雅伊尔·博索纳罗(图为2019年他担任巴西总统时)的政治卷土重来或许要归功于他的第三任妻子米歇尔。阿德里安常年报道全球国防、政治与冲突动态。他此前曾在内罗毕、巴格达、莫斯科和耶路撒冷工作。格林尼治时间上午7:00 人们称他为热带特朗普,然而雅伊尔·博索纳罗却建立了一个连肯尼迪家族都会羡慕的政治王朝。
Jair Bolsonaro, pictured in 2019 as president of Brazil, may owe his political comeback to Michelle, his third wife Adrian covers defence, politics and conflict across the globe. He has previously worked from Nairobi, Baghdad, Moscow and Jerusalem 7:00am GMT They call him the Trump of the Tropics, yet Jair Bolsonaro has established a political dynasty that would be the envy of the Kennedys.
本月早些时候,这位巴西前总统正在服刑27年之际,他的弟弟、他的妻子以及他的两个儿子在巴西议会赢得了席位。
Earlier this month, with the former president of Brazil serving a 27-year sentence, his brother, his wife and two of his sons won seats in Brazil’s parliament.
周日,他的另一个儿子弗拉维奥预计将接任他父亲曾担任的职务,民调专家和时评人士预测他将在决胜选举中胜出,成为这个世界第四大民主国家的总统。
On Sunday, another son, Flávio, is expected to assume the role his father once held, with pollsters and pundits predicting he will win a run-off election to become president of the world’s fourth-largest democracy.
自1889年巴西成为共和国以来,很少有家族能如此彻底地掌控权力杠杆。然而,尽管这位民粹主义前总统在铁窗后策划了现代最不可思议的政治复出之一,但正是他的第三任妻子米歇尔,才让这一切成为可能。
Few families have so thoroughly dominated the levers of power since Brazil became a republic in 1889. Yet while the country’s populist former president has engineered one of the most unlikely political comebacks of modern times from behind bars, it is his third wife, Michelle, who may have made it possible.
尽管丈夫身陷27年牢狱之灾,米歇尔·博索纳罗依然对丈夫忠心耿耿。作为一名公交车司机之女,她已成为巴西迅速壮大的福音派运动中一位出人意料的领军人物,赢得了全国虔诚女性的爱戴,并得到了她那满腹牢骚的继子们的勉强尊重,她在竞选期间曾与这些继子公开不和。
Michelle Bolsonaro has remained devoted to her husband despite his 27-year prison sentence The daughter of a bus driver, she has emerged as an unlikely champion of Brazil’s rapidly growing evangelical movement, winning the devotion of pious women across the country and the grudging respect of her querulous stepsons, with whom she openly feuded during the election campaign.
在迫使他们就范后,随着这个南美最大国家迎来席卷整个大陆的右翼浪潮,她似乎准备在塑造巴西未来方面发挥不可或缺的作用。
Having forced them into line, she looks poised to play an indispensable role in shaping Brazil’s future, as South America’s biggest country embraces the Right-wing wave sweeping the continent.
就在几个月前,她丈夫的政治生涯似乎已无法复苏。因策划政变被判处27年监禁的博索纳罗,当时看起来就像是这个国家过去的一个遗老。
Just a few months ago, her husband’s political career seemed beyond resurrection. Sentenced to 27 years in prison for plotting a coup, Bolsonaro looked like a relic of the country’s past.
相反,现年71岁、自3月起因健康原因在软禁中服刑的他,似乎再次注定要塑造巴西的未来,而他的长子则在总统竞选角逐中处于领跑地位。
Instead, at 71, and serving his sentence under house arrest since March for health reasons, he seems set once again to shape Brazil’s future, with his eldest in pole position for the presidency.
弗拉维奥逆民调之势,在本月早些时候的第一轮投票中击败了路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦,对现任总统谋求第四个任期的希望造成了可能是致命的打击。
Defying the pollsters, Flávio defeated Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round earlier this month, dealing what could prove a fatal blow to the incumbent’s hopes of securing a fourth term.
