美国政治评论员塔克·卡尔森周日晚间声称，特朗普政府可能在几天内对伊朗发动核打击，并指称以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡正在施压美国总统唐纳德·特朗普，批准对伊朗中部一处疑似核设施发动攻击。
US commentator Tucker Carlson claimed late Sunday that the Trump administration could be days away from launching a nuclear strike on Iran, alleging that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is pressuring President Donald Trump to authorize an attack on a suspected nuclear site in central Iran.
卡尔森在美国社交媒体公司X上发布的一篇长文中指出，潜在打击目标是“镐山”（Pickaxe Mountain），以色列情报部门据信认为伊朗已在那里恢复了核浓缩计划。
In a lengthy post on the US social media company X, Carlson identified the potential target as Pickaxe Mountain, where Israeli intelligence allegedly believes Iran has resumed its nuclear enrichment program.
卡尔森是一名保守派政治评论员兼福克斯新闻前主持人，其节目《塔克·卡尔森今夜秀》于2016年至2023年播出。
Carlson is a conservative political commentator and former Fox News host whose program, Tucker Carlson Tonight, aired from 2016 to 2023.
他目前在X上主持一档独立的政治节目，并经常在节目中对美国外交政策和国际事务发表评论。
He now hosts an independent political show on X, where he regularly comments on US foreign policy and international affairs.
卡尔森声称，美国常规武器无法穿透该地点地下隧道上方估计深达300英尺的坚固花岗岩，这使得核打击成为唯一的军事选项。
Carlson claimed conventional US weapons could not penetrate the estimated 300 feet of solid granite protecting underground tunnels at the site, leaving a nuclear strike as the only military option.
卡尔森援引一位未透露姓名的知情观察人士的话说：“比比（内塔尼亚胡）每天都为此打电话给特朗普。”
"Bibi (Netanyahu) calls Trump about it every day," Carlson quoted an unnamed informed observer as saying.
卡尔森辩称，内塔尼亚胡的政治生存正在驱使他推动进一步的军事行动。他声称，内塔尼亚胡需要在最新选举结果出炉后获得特朗普的干预，以确保在以色列议会中获得61席的多数地位，并警告说否则他可能会失去权力并面临调查和可能的监禁。
Carlson argued that Netanyahu's political survival is driving his push for further military action. He claimed Netanyahu needs Trump's intervention to secure a 61-seat majority in the Knesset following the latest election results, warning that otherwise he could lose power and face investigations and possible imprisonment.
他还指称，内塔尼亚胡一直在向美国高级官员施压，其中包括国防部长皮特·海格塞斯和美国中央司令部司令布拉德·库珀海军上将，要求恢复大规模作战行动。
He also alleged that Netanyahu has been pressing senior US officials, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and US Central Command chief Adm. Brad Cooper, to resume major combat operations.
卡尔森还声称，国务卿马可·鲁比奥和中央情报局局长约翰·雷特克利夫正在听从内塔尼亚胡的指挥。
Carlson also claimed that Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA Director John Ratcliffe were following Netanyahu's lead.
他进一步表示，前总统巴拉克·奥巴马也曾反对当时正在多哈起草的伊朗和平协议。
He further said former President Barack Obama had also opposed the Iran peace agreement being drafted in Doha.
卡尔森表示，中东的美国盟友对重新燃起的战事日益感到担忧，这引发了人们对地区升级的恐惧。他声称，内塔尼亚胡于9月27日秘密前往阿布扎比，以说服阿联酋支持对伊朗的最后打击，但阿联酋官员予以拒绝。
Fears of regional escalation Carlson said US allies in the Middle East were increasingly concerned about renewed fighting. He claimed Netanyahu secretly traveled to Abu Dhabi on Sept. 27 to persuade the UAE to support a final attack on Iran, but Emirati officials refused.
在警告经济后果时，卡尔森表示，八个月的冲突已严重影响了海湾地区经济，以及全球能源和化肥市场。他声称，仅在10月份，全球约850艘超级油轮中就有11艘在霍尔木兹海峡严重受损。
Warning of the economic consequences, Carlson said eight months of conflict had severely affected Gulf economies, as well as global energy and fertilizer markets. He claimed 11 of the world's approximately 850 oil supertankers were badly damaged in the Strait of Hormuz in October alone.
他还警告称，“镐山”发生核爆炸可能会污染海湾地区，并威胁到大约1亿人的供水。
He also warned that a nuclear explosion at Pickaxe Mountain could contaminate the Gulf and threaten the water supply of around 100 million people.
