印度财政部在其10月经济回顾中表示，根据对当前数据的最新评估，预计印度经济在本财年将以7.3%的速度增长。这一估值较此前7.1%的预测略有上调。
India's Ministry of Finance expects India's economy to grow at a pace of 7.3% in the current fiscal year based on its latest assessment of current data, it said in its October economic review The estimate is a slight increase on the previous forecast of 7.1%.
印度当前财年（称为FY27）自2026年4月1日起至2027年3月31日止。
India's current fiscal year, known as FY27, runs from April 1, 2026 to March 31, 2027.
报告将这些数字与接近3%的全球增长预测形成对比，称“相比之下，印度的增长势头保持稳健。”财政部表示，能源消费、港口吞吐量、商品及服务税（GST）征收和汽车销售等各项关键指标的增长在上一季度均有所加快。
The report contrasted these figures with global growth predictions of nearer 3%, saying "India's growth momentum, by comparison, has held firm." The ministry said growth in various key indicators like energy consumption, port traffic, goods and services tax (GST) collections, and car sales had accelerated in the previous quarter.
受厄尔尼诺现象和地缘政治推动的通胀构成威胁 然而，财政部同时警告称，通胀压力和卢比货币压力持续存在，且厄尔尼诺天气现象带来的下行风险可能威胁冬播季前的土壤湿度。
Inflation, fueled by El Nino and geopolitics, poses a threat However, the ministry also warned of continued inflationary pressure and pressure on the rupee currency, as well as downside risks from the El Nino weather phonemenon that could threaten soil moisture ahead of the winter sowing season.
财政部称，油价和“全球不确定性”等外部因素——这似乎至少部分指向中东局势的动荡——继续给卢比汇率带来压力并构成通胀风险。
It said that external factors like oil prices and "global uncertainties" — seemingly a reference at least in part to the instablity in the Middle East — continued to pressure the rupee's value and pose inflationary risks.
消费者物价指数（CPI）、批发物价指数（WPI）、食品成本价格以及燃料和电力价格均在环比上涨，尽管涨幅差异巨大。
Consumer price inflation (CPI), the wholesale price index (WPI), food cost prices and fuel and power prices were all rising month for month, albeit at very different rates.
9月CPI同比上涨5.54%，但WPI涨幅更为显著，达11.39%。农村地区食品指数通胀上涨8%，城市中心涨幅略低，为7.18%。
The CPI was up 5.54% year-on-year in September, but the WPI had risen more sharply at 11.39%. Food index inflation was up by 8% in rural areas, and a slightly more modest 7.18% in urban centers.
但与许多其他国家一样，燃料和电力成本涨幅处于完全不同的量级，2026年9月同比通胀率高达25.85%，这还是在中东冲突爆发之前。财政部表示外汇储备充足，卢比贬值似乎可控尽管贬值速度相对较慢，但卢比在过去五年里持续对美元贬值，威胁到该国的国际相对购买力。过去15个月左右，这种下滑加快了步伐。
But, as in many other countries, fuel and power costs increases were in an entirely different league, at 25.85% inflation in September 2026 comapred to the same month a year earlier, prior to the outbreak of fighting in the Middle East. Ministry says FX reserves ample, rupee's decline appears manageable Although it has been a comparatively slow decline, the rupee has been consistently losing value against the US dollar over the past five years, threatening the country's relative purchasing power internationally. This slide has picked up pace in the last 15 months or so.
但财政部指出，外汇储备约为7210亿美元，并表示印度“处于有利位置”，能够应对此类风险并维持其扩张轨迹。
But the ministry pointed to foreign exchange reserves worth some $721 billion and said that India was "well-positioned" to weather such risks and sustain its expansionary trajectory.