自1985年巴西恢复民主以来,还没有任何在第一轮投票中落败的候选人在第二轮中获胜。
Since the restoration of Brazilian democracy in 1985, no candidate who lost in the first round has gone on to win the second.
然而,即便卢拉先生上演逆转翻盘,他也将不可避免地受到博索纳罗家族的掣肘。该家族在议会选举中的胜利是如此全面,以至于雅伊尔·博索纳罗名不符实的自由党现在掌控着自巴西1988年通过民主宪法以来国会中最大的党团。
Yet even if Mr Lula pulls off a come-from-behind upset, he will be forced to govern in a Bolsonaro straitjacket. So sweeping was the family’s victory in the parliamentary elections that Jair Bolsonaro’s inaptly named Liberal Party now commands the largest congressional caucus since Brazil adopted its democratic constitution in 1988.
该党实际上控制着该国最富裕、人口最多的三个州:圣保罗州、里约热内卢州和米纳斯吉拉斯州。在参议院,持同情态度的右翼人士正逼近三分之二的多数席位,从而有望兑现弗拉维奥弹劾对其父定罪的最高法院法官的承诺。
The party enjoys effective control of the country’s three richest and most populous states: São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais. In the senate, sympathetic Right-wingers are closing in on the two-thirds majority needed to fulfil Flávio’s pledge to impeach the supreme court judges who convicted his father.
博索纳罗家族正是这场右翼政治巨浪的核心。雅伊尔·博索纳罗或许已被剥夺了公职,但他的五位家庭成员已赢得民选职位。
At the centre of this Right-wing juggernaut stands the Bolsonaro family. Jair Bolsonaro may have been barred from office, but five members of his family have won elected positions.
他的长子是成为总统的最热门人选。他的兄弟雷纳托和小儿子雅伊尔·雷南均赢得了国会议席。他的次子卡洛斯以及他的妻子也双双赢得参议院席位。
His eldest son is favourite to become president. His brother Renato and youngest son, Jair Renan, have both won seats in congress. His second son, Carlos, has secured a senate seat, as has his wife.
政治世家并不罕见。从阿根廷的基什内尔家族、秘鲁的藤森家族,到菲律宾的马科斯家族和印度的甘地家族,某些国家似乎天然倾向于这种政治现象。
Political dynasties are not unusual. From the Kirchners of Argentina and the Fujimoris of Peru to the Marcoses of the Philippines and the Gandhis of India, certain countries seem predisposed to them.
但很少有像博索纳罗家族这样丰富多彩,他们对情节剧、剧情反转、内讧和丑闻的热衷,简直就像是从风靡整个拉丁美洲的肥皂剧里直接搬出来的一样。
But few are as colourful as the Bolsonaros, whose appetite for melodrama, plot twists, feuding and scandal could have been lifted straight from the telenovelas beloved across Latin America.
肥皂剧的所有原型都悉数登场。埃尔帕特里亚尔卡(El Patriarca)——那个一言九鼎、唯我独尊的大家长,由雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗本人扮演。米歇尔对上帝和丈夫忠诚,是美德女士(La Dama Virtuosa),也是虔诚的家庭顶梁柱——尽管她也有自己的野心。
All the telenovela archetypes are present. El Patriarca, the domineering patriarch whose word is law, is played by Jair Bolsonaro himself. Michelle, devoted to God and her husband, is La Dama Virtuosa, the pious pillar of the household – though not without ambitions of her own.
继承人埃尔埃雷德罗(El Heredero)是弗拉维奥:可靠但死板,远算不上家族的最爱,但在经营家族生意时却是一个稳妥可靠的人。
The heir, El Heredero, is Flávio: dependable but wooden, hardly the family favourite but a safe pair of hands when it comes to running the family business.
然后是被宠坏的儿子兼社交攀附者埃尔希霍米马多(El Hijo Mimado),由雅伊尔的第三子爱德华多扮演。他衣着考究、能言善道,在MAGA(让美国再次伟大)权力的走廊里,他为打造“博尔索纳罗品牌”所做的工作比任何人都多。
Then there is El Hijo Mimado, the spoiled son and social climber, played by Eduardo, Jair’s third son. Nattily dressed and smooth-talking, he did more than anyone to build Brand Bolsonaro in the corridors of MAGA power.
