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奥巴马、哈里斯倾向“加沙最大化”议题,黑人选民中期选举聚焦美国而非中东Obama, Harris lean into 'Gazamaxxing' as Black voters focus on America for the Midterms — not the Mideast

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反以色列活动人士举着写有“全球化起义”等标语,于2025年5月15日在纽约布鲁克林举行的纪念“灾难日”抗议活动中。(Alexi Rosenfeld/Getty Images)Anti-Israel activists hold banners that include, "globalize the intifada" during a protest commemorating Nakba Day on May 15, 2025 in the Brooklyn, New York. (Alexi Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

非裔美国人对美国支持以色列的立场可能比我们听到的更为支持,至少根据最近的一项福克斯新闻民调(Fox News Poll)显示如此——但从一些最著名的政治和文化“领袖”博取关注的表演来看,你根本看不出这一点。

African-Americans may be more supportive of U.S. backing for Israel than we are hearing about, at least according to a recent Fox News Poll — but you wouldn’t know it from the attention-seeking antics of some of their most prominent political and cultural "leaders."

上周,巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)在北爱尔兰,据《耶路撒冷邮报》(Jerusalem Post)报道,这位前总统在赞颂自己在该地区缔造和平的成就之余,指责以色列在1948年犹太国家建国期间“夺取”了巴勒斯坦人的巴勒斯坦。

Last week Barack Obama was in Northern Ireland, where — in between saluting his own regional peace-making accomplishments — the former president accused Israel of "taking" Palestine from Palestinians during the Jewish nation’s founding back in 1948, according to a report in the Jerusalem Post.

就在几天前,前副总统、败选总统候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)在韩国的一个会议上发言,猛烈抨击现任政府和她昔日的上司、总统拜登(President Biden),指责他们“未能利用我们的杠杆作用来遏制以色列政府在加沙战争中的可怕行为”。

Just a few days earlier, former Vice President and failed presidential candidate Kamala Harris spoke at a conference in Korea where she blasted both the current administration and her onetime boss, President Biden, for their "failure to use our leverage to curtail the Israeli government’s horrific conduct in the war in Gaza."

别忘了抱怨成性、以此牟利的大师塔-内希西·科茨(Ta-Nehisi Coates),他近期出现在《名利场》(Vanity Fair)的一档播客节目中,这位作家部分归咎于哈里斯不愿更强硬地公开反对美国卷入加沙事务,导致她在2024年大选中失利——因为她是一个正如他所形容的,“没有[她]信念勇气”的人。

And let’s not forget grievance and grift-master Ta-Nehisi Coates, who appeared on a recent Vanity Fair podcast where the writer partially blamed Harris’ 2024 defeat on her unwillingness to speak out more forcefully against America’s engagement in Gaza —f or being someone, as he described, who "did not have the courage of [her] convictions."

这三番言论不约而同地出现在中期选举周期末期,此时黑人选民意外地成为民主党争夺国会控制权过程中潜在的关键造王者。

All three missives come, uncoincidentally, at the tail end of a midterm election cycle in which Black voters have unexpectedly emerged as potential king-makers in the Democrats’ scramble to retake Congress.

民主党总统候选人、美国副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯于2024年10月24日在佐治亚州克拉克森的詹姆斯·R·霍尔福德体育场与前总统巴拉克·奥巴马一起竞选。哈里斯和共和党总统候选人、前美国总统唐纳德·特朗普继续在摇摆州竞选Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, campaigns with former President Barack Obama at the James R Hallford Stadium on Oct. 24, 2024 in Clarkston, Georgia. Harris and Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, continue campaigning in battlegroun

目前最关键的竞选在密歇根州——但奥巴马、哈里斯,尤其是科茨,显然是在为2028年的总统大选铺垫。在密歇根州,民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德(Abdul El-Sayed)正在进行一场必须赢下的竞选,对手是共和党挑战者、前众议员迈克·罗杰斯(Mike Rogers)。

The most consequential campaign right now is in Michigan — but Obama, Harris and especially Coates are clearly projecting onto the presidential contest in 2028. In Michigan, Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is running a must-win race against his Republican challenger, former Congressman Mike Rogers.

