon exercises absolute control and sidelines anyone who questions his decisions.

前议员、梅朗雄长期助手拉奎尔·加里多在两年前被开除出“不屈法国”后表示,他使统一左翼政党变得不可能,实际上削弱了左翼赢得总统选举的机会。“悖论的是,梅朗雄正在加速极右翼的崛起,”加里多说。

Raquel Garrido, a former lawmaker and longtime Mélenchon aide who was expelled from France Unbowed two years ago, said he made unifying left-wing parties impossible, effectively undermining the left’s chances of winning the presidential elections. “Paradoxically, Mélenchon is accelerating the rise of the far-right,” Garrido said.

请写信给诺艾米·比瑟贝,邮箱为noemie.bisserbe@wsj.com。

Write to Noemie Bisserbe at noemie.bisserbe@wsj.com