如今他流亡得克萨斯州,在游说唐纳德·特朗普对将他父亲关入大牢的法官实施制裁后,他已被缺席判处四年监禁——巴西法院裁定,这一干预行为是企图颠覆司法程序。
Now exiled in Texas, he has been sentenced in absentia to four years in prison after lobbying Donald Trump to sanction the judges who jailed his father – an intervention Brazil’s courts ruled was an attempt to subvert the judicial process.
这个家族的发展轨迹同样适合肥皂剧题材。雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗占据了许多故事情节。
The family’s trajectory is equally suited to the telenovela genre. Jair Bolsonaro has hogged many of the plotlines.
2018年险些致命的刺杀事件在仅仅52天后将他推上了总统宝座,尽管这导致他在上任的前几个月里不得不依赖结肠造口袋。接着是他在经历了四年充满谩骂以及核心圈子内讧指控的动荡执政期后的失势。
There was the near-fatal stabbing in 2018 that propelled him to the presidency just 52 days later, despite leaving him dependent on a colostomy bag for his first months in office. Then came his fall from grace after four turbulent years marked by mudslinging and accusations of treachery within his inner circle.
左侧的弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗比他的继母米歇尔·博尔索纳罗(右)大11个月。最耸人听闻的莫过于政变阴谋。博尔索纳罗被裁定参与了一项耸人听闻的计划,该计划不仅要推翻他2022年的选举失利,还要用毒药谋杀卢拉先生,并利用他的死来为宣布戒严令辩护。“像母狮一样崛起”在此期间,博尔索纳罗夫人一直对丈夫不离不弃,通过保持忠诚,在巴西的福音派信徒中树立了原则性和勇气兼具的女性形象。
Flávio Bolsonaro, left, is 11 months older than Michelle Bolsonaro, his stepmother (right) Most sensational of all was the coup plot. Bolsonaro was found guilty of involvement in a lurid scheme not merely to overturn his 2022 election defeat but to assassinate Mr Lula with poison and use his death to justify declaring martial law. ‘Rise like a lioness’Throughout it all, Mrs Bolsonaro stuck by her husband, cultivating an image as a woman of principle and courage among Brazil’s evangelical faithful by remaining devoted.
她去年对《每日电讯报》表示,她对“照顾女儿和丈夫”之外没有其他野心。但她补充说,她也将“像母狮一样崛起,捍卫我们的保守价值观、真理和正义”。
She told The Telegraph last year that she had no ambitions beyond “caring for my daughters and my husband”. But, she added, she would also “rise like a lioness to defend our conservative values, truth and justice”.
然而,博索纳罗夫人成功地将宗教虔诚与迷人风采融为一体,坦率谈论自己接受过的整容手术,从腹部整形、隆胸到腹部吸脂、面部填充和肉毒杆菌注射。
Yet Mrs Bolsonaro has managed to meld religious piety with glamour, speaking frankly about the cosmetic procedures she has undergone, from a tummy tuck and breast implants to abdominal liposuction, facial fillers and Botox.
在这个过程中,她打造了属于自己的品牌,同时为丈夫家族的品牌增光添彩。
In the process, she has built a brand of her own while burnishing that of her husband’s family.
许多巴西右翼人士认为,她本应亲自竞选总统,而不是支持她的继子。现年45岁的继子比她大11个月。
Many on the Brazilian Right believed she should have contested the presidency herself rather than back her stepson, who, at 45, is 11 months older than her.
人们普遍认为,博索纳罗夫人在两人中更具魅力,且名誉比弗拉维奥更清白。弗拉维奥面临与里约热内卢犯罪黑社会有关联的指控,但他对此予以否认。
Mrs Bolsonaro is widely regarded as the more charismatic of the two, with a cleaner reputation than Flávio, who faces allegations of links to Rio’s criminal underworld, which he denies.
