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特朗普的非公民选民名单可能如何影响中期选举How Trump’s noncitizen voter lists could affect the midterms

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11月1日——随着美国人周二前往投票站参加中期选举,特朗普政府编制的可能非公民选民名单可能被用来质疑选举结果的有效性。

Nov 1 - As Americans head to the polls on Tuesday for midterm elections, lists the Trump administration has compiled of possible noncitizen voters could be used to contest the validity of the results.

随着美国总统特朗普的共和党努力维持对国会的控制,以下是这些名单可能如何影响中期选举。特朗普政府对这些名单有何说法?

With US President Donald Trump’s Republican Party fighting to maintain control of Congress, here’s how the lists could affect the midterms. WHAT HAS THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SAID ABOUT THE LISTS?

特朗普政府已承认,截至10月30日,已向加利福尼亚州、华盛顿州、新泽西州、宾夕法尼亚州和内华达州五个州的选举官员发送信函,称其在选民名册上发现了非公民,路透社看到的一份司法部文件显示。

The Trump administration has acknowledged sending letters to election officials in five states — California, Washington, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Nevada — as of October 30, saying it identified noncitizens on their voter rolls, according to a Justice Department document seen by Reuters.

在10月13日的一封信中,司法部要求加利福尼亚州在先核实其公民身份之前,不要计算约2万名“联邦机构有合理理由认为可能是非公民”的注册选民的选票,并警告处理这些选票的选举工作人员可能面临起诉。特朗普在社交媒体上支持这一警告:“他们都将被关进监狱很长一段时间!!!” 州官员拒绝了将名单上人员的选票搁置的要求,这些名单尚未公开。

In an October 13 letter, the Justice Department demanded California not count ballots from about 20,000 registered voters "who federal agencies reasonably believe are likely noncitizens" without first verifying their citizenship, warning that election workers who processed them could face prosecution. Trump endorsed the warning on social media: “They will all go to jail for a long period of time!!!”State officials rebuffed requests to set aside ballots of people on the lists, which have not been made public.

司法部目前正起诉加利福尼亚州,以阻止该州计算来自2万名选民名单上的任何选票。加利福尼亚州表示,其防止非公民投票的保障措施是严密的。

The Justice Department is now suing California to block the state from counting any ballots from the list of 20,000 voters. California says its safeguards against noncitizen voting are robust.

非公民投票是非法的,可能导致监禁、罚款和驱逐出境。白宫表示,非公民投票是一个重大问题,需要采取积极执法来保护选举公正性。特朗普长期声称这种情况普遍存在,但现有证据表明这种情况极为罕见。路透社7月的一项调查发现,自1996年国会制定联邦“外国人投票”法规以来,仅有129起非公民因非法投票被联邦起诉的案件;许多案件似乎源于混淆或行政错误,而非故意欺诈。

Noncitizen voting is illegal and can lead to jail time, fines and deportation. The White House says noncitizen voting is a significant problem requiring aggressive enforcement to protect election integrity. Trump has long alleged it is widespread, but available evidence indicates it is exceedingly rare. A Reuters investigation in July found just 129 cases in which noncitizens were federally charged with voting illegally since a federal “voting by aliens” statute was created by Congress in 1996; many appeared to stem from confusion or administrative errors rather than intentional fraud.

司法部此后加大了对非公民投票的起诉力度。“选举接近并不罕见,每一张非法选票都抵消了一名美国公民的投票,”司法部发言人柯尔斯滕·佩尔斯在一份声明中表示。国土安全部部长马克韦恩·穆林周六在福克斯新闻的一次采访中声称,该机构在选民名单上发现了30万名非公民,但未提供证据。特朗普政府如何编制这些名单?

The Justice Department has since ramped up noncitizens voting prosecutions. “Close elections are not rare, and every illegal ballot cancels out the vote of an American citizen,” a Justice Department spokesperson, Kiersten Pels, said in a statement. Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin claimed without evidence in a Fox News interview on Saturday that his agency had found 300,000 noncitizens on the voter rolls. HOW DID THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION COMPILE THE LISTS?

联邦政府没有登记或有资格投票的美国公民的集中名单。但特朗普政府积极寻求州选民数据,以扩大其在确定选民资格方面的作用。

The federal government has no centralized list of US citizens who are registered or eligible to vote. But the Trump administration has aggressively sought state voter data to expand its role in determining voter eligibility.

各州对联邦选举拥有宪法管辖权,许多州公开选民名单,但会对驾驶执照号码和社会安全号码后四位等私人信息进行编辑处理。

States have constitutional authority over federal elections and many states make voter rolls public with private information, such as driver’s license numbers and the last four digits of Social Security numbers, redacted.

