财政部长埃诺赫·哥东瓦纳表示，南非国内生产总值（GDP）的上修——这是在对经济测量方式进行定期重新计算后出现的——为该国创造了财政空间。
The upward revision of South Africa’s gross domestic product — following a regular recalculation of how the economy is measured — creates fiscal headroom for the country, Finance Minster Enoch Godongwana said.
周四发布的官方数据显示，在通常每五年进行一次的基期修订后，该国2025年的GDP比先前估计大5.3%。分析师称，这可能将本财年该国的债务率从78.2%降至GDP的估计74.5%。
Official data released on Thursday showed the country’s GDP was 5.3% larger in 2025 than previously estimated, after a rebasing exercise that is typically conducted every five years. Analysts said this could reduce the country’s gross debt ratio for the current fiscal year from 78.2% to an estimated 74.5% of GDP.
哥东瓦纳周五晚间在克加莱马·莫特兰特基金会主办的一个论坛间隙接受采访时表示：“我可以确认，这绝对给了我们空间。”
“I can confirm that, it definitely gives us headroom,” Godongwana said in an interview on the side of a forum hosted by the Kgalema Motlanthe Foundation on Friday evening.
“我需要让我的团队进行正常的预测，看这对收入和财政指标意味着什么——然后我们才能有长远的考量，”哥东瓦纳说。
“I need to allow my team to do the normal forecasting in terms of what it means, both in revenue and for the fiscal metrics - and then we can have a long-term view,” Godongwana said.
穆迪评级和其他机构已将该国债务状况的改善列为考虑进一步上调该国信用评级时将关注的因素，该国信用评级一直呈上升趋势，但仍低于投资级。
Moody’s Ratings and other agencies have flagged improvements in the country’s debt position as a factor they will watch when considering further upgrades to the country’s credit rating, which has been on an upward trajectory but remains below investment grade.
哥东瓦纳警告称，这一统计上的意外之财不太可能为急需的基础设施建设释放资金。
Godongwana cautioned that the statistical windfall was unlikely to unleash funding for much-needed infrastructure development.
“目前基础设施的问题是支出能力。即使现在我已经做了预算安排，也很可能花不出去。”哥东瓦纳表示，GDP修订的性质——部分是由非法采矿的贡献纳入驱动的——将使其特别难以为公共财政捕获收益。
“The current problem on infrastructure is the ability to spend. Even now I’ve made a provision that is not likely to be spent.”Godongwana said the nature of the GDP revision, part of which was driven by the inclusion of the contribution made by illegal mining, would be particularly hard to capture for the benefit of public finances.
“这将是一项任务，特别是在非正规部门方面，简直是个棘手的任务，”他说。
“It’s going to be a task, particularly on the informal side, a hell of a task,” he said.