
伊朗意识到在实体战争中必败无疑,正转而大力开展信息战,企图从内部瓦解美国和以色列,美以地缘政治战略传播顾问尤瓦尔·大卫(Yuval David)表示。
Iran, recognizing surefire defeat in a kinetic war, is leaning in on an information warfare campaign to undermine the United States and Israel from within, according to Yuval David, a strategic U.S.-Israel geopolitical communications advisor.
“你无法在实体战争中击败以色列或美国,”大卫周三在布达佩斯接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时说,当时他正陪同以色列总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格(Isaac Herzog)出席高层外交会谈,并发出了关于“信息战体系”的警告。“这正是正在社交媒体、我们的设备以及使用 TikTok、Instagram、Facebook、X 和 YouTube 等各大社交媒体平台的人群中发生的事情,伊朗伊斯兰共和国能够影响人们的思想。”
"You cannot beat Israel or the United States in a physical kinetic war," David told Fox News Digital from Budapest, where he joined Israeli President Israel Herzog for high-level diplomatic talks Wednesday, adding the warning of an "information warfare system." "And that’s what’s going on with social media, with our devices and the people who are on TikTok and Instagram and Facebook and X and YouTube and all of the different social media platforms where the Islamic Republic of Iran is able to affect people’s minds."
他补充道:“其做法之一是试图在社会内部制造腐烂,遗憾的是,这在很大程度上正在奏效。”他指出,伊朗的这场行动得到了“俄罗斯和中国的指导”。大卫的警告发布之际,以色列将于下周举行大选,分析人士认为选举可能更换领导人,但不太可能导致该国伊朗政策发生根本性转变。
"One of the things that it does is it tries to create a rot from within the societies and sadly it’s very much succeeding in doing so," he added, stating that Iran's campaign has enjoyed "guidance from Russia and China." David’s warning comes as Israel prepares for an election next week that analysts say could change its leadership but is unlikely to produce a fundamental shift in the country’s Iran policy.
路透社周三发布的一篇分析文章指出,伊朗很可能继续是以色列的主要对手,军事力量将继续作为以色列对抗敌人的首选工具。报道称,以色列的安全教义以对抗伊朗为核心,旨在维持边境以外的缓冲区,并持续施加军事压力以遏制威胁。
A Reuters analysis published Wednesday found that Iran will likely remain Israel’s chief adversary, with military force continuing to serve as the country’s preferred tool against its enemies. The report said Israel’s security doctrine is centered on confronting Iran, maintaining buffer zones beyond its borders and keeping military pressure on to deter threats.
如果由保守派联盟伙伴支持的总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡(Benjamin Netanyahu)获胜,可能会加深以色列与德黑兰的对抗,而非带来绥靖。大卫表示,即使由反对派领导的政府上台,也很可能共享相同的大局战略观。
A victory for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, backed by conservative coalition partners, could deepen Israel’s confrontation with Tehran, not bring about appeasement. Even an opposition-led government would likely share the same broad strategic outlook, David said.
“伊朗伊斯兰共和国是世界的巨大担忧,”大卫说。“德黑兰不惧怕又一份外交声明。它惧怕的是一个拥有情报、军事能力和政治意愿、能够共同行动的美国和以色列。”大卫表示,美以联盟不应以美国领导人是否支持同一位以色列候选人来衡量。
"The Islamic Republic of Iran is a massive concern for the world," David said. "Tehran does not fear another diplomatic statement. It fears an America and an Israel with the intelligence, military capabilities and political will to act together." David said the U.S.-Israel alliance should not be judged by whether American leaders support the same Israeli candidate.
“总统来了又走,总理来了又走。美国和以色列的敌人不会因为选举年而休战,”他说。“美国不需要选择以色列总理,也不会选择,无法选择,甚至根本不在尝试选择。美国只需要一个强有力的以色列伙伴,无论以色列人选出谁。”路透社援引地区分析人士的话说,内塔尼亚胡连任可能让他得以对伊朗发动更激进的行动,而阿拉伯国家虽然对他的政策保持警惕,但希望遏制德黑兰的影响力。大卫说,伊朗对美国和以色列的敌意超出了当前的冲突范围。
"Presidents come and go, prime ministers come and go. America’s and Israel’s enemies do not take election years off," he said. "America doesn’t need to choose Israel’s prime minister, nor will it, nor can it, nor is it even trying to. America just needs a strong Israeli partner, whoever the Israelis elect." Reuters has cited regional analysts who said Netanyahu’s re-election could allow him to pursue a more aggressive campaign against Iran, while Arab states remain wary of his policies but want Tehran’s influence contained. David said Iran’s hostility toward the United States and Israel extends beyond the current conflict.
“自1979年以来,伊朗伊斯兰共和国一直在对美国、以色列以及世界各地的民主国家发动这场意识形态战争,”他说。“该政权从未停止过这场战争。
"The Islamic Republic of Iran has been waging this ideological war against America and also against Israel and also against democracies around the world since 1979," he said. "The regime never stopped a war. "Americans thought we have had a war and then we didn't have a war. Then we had one. Then we didn't.
“美国人以为我们打过一场战争,然后没有战争了。接着又打了一场。然后又没有了。好吧,伊朗伊斯兰共和国从未结束那场战争。他们视其为自1979年以来持续不断的一场战争。”他还将美国对以色列的支持定性为服务于美国国家安全利益的问题。
Well, the Islamic Republic of Iran never ended that war. They've seen this as an ongoing war since 1979." He also framed U.S. support for Israel as a matter of serving American national security interets. "America does not support Israel because Israel is helpless. America partners with Israel because Israel is capable," David said.
“大卫说:“美国支持以色列不是因为以色列无助。美国与以色列结盟是因为以色列有能力。支持以色列的安全不是慈善。这是美国的战略自身利益。”据大卫称,特朗普总统背书内塔尼亚胡,而副总统万斯决定不介入竞选,这反映了不同的政治路线,而非在伊朗问题或美以联盟上出现分歧。
"Supporting Israel’s security isn’t charity. It’s American strategic self-interest." President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Netanyahu, contrasted with Vice President JD Vance’s decision to stay out of the race, reflects differing political approaches rather than a split over Iran or the U.S.-Israel alliance, according to David.
“特朗普总统正在为内塔尼亚胡总理背书——万斯副总统强调美国优先,但支持以色列安全并不需要为某位以色列政客背书,”他总结道。
"President Trump is endorsing Prime Minister Netanyahu – Vice President Vance is emphasizing American priorities, but supporting Israel’s security doesn’t require endorsing a particular Israeli politician," he concluded.
“大卫说:“特朗普是在对以色列选民说话,因为特朗普能做到这一点——万斯是在对美国选民说话。太多美国人没有意识到,特朗普和万斯都知道德黑兰在听着呢。”
"Trump is speaking to Israeli voters because that’s what Trump is able to do – Vance is speaking to American voters," David said. "Far too many Americans don’t realize both Trump and Vance know that Tehran is listening."