米歇尔·博索纳罗在右翼中很受欢迎,许多人认为她本应代替继子竞选总统。她自己的身世背景也很引人入胜。她在破裂家庭的暴力和贫困环境中长大,后来找到了一份超市产品推销员的工作,穿着打扮成一个微笑着的超大号意大利面包装袋,在过道里走秀。
Michelle Bolsonaro is popular on the Right, and many think she should have run for president in the place of her stepson Her own backstory is compelling. Raised amid the violence and deprivation of a broken home, she eventually found work as a supermarket product demonstrator, strutting the aisles dressed as a smiling, supersized packet of pasta.
通过福音派教会认识上帝后,她找到了一份议会秘书的工作,并在此期间吸引了未来丈夫的注意。她的丈夫此前结过两次婚,比她大27岁。
After finding God through the evangelical church, she landed a job as a parliamentary secretary, where she caught the eye of her future husband, who had been married twice before and was 27 years her senior.
对于巴西5600万福音派基督徒(占总人口的四分之一以上)而言,博索纳罗夫人已成为效仿的理想榜样:对丈夫忠诚,受上帝指引,同时又自信而坚强。她将自己描述为“女性气质,而非女性主义”。
For Brazil’s 56 million evangelical Christians – more than a quarter of the population – Mrs Bolsonaro has become an ideal to emulate: devoted to her husband and guided by God, yet assertive and strong. She describes herself as “feminine, not feminist”.
她表示:“我们不需要大喊大叫。我们不需要烧毁胸罩。我们不需要贬低男人的形象。”
“We don’t need to shout. We don’t need to burn our bras. We don’t need to belittle the figure of men,” she says.
作为该党女性翼的负责人,她被认为赢得了大量此前对博索纳罗家族毫不掩饰的大男子主义持怀疑态度的女性选民的支持。
As head of the party’s women’s wing, she is credited with winning over large numbers of female voters who had previously been sceptical of the Bolsonaros’ unapologetic machismo.
米歇尔·博索纳罗(Michelle Bolsonaro)曾是一名超市产品推销员,图为她与一个扮成一袋意大利面的吉祥物合影。然而,如同真实的肥皂剧一般,她曾多次与继子们发生冲突。
Michelle Bolsonaro, pictured with a mascot dressed as a bag of pasta, worked as a supermarket product demonstrator Yet, in true telenovela style, she has repeatedly clashed with her stepsons.
6月下旬,即距离大选仅两个月之际,她发布了一段长达27分钟的激烈视频,指责弗拉维奥(Flávio)破坏她的权威、将她排除在决策之外,并在幕后多次羞辱她。她辞去了妇女翼负责人的职务。
In late June, just two months before the election, she released a blistering 27-minute video accusing Flávio of undermining her authority, excluding her from decisions and repeatedly humiliating her behind the scenes. She resigned as head of the women’s wing.
她的继子们愤怒不已,爱德华多(Eduardo)甚至斥其不够成熟。但随着头条新闻不断增多、舆论对弗拉维奥不利,他迅速公开道歉,并恳求她帮助自己的竞选。她也顺理成章地答应了。
Her stepsons were furious, with Eduardo dismissing her as immature. But as the headlines mounted and public opinion turned against him, Flávio swiftly apologised in public and begged her to help his campaign. She duly obliged.
这一插曲或许让人得以一窥未来的权力斗争。弗拉维奥可能很快成为巴西总统,而身处软禁中的父亲将保留相当大的影响力——如果他的儿子确保他获释,他可能会成为权力的幕后操纵者。
The episode may offer a glimpse of the power struggle to come. Flávio could soon be Brazil’s president, while his father, under house arrest, will retain considerable influence – and could emerge as the power behind the throne if his son secures his release.
然而,这两名男子都必须应对这样一位女性:她坚称自己不是女权主义者,却可能成为巴西历史上最具权势的女性之一。
Both men, however, will have to reckon with the woman who insists she is not a feminist, yet may emerge as one of the most powerful women in Brazil’s history.
巴西人正屏息以待《博索纳罗一家》(The Bolsonaros)的下一集——这是一部他们似乎无法割舍的肥皂剧。
Brazilians await the next episode of The Bolsonaros, the telenovela they cannot seem to live without, with bated breath.