DUBAI, 10月23日 - 两名高级伊朗安全官员告诉路透社，德黑兰已制定详细计划，若美国和以色列再次袭击伊朗，将在波斯湾目标锁定海底通信光缆。
DUBAI, Oct 23 - Tehran has drawn up detailed plans to target undersea communications cables in the Gulf if the United States and Israel attack Iran again, two senior Iranian security officials told Reuters.
这些评论紧随伊朗官员的警告，称该地区海底光缆在任何新冲突中若外交与华盛顿的对话破裂，都可能成为目标。
Their comments followed warnings by Iranian officials that undersea cables in the region could become targets in any renewed conflict if diplomacy with Washington collapses.
两名伊朗安全官员在匿名条件下发言，细节甚少，未说明具体如何或在何处实施此类袭击。但其中一名表示，伊朗将在袭击后阻止维修，以延长通信中断，包括互联网连接。
The two Iranian security officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, gave few details and did not say how or where exactly Tehran would carry out such attacks. But one of them said Iran would aim to prevent repairs after any attacks to prolong disruptions to communications, including internet connections.
“如果伊朗遭袭，将不再有红线……从海底光缆到军事基地，包括隐蔽基地，”一名官员表示。
"If Iran is attacked, there will be no more red lines ... from undersea cables to military bases, including covert ones," one of the officials said.
该官员警告华盛顿不要“玩火”，并称伊朗完全掌握海底光缆，且能轻易摧毁它们。
The official warned Washington not to "play with fire", and said Iran had full access to the undersea cables and could easily destroy them.
伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队（IRGC）政治事务副主任亚诺拉·贾瓦尼（Yadollah Javani）周三表示，若伊朗基础设施遭袭，伊朗有可能在霍尔木兹海峡下方的七条主要互联网光缆上发动袭击。
Yadollah Javani, the deputy head of political affairs for Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), said on Wednesday that Iran could target seven major internet cables beneath the Strait of Hormuz if Iranian infrastructure came under attack.
据国际电信联盟（ITU）一份报告，海底光缆承载全球约99%的互联网流量。
Undersea cables carry around 99% of global internet traffic, according to the International Telecommunication Union, a UN agency.
但《TeleGeography》研究机构研究主管阿兰·莫尔登（Alan Mauldin）指出，伊朗发起的此类袭击对全球影响可能有限，因霍尔木兹海峡的国际带宽占比不足1%。该海峡分隔伊朗与阿曼，连接波斯湾与阿曼湾及印度洋。
But the global impact of such attacks by Iran could be limited as less than 1% of international bandwidth passes through the Strait of Hormuz, said Alan Mauldin, research director at telecommunications research firm TeleGeography. The strait separates Iran and Oman, linking the Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea.
美国国务院与伊朗外交部未回应路透社关于伊朗安全官员言论的置评请求。高加索国家也未立即发表评论。“更强烈的回应”对海底电缆可能发动袭击的计划反映出，伊朗领导层坚信，如果美国再次发动军事行动，伊朗必须作出比以往更强硬的回应。
The US Department of State and Iran's Foreign Ministry did not respond to Reuters' requests for comment on the Iranian security officials' remarks. There was no immediate comment from Gulf states. 'STRONGER RESPONSE' The plans for possible attacks on undersea cables reflect a conviction in Iran's leadership that a renewed US military campaign would have to be met with a stronger response than before.
伊朗高级安全官员穆赫辛·雷扎伊本月警告称，如果冲突重燃，海湾地区与美国相关的数字基础设施，包括数据中心和人工智能设施，都可能成为打击目标。
Top security official Mohsen Rezaei warned this month that US-linked digital infrastructure across the Gulf, including data centres and AI facilities, could be targeted in a renewed conflict.
上述第二位伊朗安全官员表示，华盛顿的海湾盟友已在这类基础设施上投入巨资，它们“应让华盛顿而非德黑兰为海底电缆的任何损坏负责”。
Washington's Gulf allies have invested heavily in such infrastructure and they "should hold Washington, not Tehran, responsible for any damage to undersea cables," the second Iranian security official said.
华盛顿中东研究所伊朗项目主任亚历克斯·瓦坦卡表示，此类威胁意在威慑重燃的冲突，并通过让海湾各国政府和美国企业担心其在该地区的投资，从而向华盛顿施压。
Alex Vatanka, director of the Iran program at the Middle East Institute in Washington, said such threats were intended to deter renewed conflict and put pressure on Washington by making Gulf governments and US companies fear for their investments in the region.
瓦坦卡说：“德黑兰希望海湾国家和企业高管向（美国总统唐纳德）特朗普施压，迫使其正视自己的政策给他们的投资计划带来的风险。”
"Tehran wants Gulf states and corporate executives to press (US President Donald) Trump over the risks his policies pose to their investment plans," said Vatanka.
分析人士表示，多条电缆被切断可能拖慢互联网服务，并扰乱金融交易、电子商务和云计算。莫尔丁说，影响程度将取决于运营商如何改道传输流量，以及替代连接上可用的容量。
Multiple cable cuts could slow internet services and disrupt financial transactions, e-commerce and cloud computing, analysts said. The impact would depend on how operators rerouted traffic and the capacity available on alternative connections, Mauldin said.
专家表示，战时恢复连接可能十分困难，而保险费用上涨以及进入领海许可审批的延误，可能使维修工作更加复杂。
Restoring connections during wartime could be difficult, experts said, and higher insurance costs and delays in obtaining permits to enter territorial waters could further complicate repairs.
红海可能比霍尔木兹海峡是更重要的目标，尤其是如果伊朗得到也门胡塞武装盟友的支持；不过德黑兰尚未公开表示计划袭击红海的海底电缆。
The Red Sea could offer a more significant target than the Strait of Hormuz, particularly if Iran had support from its Houthi allies in Yemen, though Tehran has made no public statement indicating it plans to target cables there.
莫尔丁说，红海承载着欧洲、东非和亚洲之间的数据传输，经由该处传输的容量约占全球国际需求的3%，约占各地区之间流量的10%。
The Red Sea carries data between Europe, East Africa and Asia, with capacity routed through it accounting for about 3% of global international demand and around 10% of traffic travelling between regions, Mauldin said.
海湾各国政府一直在大力投资技术，以摆脱对石油的依赖、实现多元化，并成为全球人工智能中心，同时深化与美国科技公司的关系。
Gulf governments have been investing heavily in technology to diversify beyond oil and become global artificial intelligence hubs, deepening ties with US technology firms.
今年3月，伊朗的打击直接命中了亚马逊云服务（AWS）在阿联酋的两处设施，并损坏了其位于巴林的一处设施附近的基础设施。在3月战争最激烈之际，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队将微软、谷歌、苹果和英伟达等美国科技公司列为合法打击目标。
Iranian strikes directly hit two Amazon Web Services facilities in the UAE in March and damaged infrastructure near one of its facilities in Bahrain. The IRGC named US tech companies including Microsoft, Google, Apple and Nvidia as legitimate targets at the height of the war in March.
陆基连接可为互联网流量提供替代路由，海湾国家和美国科技公司正在投资额外的基础设施以提升韧性。
Land-based connections can provide alternative routes for internet traffic, and Gulf states and US technology companies are investing in additional infrastructure to improve resilience.
微软计划到2030年在中东地区投资超过4亿美元用于海底和陆地连接。
Microsoft plans to invest more than $400 million in subsea and terrestrial connectivity across the Middle East by 2030.