
加迪·艾森科特最强的选举资产之一是一个简单、不可否认的事实:他不是本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。而在以色列历史上最关键的选举之一中,对许多选民来说,这可能就足够了。
One of Gadi Eisenkot’s strongest electoral assets is a simple, undeniable fact: He is not Benjamin Netanyahu. And for many voters in one of the most critical elections in Israel’s history, that may well be enough.
但他的另一项资产却成了政治风暴的中心,当时被广泛视为内塔尼亚胡喉舌的知名电视主持人亚农·马加尔猛烈抨击了总理的主要对手。在一系列煽动种族对立的言论中,马加尔称艾森科特是“马格里布(北非)犹太人——摩洛哥裔”的“猴子”,由“阿什肯纳兹(欧洲裔)精英”操控。这些言论触及了欧洲裔犹太人与中东裔犹太人之间长期存在的不平等,引发了政治和媒体的轩然大波。
But one of his other assets became the center of a political firestorm when Yinon Magal, a prominent TV host widely considered a mouthpiece for Benjamin Netanyahu, blasted the prime minister’s main rival. In a series of race-baiting remarks, Magal called Eisenkot a “monkey” of “a Mizrahi-Moroccan” heritage managed by “Ashkenazi elites.”The remarks struck at longstanding inequalities between Jews of European origin and Jews hailing from the Middle East, setting off a political and media firestorm.
马加尔后来辩称,他并非意在嘲讽艾森科特的族裔出身;而是说他在使用黑帮术语,指代一个在幕后被操控的“前台代理人”。甚至连向来不以认错著称的内塔尼亚胡也谴责了这番言论。尽管如此,这一插曲还是将聚光灯投向了艾森科特的家族史。
Magal later claimed he did not mean to mock Eisnekot’s ethnic origins; rather, he was using an underworld term for a frontman managed from behind the scenes. Even Netanyahu, not known for contrition, condemned the remarks. Still, the episode put a spotlight on Eisenkot’s family history.
多年来,许多马格里布裔选民传统上支持内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团。现年66岁的艾森科特是摩洛哥移民的儿子,后来成为以色列最高将领,他在提比里亚和埃拉特长大,远离该国的政治权力中心。他的经历与内塔尼亚胡在耶路撒冷权力圈中精英式的成长背景形成鲜明对比。
For years, many Mizrahi voters have traditionally supported Netanyahu’s Likud party. Eisenkot, 66, a son of Moroccan immigrants who became Israel’s top general, grew up in Tiberias and Eilat, outside the country’s centers of political power. His story contrasts sharply with Netanyahu’s elite Jerusalem upbringing in the circles of power.
艾森科特很少提及自己的族裔,但分析人士认为这是他吸引力的一部分。尽管一年前他的民调支持率还只有个位数,但他已崛起为反对派在10月27日投票中挑战内塔尼亚胡的领军人物。以色列从未有过马格里布裔总理。如果艾森科特胜出,将是首次。
Eisenkot rarely mentions his ethnicity, but analysts believe it is part of his appeal. Despite polling in single digits a year ago, he has emerged as the opposition’s leading candidate to unseat Netanyahu in the October 27 vote. Israel has never had a Mizrahi prime minister. If Eisenkot comes out on top, it will be a first.
艾森科特是九个孩子中的老二,也是五个孩子的父亲。在以色列国防军(IDF)度过大半辈子后,他是政坛的相对新人。
Eisenkot is the second of nine children and a father of five. He is a relative newcomer to politics after spending most of his life in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).
他于1978年入伍“戈拉尼旅”,在长达40年的军旅生涯中一路晋升,于2015年至2019年担任参谋长,曾在内塔尼亚胡手下任职。
He enlisted in the Golani Brigade in 1978 and rose over a 40-year career to become chief of staff from 2015 to 2019, serving under Netanyahu.

