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纽约时报

以色列总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格面临艰难抉择Israel’s President, Isaac Herzog, Faces a Difficult Choice

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以色列总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格的大部分职责属于礼仪性质——但在全国大选之后,他负有挑选潜在总理并随后交办此人组建政府的职责。

Israel’s President, Isaac Herzog, Faces a Difficult Choice The president has a largely ceremonial role, except after elections when it is his responsibility to pick a candidate for prime minister.

由于以色列人投票支持政党而非某个个人,领导国家的人选是在点票完毕、议会席位按各党得票比例分配后产生的。总统——由以色列单院制议会即克尼塞特(Knesset)单独选举产生——随后会召集各党领袖听取他们对总理人选的建议,然后选择某人组建政府。

Isaac Herzog, Israel’s president, has a largely ceremonial role — except after national elections, when it is his responsibility to choose a potential prime minister and then tasks that person with trying to form a government. Since Israelis vote for a party or parties rather than an individual, the person who might lead the country is selected after the ballots are counted and parliamentary seats are allocated to parties according to their proportion of the vote.

尽管总统可以选择赢得最多选票的政党领袖,但他也可以选择另一位更有可能组建在议会中获得信任投票的执政联盟的领袖。

The president — who is separately elected by the Knesset, Israel’s single-chamber legislature — then convenes party leaders to hear their recommendations for prime minister before choosing someone to form a government.

在2009年,总统希蒙·佩雷斯选择了现任总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡,尽管其右翼利库德集团获得的选票少于中派前进党。

While the president can choose the leader of the party that won the most votes, he can also select another leader who seems more likely to assemble a coalition that can secure a vote of confidence in the Knesset.

周三早些时候的出口民调显示,内塔尼亚胡先生领导的极右翼联盟与呼吁变革的中右翼反对派阵营之间的竞争异常激烈。反对派阵营包括加迪·艾森科特领导的耶沙尔党。但内塔尼亚胡先生的利库德集团似乎获得了最多的选票,这意味着他将主张自己应被选为总理。

In 2009, President Shimon Peres chose Benjamin Netanyahu — the current prime minister — even though his right-wing Likud party had won fewer votes than the centrist Kadima party. Early exit polls on Wednesday suggest a tight race between the far-right coalition led by Mr. Netanyahu and the center-right opposition bloc that has called for change. The opposition bloc includes the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot. But Mr. Netanyahu’s Likud party appears to have received the most votes, which means he will argue that he should be selected as prime minister.

赫尔佐格先生的职责是保持超然于政治纷争之外,他预计将面临艰难的抉择。他必须判断选票显示绝大多数以色列人要求变革,还是表明了对另一个内塔尼亚胡政府的偏好。

Mr. Herzog, whose job is to stay above the political fray, is expected to face a difficult decision. He must discern whether the votes show that the majority of Israelis demanded change or if they indicated a preference for another Netanyahu government.

内塔尼亚胡先生的执政联盟是以色列历史上最右翼的政府,它引发了国际社会的谴责,加剧了与盟友的紧张关系,并令以色列人产生分裂。赫尔佐格先生曾多次批评他所谓的潜入以色列社会的“残酷化的可怕进程”,他列举了被占领的约旦河西岸的犹太定居者针对巴勒斯坦人的暴力行为,以及内塔尼亚胡先生联盟中的一些极右翼部长被指控鼓励的对以色列羁押人员的虐待。

Mr. Netanyahu’s governing coalition, the most right-wing in Israel’s history, has drawn international condemnation, heightened tensions with allies and divided Israelis. Mr. Herzog has repeatedly criticized what he has called “a terrible process of brutalization” creeping into Israeli society, citing violence by Jewish settlers in the occupied West Bank against Palestinians and the abuse of detainees in Israeli custody, which some far-right ministers in Mr. Netanyahu’s coalition are accused of encouraging.

这位拥有刑事赦免和减刑权力的以色列总统,也面临来自特朗普总统的压力,特朗普曾呼吁他赦免正面临腐败指控受审的内塔尼亚胡先生。赫尔佐格先生恭敬地予以拒绝,称“以色列是实行法治的主权国家”。内塔尼亚胡先生长期以来一直拒绝成立独立调查委员会,来调查2023年10月7日由哈马斯主导的针对以色列的袭击,该袭击引发了加沙地带的毁灭性战争。他也拒绝为导致该袭击的任何失职承担责任,这激怒了许多以色列人。

The Israeli president, who can grant criminal pardons and commute sentences, has also faced pressure from President Trump, who has called on him to pardon Mr. Netanyahu as he stands trial on corruption charges. Mr. Herzog has respectfully resisted, saying that “Israel is a sovereign state governed by the rule of law.”Mr. Netanyahu has long resisted calls for an independent commission of inquiry into the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack on Israel that set off a devastating war in Gaza. He has also refused to take responsibility for any failures that led to the attack, angering many Israelis.

*但如果总统启用曾任军事参谋长、其儿子在加沙战争中阵亡并誓言对2023年袭击展开国家调查的艾森科特先生,则无法保证他能成功组建政府。中右翼反对派阵营需要与该国的阿拉伯政党结盟,这些阿拉伯政党似乎获得了有史以来最多的议会席位。该阵营的领导人尚未同意这种联盟,而内塔尼亚胡先生实际上已排除将阿拉伯政党纳入执政联盟的可能。

But if the president taps Mr. Eisenkot, a former military chief whose son was killed in the war in Gaza and who has vowed to launch a state inquiry into the 2023 attack, there is no guarantee he will succeed in forming a government. The center-right opposition bloc would need to ally with the country’s Arab parties, which appear to have secured more parliamentary seats than ever before. The bloc’s leaders have not agreed to such an alliance, while Mr. Netanyahu has effectively ruled out including Arab parties in a governing coalition.

极右翼和极左翼阵营在组建执政多数派方面都面临障碍。他们需要与那些在政治上令人难以接受、甚至可能根本不可能合作的其他政党和派别达成协议。埃弗拉特·利夫尼是《纽约时报》常驻纽约的世界新闻记者。

Both the far-right and far-left blocs face obstacles to assembling a governing majority. They would need agreements with other parties and factions that may be politically unpalatable, or even impossible. Ephrat Livni is a Times reporter covering news around the world. She is based in New York.

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