
数十万塞尔维亚抗议学生的支持者聚集参加最后一次竞选集会,周末紧张的议会选举即将到来,这对巴尔干国家强有力的强人亚历山大·武契奇构成了日益严峻的挑战。
Hundreds of thousands of supporters of Serbia’s protesting students have gathered for the final campaign rally ahead of the tense parliamentary election on weekend in a mounting challenge to the Balkan country’s powerful strongman Aleksandar Vucic.
约万娜·盖茨 贝尔格莱德,塞尔维亚 —— 数十万塞尔维亚抗议青年运动的支持者周四聚集在最后一次竞选集会上,周末紧张的议会选举即将到来,这对巴尔干国家强有力的民粹主义强人亚历山大·武契奇构成了挑战。
JOVANA GEC BELGRADE, Serbia — Hundreds of thousands of supporters of Serbia‘s protesting youth movement gathered Thursday at the final campaign rally ahead of a tense weekend parliamentary election in a challenge to the Balkan country’s powerful populist strongman Aleksandar Vucic.
人群从四面八方涌入贝尔格莱德市中心的斯拉维亚广场,也填满了周围几个街区的街道。挥舞着旗帜、喧闹的人群高呼“胜利”,在周日提前投票前洋溢着乐观情绪,此次投票是在针对武契奇在巴尔干国家的铁腕统治进行了近两年学生主导的抗议之后举行的。
Crowds streamed into Belgrade’s central Slavija square from all directions, also filling several blocks of streets around the area. The flag-waving, boisterous crowds chanted “Victory” in a wave of optimism ahead of Sunday’s early vote that comes after almost two years of student-led protests against Vucic’s tight rule in the Balkan country.
自2024年11月抗议活动首次开始以来,对学生运动的支持不断增长。他们的“学生名单”竞选名单在民调中与武契奇的右翼塞尔维亚进步党不相上下,尽管执政的民粹主义者严密控制着该国的主流媒体和所有机构。
Support for the student movement has grown since the protests first started in November 2024. Their Students’ List election ticket is polling neck and neck with Vucic’s right-wing Serbian Progressive Party despite the ruling populists’ tight control over mainstream media and all institutions in the country.
戏剧专业学生娜塔利娅·斯特帕诺维奇对人群说:“还有三天,它们就会过去。”
Drama student Natalija Stepanovic told the crowd that “three more days are left and they will pass.”
“恐惧、勒索、不公也会过去,”她补充道。“暴君会过去,就像他们一直做的那样,但这个国家的人民永远不会过去,他们将像纪念碑一样屹立不倒,见证我们共同的斗争。” 周日选举前景未卜 分析人士表示,接近的结果可能使结果充满不确定性,并为潜在的选后动荡铺平道路,如果双方在周日投票结束后都宣布获胜的话。控制警察的武契奇表示,投票后的任何动荡都将被迅速平息。
“So will fear, blackmail, injustice,” she added. “Tyrants will pass, like they always do, but the people of this country never will and they will stand tall as a monument to our joint struggle.”Uncertainty looms over Sunday’s ballot Analysts say that a close result could make the outcome uncertain and pave the way for potential post-election instability if both sides declare victory after polls close on Sunday. Vucic, who controls the police, has said that any unrest after the vote would be swiftly quashed.
过去两年里,政府为遏制抗议活动而进行镇压,数十名学生因此被拘留。武契奇在大选前猛烈抨击对手,指责学生接受境外资助、意图破坏国家。
Scores of students have been detained in the past two years as the government cracked down on the protests to curb them. Vucic has been campaigning fiercely against his opponents ahead of the election, accusing the students of being financed from abroad to destroy the country.
国际选举观察员和欧盟对投票的安全性和公平性表示担忧,此次选举因政府近乎完全控制媒体、有关针对活动人士的监视和网络攻击的报道,以及社会严重撕裂而蒙上阴影。
International election monitors and the European Union have expressed concern about the safety and fairness of the ballot that has been marred by near-total government control over the media, reports of surveillance and cyber attacks on activists and a deeply polarized society.
武契奇在贝尔格莱德另一区域举行收官竞选集会 武契奇也于周四在贝尔格莱德另一区域的一个体育馆举行收官集会,数千人到场。他表示预计其领导的塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)将以数十万票的优势获胜。随后他参加了一档广播节目,并按计划于晚间在国家广播电视台(RTS)露面。
Vucic holds closing campaign rally in separate part of Belgrade Vucic held his closing rally also on Thursday at a sports hall in a separate part of Belgrade before several thousand people. He said he expects a victory by a margin of several hundred thousand votes in favor of his SNS party. He then participated in a radio show before a scheduled evening appearance on the state RTS broadcaster.
“我们将拭目以待结果如何,”他在贝尔格莱德电台承认道,并预测这将是一场“艰难、充满不确定性的斗争”。武契奇补充说,选举之夜“不会发生什么特别的事”,“赢家将会庆祝”。虽然还有几个小党参选,但观察人士认为,武契奇与学生运动之间公投般的对决氛围,可能会将大多数其他团体挤到3%门槛线以下,使其无法进入拥有250个席位的议会。学生支持者称局势“闻起来像胜利的味道”“这是30年来第一次有希望,”来自贝尔格莱德的Marina Popov Taparicki说。“人们想要改变。”
“We’ll see what the result will be,” he conceded on Radio Belgrade, predicting a “tough, uncertain struggle.”Vucic added that “nothing special will happen” on election night and that “those who win will celebrate.”While several minor parties are also in the race, observers say that the referendum-like atmosphere between Vucic and the students’ movement could push most of the other groups below the 3% threshold necessary to make it to the 250-member Parliament. Student supporters say it ‘smells of victory’“There is hope for the first time in like 30 years,” Marina Popov Taparicki from Belgrade said. “People want change.”
同样来自贝尔格莱德的Igor Zecevic补充道:“学生们唤醒了我们,唤醒了这个国家的所有人,现在我们只需做该做的事,我们必须走出去,必须去投票。”去年3月,贝尔格莱德的斯拉维亚广场曾发生大规模反政府抗议。那次集会以突然的骚乱结束,专家后来表示——政府予以否认——事件涉及对和平示威者使用声波武器。
Igor Zecevic, also from Belgrade, added that “the students woke us up, woke everybody up in this country, and we just have to do our thing now, we have to get out, we have to vote.”Slavija Square in Belgrade was the scene of a huge anti-government protest last March. That rally ended in a sudden disruption that experts later said — and the government denied — involved the use of a sonic weapon against peaceful demonstrators.
批评者指责武契奇贪腐盛行、与有组织犯罪勾结并打压民主自由,尤其是媒体自由,对此他予以否认。国家铁路工程涉嫌高层贪腐,在2024年11月塞尔维亚北部一火车站雨棚倒塌造成16人死亡后,引发了学生主导的抗议活动。
Critics accuse Vucic of rampant corruption, ties to organized crime and a crackdown on democratic freedoms, particularly the media which he has denied. Suspicions of high-level graft in state railway projects triggered student-led protests after a collapsed canopy at a train station in Serbia’s north killed 16 people in November 2024.