
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦的连任可能在未来数年重塑地缘政治格局。挑战者弗拉维奥·博索纳罗曾誓言若当选将寻求与特朗普政府建立更紧密的关系,并一度看似将确认该地区的保守派转向。
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s reelection could reshape geopolitics for years to come. Challenger Flávio Bolsonaro vowed to pursue closer ties with the Trump administration if elected and had looked set to confirm a regional conservative tilt.
然而,卢拉的胜利意味着与包括阿根廷在内的邻国本已紧张的关系可能进一步恶化,同时这一结果预计也将对北京构成提振——华盛顿正力图成为该地区的霸权力量:结果公布后,北京承诺深化与这个拉美最大经济体的关系。与此同时,卢拉将在全球气候变化减缓方面发挥主导作用;截至7月的一年内,巴西亚马孙雨林的砍伐量创纪录地下降了42%。
Instead, Lula’s victory means already tense relations with neighbors, including Argentina, are likely to worsen, while the result is also expected to be a boost to Beijing at a time when Washington is pushing to become the region’s hegemonic power: Beijing pledged to deepen its relationship with Latin America’s biggest economy after the result was announced. Meanwhile, Lula will play a leading global role in climate change mitigation; deforestation of the Brazilian Amazon dropped by a record 42% in the year to July.
