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彭博社

全球表现第二差货币推高乌干达通胀World’s Second Worst Performing Currency Fans Ugandan Inflation

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在坎帕拉,一名街头货币兑换商正在清点成捆的乌干达先令纸币,以备兑换。摄影:卢克·德雷/彭博社A street currency dealer counts bundles of Ugandan shilling banknotes for exchange in Kampala. Photographer: Luke Dray/Bloomberg

乌干达通胀率飙升至三年来最高水平,原因是先令贬值——过去三个月里全球表现第二差的货币——推高了进口成本。

Uganda’s inflation surged to its highest level in three years as a slump in the shilling — the world’s second-worst-performing currency over the past three months — drove up import costs.

乌干达统计局周五表示,10月消费者价格同比上涨5.8%,上月为上涨4.6%,主要原因是能源和食品成本上升。核心通胀率也从9月的3.7%加速至4.4%。

Consumer prices rose 5.8% in October, compared with 4.6% the prior month mainly due to increases in energy and food costs, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Core inflation also accelerated to 4.4% from 3.7% in September.

乌干达央行将核心通胀目标设定为5%,本月召开紧急利率制定会议以捍卫先令并锚定通胀预期。自7月底以来,先令对美元已贬值超过11%。

The central bank, which targets core inflation at 5%, called an emergency rate-setting meeting this month to defend the shilling, which has depreciated more than 11% against the dollar since the end of July, and anchor inflation expectations.

央行将利率从9.75%上调至12%,为15年来最大幅度加息,随后又通过抛售美元干预市场。

It hiked the rate to 12% from 9.75%, the most in 15 years, and has subsequently intervened in the market with dollar sales.

由于乌克兰和伊朗战争导致供应受限、能源进口成本飙升,国际收支压力使该货币承压。

The currency came under pressure due to balance-of-payment pressures as the cost of energy imports surged because of supply constraints caused by the wars in Ukraine and Iran.

截至首都坎帕拉时间下午1点16分,先令对美元汇率上涨2.5%,报4,245。

The currency traded 2.5% firmer against the greenback at 4,245 by 1:16 p.m. in Kampala, the capital.

彭博非洲研究内容总监兼非洲经济学家伊冯娜·姆汉戈本周早些时候表示,先令贬值带来的调整已超过缩小外部资金缺口所需,先令可能会收复部分失地。

Yvonne Mhango, director of African Research Content and Africa economist at Bloomberg, said earlier this week that the shilling’s depreciation had delivered more adjustment than needed to narrow the external funding gap and was likely to recover some of its losses.

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