该政府寻求未经编辑的名单,以识别所谓的非公民。包括阿拉巴马州和德克萨斯州在内的至少16个州已自愿配合。包括加利福尼亚州和纽约州在内的30个州以及华盛顿特区未予配合,并已被政府就其选民名单提起诉讼。迄今为止,法院已驳回其中27起诉讼,许多法官认为联邦政府在确定选民资格方面没有作用。

The administration has sought unredacted rolls to identify alleged noncitizens. At least 16 states, including Alabama and Texas, have complied voluntarily. Thirty states, including California and New York, as well as Washington, D.C., have not complied and have been sued by the administration for their voter rolls. Courts have rejected 27 of those efforts so far, with many judges finding the federal government has no role in determining voter eligibility.

司法部已对许多此类败诉提起上诉。“选民有权拥有准确的选民名单,各州不应将其隐瞒于联邦审查之外,”该部门发言人佩尔斯表示。

The Justice Department has appealed many of those losses. “Voters have a right to accurate voter rolls, and states shouldn’t be hiding them from federal review,” said Pels, the department’s spokesperson.

根据路透社审阅的一封美国国土安全部内部电子邮件,国土安全部从至少47个州获取了至少部分选民名单数据,通常包括姓名、地址和登记状态,在某些情况下还包括出生日期等额外信息。电子邮件显示,联邦调查人员随后将选民数据与政府数据库进行比对,以识别潜在非公民。

The Department of Homeland Security obtained at least partial voter-roll data from at least 47 states, typically including names, addresses and registration status and, in some cases, additional information such as dates of birth, according to a recent internal DHS email reviewed by Reuters. Federal investigators then matched the voter data against government databases to identify potential noncitizens, the email shows.

国土安全部未回应置评请求。该部此前表示,其调查以专业且合法的方式进行,以保障选举公正。这些名单会影响中期选举吗?

DHS did not respond to a request for comment. It has said its investigations are conducted professionally and lawfully to safeguard election integrity. WILL THE LISTS IMPACT THE MIDTERMS?

即使政府在法庭上难以胜诉,这些名单也可能为挑战接近的选举结果提供依据。根据大多数州法律,只有候选人或选民可以挑战选举结果,但三位法律专家告诉路透社,败选候选人可能会辩称,疑似非公民投票使得无法确定合法的胜选者。司法部还可能采取其他法律途径,试图阻止胜选者的认证。司法部表示,将在证据所指向的任何地方执行法律。

The lists could provide a basis for challenging close election results, even if the administration struggles to prevail in court. Under most state laws, only candidates or voters can challenge election results, but a losing candidate could argue that suspected noncitizen votes made it impossible to determine the rightful winner, three legal experts told Reuters. And the Justice Department could pursue other legal avenues to try to block certification of victors. The Justice Department has said it will enforce the law wherever the evidence leads.

此类挑战将面临重大法律障碍,部分原因是,对政府潜在非公民选民名单的审查发现,名单上许多人是美国公民。

Such challenges would face significant legal hurdles, partly because reviews of the administration’s lists of potential noncitizen voters have found that many people on the lists are US citizens.

10月28日,加利福尼亚州一名联邦法官驳回了司法部阻止其认定为可能非公民的2万名选民投票的请求,称该举动将对11月3日的选举造成“混乱”,并质疑该名单的可靠性。10月30日,联邦上诉法院维持了该裁决,理由是存在使合格选民被剥夺选举权的“实质性风险”。

On October 28, a federal judge in California rejected the Justice Department's bid to block ballots from 20,000 voters it identified as likely noncitizens, saying the move would "wreak havoc" on the November 3 elections and questioning the reliability of the list. A federal appeals court upheld the ruling on October 30, citing a “material risk” of disenfranchising eligible voters.

代理美国副司法部长特伦特·麦科特在周六的福克斯新闻节目中表示,司法部“可能”会向美国最高法院上诉。他承认,加利福尼亚州的名单可能包含美国公民。

The Justice Department would “probably” appeal to the US Supreme Court, acting US Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter said on Fox News on Saturday. He has acknowledged the California list could include US citizens.

法律专家表示,这些名单及其引发的挑战可能会对民主党的微弱胜利产生怀疑,并促使特朗普盟友的州级官员寻求进一步审查或试图推迟认证,尽管此类努力将面临巨大障碍。该政府表示,其努力旨在识别和起诉非法投票,保护选举公正性。

The lists and resulting challenges could cast doubt on narrow Democratic victories and prompt Trump-aligned state officials to seek further review or try to delay certification, though such efforts would face formidable obstacles, the legal experts said. The administration says its efforts are aimed at identifying and prosecuting illegal voting and protecting election integrity.

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