他的任期内发生了以色列近代军事史上最具争议的事件之一。2016年,中士埃尔罗·阿扎里亚在希伯伦射杀了一名受伤的巴勒斯坦袭击者。尽管右翼政界人士——包括内塔尼亚胡——施加压力,艾森科特仍支持军方调查和审判,称他是在捍卫军队的纪律和道德。
His tenure included one of the most contentious episodes in recent Israeli military history. In 2016, Sgt. Elor Azaria shot and killed a wounded Palestinian attacker in Hebron. Despite pressure from right-wing politicians – including Netanyahu – Eisenkot backed a military investigation and trial, saying he was defending the army’s discipline and ethics.
2022年,他与另一位前参谋长本尼·甘茨共同投身政坛。2023年10月7日哈马斯领导的袭击发生后,两人加入了内塔尼亚胡的紧急战时内阁。但他们于2024年6月退出,理由是缺乏明确的战后战略。
He entered politics in 2022 alongside another former chief of staff, Benny Gantz. After the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel, the two joined Netanyahu’s emergency war cabinet. But they left in June 2024, pointing to the absence of a clear post-war strategy.
到那时,战争已给艾森科特的家庭带来沉重代价。他最小的儿子加尔,时年25岁,于2023年12月在加沙作战中阵亡,距战争爆发已过去两个月。他的两名侄子也在战斗中牺牲。
By then, the war had already exacted a heavy toll from Eisenkot’s family. His youngest son, Gal, 25, was killed fighting in Gaza in December 2023, two months into the war. Two of his nephews died in combat as well.
“在加尔的墓前,我发誓他和他的战友们所付出的代价,无论他们相识与否,都不会白费,”艾森科特于2026年4月在《新消息报》撰文写道。他称这一庄严承诺是其政治使命的核心。艾森科特作为反对派最强有力的候选人进入最后冲刺阶段。
“Over Gal’s grave, I swore that the price he paid, he and his friends, those he knew and those he didn’t, would not be in vain,” Eisenkot wrote in the newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth in April 2026. He has called that singular promise central to his political mission. Eisenkot enters the final stretch as the opposition’s strongest candidate.

大多数近期民意调查预测,他的“雅沙尔”党将在议会120个席位中赢得20至23席,超过利库德集团。他在“最适合担任总理”的民调中也领先于内塔尼亚胡。
Most of the recent opinion polls project that his Yashar party will take 20 to 23 seats of the 120 up for grabs in the Knesset, more than Likud. He also leads Netanyahu in polling on who is most suitable to be prime minister.
但胜利远未尘埃落定,民调数字——可能不准确——不如以色列的联合政府算术重要。
But victory is far from assured, and the polling numbers – which can be inaccurate – matter less than Israel’s coalition arithmetic.
根据以色列的制度,即使艾森科特的政党成为第一大党,总统也不会自动授权他组阁。授权将给予最有可能组建联盟的议员。而这正是算术博弈的开始。
Under Israel’s system, even if Eisenkot’s party finishes first, the president does not automatically task him with forming the government. The mandate goes to the lawmaker most likely to assemble a coalition. And that’s where the math begins.
民意调查显示,内塔尼亚胡阵营(包括极右翼和极端正统派政党)以及反内塔尼亚胡阵营,均未显示出能达到61席多数的迹象。政治僵局极有可能出现。
Opinion polls suggest neither Netanyahu’s bloc, which includes far-right and ultra-Orthodox parties, nor the anti-Netanyahu bloc are on track to reach a 61-seat majority. Political deadlock is a very real possibility.

艾森科特的执政之路需要穿越左翼、右翼和中间派政党,在某些情形下可能取决于阿拉伯政党。内塔尼亚胡多年来致力于将与阿拉伯政党的任何合作合法化,其他一些反对派领袖也已宣称不会与他们合作。
Eisenkot’s path to power runs through left, right and centrist parties, and could depend on the Arab parties in some scenarios. Netanyahu has spent years working to delegitimize any cooperation with the Arab parties, and some of other opposition leaders have already declared they will not work with them.
