
非党派机构库克政治报告周五将内布拉斯加州和佛罗里达州的参议院选情调整为更有利于挑战者,尽管仍认为共和党现任议员占优,这两个共和党把持的参议院席位出现“翻盘”可能性随之上升。
The odds of flipping Republican Senate seats in Nebraska and Florida improved Friday, as the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted the races toward challengers while still giving an edge to the GOP incumbents.
民主党需要净赢四个席位才能夺回参议院控制权,随着民调显示该党在越来越多传统红州具有竞争力,其翻盘机会正在扩大。
Democrats need to flip a net of four seats to gain control of the Senate and have a widening field of opportunities to get there as polls show the party is competitive in a growing number of traditionally red states.
内布拉斯加州和佛罗里达州成为最新出现民主党及独立候选人站稳脚跟的共和党大本营,加入得克萨斯州、爱荷华州、堪萨斯州、俄亥俄州、阿拉斯加州和南卡罗来纳州等备受关注的激战州行列。
Nebraska and Florida are the latest GOP strongholds where Democratic and independent challengers have gained a foothold, joining closely watched races in Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, Alaska and South Carolina.
库克政治报告将内布拉斯加州评级从“倾向共和党”下调为“倾向共和党(程度较低)”,显示独立参议员候选人丹·奥斯本在挑战共和党现任参议员皮特·里基茨的竞选中正积聚声势。
Cook shifted Nebraska from likely Republican to lean Republican, a sign that independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn is picking up momentum in his effort to unseat the GOP incumbent Senator Pete Ricketts.

伊朗战争引发的经济不满和燃油价格上涨给奥斯本创造了机会,他在注册共和党选民数量是民主党两倍的该州,试图克服里基茨的资金优势。这位前工会领袖和产业机械师以降低成本、对抗企业利益为竞选纲领。
Economic frustration over the war in Iran and rising fuel costs have given Osborn an opening, as he tries to overcome Ricketts’ cash advantage in a state where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats two-to-one. The former union leader and industrial mechanic is campaigning on lowering costs and standing up to corporate interests.
库克政治报告参议院和州长选情编辑杰西卡·泰勒表示,她仍看好里基茨,理由是包括与多数党领袖约翰·图恩结盟的参议院领袖基金在内的外部保守团体,以及加密货币行业投入巨额资金。但她在博客文章中指出,共和党民调公司Echelon Insights最近的一项民调显示奥斯本仅落后里基茨1个百分点,这促使她更仔细地审视这位独立候选人的胜算。
Jessica Taylor, Cook Political Report’s senate and governors editor, said she still gives the edge to Ricketts, citing heavy spending by outside conservative groups including the Senate Leadership Fund aligned with Majority Leader John Thune and the cryptocurrency industry. But a recent poll from GOP firm Echelon Insights showing Osborn only one point behind Ricketts prompted a closer look at the independent candidate’s odds, she said in a blog post.

与此同时,库克政治报告将佛罗里达州评级从“稳固共和党”下调为“倾向共和党”。该州参议员阿什利·穆迪面临隶属于美国民主社会主义者的州众议员安吉·尼克松的挑战。
Meanwhile, Cook moved Florida, where Senator Ashley Moody faces a challenge from Angie Nixon, a state representative affiliated with the Democratic Socialists of America, from solidly Republican to likely Republican.
《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院周三发布的一项民调显示,尼克松落后穆迪6个百分点。该州共和党籍州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周四就波尔克县共和党投票率低迷发出警报,该县位于佛罗里达州中部,历来是共和党的传统优势地区。
A New York Times/Siena poll released Wednesday had Nixon six points behind Moody. And the state’s Republican Governor Ron DeSantis sounded the alarm Thursday over low GOP turnout in Polk County, a traditional source of strength for the party in central Florida.