对埃尔-赛义德(El-Sayed)来说,最大的障碍并非黑人选民,而是犹太选民——这些选民很可能会因为这位埃及裔美国医生的反犹太言论以及他与伊斯兰主义者的关系而放弃支持密歇根州的民主党候选人。密歇根州的犹太选民总数约为13万人,但在这场竞争激烈的选举中,每一张选票都至关重要。

The key obstacle for El-Sayed is not Blacks — but Jews, who could very likely abandon Michigan Democrats owing to the Egyptian-American physician’s impossible-to-ignore antisemitic outbursts and alignment with Islamists. Michigan’s Jewish vote totals around 130,000, but in this Ozempic-thin race, every ballot will matter.

哈里斯(Harris)和奥巴马(Obama)也加入了这场选举争夺。密歇根州的黑人选民数量远多于犹太选民,但这两位候选人都开始向右翼倾斜。黑人选民对埃尔-赛义德的支持率远低于预期;许多非裔美国人抱怨说,他们的意见在埃尔-赛义德的竞选活动中被忽视了,同时他也过分关注以色列、加沙和巴勒斯坦问题,这让他们感到失望。

And so enter Harris and Obama. There are far more Blacks in Michigan than Jews, but the former, like the latter, are beginning to tilt rightward. Black support for El-Sayed is far lower than it needs to be, with African-Americans complaining they feel both overlooked by his campaign, as well as turned off by his over-emphasis on Israel, Gaza and Palestinian issues.

正如一位密歇根州的黑人选民在罗杰斯电视台(Rogers TV)的一则广告中所说的:“埃尔-赛义德更关心约旦河西岸,而不是底特律的实际情况。”哈里斯曾在9月底前往密歇根州与埃尔-赛义德合作开展竞选活动,试图争取黑人选民的支持。但结果却适得其反——两人的言论充满了混乱和矛盾,反而造成了更多的负面影响。

As one Black Michigander summed it up in a recent clever Rogers ad, "El-Sayed cares more about the West Bank than West Detroit." Harris was in Michigan in late September to campaign with El-Sayed and rally Black support. At least that was the plan. Instead, both Democrats devolved into displays of characteristic Kamala "word salad" that clearly did more harm than good.

现在,奥巴马将在本周末飞抵底特律,试图收拾哈里斯留下的烂摊子;与此同时,埃尔-赛义德的家族也与埃及的极端组织“穆斯林兄弟会”(Muslim Brotherhood)建立了新的联系。

Now Obama will parachute into Detroit this weekend to mop up Harris’ mess, just as new ties emerge between El-Sayed's family and Egypt’s extremist Muslim Brotherhood.

奥巴马或许认为自己在选举中提及以色列和巴勒斯坦问题是个“聪明”的策略,但他的这种做法(以及哈里斯和科茨(Coates)的类似行为)恰恰暴露了他们与现实脱节的本质。事实上,根据福克斯新闻(Fox News)的民意调查:在涉及“美国对以色列的支持程度”这一问题时,非裔美国人是三个种族群体中最为不满的群体(25%的人认为美国对以色列的支持不够);相比之下,西班牙裔选民的这一比例为19%,白人选民为15%。

Obama may think he’s smart to drop Israel and Palestine into this already combustive mix, but the #gazamaxxing — by him, Harris and Coates — reveals more about their intractable out-of-touchness than actual Black concern for the Middle East. Indeed, according to the Fox News poll: African-Americans were the racial group most likely to say the U.S. isn't supportive enough of Israel when asked the question along with White and Hispanic voters. That number was 25% compared with 19% for Hispanic voters and 15% for White voters.

此外,在这三个群体中,非裔美国选民最不认同“美国对以色列的支持过度”的观点(40%的人表示反对),而白人选民的比例为44%,西班牙裔选民为56%。

African-American voters were also the least likely of the three groups to agree that America was too supportive of Israel, with 40% disagreeing as compared to White voters at 44% and Hispanic voters at 56%.