艾森科特表示,即使没有61个席位,他也将尝试组建政府,这引发了由阿拉伯政党在外部支持的少数派政府的可能性。但需要加入其联盟的右翼政党可能会拒绝这一选项。
Eisenkot has said he will try to form a government even without 61 seats, raising the possibility of a minority government sustained by the Arab parties from outside. But right-wing parties that would need to be part of his coalition could reject that option.
作为一名前军事规划者,艾森科特在性格、风格和气质上与内塔尼亚胡截然不同。他的竞选广告牌将他塑造为“战士、领袖、团结者”。他的政党名为“Yashar”(希伯来语意为“正直”),灵感源自前10月7日人质埃利·沙拉比的一句话:“这不关左右,只关正邪。”他的核心竞选承诺集中在国内事务和问责制上。他承诺成立国家调查委员会,调查10月7日的失职,而内塔尼亚胡自战争爆发以来一直抵制此举。
A former military planner, Eisenkot is unlike Netanyahu in character, style and temperament. His campaign billboards cast him as “a warrior, a leader, a unifier.”His party is named “Yashar” – “straight” in Hebrew – inspired by former October 7 hostage Eli Sharabi’s phrase, “It’s not right, it’s not left, it’s straight.”His central campaign promises are domestic and accountability. He pledges a state commission of inquiry into the failures of October 7, which Netanyahu has resisted since the war began.
他还承诺对所有公民实行强制兵役或国民服务;即将卸任的联合政府依赖要求继续给予极端正统派犹太人全面豁免的政党。
He also promises mandatory military conscription or national service for all citizens; the outgoing coalition depends on parties that demand continued blanket exemptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews.
但在安全问题上,他是一名鹰派人物,与内塔尼亚胡在许多立场上一致。与内塔尼亚胡的几乎所有对手一样,他总体上支持以色列在加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗的军事行动。在以色列国防军内部,他与“达希耶学说”联系在一起——即对民用基础设施使用压倒性武力以威慑未来的武装袭击——以及“战争间战役”,这是一种旨在不触发全面冲突的情况下削弱敌方能力的秘密和低强度行动战略。
On security, however, he is a hawk who shares many of Netanyahu’s positions. Like nearly all of Netanyahu’s rivals, he broadly supported Israeli military operations in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran. Within the IDF, he is associated with the “Dahiyeh doctrine” – using overwhelming force against civilian infrastructure to deter future militant attacks – and the “campaign between wars,” a strategy of covert and low-intensity operations meant to erode enemy capabilities without triggering full-scale conflict.

在伊朗问题上,他与内塔尼亚胡的核心目标一致,即防止伊朗获得核武器并削弱德黑兰的代理人网络。但他批评最新冲突缺乏战略,并主张军事收获必须伴随外交努力。
On Iran, he shares Netanyahu’s central goals of preventing it acquiring a nuclear weapon and of weakening Tehran’s proxy network. But he has criticized the lack of strategy in the latest conflict and argues that military gains need to be accompanied by diplomacy.
他严厉抨击内塔尼亚胡对加沙战争的处理,指责总理为政治原因拖延冲突并危及以色列人质,这一指控最终导致他退出战时内阁。
He lambasted Netanyahu over his handling of the Gaza war, accusing the prime minister of prolonging the conflict and endangering the Israeli hostages for political reasons, a charge which eventually led him to leave the war cabinet.
艾森科特出身安全部门,他的部分联盟伙伴预计将是右翼政党,不愿接受以色列战略方向的根本性改变。在加沙问题上,他承诺在18个月内结束哈马斯统治,要么通过执行特朗普的停火计划,要么通过他所谓的“创造性”军事行动。
Eisenkot comes from the security establishment, and some of his coalition partners are likely to be right-wing parties, unwilling to accept radical change to Israel’s strategic direction. On Gaza, he has pledged to end Hamas rule within 18 months, either by implementing Trump’s ceasefire plan or through what he called “creative” military operations.
