
伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊已向伊朗武装部队发布措辞强硬的讯息,与此同时,调解人仍在努力防止伊朗与美国之间爆发新的战争。
Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a strongly worded message to the Iranian armed forces, as mediators continue to try to prevent a new breakout of war between Iran and the United States.
卡塔尔资深外交官周五在德黑兰举行了广泛会谈,预计周六将继续举行会谈。
Senior diplomats from Qatar held extensive talks in Tehran on Friday with further talks expected to take place on Saturday.
伊朗当局表示,他们已准备好予以有力回应,此前有报道称美国和以色列正准备对伊朗发动新的袭击。
Iranian authorities say they are prepared to respond forcefully amid reports that the US and Israel are preparing for new strikes on Iran.
伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的办公室于周六表示,他会见了高级军事指挥官,并向他们下达了“重要战略指示”。哈梅内伊自3月接替其遇刺身亡的父亲、阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊以来,一直未公开露面或发声。
The office of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Khamenei, who has not been seen or heard from since replacing his assassinated father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in March, said on Saturday that he met with senior military commanders and gave them “important strategic directives”.
据该办公室发布的一份声明称,哈梅内伊要求通过做好准备实现“最大威慑”,以便在国家再次遭受袭击时能作出“即时且有效的回应,不受地域限制”。
Khamenei required “maximum deterrence” through preparedness for “an immediate and effective response, without geographical restriction” if the country is attacked again, according to a statement released by the office.
这发生在美国副总统JD·万斯给德黑兰写信数日之后,据报道该信件是写给伊朗最高国家安全委员会领导人穆赫辛·礼萨伊的。尽管礼萨伊几十年来未能获得足够选票担任公职,但他已成为伊朗战略决策中的核心权力人物。
It comes days after US Vice President JD Vance wrote a letter to Tehran, reportedly addressed to Mohsen Rezaei, the Supreme National Security Council leader who has become a central power in strategic decision-making in Iran despite failing over decades to garner enough votes for public office.
信件的确切细节不详,但据信万斯呼吁伊朗作出核承诺,包括允许国际核查员监督伊朗核计划,并决定伊朗高浓缩铀的去向。德黑兰已表示,高浓缩铀不会运往国外。
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普此前拒绝了他已下令恢复和谈的报道,反而声称——但未作详细说明——万斯的信件涉及允许医疗物资进入伊朗。
Exact details of the letter are unclear, but Vance is believed to have called for nuclear commitments from Iran, including allowing international inspectors to monitor the country’s nuclear programme and determining the fate of Iran’s highly enriched uranium, which Tehran has said will not be shipped abroad Talks US President Donald Trump earlier rejected reports that he had ordered renewed peace talks, instead claiming without elaborating that the Vance letter was concerned with allowing medical supplies into Iran.
据伊朗媒体报道,德黑兰提出在数日内重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,以换取回归6月的谅解备忘录,这一提议仍是调解谈判的基准。
According to Iranian media, Tehran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within several days in exchange for a return to the June memorandum of understanding still remains the baseline for the mediated negotiations.
德黑兰的要求包括解除美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁、豁免石油制裁,以及地区冲突的停火,其中包括黎巴嫩冲突,以色列军队继续占领该国南部。
Tehran’s demands include the lifting of a US maritime blockade on Iranian ports, waivers on oil sanctions, and a truce for regional conflicts, including in Lebanon where Israeli forces continue to occupy the country’s south.
当地媒体证实伊朗收到了这封信,但未说明是否已通过调解人给出任何官方回应。
Local media confirmed that Iran received the letter, although they did not say whether any official response has been given through mediators.
