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内塔尼亚胡为何指责阿拉伯政党“窃取”以色列选举,官员又发现了什么Why Netanyahu is accusing Arab Parties of ‘stealing’ Israel election and what officials found

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以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在以色列大选首轮出口民调结果公布后,于耶路撒冷利库德党总部向支持者发表讲话时做手势。(美联社照片)Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gestures as he speaks to supporters at Likud party headquarters in Jerusalem following the release of the first exit poll results in Israel’s general election. (AP Photo)

以色列大选导致政治僵局,无党派跨过半数门槛。各党派正在商讨新策略、寻求新联盟之际,阿拉伯政党凭借史无前例的表现难以被忽视。

Israel election has led to a political deadlock with no party crossing the majority mark. Even as the parties deliberate on fresh strategy and new alliances, the Arab parties with their unprecedented performance are hard to ignore.

包括“联合名单”和“拉姆党”在内的阿拉伯政党共获得19个席位,这一表现源于创纪录的投票率。总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团将这一“历史性”表现归因于外国资金和舞弊。然而,以色列当局、选举官员和阿拉伯政党均表示,没有任何证据支持这两项指控。由于两大阵营均未接近61席,这些政党可能决定下一届政府的归属。那么,这是舞弊案,还是将其排除在外的手段?

The Arab parties, that include Joint List and Ra’am, have secured 19 seats, a performance triggered by a record turnout. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party has linked the ‘historic’ performance to foreign money and fraud. However, the Israeli authorities, election officials and the Arab parties have said that there is no evidence of either. With neither bloc near 61 seats, those parties could pick the next government. So is this a fraud case, or a move to keep them out?

内塔尼亚胡和利库德集团的主张 10月29日周四,内塔尼亚胡在社交媒体上表示,外国势力想要控制议会(Knesset)并终结右翼统治。他将此事命名为“拉姆门”,并称其为“地震”。他说选票是用现金买来的,并警告这种政府可能导致以色列军事撤退,包括在与伊朗的冲突中撤退。他敦促警察和辛贝特(以色列内部安全局)动用一切手段进行调查。

What Netanyahu and Likud claim On Thursday, October 29, Netanyahu said on social media that foreign forces wanted to take over the Knesset and end right-wing rule. He named the matter Ra’amgate and called it “an earthquake,”. He said votes were bought with cash, and warned that such a government could lead to an Israeli military retreat, including in the conflict with Iran. He urged the police and the Shin Bet, Israel’s internal security agency, to use all means to investigate.

周三,他还指控这些政党行贿、威胁、暴力和重复投票,并称利库德集团正向当局提供数百份证词和证据。

On Wednesday, he also accused the parties of bribery, threats, violence and multiple voting, and said Likud was giving the authorities hundreds of testimonies and pieces of evidence.

所有选票已清点完毕 · 官方认证尚待进行 以色列2026年大选:谁赢得了多少席位?

All ballots counted · Official certification pending Israel election 2026: Who won how many seats?

议会120个席位三分天下。两大主要阵营均未能单独达到组建多数政府所需的61席。

The 120 Knesset seats split three ways. Neither major bloc reaches the 61 needed for a majority on its own.

中央选举委员会已完成常规选票和双层信封选票的清点。所示席位为已报告的完成清点数字(《环球报》2026年10月29日以色列时间下午6:15),仍待最终核实。官方结果预计于2026年11月4日公布。阵营划分为编辑部归类,非中央选举委员会官方分类。

The Central Elections Committee has finished counting the regular and double-envelope ballots. Seats shown are the reported completed-count figures ( Globes Oct 29, 2026, 6:15pm Israel time), still subject to final verification. Official results are expected on Nov 4, 2026. Bloc groupings are editorial, not Central Elections Committee categories.

按党派划分的阵营 61席 = 多数 内塔尼亚胡阵营 距61席多数尚差8席。

Blocs By party 61 = majority Netanyahu bloc Eight seats short of a 61-seat majority.

