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在伊朗问题上,以色列反对派的立场比内塔尼亚胡更加强硬On Iran, Israel`s opposition is even more hawkish than Netanyahu

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从左至右依次为以色列反对派领导人亚伊尔·拉皮德、纳夫塔利·贝内特、加迪·艾森科特、阿维格多·利伯曼和亚伊尔·戈兰[盖蒂图片社]From left, Israeli opposition leaders Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Gadi Eisenkot, Avigdor Lieberman and Yair Golan [Getty Images]

今年2月,当以色列与美国联手对伊朗发动大规模军事打击时,以色列政府获得了犹太裔以色列公众的压倒性支持。

When Israel launched a sweeping military assault on Iran with the United States in February, the Israeli government enjoyed overwhelming support from the Jewish Israeli public.

反对党也支持军队,支持这一大胆行动。对伊朗政府的敌意是以色列主流犹太复国主义政党一致认同的议题。

Opposition parties lent their support to the army and backed the audacious step. Enmity towards the government in Iran is an issue mainstream Zionist parties agree on.

随后在6月,随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发布声明称伊朗和以色列已同意停止互相攻击,以色列在这场对抗中的角色戛然而止。

Then in June, Israel`s role in the confrontation halted abruptly with an announcement from US President Donald Trump, who said Iran and Israel had agreed to stop attacking each other.

这一声明——以及内塔尼亚胡当时遵守该声明的决定——在以色列并不受欢迎。据以色列民主研究所称,65%至70%的犹太裔以色列人认为,停止战争不符合以色列的国家安全利益。

That announcement – and Netanyahus decision to abide by it at the time – were unpopular in Israel. According to the Israel Democracy Institute, 65 to 70 percent of Jewish Israelis believe that stopping the war did not serve Israels national security interests.

随着以色列人准备在10月27日的全国选举中投票,对许多人来说,伊朗仍是一个重要的选举议题。反对党将伊朗作为他们所称内塔尼亚胡诸多失败的例证。他们承诺,如果当选,将重新调整安全与外交政策。

As Israelis prepare to vote in national elections on October 27, Iran remains an important election issue for many. Opposition parties present Iran as an example of what they say are Netanyahus many failures. They promise to reset security and foreign policy if theyre elected.

领先候选人加迪·艾森科特表示,这场冲突尚未结束。他认为,改变伊朗政府的想法是不现实的;同时,他也指责内塔尼亚胡在打击伊朗核计划方面几乎无所作为。在9月份自己的新政党“雅沙尔”(Yashar)成立大会上,艾森科特对支持者说:“这场冲突最终必须以摧毁或瓦解伊朗核计划为目标——但这一目标尚未实现;目前伊朗已经拥有440公斤(970磅)高浓缩铀,这些铀可以迅速被用于制造核武器。”

The frontrunner, Gadi Eisenkot, says the conflict is unfinished. While saying that a change in Irans government was an unrealistic goal, Eisenkot accuses Netanyahu of doing little to dismantle Irans nuclear programme. In September at the inauguration of his new party, Yashar, Eisenkot told supporters: “Ultimately, it must end in the destruction or dismantling of the Iranian nuclear programme, a goal not yet achieved with 440kg [970lb] of highly enriched uranium already there, which could quickly be turned into several nuclear devices.”

前总理亚伊尔·拉皮德(Yair Lapid)现任以色列议会反对党领袖,他指责内塔尼亚胡在应对伊朗问题上犯下了战略失误。拉皮德最近对《大西洋理事会》(Atlantic Council)表示,推翻德黑兰政府是一个现实可行的目标,但需要采取军事行动:“以色列或相关联盟应该轰炸伊朗的所有能源设施,尤其是位于哈尔格岛(Kharg Island)的设施,以及其他相关地点,以此彻底摧毁伊朗的经济体系。因为只有这样才能推翻伊朗现政权。”

Former Prime Minister Yair Lapid, who is now the head of the opposition in the Knesset, accuses Netanyahu of a strategic failure. He recently told the Atlantic Council that toppling the administration in Tehran is a realistic objective that requires a military escalation: “What Israel should do or the alliance should do is bomb all the energy facilities, especially on Kharg Island, but other places as well in order to make sure that the Iranian economy is demolished. And the reason is that it`s the only thing that will overturn the regime.”