伊朗官方关联的《伊斯兰共和国报》(Jomhouri-e Eslami)周六发表社论称,尽管与美国达成协议的机会渺茫,且在美国11月3日中期选举后可能爆发冲突,但在未来几天就谈判和会晤给出积极回应仍是当务之急。社论称:“我们绝不能让战争被接受为伊朗无法逃避的命运。”
An Iranian state-linked Jomhouri-e Eslami (“Islamic Republic”) newspaper published an editorial on Saturday saying that even though the chances of reaching an agreement with the US were slim and fighting could break out after the US midterm elections on November 3, it was still imperative to give a positive response to negotiations and meetings over the coming days. “We must not allow war to be accepted as the inescapable fate for Iran,” it said.
伊朗和美国持续试图在霍尔木兹海峡确立控制权。伊斯兰革命卫队继续袭击船只,并警告称存在来自所谓水雷的持续威胁。美军为从阿拉伯国家经该水道运出石油的穿梭系统提供指引和掩护。
Iran and the US have kept up their attempts to assert control in the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC has continued attacking ships and warns of a lingering threat from alleged naval mines. The US military provides guidance and cover for a shuttle system to get oil from Arab states out of the waterway.
当地当局周六下午报告称,伊朗南部格什姆岛以南海域有两艘渔船遭美国无人机轰炸,数名渔民受伤。
Local authorities reported on Saturday afternoon that two fishing boats were bombed by a US drone south of Qeshm island in southern Iran, wounding several fishermen.
伊朗国家电视台周五晚间声称,近日在通过霍尔木兹海峡“未经授权”航线航行时,至少六艘油轮(包括一艘载有200万桶原油的超大型油轮)疑似触雷发生爆炸受损。该台还发布了从一艘小艇上拍摄的画面,画面靠近一艘正在处理火情的大型船只。
Iranian state television claimed late on Friday that at least six tankers, including a very large crude carrier bearing two million barrels of oil, were damaged by explosions after allegedly hitting mines in recent days while transiting “unauthorised” routes in the strait. It also released footage recorded from a small boat close to a larger vessel that was dealing with a fire.
英国海上贸易行动办公室(UKMTO)周五报告了一起前一天发生的新型袭击。该办公室称,一艘油轮在阿曼哈萨布东北方向海域遭一艘小艇靠近,该艇在油轮水线以上的船体上安装了两枚爆炸装置,引发的爆炸导致机舱起火,并使该船暂时瘫痪。
The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) on Friday reported a new type of attack that occurred a day earlier. It said a tanker was approached by a small boat which attached two explosive devices to the hull above the waterline, resulting in a blast that caused a fire in the engine room and temporarily disabled the vessel northeast of Oman’s Khasab.
该海上监测机构表示,在截至10月28日的一周内,记录到经霍尔木兹海峡进出的过境船只分别为155艘和122艘,较战前水平下降70%。
The maritime monitor said it recorded 155 inbound and 122 outbound transits through the Strait of Hormuz in the week ending October 28, which was 70 percent lower than pre-war levels.
美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀周五在一段视频讲话中表示,他飞越海峡上空,看到数十艘载运货物、原油和液化天然气的船只在美军飞机和海上无人机的支撑下航行。
In a video message on Friday, US Central Command chief Brad Cooper said he flew over the strait and saw dozens of vessels carrying cargo, crude oil and liquid natural gas while being supported by US aircraft and sea drones.
他说:“我完全没看到伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)的踪影。他们巡逻霍尔木兹海峡及周边水域数十年,随意骚扰、威胁并扣押商船。但他们现在不在那里了,因为伊朗海军全都沉在海底。”“红线已成往事”八个月战争后,德黑兰方面的言辞只会更加强硬。继哈梅内伊周六发表声明后,伊朗军方发言人穆罕默德·阿克拉米尼亚警告特朗普政府勿攻击伊朗。
“I didn’t see the IRGC out there at all,” he said. “They patrolled the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waters for decades, harassing and threatening and seizing commercial vessels at will. But they were not out there because Iran’s navy is all at the bottom of the sea.”‘Red lines a thing of the past’The rhetoric coming from Tehran has only hardened after eight months of war. In line with Khamenei’s Saturday statement, army spokesman Mohammad Akraminia warned the Trump administration against attacking Iran.