利库德集团 27席 沙斯党 6席 统一托拉犹太教党 7席 犹太力量党 7席 宗教锡安主义-泽胡特党 6席 反对派阵营 若不获得其阵营外支持,距多数尚差13席。

Likud 27 Shas 6 United Torah Judaism 7 Otzma Yehudit 7 Religious Zionism–Zehut 6 Opposition bloc Thirteen seats short of a majority without support from outside its bloc.

以色列复原党 21席 团结党 12席 民主党 8席 以色列我们的家园党 7席 阿拉伯主导政党 两个独立政党,并非单一阵营。联合名单和拉姆党在联合组阁谈判中可能采取不同立场。

Yashar 21 B’Yachad 12 The Democrats 8 Yisrael Beytenu 7 Arab-led parties Two separate parties not one bloc. The Joint List and Ra’am could take different positions in coalition talks.

联合名单 11席 拉姆党 8席 全部120席 分组为编辑性划分。

Joint List 11 Ra’am 8 All 120 seats Groupings are editorial.

阵营划分遵循以色列媒体对政党的归类方式;并非中央选举委员会的官方分类。组建政府是独立于计票的过程,目前没有任何联合政府是确定的。来源:席位:据《Globes》报道的中央选举委员会完成计票结果(2026年10月29日,以色列时间下午6:15),待官方认证,预计2026年11月4日完成。阵营总数经《以色列时报》(2026年10月29日)交叉核对。

The blocs follow how Israeli media group the parties; they are not official Central Elections Committee categories. Forming a government is a separate process from the count, and no coalition is certain. Sources: Seats: completed Central Elections Committee count as reported by Globes (Oct 29, 2026, 6:15pm Israel time), pending official certification, expected Nov 4, 2026. Bloc totals cross-checked with The Times of Israel (Oct 29, 2026).

Express InfoGenIE 制作:Aniruddha Dhar 希伯来语媒体称,利库德集团认为资金来自卡塔尔和土耳其。卡塔尔否认有任何作用。利库德集团及其他右翼人士指出阿拉伯选民投票率高、有组织的接送选民车辆以及担心外资资助竞选活动。他们表示需要进行审查以维护公众信任。

Express InfoGenIE Created by Aniruddha Dhar Hebrew-language media said Likud believes the money came from Qatar and Turkey. Qatar denies any role. Likud and other right-wing figures point to high Arab turnout, organised transport to polling stations and fears of foreign-funded campaigns. They say a review is needed to keep public trust.

官方和警方表态 目前,这些指控尚未得到证实。警方表示未掌握任何证据,且选举日的违规事件比其他选举更少。中央选举委员会代理主任迪安·利夫内告诉Kan电视台,委员会收到的是“指控而非证据”。Kan电视台和《国土报》援引消息人士称,相关嫌疑微不足道且被夸大了。以色列阿拉伯政党是谁?他们想要什么?

What officials and police say So far, the claims have not been backed up. Police said they hold no evidence, and that election day had fewer irregular incidents than in other elections. Dean Livne, acting head of the Central Election Committee, told Kan the committee had received “claims rather than evidence.”Kan and Ha’aretz, citing sources, said the suspicions were small and overstated. Who are Israel’s Arab parties, what they want, and why they matter after election Even so, committee chair and Supreme Court Justice Noam Sohlberg asked Shin Bet chief David Zini to look into possible foreign funding.

为何在大选后举足轻重即便如此,委员会主席、最高法院大法官诺姆·索尔伯格要求内部安全局(辛贝特)局长大卫·齐尼调查可能的外国资金来源。他说无法证实这些嫌疑,但希望进行全面调查并在一周内得出结果。印度新闻社报道,他的信中未点名任何国家。

He said he could not confirm the suspicions, but wanted a full inquiry and findings within a week. His letter named no country, Press Trust of India said.

