唐纳德·特朗普将至少担任美国总统至2029年，但以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡已开始为华盛顿可能出现的权力更替做准备。从印度到拉丁美洲，内塔尼亚胡正在寻求新的安全伙伴，以应对对未来美国军事援助日益增长的担忧，以及美国可能对以色列实施制裁或武器禁运的可能性。
Donald Trump will remain US President until at least 2029, but Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu is already preparing for a possible shift in Washington. From India to Latin America, Netanyahu is seeking new security partners amid growing concerns over future US military aid and the possibility of sanctions or an arms embargo against Israel.
唐纳德·特朗普的总统任期至少将持续到2029年。但以色列政府已开始为可能出现更具“敌意”的政府入主白宫的情况做两手准备。以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡周日警告称，未来的美国总统可能会转而反对耶路撒冷，可能大幅削减军事制裁，甚至支持国际制裁和武器禁运。他补充说，耶路撒冷应着力与印度和拉丁美洲国家建立联盟，作为制衡力量。
The Presidency of Donald Trump will not end until at least 2029. But, the Israeli government is already hedging its bets in the event of a more "hostile" administration taking the White House. Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday warned that a future US President could turn against Jerusalem, potentially slashing military sanctions and even backing international sanctions and arms embargoes. He added that Jerusalem should look to cultivate alliances with India and Latin American nations as a counterweight.
据以色列新闻媒体《耶路撒冷邮报》和YnetNews报道，内塔尼亚胡于周日（10月18日）在阐述其安全学说时发表了上述言论，距离以色列10月27日的选举还有九天。
According to the Israeli news outlets, The Jerusalem Post and YnetNews, Netanyahu made the remarks on Sunday (October 18), while presenting his security doctrine, nine days before Israel's October 27 election.
据报道，内塔尼亚胡提出，未来的华盛顿特区政府可能会“对以色列非常敌对”，并呼吁耶路撒冷利用特朗普总统任期内剩余的几年时间巩固自身地位，同时与印度和拉丁美洲等国家建立新的联盟。
According to reports, Netanyahu raised the possibility that a future administration in Washington DC could be "very hostile to Israel", and called for Jerusalem to use the remaining years of Trump's presidency to strengthen its position while building new alliances with countries such as India and those in Latin America.
“两年后，一位非常敌对以色列的男性或女性总统可能会上台，”内塔尼亚胡说，并质疑在这种情况下以色列将如何管理其与华盛顿的关系。
"In two years, a president, man or woman, could come to power who is very hostile to Israel," Netanyahu said, questioning how Israel would manage its relationship with Washington under such circumstances.
内塔尼亚胡发出这一警告之际，以色列正在多个战线作战，包括在加沙地带与哈马斯作战，在黎巴嫩与真主党作战，以及与伊朗对抗。中东地区紧张局势高涨，以色列因其军事行动面临国际批评。现在，内塔尼亚胡似乎急于建立和加强联盟，使以色列免受美国政权更迭的任何影响。
The warning by Netanyahu amid Israel fighting on multiple fronts, including against Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iran. Tensions are running high across the Middle East and Israel is facing international criticism over its military operations. Now, Netanyahu appears keen to build and strengthen alliances and keep Israel insulated from any change of guard in the US.
内塔尼亚胡的言论是在几名美国民主党成员（包括当选众议员和参议员）呼吁对所谓的以色列违规行为进行调查之际发表的，这些违规行为包括使用美国提供的武器在加沙地带的行动。其他人则要求对约旦河西岸被占领土上的定居者暴力行为进行调查。此番言论是在特朗普在选举前支持内塔尼亚胡担任总理之后几天作出的。此前，特朗普曾表示他“不信任”内塔尼亚胡或其主要对手加迪·艾森科特。
Netanyahu's remarks come even as several members of the US Democratic Party, including elected Representatives and Senators, have called for investigations into alleged Israeli violations, including the use of US-supplied weapons in Gaza. Others have demanded investigations into settler violence in the occupied West Bank. It comes days after Trump endorsed Netanyahu as the PM, ahead of the elections. Previously, Trump had said that he "did not trust" either Netanyahu or his main rival, Gadi Eisenkot.
内塔尼亚胡的言论也恰逢他在今年2月提出“六边形”联盟构想数月之后，该联盟旨在包括印度、希腊、塞浦路斯及其他国家。印度、拉美在内塔尼亚胡的视野中据Ynetnews报道，内塔尼亚胡总理表示，即使为华盛顿可能出现的政权更迭做准备——这可能导致一个更为敌对的政府上台——以色列也必须加强与美国的关系。
Netanyahu's remarks also come months after he proposed a "hexagon" alliance in February this year, comprising India, Greece, Cyprus and other nations. INDIA, LATIN AMERICA, IN NETANYAHU'S SIGHTS According to Ynetnews, PM Netanyahu said that Israel must strengthen its relationship with the US even as it prepares for an eventual change of the guard in Washington, which may lead to a more hostile administration.
