土耳其副总统塞夫德特·伊尔马兹周五表示，在全球前景改善和外部需求复苏的支持下，土耳其预计2027年的经济增长将加速至4.2%，而今年预计增长为3.3%。他手持明年预算草案，在安卡拉总统府发表了这一讲话。
Türkiye expects economic growth to accelerate to 4.2% in 2027 from a projected 3.3% this year, supported by an improving global outlook and a recovery in external demand, Vice President Cevdet Yilmaz said Friday with next year's proposed budget in hand.
伊尔马兹在总统府向媒体介绍政府2027年预算提案时表示，土耳其贸易伙伴的增长将更为强劲，这将为出口创造机遇，并支撑经济实现平衡扩张。
Presenting the government's 2027 budget proposal at the presidential complex in Ankara, Yilmaz said stronger growth among Türkiye's trading partners would create opportunities for exports and support balanced economic expansion.
他指出，土耳其经济在2025年增长了3.7%，投资增速快于私人消费，这增强了生产能力并改善了增长结构。
The Turkish economy grew 3.7% in 2025, he said, adding that investment outpacing private consumption had strengthened production capacity and improved the composition of growth.
“在2027年，我们预计增长将升至4.2%，这得益于全球前景的预期改善和外部需求的复苏，”伊尔马兹说。
“In 2027, we expect our growth to rise to 4.2%, supported by the anticipated improvement in the global outlook and the recovery in external demand,” Yilmaz said.
他补充说，政府的目标是通过聚焦生产率、技术转型和创新的政策，在中期计划结束时逐步将增长提升至5%。
The government aims to gradually accelerate growth to 5% by the end of its medium-term program through policies focused on productivity, technological transformation, and innovation, he said.
就业预计明年将增加65.7万人，劳动力参与率将达到53.4%，失业率将从2026年预计的8.1%降至8%。
Employment is expected to increase by 657,000 people next year, with labor force participation reaching 53.4% and unemployment declining to 8%, from a projected 8.1% in 2026.
伊尔马兹表示，通胀预计将降至21%。他指出，年通胀率已在9月降至30%以下，预计将在今年年底前升至28.4%，然后在2027年底前降至21%。“价格稳定是我们项目的根本优先事项，”他说。
Inflation forecast to decline to 21% Yilmaz said annual inflation, which fell below 30% in September, was expected to reach 28.4% by the end of this year before declining to 21% by the end of 2027. “Price stability is the fundamental priority of our program,” he said.
财政纪律和收入政策将继续支持货币政策，而供给侧措施——特别是在社会住房和食品领域——将强化通胀回落。
Fiscal discipline and incomes policies will continue to support monetary policy, while supply-side measures, particularly in social housing and food, will reinforce disinflation.
尽管能源和大宗商品价格波动仍在影响通胀，但潜在的通胀趋势仍在改善，伊尔马兹重申了政府实现持续个位数通胀的中期目标。
Despite fluctuations stemming from energy and commodity prices, the underlying inflation trend continues to improve, Yilmaz said, reiterating the government's medium-term goal of achieving lasting single-digit inflation.
他表示，经常账户赤字预计将在明年降至国内生产总值的2%以下，而2026年预计为2.6%。
He said the current account deficit was expected to fall below 2% of gross domestic product next year from a projected 2.6% in 2026.
他补充说，土耳其将继续实施提升出口、加强能源供应安全以及减少对能源进口依赖的政策。
Türkiye will continue policies to boost exports, strengthen energy supply security, and reduce dependence on energy imports, he added.
伊尔马兹表示，今年1月至9月的货物出口同比增长5.2%，达到2110亿美元，使得连续12个月的出口总额创下历史新高，达2837亿美元。
Goods exports this January-September rose 5.2% year-on-year to $211 billion, bringing the rolling annual total to a record $283.7 billion, Yilmaz said.
他补充说，中高技术和高技术产品在出口中的占比达到44%，而2000年代初约为28%。
The share of medium-high- and high-technology products in exports reached 44%, compared with around 28% in the early 2000s, he added.
2027年预算支出预计为5512亿美元。2027年预算草案预计支出为27.276万亿土耳其里拉，收入为23.408万亿里拉（相当于5512亿美元），国民收入预计将达到2.24万亿美元。
Budget spending projected at $551.2B The 2027 budget proposal projects expenditures of 27.276 trillion Turkish liras and revenues of 23.408 trillion liras ($551.2 billion), with national income expected to reach $2.24 trillion.
这些数字意味着预算赤字为781亿美元，相当于国内生产总值的3.5%。剔除地震相关支出后，赤字预测为国内生产总值的2.8%。
The figures imply a budget shortfall of $78.1 billion, equivalent to a projected 3.5% of GDP. Excluding earthquake-related expenditure, the deficit is forecast at 2.8% of GDP.
伊尔马兹表示，该预算草案将在总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安签字后提交议会审议，他称其为“韧性、繁荣与转型”的预算。利息支出预计为802亿美元，人员支出为1437亿美元，经常性转移支出为2067亿美元。预算预计将在明年保持初级盈余。
Yilmaz said the proposal would be submitted to parliament with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's signature, calling it a budget of “resilience, prosperity and transformation.”Interest expenditures are projected at $80.2 billion, personnel spending at $143.7 billion, and current transfers at $206.7 billion. The budget is expected to maintain a primary surplus next year.
尽管受能源和大宗商品价格上涨带来的支出压力影响，政府预测2026年的赤字将为国内生产总值的3.1%，低于最初的3.5%预测。
For 2026, the government forecasts a deficit of 3.1% of GDP, below the initial 3.5% projection, despite spending pressures from higher energy and commodity prices.
伊尔马兹表示，2027年城市转型资金将增加176%，达到55.7亿美元，抗灾韧性仍将是重点，同时扩大社会住房和租赁住房供应。
Urban transformation funding will rise 176% to $5.57 billion in 2027, Yilmaz said, with disaster resilience remaining a priority alongside expanded social and rental housing provision.
他表示，2023年至2026年的地震重建支出按现价计算总计1090亿美元，相当于1040亿美元，已完成并交付的独立住房单元共计455,357套。
Earthquake reconstruction spending over 2023-2026 totaled $109 billion at current prices, equivalent to $104 billion, he said, with 455,357 independent units completed and delivered.
Yilmaz补充说，土耳其的欧盟定义的一般政府债务在第二季度降至GDP的22.3%，而第一季度为23.1%。他将低公共债务描述为在全球不确定性背景下的一个重要优势。
Türkiye's EU-defined general government debt declined to 22.3% of GDP in the second quarter from 23.1% in the first, Yilmaz added, describing low public indebtedness as an important advantage amid global uncertainty.