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2026年美国中期选举:民调揭示民主党与共和党选民的不同关注点US midterms 2026: What polls reveal about Democratic, Republican voters

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美国人将于周二参加美国中期选举投票,经济、生活成本和移民是主要议题之一。虽然民主党人和共和党人都担心生活成本上涨,但近期民调显示,他们对经济、唐纳德·特朗普总统及其他关键议题的看法存在差异。

Americans will vote in the US midterm elections on Tuesday, with the economy, the cost of living, and immigration among the top issues. While Democrats and Republicans share concerns about the rising cost of living, recent surveys suggest differences in how they view the economy, President Donald Trump, and other key issues.

美国全国广播公司(NBC)周日发布的一项民调显示,75%的受访者表示对美国经济状况不满意,51%表示对个人财务状况不满意。

In an NBC poll released on Sunday, 75 percent of respondents said they were dissatisfied with the state of the US economy, and 51 percent said they were dissatisfied with their personal financial situation.

10月进行的其他民调也展示了两党选民对自身财务状况的感受以及最关心的议题。以下是我们了解的情况:民主党人和共和党人最关心什么议题?

Other surveys conducted in October also offer a look into how voters from both parties felt about their finances and which issues mattered most. Here is what we know: What issues matter most to Democrats and Republicans?

经济是美国选民的主要关切,但民主党人和共和党人在医疗保健、移民和犯罪等议题的重要性上存在分歧。

The economy is the main concern for US voters, but Democrats and Republicans vary on the importance of issues like healthcare, immigration, and crime.

皮尤研究中心9月28日至10月4日进行的一项调查显示,84%的登记选民认为经济对其中期选举投票非常重要。对于82%倾向共和党候选人的受访者和88%支持民主党人的受访者来说,经济都是首要议题。然而,两群人在其他议题上存在分歧。

A Pew Research Centre survey, conducted between September 28 and October 4, suggested that 84 percent of registered voters considered the economy very important to their midterm vote. It was the top issue for 82 percent of respondents who prefer Republican candidates, and 88 percent for those who back Democrats. However, the two groups differed on other issues.

约85%的民主党支持者认为民主的未来非常重要,共和党支持者这一比例为69%。医疗保健是82%民主党人的优先事项,共和党人这一比例为53%。

About 85 percent of Democratic Party supporters considered the future of democracy very important, compared with 69 percent of Republicans. Healthcare was a priority for 82 percent of Democrats, compared with 53 percent of Republicans.

共和党支持者更关心移民问题,72%认为这非常重要,民主党支持者这一比例为53%。

Republican supporters were more concerned about immigration, with 72 percent saying it was very important, compared with 53 percent of Democrats.

暴力犯罪对共和党支持者也更重要,比例为64%,民主党支持者为37%。

Violent crime was also more important to Republican supporters, at 64 percent, compared with 37 percent Democrats.

凯撒家庭基金会(KFF)于9月16日至21日进行的一项调查显示,在已登记选民受访者中,42%更信任民主党处理医疗费用问题,而更信任共和党的仅为22%。在生活成本问题上,39%更信任民主党,25%更倾向共和党。

A KFF survey , conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation, an independent nonprofit, from September 16 to 21, suggested 42 percent of registered voter respondents trusted Democrats more to handle healthcare costs, compared with 22 percent who trusted Republicans. On the cost of living, 39 percent trusted Democrats more, while 25 percent preferred Republicans.

经济是倾向共和党候选人和倾向民主党候选人的选民共同关注的首要问题。但在调查询问的许多其他问题上,共和党选民和民主党选民对其重要性的看法存在相当大的差异。pic.twitter.com/DCf5V7aCog— 皮尤研究中心 (@pewresearch) 2026年10月9日民主党人和共和党人如何给特朗普第二任期打分?对特朗普总统及其经济政策的看法依然沿着党派界线严重分歧。

The economy is the top issue among both voters who prefer Republican and Democratic candidates. But Republican and Democratic voters differ considerably over the importance of many other issues asked about on the survey. pic.twitter.com/DCf5V7aCog — Pew Research Center (@pewresearch) October 9, 2026 What grade do Democrats and Republicans give Trump’s second term? Views of President Trump and his economic policies remain divided along party lines.

