
11月3日的中期选举已具有开创性意义。据分析公司AdImpact分析,这是美国历史上政治广告支出最高的选举周期,预计支出将超过110亿美元。各州在两次人口普查之间重新划定国会选区的速度,据全国州议会会议称,自1800年代以来未曾见过,各政党试图确保胜选。而唐纳德·特朗普作为即将面临中期选举的总统,其支持率处于历史低位。
The Nov. 3 midterm elections are already groundbreaking. It’s the most expensive election cycle in U.S. history in terms of political ad spending, with more than $11 billion expected to be spent, according to analysis firm AdImpact. States have redrawn congressional maps between censuses at a rate the National Conference of State Legislatures says has not been seen since the 1800s, as parties try to secure victories. And Donald Trump has an historically low approval rating for a President heading into the midterms.
此次选举也将在国会山带来大规模人事更替,数十名国会议员辞职、退休或竞选其他职务。
This election is also set to see massive turnover on Capitol Hill, with dozens of members of Congress resigning, retiring, or seeking other office.
根据选举结果,还可能打破多项身份障碍。据罗格斯大学美国女性与政治中心称,创纪录的26名女性正在全国范围内竞选州长职务。若当选,少数几名国会候选人也可能成为全国性的历史性首位。以下是值得关注的人物。首位黑人众议院议长?
Depending on the results, it could see a number of identity barriers broken, too. A record 26 women are vying for Governor posts across the country, according to Rutgers University's Center for American Women and Politics. A handful of candidates for Congress could also become national historic firsts if they win. Here’s who to watch out for. First Black Speaker of the House?
据信,南卡罗来纳州众议员约瑟夫·雷尼是1870年首位当选美国众议院议员的黑人美国人。他也是1874年在关于管理印第安保留地拨款法案的辩论中,首位主持众议院会议的黑人美国人——尽管只是暂时主持。
Rep. Joseph Rainey of South Carolina is believed to be the first Black American elected to the U.S. House in 1870. He also was the first Black American to preside over the House of Representatives—albeit temporarily—during a debate on an appropriations bill providing for the management of Native American reservations in 1874.
但没有黑人曾担任众议院议长。如果十一月的预期蓝潮使民主党获得多数,这种情况可能会改变。众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯在他所代表的纽约国会选区拥有广泛支持,并且在与共和党对手刘易斯·米兹拉希的选举中被视为基本无悬念,正走在连任的轨道上。杰弗里斯在国会任职近14年,2022年以无人竞争的方式当选为众议院民主党领袖,接替已退任的议长南希·佩洛西,成为国会中首位担任主要政党领袖的黑人。
But no Black person has served as Speaker of the House. That could change if an anticipated blue wave in November gives Democrats the majority. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has broad support in the New York congressional district he represents and is on track for re-election in a race against Republican opponent Lewis Mizrahi that is widely considered uncompetitive. Jeffries, who served in Congress for nearly 14 years, was elected unopposed in 2022 as House Democratic Leader, succeeding Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi and making him the first Black leader of a major political party in Congress.

但通往议长之路并不确定,居中偏左的杰弗里斯可能需要团结意识形态上分裂的民主党议员。第一位穆斯林参议员?
But the path to the speakership isn’t guaranteed, as the center-left Jeffries may have to unite an ideologically fractious Democratic caucus. First Muslim Senator?
密歇根州民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德是一位前地方公共卫生局局长兼播客主持人,虽从未担任过民选公职,但如果击败共和党候选人迈克·罗杰斯,他可能成为美国首位穆斯林参议员。根据民意调查,埃尔-赛义德领先,尽管密歇根的选举结果常常难以预测。
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, a former local public health director and podcaster who has never held elected public office, could become the first Muslim U.S. Senator if he beats Republican candidate Mike Rogers. El-Sayed leads, according to public opinion polling, though Michigan electoral results can be unpredictable.