齐尼在选举日表示,投票过程安全且受到监督。以色列媒体称,利库德集团部分担忧源自情报评估,但该机构尚未证实这一点。此外,辛贝特正在调查多名内塔尼亚胡助手涉嫌与卡塔尔有关联一事,该案与此无关。

Zini said on election day that the vote was safe and supervised. Israeli media said some of Likud’s concerns came from intelligence assessments, though the agency has not confirmed this. Separately, the Shin Bet is investigating several Netanyahu aides over alleged ties to Qatar, a case is unrelated.

拉阿姆党否认涉案,并表示将配合任何调查。半岛电视台称,两个阿拉伯政党均否认有不当行为。

Ra’am denied involvement and said it would help any investigation. Al Jazeera said both Arab parties deny wrongdoing.

为何这对组阁至关重要?席位数说明了一切。部分计票结果显示,内塔尼亚胡阵营获得53个席位,艾森科特阵营获得48个,阿拉伯主导政党共获19席。120席的议会(克内塞特)过半需61席。联合名单赢得11席,拉阿姆党8席,两党均愿与反对派合作。然而,大多数犹太复国主义反对党承诺不与阿拉伯政党组建联合政府。反对派领袖在阿拉伯政党是否应加入联合政府或在外部支持方面仍存分歧。

Why it matters for forming a government The numbers show why. Partial count gave Netanyahu’s bloc 53 seats, Eisenkot’s bloc 48 and Arab-led parties 19. A majority in the 120-seat Knesset needs 61. Joint List won 11 seats and Ra’am eight, and both are willing to work with the opposition. Most Zionist opposition parties pledged not to join a coalition with Arab parties, though. Opposition leaders remain split on whether Arab parties should join a coalition or back it from outside.

内塔尼亚胡主要对手加迪·艾森科特指责他发动影响力行动,试图对选举结果产生怀疑,但同时也表示每项投诉都应被调查。利库德集团官员在投票前周末讨论了关于阿拉伯社区的可能投诉,当时尚未出现任何违规迹象。

Gadi Eisenkot, Netanyahu’s main rival, accused him of running an influence campaign to cast doubt on the vote, but also said every complaint should be investigated. Likud officials discussed possible complaints about Arab communities in the weekend before voting, before any irregularities had been shown.

以色列2026年大选结果:内塔尼亚胡阵营赢53席、反对派获48席,接下来会怎样?

Israel election results 2026: What happens next after Netanyahu bloc wins 53 seats, opposition gets 48?

帕姆比奇民主与政策研究中心的阿米拉·哈尔佩林对德国之声表示,利库德集团可能意在削弱阿拉伯势力的影响力。

Amira Halperin of the Palm Beach Center for Democracy and Policy Research told DW that Likud may want to reduce Arab influence.

阿拉伯选民投票率创纪录及后续展望 据以色列媒体报道,阿拉伯选民投票率从2022年的约50%上升至约80%。阿拉伯公民约占人口的20%。法律权益组织“阿达拉”表示,阿拉伯地区的投票站在选举日面临系统性延误。

Record Arab turnout and what comes next Arab turnout rose from about 50 percent in 2022 to about 80 percent, according to Israeli reports. Arab citizens make up about 20 percent of the population. Adalah, a legal rights group, said polling stations in Arab areas faced systematic delays on election day.

中央选举委员会预计将于11月4日公布最终结果。随后,总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格将与各党派磋商,并指派一名议员尝试组建政府。半岛电视台就此向分析人士谢哈·阿拉努德·哈马德·萨乌德·阿勒萨尼、阿贝德·阿布·沙德和亚当·贝洛斯提问。

The Central Election Committee is expected to publish final results by November 4. President Isaac Herzog will then consult the parties and ask one lawmaker to try to form a government. Al Jazeera put the question to analysts Sheikha Alanoud Hamad Saud Al Thani, Abed Abou Shhadeh and Adam Bellos.

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