他说:“如果美国总统再次在犹太复国主义者的威胁和贪婪驱使下在该地区搞冒险主义,战火无疑将吞噬更广阔的版图。”这是指以色列。
“If the US president once more embarks on adventurism in the region through threats and greed of the Zionists, the fire of war will undoubtedly engulf a wider geography,” he said, in reference to Israel.
其他高级官员则将矛头指向华盛顿的欧洲盟友,后者对美以2月28日的攻势以及去年那场持续12天的战争均表示了支持。
Other senior officials took aim at Washington’s European allies, who expressed backing for both the US-Israeli offensive on February 28 and last year’s 12-day war.
德国总理弗里德里希·梅尔茨称,过去八个月战争给欧洲造成的成本已超过1000亿欧元。伊朗安全事务高级官员礼萨伊随即表示,欧洲早前为战争欢呼,如今却在“哭诉”。
After German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said the costs of war had exceeded 100 billion euros for Europe over the past eight months. Iran’s security chief Rezaei said Europe was “whining” now even though it cheered the war earlier.
“当你为战争罪欢呼时,你有没有想过后果也会波及到你?战争和恐怖是有代价的。现在轮到你付出代价了,”他写道。伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格希还提醒说,默茨在去年的战争期间曾称赞以色列和美国为欧洲“干了脏活”。
“When you cheered on war crimes, did you think the fallout wouldn’t hit you, too? War and terror come at a price. Now it’s your turn to pay,” he wrote on Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also reminded that Merz had celebrated Israel and the US “doing the dirty work” for Europe during last year’s war.
“与伊朗强大的武装部队将对那些胆敢伤害我们人民的人实施的惊天动地的打击相比,1000亿欧元根本算不了什么,”他写道。“红线已成为过去。”
“100bn Euro is nothing compared to the Earth-shattering blow Iran’s Powerful Armed Forces will deal against those who dare harm our people,” he wrote. “Red lines are a thing of the past”.
美国参议员克里斯·墨菲本周早些时候表示,他与高级官员举行了一次会议,讨论如果战争重启,美国一场短暂而猛烈的军事行动将是什么样子。
US Senator Chris Murphy said earlier this week that he had a meeting with senior officials about what a short and blistering US military campaign would look like if the war resumes.
“他们的计划太疯狂了。这将导致毁灭性的升级,并可能摧毁我们对法治的承诺,”他说。
“Their plan is insane. It will lead to devastating escalation and the likely destruction of our commitment to the rule of law,” he said.
总部位于美国的核威胁倡议组织核材料安全项目副总裁埃里克·布鲁尔表示,考虑到特朗普本周早些时候抱怨伊朗在早先遭受袭击后一直专注于重建,目前完全不清楚对伊朗基础设施进行大规模空袭能实现什么目标。
Eric Brewer, deputy vice president for the Nuclear Materials Security Program for the US-based Nuclear Threat Initiative, said it is entirely unclear what would be achieved through extensive air strikes against Iran’s infrastructure, considering that Trump earlier this week bemoaned that Iran has focused on rebuilding after earlier attacks.
“对于剩余的核设施【镐斧、伊斯法罕隧道】,没有军事解决方案,该计划大体上仍处于暂停状态。打击能源目标不太可能迫使伊朗屈服于美国的谈判要求,”他在X平台上写道,并补充说,如果伊朗遭到袭击,它将在整个地区进行报复。
“There is no military solution for remaining nuclear sites [Pickaxe, Esfahan tunnels], and the program remains generally paused. Striking energy targets is unlikely to cause Iran to capitulate to US negotiating demands,” he wrote on X, adding that Iran will also retaliate across the region if attacked.
“他们将致力于让这场战争不仅对美国及其伙伴更加痛苦,而且比我们希望的更加持久,”布鲁尔说。“这次行动的风险远远超过任何收益。”
“They will aim to make the war not just more painful for the US and its partners, but longer than we would prefer,” Brewer said. “The risks of this operation far exceed any gains.”