塞尔维亚人正在投票选举议会，这场选举被视为该国民粹主义领导人亚历山大·武契奇与一个由大学生发起的运动之间的摊牌。
Serbians are voting in a parliamentary election seen as a showdown between populist leader Aleksandar Vucic and a student-led movement.
塞尔维亚贝尔格莱德电（记者约瓦娜·格奇、贾斯汀·斯派克）——塞尔维亚人周日正在投票选举议会，这场选举被视为该国民粹主义领导人亚历山大·武契奇与一个由大学生发起的运动之间的摊牌。这些大学生近两年来一直领导着针对他的抗议活动。
JOVANA GEC, JUSTIN SPIKE BELGRADE, Serbia —Serbians are voting Sunday in a parliamentary election that is seen as a showdown between the Balkan country’s populist leader Aleksandar Vucic and a movement of university students who led protests against him for almost two years.
尽管塞尔维亚的640万选民有18个政党可供选择，以期进入拥有250个席位的议会，但这场选举已演变成武契奇的右翼塞尔维亚前进党与青年支持的“学生名单”之间的一场全民公决。
Though Serbia’s 6.4 million voters get to choose from 18 parties hoping to enter the 250-member Parliament, the election has taken shaped as a referendum between Vucic’s right-wing Serbian Progressive Party and the youth-backed Students’ List.
主要竞争者在民调中被认为不相上下，这使得周日的选举成为近年来最具不确定性的一次。预计投票率将会很高，这可能会将多数小党派挤压至进入议会所需的3%门槛以下。
The main contenders are believed to be polling neck-and-neck, making Sunday’s election the most uncertain in recent years. Turnout is expected to be high and could push most smaller parties below the 3% threshold needed to make it into the assembly.
虽然武契奇过去经常智胜四分五裂的塞尔维亚反对派，但这个没有领袖的青年运动证明了一个强劲的对手，它像自其政党执政以来的过去14年中任何其他人都无法做到那样，动摇了他对塞尔维亚权力的牢牢掌控。
While Vucic has routinely outplayed Serbia’s fractured opposition in the past, the leaderless youth movement has proved to be a tough opponent that rattled his firm grip on power in Serbia like no one else could in the past 14 years since his party took office.
随着欧洲各国面临青年和学生抗议，一场学生的胜利可能会在塞尔维亚以外产生共鸣。
A students’ victory likely would resonate beyond Serbia as countries across Europe face youth and student protests.
欧盟正密切关注这场投票。近期的选举因违规行为而饱受诟病，作为欧盟成员国候选国，欧盟正在密切关注周日投票的进行情况。
The vote is closely watched in the EU Recent elections have been marred by irregularities and the European Union is watching closely the conduct of Sunday’s vote in a candidate nation for the bloc’s membership.
国际和当地的选举观察员已经对竞选活动的安全性与公正性表示担忧，此次竞选活动伴随着拘捕、政府对媒体的近乎全面控制以及针对激进分子的监视和网络攻击报告。
Both international and local election monitors already have expressed concern about the safety and fairness of an election campaign marked by detentions, near-total government control over the media and reports of surveillance and cyberattacks against activists.
今年早些时候，塞尔维亚10个市镇的地方选举发生了针对记者和激进分子的暴力袭击。2023年的上一次议会选举之后，爆发了反对派指控选举舞弊的抗议活动。
Local elections earlier this year in 10 municipalities in Serbia saw violent attacks on journalists and activists. The previous parliamentary vote in 2023 was followed by opposition protests alleging fraud.
武契奇希望重返总理职位。如果他的前进党赢得最多选票，武契奇将在担任了近两个完整的总统任期后成为总理。他于上个月辞去总统职务以领导竞选。
Vucic wants to return as prime minister If his SNS party wins the most votes, Vucic will become the prime minister after serving two near-full terms as president. He resigned the presidency last month to lead the campaign.
自两年前塞尔维亚北部一个火车站的混凝土雨棚坍塌导致16人死亡以来，民粹主义者的支持率一直在下降，这引发了一波要求追究灾难责任和为受害者伸张正义的青年抗议浪潮。
The populists’ popularity has eroded since 16 people were killed two years ago when a concrete canopy collapsed at a train station in Serbia’s north, setting off a wave of youth protests that demanded accountability for the disaster and justice for the victims.
这种愤怒反映了对高层腐败和裙带关系的普遍指责。抗议者表示，猖獗的贪腐导致诺维萨德车站翻修工程期间玩忽职守，并最终导致了雨棚坍塌。
The anger reflected widespread accusations of high-level corruption and cronyism. Protesters said that rampant graft led to negligence during renovation work at the Novi Sad station and eventually to the canopy collapse.
尽管发生了抗议活动，武契奇在塞尔维亚选民中仍保留着相当大的支持。崇拜者将他视为能够引领国家度过全球不确定性的能干领导人——这一形象是由主流媒体精心塑造的。
Despite the protests, Vucic retains considerable support among Serbia’s voters. Admirers view him as a capable leader who can steer the nation through global uncertainties — the image that was carefully crafted by the mainstream media.
“学生名单”是塞尔维亚的新事物。新近成立的“学生名单”运动不同于塞尔维亚的任何政治组织。它由大学生塑造，但其中没有一个人真正列在候选人名单上。相反，候选人是鲜为人知的专家、运动员、农民和艺术家。
Students’ List is a novelty in Serbia The newly formed Students’ List movement differs from any of the political organizations in Serbia. It is shaped by university students but none of them are actually on the list. Instead, the candidates are little known experts, athletes, farmers and artists.
这种做法旨在对抗武契奇的一人统治，并恢复社区感和团结感。竞选期间的“我们知道怎么做”的信息承诺，在政府更迭后，将通过非党派努力重建塞尔维亚的经济和民主。
This approach was meant to counter Vucic’s one-man rule and restore a sense of community and solidarity. The “we know how” message during the campaign promised a non-partisan effort to rebuild Serbia’s economy and democracy after a change of government.
凭借青春活力，学生们吸引了对地方政治家感到幻灭的选民。遭到亲政府媒体诋毁的学生们骑着自行车和步行穿过全国，以接触农村地区的选民——那是武契奇的传统票仓。
With their youthful energy, the students have attracted voters who are disillusioned with local politicians. Vilified by pro-government media, students have cycled and walked through the country to reach voters in rural areas — Vucic’s traditional strongholds.
结果充满不确定性。选举民调结果各不相同，而双方阵营都声称自己领先。一些分析人士担心，如果结果接近，选后可能会出现不稳定。
The outcome is uncertain Election surveys have come up with varied results while both camps say they are ahead. Some analysts fear postelection instability in case of a close result.
武契奇曾表示，如果选举失利，他的阵营将承认失败。但他也警告称，如果他的政党获胜而爆发抗议活动声称存在舞弊，此类抗议将立即被镇压。预计国家选举委员会在周一之前不会公布官方统计结果。
Vucic has said that his side would concede defeat if it lost the vote. But he has also warned that any protests that might erupt to claim fraud in case of his party’s triumph would be immediately quashed. The state election commission is not expected to release the official tally before Monday.
冲突监测机构ACLED的东欧分析师玛格达·安娜斯塔西耶维奇表示，塞尔维亚最近的选举暴力事件一直在增加，并且可能会升级，“特别是如果对结果存在争议的话”。
Magda Anastasijevic, the Eastern Europe analyst for the conflict monitor ACLED, said that electoral violence has been on the rise in Serbia recently, and could escalate, “particularly if the results are disputed.”