在皮尤研究中心的调查中,91%的民主党受访者及倾向民主党者认为特朗普的经济政策让情况变得更糟。

In the Pew Research Centre survey, 91 percent of Democratic respondents and those who leaned Democratic believed Trump’s economic policies had made things worse.

在共和党支持者中,39%表示其政策改善了经济,35%认为让情况变糟,25%认为影响不大。

Among Republican supporters, 39 percent said his policies had improved the economy, 35 percent said they made conditions worse, and 25 percent said they had little effect.

在11月1日NBC新闻民调中,40%的已登记选民受访者认可特朗普的整体工作表现,60%不认可。民主党人和共和党人如何看待经济?

In the November 1 NBC News poll, 40 percent of registered-voter respondents approved of Trump’s overall job performance, compared with 60 percent who disapproved. How do Democrats and Republicans feel about the economy?

美国人担忧成本上涨,但民主党人比共和党人更倾向于对经济状况表达负面情绪。

Americans are concerned about rising costs, but Democrats are more likely than Republicans to express negative feelings about economic conditions.

在10月的一项皮尤研究调查中,36%的共和党人将美国经济评为“优秀”或“良好”,而民主党人及倾向民主党者中仅为9%。然而,两大群体中的大多数都对基本商品和服务的价格表示担忧。

In an October Pew Research survey , 36 percent of Republicans rated the US economy as excellent or good, compared with just 9 percent of Democrats or Democrat-leaning voters. However, the majority in both groups expressed concern about the cost of essential goods and services.

根据皮尤数据,82%的民主党人及倾向民主党者担忧食品和消费品价格,共和党人及倾向共和党者中这一比例为62%。

According to PEW, 82 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners were concerned about food and consumer prices, compared with 62 percent of Republicans and Republican leaners.

医疗费用让80%的民主党受访者和57%的共和党受访者感到担忧,而汽油和能源价格则让81%的民主党受访者和65%的共和党受访者感到担忧。

Healthcare costs concerned 80 percent of Democrats and 57 percent of Republicans, while petrol and energy prices worried 81 percent of Democrats and 65 percent of Republicans.

福克斯新闻10月14日发布的一项民调显示,74%的登记选民受访者对经济持,60%的人将生活成本列为最大的经济担忧。

A Fox News poll released on October 14 also had 74 percent of registered voter respondents rating the economy negatively, and 60 percent identified the cost of living as their biggest economic concern.

NBC新闻11月1日发布的民调发现,53%的共和党受访者对经济现状不满意。

The November 1 NBC News poll found that 53 percent of Republican respondents were dissatisfied with the state of the economy.

皮尤研究中心还发现,与2022年相比,堕胎和枪支政策对民主党受访者的核心重要性有所下降。在共和党选民中,教育政策和能源政策的重要性低于四年前。

The Pew Research Center also found that abortion and gun policy were less central to Democratic respondents in comparison with 2022. Among Republican voters, education policy and energy policy were less important than they were four years ago.

距离2026年中期选举还有一个月,许多家庭必需品的成本是大多数美国人最关心的经济问题。pic.twitter.com/4DZUTyF5IK— 皮尤研究中心 (@pewresearch) 2026年10月9日美国人对自己的财务状况满意吗?

A month out from the 2026 midterm election, the costs of many household essentials are a top economic concern for most Americans. pic.twitter.com/4DZUTyF5IK — Pew Research Center (@pewresearch) October 9, 2026 Are Americans satisfied with their financial situation?

在NBC的民调中,51%的登记选民对个人财务状况不满意,而49%的人表示满意。

In the NBC poll, 51 percent of registered voters were dissatisfied with their personal financial situation, compared with 49 percent who were satisfied.

这是NBC民调30年来首次出现对个人财务不满意的比例超过满意的比例。

It was the first time in 30 years of NBC polling that dissatisfaction with personal finances outweighed satisfaction.