埃尔-赛义德以进步议程参选,包括主张全民医保和终止美国对以色列的军事援助,这激怒了一些温和派和犹太裔民主党人。他的身份也成为共和党人的竞选攻击点:罗杰斯和唐纳德·特朗普曾试图将埃尔-赛义德及其家族与跨国极端组织穆斯林兄弟会联系起来,且埃尔-赛义德被迫重申自己对宪法的忠诚高于信仰,捍卫者称这反映了他所面临的伊斯兰恐惧症。
El-Sayed has run on a progressive platform, including advocating for Medicare for All and ending U.S. military funding to Israel, which has ruffled some moderate and Jewish Democrats. His identity has also become a campaign target for Republicans: Rogers and Donald Trump have tried to link El-Sayed and his family to the transnational extremist group Muslim Brotherhood, and El-Sayed has been pressured to reaffirm his commitment to the Constitution over his faith, which defenders have said reflects the Islamophobia he faces.
“我并不是为了成为首位穆斯林而参选,”埃尔-赛义德在八月接受CNN采访时说。“我只想成为一位非常、非常优秀的州参议员。”第一位公开出柜的男性参议员?
“I'm not running to be the first Muslim anything,” El-Sayed told CNN in August. “I just want to be a really, really great senator for my state.”First openly gay male Senator?
美国参议院首位公开出柜的LGBT人士是2012年当选的参议员塔米·鲍德温(民主党-威斯康星州),但众议员克里斯·帕帕斯可能成为美国参议院首位公开出柜的男同性恋者。帕帕斯自2019年起代表新罕布什尔州第1国会选区。帕帕斯46岁,2023年与其伴侣、律师范·本特利结婚。他也是国会中直言不讳的LGBT权利倡导者。
The first openly LGBT person elected to the U.S. Senate was Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D, Wis.), who was elected in 2012, but Chris Pappas, a Democratic House member who has represented New Hampshire's 1st congressional district since 2019, could become the first out gay man serving in the U.S. Senate. Pappas, 46, married his partner, lawyer Vann Bentley, in 2023. He is also a vocal LGBT rights advocate in Congress.
“我现在不太在想历史,”帕帕斯在接受《纽约时报》采访时说。“我每天都在想新罕布什尔州的困境。”帕帕斯正在与共和党候选人约翰·E·苏努努竞选,后者是前美国参议员,试图从即将退休的参议员珍·沙欣手中夺回席位。公众舆论调查显示帕帕斯领先。虽然共和党人大多未将帕帕斯的性取向作为政治竞选的焦点,但共和党人指控帕帕斯未披露与一名企业游说人士的关系。第一位韩裔美国州长?
“I’m not thinking much about history right now,” Pappas told the New York Times in an interview. “I’m really thinking every day about the struggles of New Hampshire.”Pappas is running against Republican nominee John E. Sununu, a former U.S. Senator seeking to reclaim his seat from retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Pappas leads in public opinion polling. While Republicans have largely not made Pappas’ sexuality a focus of their political campaigns, the GOP has alleged that Pappas failed to disclose a relationship with a corporate lobbyist. First Korean-American governor?

辛迪·芒森是民主党人,曾是俄克拉荷马州州议会首位当选的亚裔女性,目前担任下院少数党领袖。她现在希望取代任期届满的共和党州长凯文·斯蒂特,成为美国首位韩裔州长,尽管最近一项民调显示,其特朗普支持的对手、共和党前州参议员迈克·马泽伊领先。第一位黑人女性州长?
Cyndi Munson, a Democrat, was the first Asian-American woman elected to Oklahoma’s state legislature and currently serves as the lower chamber’s minority leader. She now aims to replace the term-limited Republican Gov. Kevin Stitt and become the first Korean-American governor in the U.S., though a recent poll shows her Trump-backed opponent, Republican former state senator Mike Mazzei, leading. First Black female governors?