卡尔森辩称，美国的核打击可能会开创一个危险的先例，可能鼓励俄罗斯对乌克兰使用核武器，引发印度和巴基斯坦之间新一轮的核紧张局势，并促使朝鲜袭击首尔。
Carlson argued that a US nuclear strike could establish a dangerous precedent, potentially encouraging Russia to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine, triggering renewed nuclear tensions between India and Pakistan, and prompting North Korea to attack Seoul.
他写道：“在第一次核打击之后，第三次世界大战是不可避免的。那场战争将是短暂而彻底的。”
"After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final," he wrote.
他还指称，自2.月份以来，特朗普集团已悄悄修改了美国核战略，以使首次使用所谓的“战场核武”变得更加容易和更有可能。
He further alleged that the Trump administration had quietly revised US nuclear doctrine since February to make the first use of so-called "battlefield nukes" easier and more likely.
卡尔森表示，特朗普可能会在11月7日之前决定是否授权使用核武器，并补充说副总统詹姆斯·戴维斯·万斯和特使史蒂夫·维特科夫正敦促他寻求与德黑兰达成外交协议。
Vance, Witkoff urge Trump to pursue diplomacy Carlson said Trump could decide by Nov. 7 whether to authorize the use of nuclear weapons, adding that Vice President JD Vance and special envoy Steve Witkoff were urging him to pursue a diplomatic agreement with Tehran.
尽管承认谈判将是困难的，但卡尔森表示，与伊朗决策者交过底的人士认为，各方达成了一种共识，即进一步的冲突对谁都没有好处，且达成协议是值得寻求的。
Although acknowledging that negotiations would be difficult, Carlson said people who had spoken with Iranian decision-makers believed there was a consensus that further conflict would benefit no one and that an agreement was worth pursuing.
他最后警告称，核打击的后果将远远超出伊朗，并辩称国际公众一直被排除在可能威胁数百万生命决策的门外。卡尔森写道：“现在正是他们发声的时候。”
He concluded by warning that the consequences of a nuclear strike would extend far beyond Iran, arguing that the international public had been excluded from decisions that could threaten millions of lives. "Now would be the time for them to speak up," Carlson wrote.
卡尔森的言论发表前，特朗普周六在佛罗里达州海湖庄园对记者发表讲话说，有一两处伊朗核设施仍然是潜在目标，美国可以在“10分钟内”对其实施打击。
US could strike remaining Iranian nuclear sites 'within 10 minutes' Carlson's claims follow Trump's remarks to reporters at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Saturday that one or two Iranian nuclear facilities remained potential targets and that the US could strike them within 10 minutes.
*特朗普具体提到了“镐山”，称他针对该地区制定了军事计划，但并未暗示已经授权进行核打击。
Trump specifically mentioned Pickaxe Mountain, saying he had military plans for the area, but did not indicate that a nuclear strike had been authorized.
他补充说：“你们可能会看看‘镐山’，你们必须处理好这个问题。我们很快就能搞定。”
"You probably could look at Pickaxe Mountain, you have to take care of that. We can do that all very quickly," he added.
在10月16日接受Newsmax采访时，他曾明确排除对伊朗使用核武器的可能性。
In an Oct. 16 interview with Newsmax, he explicitly ruled out using nuclear weapons against Iran.
另据 Axios 报道，美国和以色列消息人士称，特朗普与内塔尼亚胡周六进行了一次紧张的电话交谈。报道称，内塔尼亚胡正力推在周二美国中期选举后立即恢复军事行动，而特朗普则倾向于允许外交谈判继续进行。
Separately, Axios reported that Trump and Netanyahu held a tense phone call on Saturday, citing Israeli and US sources. According to the report, Netanyahu is pushing for renewed military action immediately after Tuesday's US midterm elections, while Trump prefers to allow diplomatic negotiations to continue.
一名白宫官员表示，政府不会对敏感的军事计划发表评论，并补充说特朗普正在为防止伊朗获得核武器保留所有选项。国务卿鲁比奥也曾表示，尚未就恢复打击做出最后决定。
A White House official said the administration does not comment on sensitive military plans, adding that Trump is keeping all options open to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. Secretary of State Rubio has also said no final decision has been made on resuming strikes.
与此同时，伊朗否认在“镐山”综合设施有任何核活动。该国最高领袖已警告华盛顿和特拉维夫不要发动进一步袭击。
Iran, meanwhile, denies any nuclear activity at the Pickaxe Mountain complex. Its supreme leader has warned Washington and Tel Aviv against launching further attacks.