“首先，在这两年内，以及随后的两年内，我们必须在美国舞台上做我们所能做的一切，无论顺境还是逆境，”他说，据YnetNews报道。
"First, we must do everything we can during these two years, and during the following two years, in the American arena, through good times and bad," he said, according to YnetNews.
“第二件事是建立其他联盟。这就是我目前正在与我们地区内外的许多国家合作所做的事情。印度不是一个小国家，还有许多其他国家，”他补充道。
"The second thing is to create other alliances. That is what I am working on now with many countries in our region and outside it. India is not a small country, and there are many others," he added.
《耶路撒冷邮报》报道称，内塔尼亚胡表示他已经在中东内外的国家之间开展工作，以建立这样的伙伴关系。
The Jerusalem Post reported Netanyahu as saying that he was already working with countries within and outside the Middle East to establish such partnerships.
“拉美正在发生重大转变，巴西可能在几天内就迎来巨大变化，”他说，并补充称以色列需要扩大其联盟并发展能力，使其对其他国家具有价值。
"There is a major shift in Latin America, and there could be an enormous change in Brazil in just a few days," he said, adding that Israel needed to expand its alliances and develop capabilities that would make it valuable to other countries.
背景信息：巴西现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦正谋求第四次、且非连续性的总统任期。他将在10月25日举行的第二轮总统选举中，对阵右翼参议员弗拉维奥·博索纳罗——后者是身陷囹圄的前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗的长子。在10月4日举行的第一轮投票中，弗拉维奥的得票率高于卢拉，因此第二轮选举注定会是一场激烈的角逐。
For context, Brazil's incumbent President, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, is seeking a fourth, non-consecutive term in office in the October 25 presidential run-off against right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro. The first round of voting on October 4 saw Flavio finish ahead of Lula, setting up a closely contested run-off.
这并非内塔尼亚胡首次提及与印度等国建立更多联盟的必要性。早在8月份，他就曾表示以色列正在“大力投入与印度的关系建设”。7月份，他在接受以色列记者莎伦·加尔采访时称：“我们必须建立新的联盟、发展新的关系。目前我正在与印度推进此事。”今年2月份，他还提出了建立一个包含印度、希腊、塞浦路斯等国的“六边形联盟”构想。
This is not the first time that Netanyahu has spoken about the need for additional alliances with countries like India. Back in August, he had stated that Israel was "investing heavily in our relationship with India." In July, he told the Israeli journalist, Sharon Gal, that, "You have to build new alliances and develop new relationships. That's what I'm doing right now with India." And in February this year, he had proposed a "hexagon" alliance, that included India, Greece, Cyprus among other nations.
2月22日的内阁会议上，内塔尼亚胡详细阐述了这一理念：“在我设想的蓝图中，我们将在中东地区及周边构建一个完整的联盟体系，本质上就是一个‘六边形联盟’……该体系涵盖印度、阿拉伯国家、非洲国家、地中海沿岸国家（希腊与塞浦路斯），以及目前暂不便详述的亚洲国家。我稍后会以系统化的方式向大家介绍……”上述言论发表一周后，以色列与美国便对伊朗发动攻击，中东战争随之爆发。
Speaking at a cabinet meeting on February 22, Netanyahu outlined the concept. "In the vision I see before me, we will create an entire system, essentially a 'hexagon' of alliances around or within the Middle East... This includes India, Arab nations, African nations, Mediterranean nations [Greece and Cyprus], and nations in Asia that I won't detail at the moment.
以色列正为华盛顿的权力交接做准备：内塔尼亚胡强调，在特朗普任期内，以色列推进自身战略优先事项的窗口期十分有限。周日，他在社交媒体上称，未来两年正是实现多方面重大目标的绝佳时机。
I will present this in an organised manner..." Netanyahu said in February, a week before Israel and the US attacked Iran and the war in the Middle East started. ISRAEL PREPARING FOR CHANGE OF GUARD IN WASHINGTON Now, Netanyahu stressed that Israel had a limited window to advance its strategic priorities while Trump remained in office.
与此同时，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在大选前夕公开表态支持这位以色列总理。此前他曾声称自己“既不信任”内塔尼亚胡，也不信任其主要竞争对手加迪·艾森科特。
In a social media post on Sunday, he described the next two years as an opportunity to complete major objectives on multiple fronts. This comes as US President Donald Trump, extended an endorsement to the Israeli PM, ahead of the elections, after previously stating that he "did not trust" either Netanyahu or his main rival, Gadi Eisenkot.