基莎·兰斯·巴特姆斯是民主党候选人,将与共和党亿万富翁里克·杰克逊竞选,以取代任期届满的乔治亚州共和党州长布莱恩·肯普。民调结果不一,大多数预测者将这场竞选评为势均力敌。
Keisha Lance Bottoms is the Democratic nominee running against Republican billionaire Rick Jackson to replace the term-limited Georgia Republican Gov. Brian Kemp. Polls have been mixed and most forecasters have rated the race a toss-up.
如果巴特姆斯获胜,她不仅将成为该州首位黑人州长和首位女州长,还可能成为美国首批黑人女州长之一,这一荣誉她可能与明尼苏达州州长候选人丽莎·德穆斯共享。巴特姆斯去年10月对ABC新闻表示,这一潜在的里程碑对她来说“更具个人意义”。“我的家族在佐治亚州至少有五代人,”她说。“我父母双方都是奴隶的后裔。”佐治亚州州议会前少数党领袖斯泰西·艾布拉姆斯此前曾试图成为首位黑人女州长,但在2018年和2022年的选举中均未成功。
If Bottoms wins, she would not only become the state’s first Black and first female governor; she could also become one of the U.S.’s first Black female governors, an honor she might share with Minnesota gubernatorial candidate Lisa Demuth. Bottoms told ABC News in October that the potential milestone is “much more personal” for her. “My family goes back at least five generations in Georgia,” she said. “I’m a descendant of slaves on both sides.”Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of Georgia’s state House, previously tried to become the first Black female governor, but fell short in the 2018 and 2022 elections.
巴特姆斯于2018年至2022年担任亚特兰大市长,任期内正值新冠疫情期间,当她表示不寻求连任时,令该州政坛精英感到震惊。她因放弃这一职位而遭到杰克逊等人的批评。此后,她在拜登政府担任过多个职务,包括高级顾问,并领导白宫公共参与办公室。
Bottoms was the mayor of Atlanta from 2018 to 2022, presiding during the COVID-19 pandemic, and shocked the state’s political establishment when she said she would not seek re-election. She has faced criticism from Jackson and others for walking away from the job. She since served in the Biden Administration in various roles, including as a senior adviser and leading the White House Office of Public Engagement.

在明尼苏达州,无论谁赢得州长选举,都将打破该州的“玻璃天花板”,因为从未有女性当选领导该州。参议员艾米·克罗布彻是民主党候选人,而共和党提名了德穆斯,她自2018年起担任州议员,自2025年起担任州议会议长。
In Minnesota, whoever wins the race for governor will break the state’s glass ceiling, as no woman has ever been elected to lead the state. Senator Amy Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee, while Republicans nominated Demuth, a state representative since 2018 and speaker of the state House since 2025.
“我期待着——如果有机会,得到您的信任——担任明尼苏达州首位女州长,以及美国任何州的首位黑人女州长,”德穆斯在10月中旬与克罗布彻的辩论中表示。然而,民调显示选民倾向于克罗布彻,而德穆斯因与特朗普的关联而面临强劲的政治逆风,特朗普经常攻击明尼苏达州。首批美洲原住民女州长?
“I look forward to serving—if given the opportunity, your trust in me—as the first female governor here in the state of Minnesota and the first Black woman to serve as governor of any state in the United States,” Demuth said in her mid-October debate with Klobuchar. Polls, however, show voters leaning toward Klobuchar, as Demuth faces stiff political headwinds from being associated with Trump, who has frequently attacked Minnesota. First Native American female governors?

