新加坡,10月27日——周二亚洲股市飙升,Claude所有者Anthropic备受期待的首次公开募股(IPO)申报提振了风险偏好,投资者在科技巨头财报(这将检验AI交易)和央行会议(将影响短期利率)来临之际情绪高涨。
SINGAPORE, Oct 27 - Asian stocks surged on Tuesday as AI bellwether Anthropic's eagerly anticipated IPO filing lifted risk appetite ahead of tech earnings that will be a test for the AI trade, and central bank meetings that will influence near-term interest rates.
Claude所有者Anthropic在其美国首次公开募股申报文件中披露了巨额亏损和炙手可热的营收增长,投资者正日益深入剖析大规模AI支出的潜在回报及其盈利能力。
Claude-owner Anthropic disclosed steep loss and red-hot revenue growth in its filing for a US initial public offering, as investors increasingly dissect the potential payoff from massive AI spending and its profitability.
Meta Platforms计划进行规模高达950亿美元的最大规模股权融资,也提振了市场情绪。
Also boosting sentiment was Meta Platforms' plans to raise up to $95 billion in its largest-ever equity fundraising.
在美联储、欧洲央行和日本央行的政策决定出炉前,货币市场表现平淡,经济学家预计这三大央行均将维持利率不变,市场焦点将集中在政策制定者的讲话上,以判断利率前景。
The currency markets are muted ahead of policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, with economists expecting all three to stand pat on interest rates, leaving the focus on comments from policymakers to gauge the rates outlook.
股市方面,科技股占比较高的韩国KOSPI指数早盘上涨逾4%,日本日经225指数上涨1.9%。MSCI明晟亚太地区(除日本外)股票指数上涨1.2%。
In stocks, tech-heavy South Korea's KOSPI gained more than 4% in early trading while Japan's Nikkei was 1.9% higher. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.2%.
纳斯达克期货上涨0.4%,此前美国芯片股在隔夜交易中上涨2.8%,录得一个月来最大单日涨幅。欧洲股指期货下跌0.23%。
Nasdaq futures was up 0.4% after US chip stocks rose 2.8% in overnight trade, clocking its biggest one-day jump in a month. European stock futures dipped 0.23%.
本周预计有逾三分之一的标普500成分股公司发布财报,包括超大规模云服务商Alphabet、微软和Amazon.com。
More than a third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report earnings this week, including hyperscalers Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon.com.
美林证券首席市场策略师Anthony Saglimbene表示:“考虑到近期对AI的审视加强以及循环安排的存在,投资者将希望看到证据,证明需求正在超越这些相互关联的关系而扩大,以支持基础设施的持续扩张。”
"Given the increased AI scrutiny of late and circular arrangements, investors will want evidence that demand is broadening beyond these interconnected relationships to support the continued infrastructure expansion," said Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise's chief market strategist.
他表示:“投资者需要确信,激进的资本支出反映了持久的业务需求,并且随着新基础设施投入使用,盈利能力将得以维持。”
"Investors need confidence that aggressive capex spending reflects durable business needs and that profitability will hold up as new infrastructure comes into service," he said.
布伦特原油期货下跌0.7%,至每桶114.95美元,从六个月高位回落,原因是投资者权衡美国-以色列对伊朗战争可能得到解决的前景,使供应担忧暂时缓解,但市场情绪依然脆弱。
Brent crude futures eased 0.7% to $114.95 a barrel, drifting away from a six-month high as investors weighed the potential for a resolution in the US-Israeli war with Iran, keeping supply fears at bay though sentiment remained fragile.
ATFX Global首席市场策略师尼克·特威代尔表示,供应仍是关键担忧,任何威胁实物出口的事态发展都可能使布伦特原油迅速重新测试近期高点,并可能被推回至每桶120美元。
Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global, said supply remains the key concern, and any developments that threaten physical exports could see Brent quickly retest recent highs and potentially push back towards $120.
这场持续近八个月的战争已波及整个中东,推高油价,加剧通胀担忧,并颠覆全球利率前景,使市场更加关注本周的央行决策。
The nearly eight-month-old war has rippled across the Middle East, sending oil prices higher, stoking inflation worries and upending the global interest rates outlook, sharpening the focus on the central bank decisions this week.
美联储决策者已暗示本周不会再次上调短期借贷成本,但由于通胀担忧仍处于核心位置,投资者认为加息暂停不会持续太久。交易员目前预计美联储将在12月加息。
Fed policymakers have telegraphed they will not raise short-term borrowing costs again this week, but with inflation concerns still front and centre, investors believe a rate-hike pause will not last for long. Traders are pricing in a hike from the Fed in December.
“我们能否预期(美国)经济增长在利率上升的环境中保持下去?”摩根大通资产管理多资产解决方案宏观与政策主管耿·恩甘布南南特表示。
"Can we expect (US) growth to hold up in an environment of higher rates?," Geng Ngarmboonanant, head of macro and policy, multi-asset solutions, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said.
“我们认为可以。我们相信美国经济能够应对更高的利率。”美国10年期国债收益率持平于4.992%,维持在5%以下——9月曾突破该水平,当时投资者因对人工智能的担忧引发股市动荡而纷纷涌向国债避险。
"We think yes. We believe the US economy is going to be able to manage through higher interest rates." The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was steady at 4.992%, staying below 5% which it breached in September as investors scurried to Treasuries for safety during stock market tumult over AI worries.
日元一直是外汇市场首选避险货币,在日本央行周五做出决定前,日元最新报1美元兑157.72日元。
The Japanese yen has been the haven of choice in currency markets and was last at 157.72 per dollar ahead of the BOJ decision on Friday.
外界普遍预计,日本央行周五将宣布在近14年力争实现2%通胀目标的战斗中取得胜利,并强调物价可能超调的风险,暗示最早可能在12月加息。
The Japanese central bank is widely expected to declare victory in a nearly 14-year battle to hit its 2% inflation target on Friday and emphasise the risk that prices could overshoot, signalling the chance of an interest rate hike as soon as December.
在大宗商品方面,金价小幅走低,最新报每盎司4,013.70美元。[GOL/]
In commodities, gold eased a touch and was last at $4,013.70 per ounce. [GOL/]