在10月19日至20日进行的NPR/PBS News/Marist民调中,38%的可能投票者表示过去一年财务状况变差,44%表示大致持平,15%表示有所改善。

In an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll on October 19-20, 38 percent of likely voters said their finances had gotten worse over the past year, 44 percent said they had remained about the same, and 15 percent said they had improved.

民主党可能投票者中有51%表示财务状况恶化,而共和党可能投票者中这一比例为21%。

A total of 51 percent of Democratic likely voters said their finances had deteriorated, compared with 21 percent of Republicans.

在9月30日至10月5日进行的路透社/益普索调查中,71%的民主党受访者和57%的共和党受访者表示,他们的收入跟不上物价上涨的步伐。

In a Reuters/Ipsos survey conducted from September 30 to October 5, 71 percent of Democrats and 57 percent of Republicans said their incomes had not kept pace with rising prices.

前民主党国会助手、参议院国家安全顾问埃里克·哈姆表示,特朗普的全球关税以及美以对伊朗的战争加剧了美国家庭的经济压力。

Eric Ham, a former Democratic congressional staffer and Senate national security adviser, said that Trump’s global tariffs and the US-Israel war on Iran had added to the financial pressure on American households.

哈姆对半岛电视台表示:“美国人付出的代价更大,不仅在于唐纳德·特朗普总统通过关税造成的‘自伤’,还在于如果你看看这场‘选择性战争’。”民主党人还是共和党人对投票更热情?民主党选民表示对参与选举的热情更高。

“Americans are paying more not just in terms of self-inflicted wounds that President Donald Trump implemented through tariffs, but also if you look at this war of choice,” Ham told Al Jazeera. Are Democrats or Republicans more enthusiastic about voting? Democratic voters reported higher enthusiasm about participating in the elections.

马里斯特民调显示,91%的倾向民主党的可能选民表示热情或非常热情,而共和党人为86%,无党派人士为76%。

In the Marist poll, 91 percent of likely Democratic voters were enthusiastic or very enthusiastic, compared with 86 percent of Republicans and 76 percent of Independents.

前共和党国会助手约翰·富里表示,竞选最后几天的重点在于投票率。富里说:“这不是一场说服选举。这是一场动员基本盘选举。”

John Fury, a former Republican congressional staffer, said the final days of campaigning were focused on turnout. “This is not a persuasion election. This is a get-out-the base election,” Fury said.

凯撒家庭基金会(KFF)的一项调查显示,民主党候选人的支持者比共和党支持者更有可能将自己描述为“比以往更有动力”去投票,比例高出25个百分点(63%对38%)。

In a KFF survey, Democratic candidate supporters were 25 percentage points more likely than Republican supporters to describe themselves as “more motivated” than usual to vote (63 percent versus 38 percent).

11月1日发布的NBC新闻民调也报告了对选举的高度关注,70%的登记选民在10分制中将他们的兴趣评为9分或10分。美国人计划投票给谁?

The November 1 NBC News poll also reported high interest in the elections, with 70 percent of registered voters rating their interest at nine or 10 on a 10-point scale. Who are Americans planning to vote for?

大选前最后几周进行的民调表明,选民更倾向于民主党候选人或民主党控制国会,而非共和党。

Surveys conducted in the final weeks before the election suggested voters preferred Democratic candidates or Democratic control of Congress over Republicans.

10月28日至30日进行、11月1日发布的NBC民调显示,52%的登记选民倾向于民主党控制国会,而45%倾向于共和党控制。

An NBC poll conducted on October 28-30 and published on November 1 suggested that 52 percent of registered voters preferred Democratic control of Congress compared with 45 percent who preferred Republican control.

同样,10月22日至26日进行的路透社/益普索民调显示,53%的可能选民将投票给或倾向于其选区的民主党候选人,而44%支持共和党。这些调查衡量的是投票情绪,但并不反映各个竞选的实际结果。

Similarly, the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted from October 22 to October 26 suggested that 53 percent of likely voters would vote for or lean towards the Democratic candidates in their district, compared with 44 percent who supported Republicans. These surveys measure voting sentiment, but they do not reflect the results of the individual races.

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