2018年,德布·哈兰德与夏丽丝·戴维兹一起,成为首批当选国会议员的美洲原住民女性之一,创造了历史。哈兰德是拉古纳普韦布洛部落的成员,该部落位于新墨西哥州,是联邦承认的部落,其历史比美国本身还要悠久。担任众议员期间,她专注于环境正义、气候变化以及失踪和被谋杀的原住民妇女问题。2021年,哈兰德出任拜登政府内政部长。如今,哈兰德正竞选新墨西哥州州长,她有望再次创造历史,成为首批领导任何州的美洲原住民女性之一。
In 2018, Deb Haaland made history as one of the first Native American women, alongside Sharice Davids, to be elected to Congress. Haaland is a member of the Laguna Pueblo, a federally recognized tribe in New Mexico that has existed longer than the U.S. has. As a congresswoman, she focused on environmental justice, climate change, and missing and murdered indigenous women. In 2021, Haaland became the Biden Administration’s Interior Secretary. Haaland is now running to become governor of New Mexico, and she could potentially make history again, this time as one of the first Native American women to lead any state.
但要实现这一目标,身为民主党人的哈兰德必须击败共和党对手格雷格·赫尔,后者曾担任里奥兰乔市市长。目前,民调显示哈兰德领先。
But to do so, Haaland, a Democrat, must defeat her Republican opponent Gregg Hull, who was formerly the mayor of Rio Rancho. So far, polls show Haaland leading.
在阿拉斯加,拥有阿留申血统的伯纳黛特·威尔逊是共和党州长候选人。威尔逊是一名保守派活动家和前广播主持人,获得了特朗普总统的支持,但资深参议员丽莎·默尔科夫斯基——一位温和的阿拉斯加共和党人——及其父、前州长弗兰克·默尔科夫斯基,均支持威尔逊的民主党对手乔纳森·克赖斯-汤普金斯,威尔逊在民调中落后于后者。不过,预测人士将这场竞选评为势均力敌。
In Alaska, Bernadette Wilson, who is of Aleut heritage, is a Republican candidate for governor. Wilson, a conservative activist and former radio host, has the backing of President Trump, but veteran Sen. Lisa Murkowski, a moderate Alaska Republican, and her father, former Gov. Frank Murkowski, both endorsed Wilson’s Democratic opponent, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, whom Wilson trails in the polls. Forecasters, however, rate the race as a toss-up.

至少有四名美洲原住民男性曾担任美国参议员,但至今尚无美洲原住民女性担任此职——不过情况可能即将改变。
At least four Native American men have served in the U.S. Senate, but no Native American woman ever has—yet.
当尤皮克阿拉斯加原住民玛丽·佩托拉于2022年8月在一次特别选举中首次当选美国众议员,接替已故的唐·扬众议员时,她成为第一位进入国会的阿拉斯加原住民,也是第一位在该议院代表阿拉斯加的女性。如果她击败现任共和党参议员丹·S·沙利文——民调显示她略微领先——她有望成为第一位阿拉斯加原住民参议员,以及首批进入参议院的美洲原住民女性之一。
When Yup'ik Alaska Native Mary Peltola was first elected to the U.S. House in an August 2022 special election to replace the late Representative Don Young, she became the first Alaska Native member of Congress and the first woman to represent Alaska in the chamber. If she beats incumbent Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan—and polls show her slightly leading—she could become the first Alaska Native Senator as well as one of the first Native American women in the Senate.
在明尼苏达州,民主党副州长佩吉·弗拉根正在竞选参议员,并可能成为参议院首批美洲原住民女性之一。前提是,属于明尼苏达州最大联邦承认部落白土奥吉布瓦族的弗拉根,要击败共和党提名人、政治新人米歇尔·塔福娅。民调显示弗拉根领先。
In Minnesota, Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is running for the Senate and could also become one of the first Native American women in the chamber. That is, if Flanagan—a member of the White Earth Band of Ojibwe, the largest federally recognized tribe in Minnesota—beats GOP nominee and political newcomer Michele Tafoya. Polls show Flanagan leading.
“我参选不是为了创造历史,但美国参议院里有位美洲原住民女性,实在该了,”弗拉根去年十月在竞选活动中表示。“而且她不妨就来自白土。”
“I’m not running to make history, but it’s about damn time there was a Native American woman serving in the United States Senate,” Flanagan said on the campaign trail in October. “And she might as well be from White Earth.”