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大卫·马库斯:共和党在新英格兰的未来取决于缅因州参议院选举DAVID MARCUS: The future of the GOP in New England rides on Maine’s Senate vote

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美国新英格兰地区由六个州组成,人口超过1500万,拥有21个众议院席位和12个参议院席位。然而,在这支国会代表团中,目前仅有一名共和党人——缅因州参议员苏珊·柯林斯。

The New England region of the United States comprises six states, more than 15 million people, 21 seats in the House of Representatives, and 12 senators. Yet, of this congressional delegation, only one is a Republican — Sen. Susan Collins of Maine — at least for now.

在“松树州”缅因州,民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊在民调中略微领先。柯林斯在参议院任职30年间,曾多次从以为胜券在握、参议员席位唾手可得的民主党“查理·布朗”手中,把选举的“橄榄球”抢了回来。

In the Pine Tree State, Democrat Troy Jackson has a slight lead in the polls. Over her 30 years in the Senate, Collins has pulled a lot of electoral footballs from Democrat Charlie Browns, who thought victory and a Senate seat were a chip shot away.

在缅因州,我与共和党州众议员劳蕾尔·利比进行了交谈——她是当地共和党的冉冉升起的新星,也是柯林斯在这一以蓝州为主的地区所坚持的那种中间派共和党路线的潜在继承人。

In Maine, I chatted with Republican State House Representative Laurel Libby — a rising star in the local GOP and possible heir to the kind of centrist Republicanism that Collins has managed to cling to in this mostly blue region.

利比对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“[柯林斯]在选民服务方面做得很棒,不遗余力地深入社区。”她补充道,“特洛伊·杰克逊说她不举行市民大会,这简直有点歇斯底里。苏珊·柯林斯一直活跃在社区之中。”我追问利比,特别是如果柯林斯成功连任,缅因州乃至更广泛的新英格兰共和党在特朗普时代之后——就在两年多以后——能扮演什么角色。她回答:“我认为我们需要为缅因州提供长远的解决方案。

Libby told Fox News Digital that "[Collins] is great on constituent services and goes out of her way to be in the community," adding, "it's kind of hysterical for Troy Jackson to say she doesn’t hold town halls. Susan Collins is out in the community constantly." I pressed Libby a bit on what role, especially if Collins holds on to win, the Maine and broader New England Republican Party can play in the post Trump era — which lies just over two years over the horizon. She replied, "I think we need to be providing the long-term solutions for Maine.

“我们已经看到民主党在州政府实现‘三权合一’[trifecta]给缅因州带来了什么后果。在杰克逊担任参议员期间,他导致我们的电力成本上涨了70%,”她说。“他支持的预算增长了50%。” 选民准备就特朗普经济政策权衡利弊,因成本持续飙升 “那些奥古斯塔[州首府]以南的民主党人,他们只以为人人都有钱,这真的伤害了普通百姓,”唐说。

"We’ve seen what a Democrat trifecta [in state government] has done for Maine. During Jackson’s time in the Senate, he is responsible for our electricity costs going up 70%," she said. "He supported a budget that went up 50%." VOTERS PREPARE TO WEIGH-IN ON TRUMP'S ECONOMY AS COSTS CONTINUE TO SURGE These were concerns that I also heard from Don, a Vietnam veteran in his late 70s who recently moved into Bangor from a nearby farm after his wife passed away. "All those Democrats south of [the state capital] Augusta, they just think everyone is made of money, and it's really hurting normal folks," Don said.

缅因州选民分享他们对参议员苏珊·柯林斯以及即将到来的中期选举的看法。(福克斯新闻数字频道)Maine voters share their views on Sen. Susan Collins and the upcoming midterm election. (Fox News Digital)

在班戈的共和党选民中,甚至一些独立选民口中,“奥古斯塔”这个词通常带着一种类似杰里·赛恩菲尔德说“纽曼!”时那般程度的鄙视。丹和特丝是一对三十多岁的夫妇,他们从马萨诸塞州来到此地,而缅因州曾是马萨诸塞州的一部分。他们都认为柯林斯是该地区一位强有力的中间派声音。

Among Republican voters in Bangor, and even some Independents, the word "Augusta," is generally uttered with approximately the level of disdain Jerry Seinfeld had when saying "Newman!" Dan and Tess, a couple in their 30s, were in town from Massachusetts, of which Maine was once a part. They both see Collins as a strong centrist voice for the region.

“新英格兰的每个政客都是民主党人,这是个问题,”丹说。“尤其是当民主党失去权力时。”

"It's a problem when every politician in New England is a Democrat," Dan said. "Especially when the Democrats are out of power."