这一数据与普遍存在的观念形成鲜明对比,后者认为非裔美国人——基于所谓共同经历的不公与压迫——天然地与巴勒斯坦人的经历保持一致。请听听一个既是非裔美国人又是犹太裔美国人的人怎么说,这种“交叉性”的过度延伸不过是个神话——黑人与巴勒斯坦人毫无共同之处。

The stat stands sharply against the ubiquitous notion that African-Americans — owing to supposed shared experiences of injustice and oppression — organically align with the Palestinian experience. Take it from someone who’s both African-American and Jewish-American, such "intersectional" overreach is little more than a myth — Blacks and Palestinians have nothing in common.

前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯于2026年9月22日在底特律出生中心与密歇根州民主党参议员候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛德举行圆桌讨论。(David Guralnick - Pool/Getty Images)Former Vice President Kamala Harris joins Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed for a roundtable discussion at Birth Detroit on Sept. 22, 2026. (David Guralnick - Pool/Getty Images)

我们的民权斗争——我父亲曾为此奋斗,帮助废除南德克萨斯州学校的种族隔离——之所以成功,正是因为它坚持非暴力。至于巴勒斯坦人,暴力——无论是在加沙、以色列、纽约街头,还是如今最引人注目地在巴黎的大道上——是他们的“解放”运动从未间断过的唯一手段。此类陈述并非伊斯兰恐惧症——它们只是事实。

Our Civil Rights struggle — the one my own father fought to help desegregate his South Texas school — succeeded precisely because of its commitment to non-violence. As for the Palestinians, violence — whether in Gaza, Israel, the streets of New York and now most spectacularly, along the grand boulevards of Paris — is the only thing their "liberation" movement has ever known. Such statements are not Islamophobic — they’re simply facts.

奥巴马和哈里斯清楚这一点——埃尔-赛义德大概也清楚。但无论身份认同和特权意识都是民主党最擅长的,而没有谁比哈里斯、奥巴马和科茨更具特权感。

Obama and Harris know this — El-Sayed probably does too. But no matter identity and entitlement are what the Dems have always done best and none are more entitled than Harris, Obama and Coates.

反以色列抗议者举着写着“从河到海”的横幅,参加一场要求结束以色列对加沙攻击的示威活动。英国伦敦,2023年12月9日。(Andy Soloman/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)Anti-Israel protesters hold a banner saying "From the river to the sea," at a demonstration calling for an end to Israeli attacks on Gaza. London, UK, Dec. 9, 2023. (Andy Soloman/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

这就是为什么这三人都选择在实际关心的非裔美国人视线之外,大谈以色列问题——奥巴马和哈里斯分别在欧洲和亚洲;对以色列有着非理性执念的科茨则在纽约,面对一位阿谀奉承的白人主持人抛来的软性提问。

This is why all three chose to lean into Israel well beyond the critical eyes of the actual African-Americans they claim to care so much about — Obama and Harris, respectively, in Europe and Asia; the irrationally Israel-obsessed Coates fielding sycophantic, soft-ball prompts from a fawning white host in New York.

这三人擅长操纵种族焦虑和白人的愧疚感,他们是在为白人观众表演,这些观众太害怕被“取消”或被扣上种族主义帽子,不敢提出任何有力的反驳。这就是为什么他们的反犹太复国主义长篇大论几乎未受谴责或批评——因为它们按预期落在了远离黑人听众的地方。

Masters at manipulating racial anxiety and white guilt, the trio were performing for white audiences too fearful of being canceled or called racist to offer any meaningful pushback. This is why their anti-Zionist screeds passed with scant consequence or criticism — because they landed, as intended, so far from Black ears.

归根结底,哈里斯、奥巴马和科茨本可以轻易地在教堂或社区活动上,或在主要的黑人媒体上抨击以色列。但随后他们就会被现实震惊:非裔美国人——如今正面临着极高的凶杀率,以及大约是白人两倍的失业率——有比高呼“自由巴勒斯坦”重要得多的关切。

Ultimately, Kamala, Obama and Coates could have easily attacked Israel at a church or community event or in leading Black media outlets. But then they would have been jolted by the reality that African-Americans — now contending with outsized homicide numbers and roughly twice the unemployment figures of their white counterparts — have far more crucial concerns than chanting for a "Free Palestine."

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