实际上,内塔尼亚胡公开的目标大体相似,但艾森科特认为“只要内塔尼亚胡在位,哈马斯就会继续掌权。”在进入政界前,艾森科特曾警告,以色列持续控制被占约旦河西岸的巴勒斯坦人,有造成双民族国家的风险,他称之为“锡安主义愿景的终结。”然而自10月7日以来,他已拒绝两国方案,最近在一次采访中表示,任何仍主张该方案的人都是“妄想”,且未提出任何替代愿景。
In practice, Netanyahu’s stated aims are broadly similar, but Eisenkot argues that “as long as Netanyahu is in office, Hamas stays in power.”Before entering politics, Eisenkot warned that continued Israeli control over the Palestinians in the occupied West Bank risked creating a bi-national state, which he called “the end of the Zionist vision.”Since October 7, however, he has rejected the two-state solution, recently stating in an interview that anyone who still advocates for it is “delusional,” without presenting any alternative vision.

他确实反对正式吞并和非法前哨基地,并称以色列政府在有争议的约旦河西岸E1区建设的计划是“错误”,因为国际代价太大。他还誓言打击定居者暴力和他直截了当称为“犹太恐怖主义”的行为,指责政府束缚了安全部队的手脚。
He does oppose formal annexation and illegal outposts and has called the Israeli government’s plan to build in the controversial E1 area of the West Bank a “mistake” because of the international cost. And he has vowed to crack down on settler violence and what he blatantly labeled “Jewish terrorism,” accusing the government of tying the hands of security forces.
特朗普已明确表明偏好:周日,他给予内塔尼亚胡“完全且彻底的背书”,称其为“伟大的战士总理”。他警告称,任何其他人选都将是“错误的领导人”——暗示届时美国将不得不独自面对伊朗。
Trump has made his preference clear: on Sunday, he gave Netanyahu his “complete and total endorsement,” calling him a “great warrior prime minister.”Anyone else, he warned, would be the “wrong leader” – suggesting the US would then have to confront Iran by itself.
据熟悉相关努力的以色列消息人士透露,艾森科特和其他反对派领袖曾通过包括共和党大额捐赠人米里亚姆·阿德尔森在内的中间人,敦促白宿置身竞选之外。但未奏效。内塔尼亚胡与特朗普渊源颇深,跨越了2017年美国驻以大使馆迁往耶路撒冷、2018年退出伊朗核协议、2020年《亚伯拉罕协议》以及2025至2026年对伊朗的打击行动。
Eisenkot and other opposition leaders urged the White House, through intermediaries including Republican megadonorMiriam Adelson, to stay out of the race, according to Israeli sources familiar with the efforts. It did not work. Netanyahu and Trump share a long history, spanning through the 2017 US embassy move to Jerusalem, the 2018 exit from the Iran nuclear deal, the 2020 Abraham Accords and the 2025-2026 strikes on Iran.

当政治分析师巴拉克·拉维德询问特朗普是否能与另一位总理合作时,他回答:“也许我会,也许不会,谁想冒这个险?”然而过去一年里,内塔尼亚胡采取了一些激怒特朗普及其政府其他成员的举措,包括在黎巴嫩和加沙的打击行动,破坏了特朗普的地区和平努力。
When Trump was asked by political analyst Barak Ravid whether he could work with another prime minister, he replied: “Maybe I will, maybe I won’t, who wants to take the chance?”Yet over the past year, Netanyahu has taken steps that angered Trump and others in his administration, including strikes in Lebanon and Gaza that undercut his regional peace efforts.
由艾森科特领导、且不依赖内塔尼亚胡极右翼合作伙伴伊塔马尔·本-格维尔和贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇的政府,很可能会更加温和,给特朗普留出更大空间推进地区外交,包括实现沙特实现关系正常化这一长期愿望。
A government led by Eisenkot, without Netanyahu’s far-right partners Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, would probably be more moderate and give Trump more room to pursue regional diplomacy, including in the the path of Saudi normalization, a long-held ambition.
尽管利雅得仍要求一条通往巴勒斯坦建国的可信路径,但一个不依赖极右翼的联合政府,很可能更容易朝那个方向迈进。
While Riyadh still demands a credible path to Palestinian statehood, a coalition that does not depend on the far right would likely find it easier to move in that direction.