耶路撒冷 —— 观察人士称，数千名因美国反犹太主义上升而逃往以色列的美国犹太人，可能在周二的全国大选中发挥关键作用 —— 而他们中的大多数似乎倾向于支持总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。
JERUSALEM — Thousands of Americans Jews who fled to Israel amid rising antisemitism in the US could be pivotal in Tuesday’s national election — and most of them appear to be breaking for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, observers say.
马尔克·泽尔是海外共和党以色列分会主席，他告诉《纽约邮报》，在2023年10月7日恐怖袭击、随后的加沙战争以及美国各地爆发的反以色列抗议活动之后，过去两年每年估计有3500名美国人进行“阿里亚”（移民以色列）。
An estimated 3,500 Americans have been making Aliyah — moving to the Jewish state — each of the last two years in the wake of the Oct. 7, 2023 terrorist attacks, and the subsequent war in Gaza and anti-Israel protests across the US.
他表示，目前估计有50万美籍以色列人 —— 其中约20万人来自纽约市。
There are now an estimated 500,000 American Israelis — including about 200,000 from New York City, Marc Zell, the Chairman of Republicans Overseas Israel, told The Post.
他认为，这些移民中有80%至90%“绝大多数投票给共和党” —— 他们也支持内塔尼亚胡竞选连任。
He believes that 80-90% of the transplants “vote overwhelmingly Republican” — and they’re also backing Netanyahu in his push for reelection.
周二大选的很大一部分焦点在于：选民是指责内塔尼亚胡应对导致10月7日袭击发生的安全失误负责，还是认为他是带领国家应对多线作战的最强有力领导人。
Much of Tuesday’s election has come down to whether voters blame Netanyahu for security failures that allowed the Oct. 7 attacks, or whether they think he is the strongest one to lead the country through a multi-front war.
内塔尼亚胡在本次大选中的主要对手是前以色列国防军参谋长加迪·艾森科特。
Netanyahu’s main rival in the election is former Israel Defense Forces chief Gadi Eisenkot.
“我在这次选举中公开全力支持比比，”泽尔说，使用了内塔尼亚胡的昵称。
“I fully support Bibi openly in this election,” Zell said, using Netanyahu’s nickname.
他补充道：“将10月7日的责任挂在比比脖子上是不公平的。”泽尔表示，他认为以色列“需要一个独立委员会，正面回应10月7日发生了什么”。然而，内塔尼亚胡并未支持对大屠杀以来最严重的犹太人大屠杀进行独立的国家调查。
He added: “To hang Oct. 7 around Bibi’s neck is unfair.”Zell said he believes Israel “needs an independent commission that squarely addresses what happened” on Oct. 7. However, Netanyahu has not endorsed an independent state inquiry into the worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust.
自1986年起居住在以色列的泽尔表示，他认为内塔尼亚胡对10月7日负有责任，但“其他人也分担责任”。他提到“采取措施消除伊朗威胁”的迫切需要，并主张与独立调查相关的“灵魂探索”应在战争结束后进行。以色列美国民主党副主席希瑟·斯通对泽尔的评估提出异议。
Zell, who has been living in Israel since 1986, said he believe Netanyahu bears responsibility for Oct. 7 but “others share in the responsibility.”He cited the pressing need to “take steps to remove the Iranian threat” and argues that the “soul searching” associated with the independent investigation should take place after the war. Heather Stone, the Vice Chair of American Democrats in Israel, disputed Zell’s assessment.
斯通是一名来自新泽西的律师，1990年移居以色列，她表示，她所在组织的美籍以色列人投票支持反对党有“多种原因”。
Stone, who is an attorney from New Jersey and moved to Israel in 1990, said American-Israelis from her organization have a “combination of reasons” for voting for the opposition parties.
支持埃森科特及其盟友的选民通常主张对10月7日事件进行立即调查，并对目前免除兵役的极端正统犹太人（哈雷迪姆）实施征兵。
Voters who are backing Eisenkot and his allies typically support an immediate Oct. 7 inquiry, as well as enforcing the military draft on ultra-Orthodox Jews in Israel, known as Haredim, who are currently exempt.
迄今为止，内塔尼亚胡的利库德党及其保守宗教盟友已为哈雷迪姆免除服兵役提供了保护。
Netanyahu’s Likud party and his conservative religious allies have so far shielded the Haredim from serving.
民调显示，总理的执政联盟在与埃森科特的中右联盟的竞争中落后。然而，两者目前都未被预测能够直接获得组建政府所需的61个席位。
Polls suggest that the prime minister’s ruling alliance is trailing Eisenkot center-right alliance of parties. However, neither is currently projected to get the 61 seats needed to form a government outright.
以色列投票要求公民在选举日身在国内，例外情况极少。这意味着数万名选民正登机回国投票。
Voting in Israel requires citizens to be in the country on election day with very few exceptions. That means tens of thousands are boarding planes to cast their ballots.
一个名为AID Coalition的组织称，已为6.7万名以色列侨民安排了返程航班——其中约一半来自美国。
One group, AID Coalition, said it has organized flights back for 67,000 Israeli expats — about half from the US.
“我成长的以色列正在消失，”反对内塔尼亚胡的加拿大人雅埃尔·纳特拉对美联社说。“如果这次仍然没有改变，我不知道会怎样。”
“The Israel that I grew up in is disappearing,” Canadian Yael Natra, who opposes Netanyahu, told the Associated Press. “If something won’t change this time, I don’t know what’s going to be.”
出生于布朗克斯、在皇后区长大的以色列·梅达德认为，在当前特朗普与世界舞台的格局下，内塔尼亚胡“是唯一能够推动事务的人”。已故上曼哈顿长期市议员斯坦利·米歇尔斯的儿子杰夫·米歇尔斯说，他在以色列居住的30年里从未见过如此情形。
Yisrael Medad, who was born in the Bronx and raised in Queens, believes Netanyahu “is the only one who can get things done in the present constellation of Trump and on the world stage.”Jeff Michels, the son of the late long-term city councilman Stanley Michels from upper Manhattan, said he does not remember a time like this in Israel during his 30 years living here.
“10月7日改变了许多人对事态走向的看法，”他对《华盛顿邮报》说。
“Oct. 7 changed a lot of people’s perceptions in terms of where things are going,” he told the Post.
“过去，大多数美籍以色列人投票支持右翼政府，”62岁的律师米歇尔斯说。
“In the past, a majority of American-Israelis voted for right-wing governments,” said the 62-year-old lawyer Michels.
他补充道，像油价和食品通胀等“民生议题”并未成为以色列选民的主要关注点——安全始终是本次选举的主导议题。
He added that “bread and butter issues” like gas prices and food inflation are not burning the electoral concerns in Israel — security tends to dominate, as it is for this election.
希勒尔·申克尔出生于布鲁克林，1963年移居以色列，他表示计划投票支持左翼的民主党，该党是反对派内塔尼亚胡联盟的一部分。
Hillel Shenker, who was born in Brooklyn and moved to Israel in 1963 said that he plans to vote for the leftist Democrats, who are part of the coalition opposition Netanyahu.
他表示：“内塔尼亚胡没有对他在哈马斯问题上犯下的错误承担责任”。
He said “Netanyahu has not taken responsibility for the mistakes he made” with Hamas.