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消息人士:美国与以色列在美国大选后拟定对伊朗再次发动打击的计划US and Israel draw up plans for renewed strikes on Iran after American elections: Sources

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美国和以色列在美军中期选举后制定了对伊朗发动新一轮打击的计划;目标可能包括伊朗的能源设施、核设施以及导弹和无人机武器。

US and Israel draw up plans for renewed strikes on Iran after American elections: Sources Julian E. Barnes, Eric Schmitt, Farnaz Fassihi, Natan Odenheimer and Ronen Bergman US and Israel have drawn up plans for renewed strikes on Iran after the American elections, with targets likely to include energy sites, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone weapons.

两国军队已经在为这次短期但高强度的军事行动进行训练,而美国外交官则利用战争威胁来迫使伊朗在核问题及霍尔木兹海峡相关问题上作出让步。

The two militaries are already training for a short, intense operation, while US diplomats use the threat of war to push Iran on its nuclear programme and Strait of Hormuz demands.

该计划面临诸多风险:伊朗已誓言将进行更广泛的报复;之前的打击曾导致全球能源价格飙升并加剧了地区的安全紧张局势;此外,以色列国内的政治因素也可能阻碍或推迟任何攻击行动的实施。

The plan faces major risks: Iran has vowed wider retaliation, the earlier strikes raised global prices and strained defences, and Israeli politics could block or delay any attack. AI generated WASHINGTON – The US and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for renewed strikes against Iran after the American midterm elections, according to US officials and other people briefed on the deliberations.

据美国官员及相关人士透露,美国和以色列军方已制定了针对伊朗的新打击计划。随着这次行动的筹备工作不断推进,两国军队加强了联合演习,甚至在伊拉克上空进行飞行训练以演练打击战术。

As planning for a short but intensive operation progresses, the US and Israeli militaries have stepped up exercises, flying planes over Iraq to practise strike manoeuvres. US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel earlier in October to discuss new strikes, US officials said. The targets would likely include Iran’s energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone arsenal.

美国国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯于10月初在以色列会见了以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡,讨论了新的打击方案。

Some officials say one more big round of attacks could push Iran’s economy over the brink and force it to make diplomatic concessions after nearly eight months of conflict.

有分析人士认为,即便再次发动大规模攻击,其效果也可能不如2月至4月期间美国和以色列联合实施的那些高强度打击那么显著。那些打击行动曾导致全球能源价格飙升、通货膨胀加剧,并严重破坏了中东地区的安全局势,同时也给美国五角大楼的导弹拦截系统带来了巨大压力。

Still, there are reasons to be sceptical that a renewed war would be any more successful than the first phase of intense US-Israeli strikes between February and April. Those rounds of fighting drove up energy prices and inflation around the world, eroded security in the Middle East and severely strained the Pentagon’s supply of missile interceptors.

目前也远不能确定美国总统唐纳德·特朗普会批准新的打击行动。他在2026年已多次否决重返大规模作战行动的计划。本文采访的所有官员均要求匿名。

It is also far from certain US President Donald Trump will approve fresh strikes. He has repeatedly vetoed plans in 2026 for a return to major combat operations. All of the officials interviewed for this story spoke on condition of anonymity.

伊朗官员已承诺,这一次他们将进行报复,打击目标将从该地区的商船和能源基础设施扩大到数据中心和海底互联网电缆。他们表示,这场战斗既不会很快结束,也不会局限在一定范围内。

Iranian officials have promised to retaliate this time by expanding their targets beyond commercial ships and energy infrastructure in the region to data centres and underwater internet cables. They say the fighting will be neither quick nor limited.

尽管美国正在集结大规模武器库,并将在11月初全部部署到位,但外交努力仍在继续,美国谈判代表利用可能重返战争这一筹码向伊朗施压,以便在对其核计划的要求以及对霍尔木兹海峡的控制方面取得进展。

While the United States is assembling a massive arsenal that will be fully in place by early November, diplomatic efforts have continued, as US negotiators use the potential return to war as leverage with Iran to make progress on their demands on its nuclear programme and control over the Strait of Hormuz.

然而,到目前为止,伊朗谈判代表一直不愿在核计划问题上做出让步,坚持将该问题推迟到谈判后期再讨论。

So far, however, Iran’s negotiators have been unwilling to make concessions on the nuclear programme, insisting on deferring that issue until later in the talks.

以色列10月27日的选举可能会使这些计划变得复杂。专家表示,如果内塔尼亚胡落败,他将成为看守总理,届时他将难以发动战争。但一些分析人士认为,内塔尼亚胡可能利用美以即将发动联合打击这一前景,迫使竞争对手加入团结政府以应对战争,从而延长其掌权时间。《纽约时报》本文原载于《纽约时报》。

Israel’s election on Oct 27 could complicate the plans. If Netanyahu loses, he will become a caretaker prime minister, and it will be difficult for him to launch a war, experts say. But some analysts believe that Netanyahu could leverage the prospect of an imminent joint US-Israel strike to pressure his rivals into joining a unity government to manage the war, which would extend his hold on power. NYTIMES This article originally appeared in The New York Times.

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