YnetNews 报道称，内塔尼亚胡的警告不仅涉及美国军事援助可能减少的可能性，还涉及华盛顿可能支持对以色列实施制裁或国际武器禁运的情景。
YnetNews reported that Netanyahu's warning extended beyond the possibility of reduced US military aid to a scenario in which Washington could support sanctions or an international arms embargo against Israel.
内塔尼亚胡还谈到了以色列与欧洲政府关系紧张的问题，指责一些国家在公开谴责以色列的同时，仍在寻求与其合作。
Netanyahu also addressed Israel's strained relations with European governments, accusing some of publicly condemning the country while continuing to seek its cooperation.
“谴责我们的国家，而且还挺有胆量的，顺便说一句，他们谴责我们，然后又来找我们，”他说。“我告诉他们，‘这取决于你们。这取决于你们的行为表现’，”YnetNews 报道称内塔尼亚胡如是说。
"Countries that condemn us, and have some nerve, by the way, condemn us and then come to us," he said. "I tell them, 'It depends on you. It depends on how you behave'," Netanyahu was reported as saying by YnetNews.
内塔尼亚胡抨击伊朗政权。称以色列将在必要时单独行动。内塔尼亚胡周日的安全理念阐述也聚焦于伊朗，他表示以色列决心推翻伊朗的统治政权。他称以色列在对德黑兰的行动中已经实现了大约90%的目标，但警告伊朗将试图重建其核计划、其他武器能力以及地区盟友网络。
NETANYAHU ATTACKS IRAN'S REGIME. CLAIMS ISRAEL WILL ACT ALONE IF NECESSARY Netanyahu's security doctrine presentation on Sunday also focused on Iran, whose ruling regime he said Israel was determined to bring down. He claimed Israel had achieved around 90% of its objectives against Tehran but warned that Iran would attempt to rebuild its nuclear programme, other weapons capabilities and network of regional allies.
“我们的计划非常全面且非常坚定，旨在实现[伊朗]政权的垮台，”YnetNews 引用内塔尼亚胡的话说。
"Our plan is very comprehensive and very determined, to bring about the downfall of the [Iranian] regime," YnetNews quoted Netanyahu as saying.
以色列总理还表示，如果有必要，该国准备单独对伊朗采取行动，《耶路撒冷邮报》报道。
The Israeli prime minister also said the country was prepared to act independently against Iran if necessary, The Jerusalem Post reported.
内塔尼亚胡提出在未来十年内追加约4500亿谢克尔的国防开支，以增强以色列的军事实力。他表示以色列国防军需要扩张，而人工智能可能减少一些人力需求。
Netanyahu proposed allocating approximately 450 billion shekels in additional defence spending over the next decade to strengthen Israel's military capabilities. He said the Israel Defence Forces needed to grow, while artificial intelligence could reduce some manpower requirements.
加迪·艾森科特，内塔尼亚胡在10月27日选举中的主要竞争对手，批评了总理的安全理念，将其驳斥为一种空洞的政治操弄，而非严肃的国家安全战略。这名前以色列军方首脑，现领导反对党“直行！”党，正试图在他认为的“战争与政治动荡多年后”将内塔尼亚胡赶下台。
Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu's main challenger in the October 27 election, criticised the prime minister's security doctrine, dismissing it as an empty political exercise rather than a serious national security strategy. The former Israeli military chief, who leads the opposition Yashar! Party, is seeking to unseat Netanyahu after what he calls "years of war and political turmoil".
根据YnetNews的报道，艾森科特表示：“在选举前九天，以色列历史上最严重的失败和灾难发生三年后，所有战争前线仍然开放，内塔尼亚胡决定向公众阐述他的‘安全主义’。”以色列《时报》进行的民意调查显示，艾森科特的政党领先于内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团，但两个阵营均预计无法获得该国立法机构多数所需的61个席位。
"Nine days before the election and three years after the gravest failure and disaster in Israel's history, with every war front still open, Netanyahu decided to present his 'security doctrine' to the public," Eisenkot said, according to YnetNews. Polling conducted by the Tel-Aviv-based paper, The Times of Israel put Eisenkot’s party ahead of Netanyahu's Likud Party, but both blocs were projected to fall short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in the country's legislature.
最终，美国仍然是以色列最大的盟友。但即使内塔尼亚胡总理正在强调他与特朗普总统的关系，耶路撒冷似乎正在为下届政府做准备，该政府可能采取也可能不采取对以色列更为强硬的立场。耶路撒冷向印度和拉美的外交努力似乎是在试图建立一个足够的制衡力量。这一策略是否会成功，仍有待观察。
At the end of the day, the US remains Israel's biggest ally. But even as PM Netanyahu is emphasising his ties with President Trump, Jerusalem seems to be preparing for the next administration, which might or might not adopt a more hardline stance against Israel. The outreach to India and Latin America seems to be an effort by Jerusalem to establish a sufficient counterweight. Whether that strategy will succeed, remains to be seen.