事实上,内塔尼亚胡本人也曾积极推动过这样的军事行动。然而,国际社会对这种轰炸行为的强烈谴责(认为这可能构成战争罪行),以及特朗普拒绝提供支持,使得这一计划被迫搁置。

Bombing this civilian infrastructure was actually something Netanyahu had lobbied for himself. An international outcry about such bombings likely constituting war crimes and Trump`s refusal to offer backing put the brakes on the plan.

另一位前总理纳夫塔利·本内特(Naftali Bennett)认为,以色列必须确保自己在整个地区的军事主导地位。他强调,推翻伊朗政府并彻底摧毁其核设施是必要的;但他同时指出,这还不够。这位右翼政治家将卡塔尔称为“敌人”,并将土耳其称为“新的伊朗”,甚至表示与土耳其(北约成员国)的军事对抗是不可避免的。本内特最近对支持者表示:“我们将在该地区建立由温和派力量组成的联盟,共同对抗伊斯兰主义势力、伊朗、卡塔尔以及所有激进组织,并采取主动行动来重塑该地区的局势。”

Naftali Bennett, another former prime minister, says Israel must ensure its military dominance over the entire region. For Bennett, toppling the government in Iran and crushing it is a must. But he says that is not enough. The right-wing politician calls Qatar an “enemy” and says Turkiye is “the new Iran”, going as far as saying that military confrontation with the NATO member was inevitable. “We will build an alliance of moderate forces in the region against the Islamist forces, against Iran, against Qatar, Turkiye and all the radical forces. We will take proactive actions to shape the region,” Bennett recently told supporters.

艾森科特和其他反对派领导人并未排除重新爆发对抗的可能性。他们关注的是对军队和安全部门的信心,以评估危险并妥善应对。

Eisenkot and other opposition leaders do not rule out renewed confrontations. They focus on their confidence in the military and security establishment in assessing the dangers and dealing with them appropriately.

但反对派领导人担心,内塔尼亚胡可能在选举前诉诸军事升级,以使天平向自己倾斜,甚至完全取消选举——尽管这位总理上周表示,他不打算在投票前攻击伊朗。

But opposition leaders have voiced concern that Netanyahu might resort to military escalation before the elections to tilt the balance in his favour or even disrupt them altogether – even though the prime minister said last week that he did not plan to attack Iran before the vote.

这些担忧在内塔尼亚胡从特尔诺夫空军基地发布视频,警告以色列的敌人可能在选举前发动袭击后有所升级。其他新闻报道称,内塔尼亚胡已向美国总统通报了来自伊朗的新威胁情报。

Those fears were elevated after Netanyahu posted a video from the Tel Nof Airbase warning that Israel`s enemies might attack before the elections. Other news reports said Netanyahu has shared intelligence on new threats from Iran with the US president.

内塔尼亚胡很快遭到反对派领导人的斥责,他们指责他进行“政治恐吓”。

Netanyahu was quickly rebuked by opposition leaders, who accused him of “political fearmongering”.

拉皮德公开质疑内塔尼亚胡的动机。拉皮德还指责他将以色列军队和基地作为竞选活动视频的“背景”。

Lapid openly questioned Netanyahu`s motives. Lapid also accused him of using the Israeli military and bases as “backdrops” for election campaign videos.

最终,大多数以色列反对党和领导人并不反对与伊朗开战,而且许多人在对待德黑兰的问题上实际上比内塔尼亚胡更为鹰派。他们只是不想在选举前出现新的军事升级。

Ultimately, most Israeli opposition parties and leaders arent opposed to war with Iran, and many are in fact even more hawkish in their approach towards Tehran than Netanyahu. They just dont want a new military escalation before the elections.

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