开罗/贝鲁特/加沙，10月28日——以色列人周二在战时选举中投票，投票率创下纪录，这场选举被称为该国历史上的重大转折点。而在中东其他地区，人们只是更加悲观，此前一位民族主义资深总理和一位前鹰派军方领导人角逐以色列领导权。
CAIRO/BEIRUT/GAZA, Oct 28 - Israelis voted in record numbers in Tuesday's wartime election billed as a major turning point in the nation's history. Others across the Middle East were merely filled with more pessimism after a nationalist veteran prime minister and a former hawkish military chief competed for Israel's leadership.
以色列任职时间最长的总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在此次角逐中赢得了出乎意料的、明显多数以色列犹太人的支持，这似乎确保他至少能以看守身份留任。
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving prime minister, won the support of an unexpectedly clear majority of Israeli Jews in the contest, apparently ensuring he will survive at least in a caretaker role.
在1979年首个与以色列实现和平的阿拉伯国家埃及，62岁的律师奥斯曼·塞利姆说，他原本希望内塔尼亚胡落败能让国家远离极右翼，这一希望已经破灭。
In Egypt, the first Arab country to make peace with Israel in 1979, 62-year-old lawyer Outhman Selim said his hopes that a Netanyahu defeat would steer the country away from the far right had been dashed.
截至周三，近86%的选票已清点完毕，以色列媒体预测，内塔尼亚胡领导的右翼、强硬派和极端正统派政党联盟将在议会赢得53个席位，超过其对手加迪·艾森科特领导的反对派联盟的48席。
With nearly 86% of votes tallied on Wednesday, Israeli media forecast Netanyahu's bloc of right-wing, hardline and ultra-Orthodox parties winning 53 seats in parliament, surpassing 48 for the opposition bloc of rival Gadi Eisenkot.
这是自巴勒斯坦激进组织哈马斯于2023年10月7日震动以色列以来的首次选举，那次袭击造成1200人死亡，并劫持了251名人质。
The election was the first since the Palestinian militant group Hamas shook Israel on October 7, 2023, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostage.
据当地卫生当局称，随后在加沙爆发的战争将这片飞地的大部分地区夷为平地，造成超过7.4万名巴勒斯坦人死亡，使以色列在世界舞台上日益孤立，全球舆论决定性地转向反对以色列，包括其最亲密的盟友美国。
The ensuing war in Gaza, which flattened most of the territory and killed more than 74,000 Palestinians, according to health authorities there, has left Israel increasingly isolated on the world stage, with a decisive shift in global public opinion against it, including in its closest ally the United States.
普遍的冷漠在加沙，流离失所的巴勒斯坦人马吉德·琼迪亚对内塔尼亚胡和前军方领导人艾森科特不加区分。
WIDESPREAD INDIFFERENCE In Gaza, displaced Palestinian Majed Jundia made no distinction between Netanyahu and Eisenkot, a former military chief.
“他们想消灭巴勒斯坦人民，这样他们就能为所欲为，”琼迪亚说。
"They want to eradicate the Palestinian people so they do what they want," said Jundia.
内塔尼亚胡因在哈马斯发动袭击、酿成以色列最致命一天之前的安保失误而受到严厉批评。
Netanyahu was heavily criticised over security failures leading up to the Hamas assault on Israel's deadliest day.
将自己描绘成唯一能够保卫国家的领导人，这位极其善于政治生存的老手辩称，他下令暗杀哈马斯领导人、黎巴嫩真主党领导人及其盟友伊朗的领导人，使以色列乃至世界更加安全。
Portraying himself as the only leader who could protect the country, the consummate political survivor argued that his assassinations of the leaders of Hamas, Lebanon's Hezbollah and their ally Iran made Israel, and the world, safer.
81岁的黎巴嫩人卡迈勒·哈达德几十年来见证了以色列与邻国的冲突，他对局势不会有任何改变。
Kamel Haddad, an 81-year-old Lebanese man who has witnessed Israel's conflicts with neighbouring states over decades, expected no changes. "As for who wins?
“至于谁赢？我根本不在乎。让他们自相残杀吧，跟我有什么关系？”他说，“他们现在之间有矛盾，可能会忙于内斗。也许会暂时放过我们。” 尽管内塔尼亚胡在120个席位的以色列议会（克尼塞特）中失去了其阵营的多数席位，这在预料之中，但他的对手若想将其赶下台，除非达成一项不太可能的协议，接受阿拉伯政党的广泛支持，而许多犹太领袖拒绝这一点。
I couldn’t care less. Let them tear each other apart, what difference does it make to me?” he said. "They might get preoccupied with one another since there are issues between them now. Perhaps they would leave us be for a bit.”While Netanyahu lost his bloc's majority in the 120-seat Knesset, as expected, his opponents were left with no hope of unseating him without an unlikely deal to accept broad backing from Arab parties, which many Jewish leaders reject.
即便如此，他在任何联合政府谈判期间，或直到明年举行新一届大选前，仍将继续担任看守总理。
Even then, he would remain as caretaker during any coalition negotiations, or until a new election next year.
在耶路撒冷利库德集团的竞选总部，面对该党的忠实支持者，内塔尼亚胡呼吁组建“一个强有力的右翼民族政府”。
Addressing his Likud party's faithful at its election headquarters in Jerusalem, Netanyahu called for the formation of "a strong, right-wing national government".
伊朗战争前景再现 他还强调了以色列的军事成果，并提出了在其盟友、美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的配合下，重新采取针对伊朗的联合军事行动的前景。
PROSPECT OF RENEWED WAR WITH IRAN He also highlighted Israel's military successes and raised the prospect of renewed joint military action against Iran alongside his ally, US President Donald Trump.
“如果这一个赢了，他想打击你；如果那个赢了，他想杀了你。就这样，别无其他，”约旦人塔雷克·阿尔-凯西说道，他谈及内塔尼亚胡与其主要对手艾森科特之间的竞争时如是反映。
"If one wins, he wants to strike you; if the other wins, he wants to kill you. That’s it, nothing else," said Jordanian Tarek al-Kaissy, reflecting on the competition between Netanyahu and his main rival Eisenkot.
艾森科特在竞选途中强调自己的安全资历，引用他担任指挥官期间在2006年以黎战争中实施的“达希耶学说”——即以不成比例的武力回应袭击。他的这种做法甚至在大选开始前就降低了人们对变革的任何期待。
Eisenkot emphasized his security credentials on the campaign trail, citing his "Dahiyeh doctrine" of responding to attacks with disproportionate force, which he deployed as a commander during Israel's 2006 war with Hezbollah in Lebanon. His approach lowered any expectations of change, even before the election began.
在德黑兰，印有已故最高领袖阿亚图拉阿里·哈梅内伊画像的横幅让伊朗人回想起2月底美国和以色列发动打击、点燃这场战争的最初日子。就在右侧，是已故真主党领导人哈桑·纳斯鲁拉的海报，他是在内塔尼亚胡的命令下被杀的。
In Tehran, banners with images of slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reminded Iranians of the early days of US and Israeli strikes at the end of February, which kicked off the war. Just to the right was a poster of late Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed on Netanyahu's orders.
“我真切地看到了遭受攻击的可能性，”50岁的伊朗公民阿卜杜拉·卡里米说。
"I genuinely see the possibility of attack," said 50-year-old Iranian citizen Abdollah Karimi.