
在唐纳德·特朗普总统连续三次赢得爱荷华州之前,民主党在1988年至2012年间的七次总统大选中六次拿下该州。
Before President Donald Trump won Iowa three times in a row, Democrats took the state in six of the seven presidential races between 2012 and 1988.
下周,爱荷华州民主党在一场参议院竞选、一场州长竞选和三场众议院竞选中均具备竞争力;如果获胜,民主党认为这可能让爱荷华州重新成为总统选举的摇摆州。
Next week, Iowa Democrats are competitive in a Senate race, gubernatorial race, and three House races; if they win, Democrats think it might put Iowa back in the mix as a presidential swing state.
爱荷华州民主党参议院提名人乔什·图雷克对Semafor表示,这“绝对”有可能,前提是候选人是“像我这样的常识派、草原民粹主义者,将专注于经济民粹主义而非文化战争议题。我们不是一个红州。我们是一个常识州,只是伪装得比实际更红。”共和党人则辩称,2026年是个例外,因为州长和参议员竞选均无现任者参选:“这是自1968年以来我们首次同时出现这两个空缺席位,”爱荷华州共和党参议员查克·格拉斯利说。
Iowa Democratic Senate nominee Josh Turek told Semafor that it “absolutely” could be, as long as the candidate is “a common-sense, prairie populist like myself, [who’s] going to focus on economic populism and not culture war stuff. We are not a red state. We’re a common-sense state that’s masqueraded more red than what we are.”Republicans argue that 2026 is an anomaly with no incumbents running for governor or Senate: “This is the first time since 1968 that we’ve had both open seats,” said Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa.