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“我将立即行动取代内塔尼亚胡”:艾森科特回应以色列出口民调‘I'll act immediately to replace Netanyahu’: Eisenkot responds to Israel exit polls

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加迪·艾森科特在特拉维夫举行的“亚沙尔!”竞选活动上Gadi Eisenkot at a Yashar! election campaign event in Tel Aviv

“直道!”党领袖加迪·艾森科特周二晚誓言将立即采取行动,取代总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的政府。以色列大选出口民调显示,寻求政治变革的阵营占据微弱优势,但双方均未获得组建政府所需的议会多数席位。

Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar! party, vowed Tuesday night to act immediately to replace Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government after Israel's election exit polls gave the bloc seeking political change a narrow advantage, although neither side secured the parliamentary majority needed to form a government.

艾森科特表示:“初步结果表明,犹太复国主义多数派和以色列大多数公民对内塔尼亚胡及10月7日政府投出了完全的不信任票。”他指的是哈马斯发动袭击以色列时执政的政府。“如果这是最终结果,这将是以色列主流犹太复国主义多数派的胜利,”他补充道。“我将立即采取行动落实民众的决定,取代内塔尼亚胡政府,并尽快建立一个致力于征兵制的犹太复国主义政府。”

"The initial results indicate a complete vote of no confidence in Netanyahu and the government of October 7 by the Zionist majority and the majority of Israeli citizens," Eisenkot said, referring to the government in office during the Hamas-led attack on Israel. "If these are the final results, this is a victory for the mainstream Zionist majority in Israel," he added. "I will act immediately to implement the people's decision, replace Netanyahu's government and establish a Zionist government committed to military conscription as soon as possible."

以色列广播公司(Kan 11)、第12频道和第13频道发布的出口民调平均值显示,变革阵营获得53个席位,内塔尼亚胡阵营获得50个席位。阿拉伯政党预计合计赢得17个席位,导致两大主要政治阵营均未达到120席克内塞特(议会)中所需的61席多数门槛。

The average of the exit polls published by Kan 11, Channels 12 and 13 gives the change bloc 53 seats, compared with 50 for Netanyahu's bloc. The Arab parties are projected to win a combined 17 seats, leaving neither of the two main political blocs with the 61 seats required for a majority in the 120-member Knesset.

尽管内塔尼亚胡的对手占据微弱领先,利库德集团预计仍将是以色列最大单一政党,这为官方结果公布后可能出现的艰难联合组阁谈判奠定了基础。艾森科特的“直道!”党预计赢得19至23个席位根据Kan 11的出口民调,艾森科特的“直道!”党预计赢得21个席位;第12频道预测为22席;第13频道预测为23席。i24NEWS民调给出20席,第14频道预测19席。在所有五份出口民调中,这位前军方首长领导的政党平均获得21席,跻身该国最大政治派别行列,仅次于利库德集团。

Despite the narrow lead for Netanyahu's opponents, Likud is projected to remain Israel's largest individual party, setting the stage for potentially difficult coalition negotiations once the official results are known. Eisenkot's Yashar! projected to win 19 to 23 seats Eisenkot's Yashar! party is projected to win 21 seats in Kan 11's exit poll, 22 in Channel 12's and 23 in Channel 13's. The i24NEWS poll gives the party 20 seats, while Channel 14 projects 19. Across all five exit polls, the former military chief's party averages 21 seats, placing it among the country's largest political factions, behind Likud.

现年63岁的艾森科特是以色列第21任国防军参谋长,于2022年进入政坛,距离他卸任军职已过去三年。

Eisenkot, Israel's 21st IDF chief of staff, entered politics in 2022, three years after leaving military service.

他加入了本尼·甘茨的“国家团结”联盟,并在其竞选名单中排第三位。2023年10月7日哈马斯发动袭击后,艾森科特随其政党加入内塔尼亚胡的战时紧急政府,担任无任所部长。2023年12月7日,他的儿子加尔在加沙地带战斗中阵亡。2025年6月,艾森科特宣布退出“国家团结”。两个月后,他成立了“雅沙尔!”党,随后该党在周二大选前的民意调查中成为领先政党。

He joined Benny Gantz's National Unity alliance and was placed third on its electoral list. Following the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack, Eisenkot joined Netanyahu's emergency wartime government alongside his party and served as a minister without portfolio. On December 7, 2023, his son Gal was killed in combat in the Gaza Strip. In June 2025, Eisenkot announced his departure from National Unity. Two months later, he established Yashar!, which subsequently emerged as a leading party in opinion polls ahead of Tuesday's election.

近几个月来,艾森科特未排除与“统一阿拉伯名单”(拉姆)及“联合名单”部分成员在议会外部支持下组建少数派政府的可能性。然而,“以色列我们的家园”党领袖阿维格多·利伯曼拒绝这一可能性,表示不会同意此类安排。出口民调显示,任何主要阵营均未获得绝对多数,这一分歧仍是组建执政联盟的重大障碍。

In recent months, Eisenkot did not rule out forming a minority government with outside parliamentary support from Ra'am and potentially some members of the Joint List. However, Yisrael Beiteinu leader Avigdor Lieberman rejected that possibility, saying he would not agree to such an arrangement. With the exit polls showing no outright majority for either main bloc, that disagreement remains a significant obstacle to assembling a governing coalition.

亚伊尔·戈兰:“公众已解雇内塔尼亚胡政府” “民主党”领袖亚伊尔·戈兰是一名退役以色列国防军少将,曾表态支持包含拉姆的政府,他也欢迎出口民调结果,称其为替换内塔尼亚胡的机会。“公众已经发声。公众已解雇内塔尼亚胡政府,”戈兰说。“我们获得了一个在以色列建立真正变革政府的历史性机会,我们无意放弃。”

Yair Golan: ‘The public has fired Netanyahu's government’ Democrats leader Yair Golan, a retired IDF major general who has expressed support for a government including Ra'am, also welcomed the exit poll results, describing them as an opportunity to replace Netanyahu. "The public has spoken. It has fired Netanyahu's government," Golan said. "We have been given a historic opportunity to establish a genuine government of change in Israel, and we have no intention of giving it up."

他继续表示:“我们代表一个庞大的群体,他们在街头抗争了四年,加入政党并走向一线说服选民。我们将竭尽全力确保此类政府成立。”戈兰称,其政党准备与其他政治派别合作,克服分歧并组建新联盟。“我们准备好与所有伙伴合作,弥合分歧并承担责任,”他说。“公众已经发声。

"We represent an enormous public that has fought in the streets for four years, joined the party and gone out into the field to persuade voters," he continued. "We will do everything we can to ensure that such a government is formed." Golan said his party was prepared to cooperate with other political factions to overcome disagreements and establish a new coalition. "We are ready to work with all our partners, bridge the gaps and take responsibility," he said. "The public has spoken.

“现在轮到我们来干活了。”萨尔:“左翼庆祝得太早了” 外交部长吉德翁·萨尔,利库德集团资深人物,对出口民调提出了截然不同的解读,警告内塔尼亚胡的对手不要把预测当成胜利。“左翼的庆祝为时过早,”萨尔说。“根据出口民调,有一点看起来相当清楚:利库德集团是以色列最大的政党。”他的言论凸显了预测中出现的核心不确定性。

Now it is our turn to do the work." Sa'ar: ‘The left is celebrating too early’ Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar, a senior Likud figure, offered a sharply different interpretation of the exit polls, warning Netanyahu's opponents against treating the projections as a victory. "The celebrations on the left are premature," Sa'ar said. "According to the exit polls, one thing appears fairly clear: Likud is the largest party in Israel." His remarks highlighted the central uncertainty emerging from the projections.

尽管在三大主要出口民调的平均值中,“变革阵营”以微弱优势领先内塔尼亚胡的盟友,但利库德集团仍是最大单一政党,且没有任何一个阵营拥有足以独立执政的席位。随着选票统计进行,最终平衡仍可能发生变化,特别是数十万张来自士兵、外交官及其他合格选民的特殊双层信封选票需要单独核验。选举官员警告,计票工作可能持续到周五上午。

Although the change bloc holds a narrow lead over Netanyahu's allies in the average of the three main exit polls, Likud remains the largest single party, and neither bloc has enough seats to govern independently. The final balance could still change as votes are counted, particularly with hundreds of thousands of special double-envelope ballots from soldiers, diplomats and other eligible voters requiring separate verification. Election officials have warned that the count could continue into Friday morning.

即使最终结果公布后,总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格仍需与当选政党磋商,才能决定哪位议员最有可能组建政府。对艾森科特及其盟友而言,这些预测代表了取代内塔尼亚胡的契机。对利库德集团而言,其作为最大党的地位为质疑反对派胜利的说法提供了依据。当下的问题不仅在于哪个阵营最终领先,而在于任何候选人能否凑齐执政所需的议会支持。

Even after the final results are published, President Isaac Herzog will need to consult the elected parties before deciding which lawmaker has the best prospect of forming a government. For Eisenkot and his allies, the projections represent an opening to replace Netanyahu. For Likud, its position as the largest party provides grounds to challenge claims of an opposition victory. The immediate question is not simply which bloc finishes ahead, but whether any candidate can assemble the parliamentary support needed to govern.

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