克里斯也来自马萨诸塞州,他在缅因州升级运营商线路。当被问及共和党如何才能在该地区站稳脚跟时,他说:“我真不知道,毕竟该州已经是民主党天下[这么久了]。……团结起来面对民众,提出不把双方撕裂的东西,因为他们有两面,但本应在中间相遇。”当被问及柯林斯本周与西弗吉尼亚州前温和派民主党参议员乔·曼钦一起竞选,而杰克逊则与极左翼的纽约州众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特兹一起巡回拉票这一事实时,利比在我们的谈话中进一步阐述了这一点。

Chris, also from Massachusetts, was in Maine upgrading carrier lines. When asked what Republicans could do to get a foothold in the region, he said, "I don't really know, when the state's been Democratic [for so long]. ... Coming together to the people with things that don't pull sides apart, because they have two sides, but they're supposed to meet in the middle." This is a point that Libby refined in our conversation when asked about the fact that Collins was campaigning this week with former moderate Democratic Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia, while Jackson barnstormed with far-left New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

“这绝对代表了他们两人[若当选]将为参议院带来的东西,”利比告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。“苏珊·柯林斯已证明她愿意并能够以两党合作的方式推动事情,而在他在[州]参议院任职期间,杰克逊做的恰恰相反,”利比声称这包括几次绕过缅因州宪法的做法。

"It’s absolutely representative of what they both [would] bring to the Senate," Libby told Fox News Digital. "Susan Collins has proven that she is willing and able to work in a bipartisan manner, to get things done, and during his time in the [state] Senate, did the opposite," including Libby claims a few end runs around the Maine Constitution.

曼钦现在失去权力,主要归因于他拒绝向当前民主党极左翼的时代精神低头。迄今为止,苏珊·柯林斯在过去十年里通过与特朗普和“让美国再次伟大”民粹主义保持距离,避免了这一命运。

Manchin is now out of power, mostly owing to his refusal to bow to the far left zeitgeist of the current Democratic Party. This is thus far a fate Susan Collins has avoided over the past decade when she distances herself from Trump and MAGA populism.

如果特洛伊·杰克逊确实设法击败柯林斯,给缅因州和新英格兰共和党人的信息将是:中间路线行不通,他们需要更多像得克萨斯州众议员布兰登·吉尔那样赤膊上阵的斗士,而不是像柯林斯那样的两党和事佬。

If Troy Jackson does manage to topple Collins, the message to Republicans in Maine and New England will be that centrism doesn’t work, that they need bare knuckle brawlers more like Rep. Brandon Gill of Texas, than bipartisan peacemakers like Collins.

在全国范围内,一些铁杆共和党人在这方面会欢迎柯林斯落败。他们视温和派共和党人为更大的障碍而非资产。但大多数共和党人承认,在特朗普任期最后两年里守住参议院多数席位,比更广泛的党内意识形态斗争更重要。

Nationally, there are some hardcore Republicans who would welcome a Collins loss in this respect. They see moderate Republicans as more of an obstacle than an asset. But most in the GOP concede that holding the Senate for Trump’s final two years in office outweighs the broader ideological intraparty fights.

无论柯林斯输赢,未来将由像利比这样的年轻共和党政客来定义什么是共和党人——在缅因州、新英格兰地区,甚至在一定程度上在全美范围内。

Win, lose, or draw for Collins, in the future it will be younger Republican politicians like Libby, who will have to define what a Republican is in Maine, New England, and to some degree in America as a whole.

民主党因曼钦缺乏政治纯洁性而将其边缘化;他们正在对参议员费特曼(民主党-宾夕法尼亚州)做同样的事,尽管有点滑稽的是,如果明年民主党仅以一席优势获得多数,他实际上可能成为第51张关键选票。

Democrats exiled Joe Manchin for his lack of political purity; they are on the way to doing the same to Sen. John Fetterman, D-Pa., even though, somewhat hilariously, he really could wind up as the 51st vote in a one-seat Democratic majority next year.

如果缅因州共和党人能再次挽救柯林斯,将表明共和党确实能够——至少在一定程度上、且与民主党不同——接纳温和和中间立场,这一点在两党都试图为后特朗普时代定义自我时,可能会对共和党大有裨益。

If Maine Republicans can save Susan Collins once again, it will show that the GOP really can, at least in part, and unlike Democrats, embrace moderate and centrist positions — a point that could play heavily in their favor as both parties try to define themselves for the post-Trump age.

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